United States presidential election in Nevada, 2016

United States presidential election in Nevada, 2016

November 8, 2016
Turnout	76.83%
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state New York New York Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence Electoral vote 6 0 Popular vote 539,260 512,058 Percentage 47.92% 45.50%
County results Clinton   40-50%   50-60% Trump   50-60%   60-70%   70-80%   80-90%
Results by county with size showing number of votes[1]
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2016 United States presidential election in Nevada of November 8, 2016 was part of the 2016 General Election, and was won by Hillary Clinton with a 47.92% popular vote plurality over Donald Trump's 45.50%.^[1] All of Nevada's 6 electoral votes were assigned to Clinton.

Primary elections

Democratic caucuses

Democratic caucus results by county.

  Hillary Clinton

  Bernie Sanders

  Tie

The 2016 Nevada Democratic caucuses took place on February 20 in the U.S. state of Nevada, traditionally marking the Democratic Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

With all other candidates having dropped out of the race ahead of the Nevada caucuses, the two remaining candidates were Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.^[2]

Process

Of the total number of 43 delegates the Nevada Democratic Party may send to the 2016 Democratic National Convention, 35 are pledged and 8 are unpledged.

The delegate selection process is a system with three levels:

1. The first step in the delegate selection process were the precinct caucuses on February 20, which elected about 12,000 delegates to the county conventions.
2. At the county conventions on April 2, the county delegates selected about 4,000 delegates to the state convention.
3. At the state convention on May 14–15, the final 35 pledged delegates to the National Convention will be selected. 23 of them are allocated proportionally based on congressional district results, whereas the remaining 12 are allocated based on the state convention as a whole.

A majority of participants at the February caucuses supported Hillary Clinton. However, the county conventions on April 2, 2016 resulted in more Sanders delegates than Clinton delegates being sent to the state convention in May.

Debates and forums

October 2015 debate in Las Vegas

On October 13, 2015, the Democratic Party's very first debate was held at the Wynn Hotel in Las Vegas. Hosted by Anderson Cooper, it aired on CNN and was broadcast on radio by Westwood One. Participants were the candidates Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, and Lincoln Chafee. It was the first and only debate appearance of Chafee and Webb, who ended their campaigns on October 23 and October 20, respectively.

February 2016 forum in Las Vegas

On February 18, MSNBC and Telemundo hosted a forum in Las Vegas.

Caucus Results

County Conventions

The County Conventions were marked by bickering between Clinton and Sanders supporters, most notably in Clark County,^[3] which had been won by Clinton during the caucuses and led to the attempted arrest of the head of the credentials committee, Sanders supporter Christine Kramar,after the Clinton supporters on the Clark Country Democratic committee attempted to depose her from her position. Kramar had discovered that the Clark County Democratic Party had been having private correspondence with only Clinton's campaign, as opposed to both campaigns.

The results statewide goes as follows:^[4] Sanders 3846 (55.23%) Clinton 2124 (44.77%)

Sanders won most of the northern counties in Nevada, including Washoe County, and Clinton won most of the southern counties, including Clark County.

State Convention

The state convention was held in May as the final stage of the delegate selection process. Supports of Senator Sanders were angered when Party officials declined to accept the credentials of close to 60 pro-Sanders delegates. Nevada Democratic Party Chairwoman, Roberta Lange allegedly received numerous death threats and threats to the lives of her family and grandchildren, a criminal investigation has yet to confirm these claims or the identities of those allegedly involved. At the convention, Sanders supporters protested until the staff cancelled the event.^[5][6] The event was later criticized as being violent, although there is no evidence that violence occurred.^[7]

Despite charges by Sanders supporters that the Convention was rigged against their candidate, according to Jon Ralston,^[6] "the facts reveal that the Sanders folks disregarded rules, then when shown the truth, attacked organizers and party officials as tools of a conspiracy to defraud the senator of what was never rightfully his in the first place."^[6][8] After Sanders campaign Chair Jeff Weaver repeated assertions of process-rigging by Democratic Party officials, Politifact examined the evidence and concluded that, while the Party's selection process was "arcane" and "incredibly confusing", the fact is that "Clinton’s supporters simply turned out (attended the Convention) in larger numbers and helped her solidify her delegate lead." Moreover, according to Politifact: "There’s no clear evidence the state party 'hijacked' the process or ignored 'regular procedure.'"^[9]

