Valencian regional election, 1995

Valencian regional election, 1995

28 May 1995
All 89 seats in the Corts Valencianes 45 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	3,131,191 7.4%
Turnout	2,380,614 (76.0%) 6.8 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Eduardo Zaplana Joan Lerma Albert Taberner Party PP PSOE IU–LV–CE Leader since 26 September 1993 31 July 1979 1986 Leader's seat Valencia Valencia Valencia Last election 31 seats, 27.8% 45 seats, 42.8% 6 seats, 9.3% Seats won 42 32 10 Seat change 11 13 4 Popular vote 1,013,859 804,463 273,030 Percentage 42.8% 34.0% 11.5% Swing 15.0 pp 8.8 pp 4.0 pp   Fourth party   Leader Vicente González Lizondo Party UV–FICVA–CCV Leader since 1995 Leader's seat Valencia Last election 7 seats, 10.4% Seats won 5 Seat change 2 Popular vote 165,956 Percentage 7.0% Swing 3.4 pp
Constituency results map for the Corts Valencianes
President before election Joan Lerma PSOE Elected President Eduardo Zaplana PP

The 1995 Valencian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 1995, to elect the 4th Corts of the Valencian Community. All 89 seats in the Corts were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

As a result of the election, the People's Party (PP) increased its vote share by 15 percentage points relative to the 1991 Courts elections. For the first time, the PP had won a regional election, becoming the first party to poll more than 1 million votes in the area and gaining eleven seats, 3 short of an absolute majority. Most of the gains came from Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which lost 13 seats in the election. The regionalist Valencian Union (UV) also lost 1 seat, while United Left (IU) gained 4 seats to overtake UV as the third largest party.

A coalition agreement between the PP and UV was able to force the PSOE out from the Valencian Government after 12 years of Socialist rule. Eduardo Zaplana, the People's Party's candidate, became the second democratically elected President of the autonomous community

Electoral system

The 89 members of the Corts Valencianes were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 per 100 of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of 20 seats, with the remaining 29 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.^[1][2] Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, with all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of all political rights entitled to vote.

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure at least the signature of 1 per 100 of the electors entered in electoral register of the constituency for which they were seeking election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days from the election call.^[1][3][4]

Elections were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years.^[2][3]

Background

After 12 years of consecutive Socialist governments both in the Spanish national government and in the Valencian Community, the People's Party (PP) had managed to greatly increase its support from 1992–93, mostly at the cost of what remained of the Democratic and Social Centre (CDS). In the 1993 general election, the PP had already increased its vote share from 27.0% in 1989 to 40.5% and had overtaken the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) in the region for the first time. The party had also seen a dramatical rise in the 1994 European Parliament election, rising to 44.2% from 22.8% in 1989.

United Left (IU) had gained ground at the expense of the PSOE and in both the 1993 general and 1994 EP elections had polled more than 10% for the first time since the 1970s. After peaking in the 1991 Courts and local elections, the right-wing regional party Valencian Union (UV) had begun to lose ground in the 1993 and 1994 elections.

Population's weariness of PSOE's prolonged stay in power, economic crisis as well as the eruption of numerous corruption scandals at the national level had weakened the PSOE in the region to the point it was facing the possibility of a severe defeat for the first time in a decade. Joan Lerma's management of a wildfire crisis in the summer of 1994 came under heavy criticism, after the fire had resulted in the burning of 16% of the region's forest area.^[5]

Opinion polls

Individual poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If that date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. in the case of seat projections, they are displayed in bold and in a different font. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. 45 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead
1995 regional election	28 May 1995	N/A	76.0	34.0 32	42.8 42	7.0 5	11.5 10	8.8
Emer–GfK/Levante-EMV[p 1]	21 May 1995	?	?	? 32/34	? 42/45	? 0/4	? 10/11	?
Gesfono/Las Provincias[p 1]	10–15 May 1995	?	?	30.1 28/31	46.0 43/46	6.0 3/4	13.2 11/12	15.9
Demoscopia/El País[p 2][6]	10–15 May 1995	?	?	29.1 29	44.0 43	6.6 6	13.3 11	14.9
CIS[p 3][p 4]	24 Apr–10 May 1995	1,598	72.3	30.7	46.5	6.7	10.9	15.8
Perfiles[p 1]	7 May 1995	?	?	? 32/34	? 42/45	? 0/4	? 10/11	?
Gesfono/Las Provincias[p 1]	30 Apr 1995	?	?	30.1 29/30	45.2 43/44	6.2 4	13.5 12	15.1
1994 EP election	12 Jun 1994	N/A	65.0	30.5 29	44.2 45	5.3 3	13.9 12	13.7
1993 general election	6 Jun 1993	N/A	81.7	38.4 39	40.5 41	4.6 0	10.5 9	2.1
1991 regional election	26 May 1991	N/A	69.2	42.8 45	27.8 31	10.4 7	7.5 6	15.0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 28 May 1995 Corts Valencianes election results →

Parties and coalitions		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,013,859	42.83	+15.01	42	+11
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	804,463	33.98	–8.87	32	–13
	United Left–The Greens (EU–EV)1	273,030	11.53	+2.24	10	+4
	Valencian Union–Independents–Centrists (UV–FICVA–CCV)	165,956	7.01	–3.35	5	–2
	Valencian People's Union–Nationalist Bloc (UPV–BN)	64,253	2.71	–0.97	0	±0

Distribution by constituency

Opinion poll sources

References