The Nevada Democratic Party wrote to the Democratic National Committee accusing Sanders supporters of having a "penchant for extra-parliamentary behavior — indeed, actual violence — in place of democratic conduct in a convention setting."^[10] Sanders responded by denouncing the alleged use of violence while asserting that they were not treated with "fairness and respect" in a statement.^[10]

In a TV segment, comedian Samantha Bee reported on the fracas,^[11][12] as did Last Week Tonight with John Oliver^[13] and Late Night with Seth Meyers in "A Closer Look" segment.^[14]

Republican caucus

Republican caucus results by county.

  Donald Trump

  Ted Cruz

Delegates from Nevada to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the caucus results.

Nevada Republican precinct caucuses, February 23, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	34,531	45.75%	14	0	14
Marco Rubio	17,940	23.77%	7	0	7
Ted Cruz	16,079	21.30%	6	0	6
Ben Carson	3,619	4.79%	2	0	2
John Kasich	2,709	3.59%	1	0	1
Invalid	266	0.35%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	170	0.23%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	64	0.08%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	50	0.07%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	22	0.03%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	21	0.03%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	11	0.01%	0	0	0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)			0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	75,482	100.00%	30	0	30
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Nevada as of Election Day.

1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton^[15]
2. CNN: Tossup^[16]
3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton^[17]
4. NBC: Leans Clinton^[18]
5. Electoral-vote.com: Tossup^[19]
6. RealClearPolitics: Tossup^[20]
7. Fox News: Leans Clinton^[21]
8. ABC: Leans Clinton^[22]

Results

On the congressional district level, Hillary Clinton won the 1st district and the 4th district, and Donald Trump won the 2nd district and the 3rd district.^[23]

Results by county

Tree map showing number of votes by size, Donald Trump (red), Hillary Clinton (blue) and all other candidates grouped (gray). Counties are grouped by candidate.^[1]

Preliminary results by county, as of 22 November 2016.^[1]

Analysis

Hillary Clinton won the state over nationwide winner Donald Trump, marking the third presidential election in a row that Nevada has voted Democratic. Most counties in the state of Nevada are rural, and voted heavily for Trump. As a whole, the rural counties outside of Las Vegas and Reno gave Donald Trump a 66-27 margin. However, Clinton won the state's two most populous counties, Clark County and Washoe County, which contain about 85% of the state's population, and thus won the state's electoral votes. Compared to the 2012 election, Clinton's margin of victory was narrower in these two counties and statewide. A stronger third-party share of the vote on the part of Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson contributed to this result.

This is the second time since 1908, and first time since 1976, that Nevada voted for a candidate who did not win the general election. However, despite its streak ending, Nevada was actually the closest state in the nation to the national popular vote.

References

Elections in Nevada
Federal government Presidential elections 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 Presidential caucuses Democratic 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 Republican 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 U.S. Senate elections 1866 and 1867 1868 and 1869 1872 and 1873 1874 and 1875 1878 and 1879 1880 and 1881 1884 and 1885 1886 and 1887 1890 and 1891 1892 and 1893 1896 and 1897 1898 and 1899 1902 and 1903 1904 and 1905 1908 and 1909 1910 and 1911 1914 and 1915 1916 and 1917 1918 1920 and 1921 1922 and 1923 1926 1928 1932 and 1933 1934 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1962 1964 1968 1970 1974 1976 1980 1982 1986 1988 1992 1994 1998 2000 2004 2006 2010 2012 2016 2018 2022 U.S. House elections 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2nd 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Special elections 2nd district, 2011
State government General elections 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1914 1916 1918 1920 1922 1924 1926 1928 1930 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Gubernatorial elections 1864 1866 1870 1874 1878 1882 1886 1890 1894 1898 1902 1906 1910 1914 1918 1922 1926 1930 1934 1938 1942 1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
Ballot measures 2002 and 2016 Nevada Question 2 (2002) Nevada Question 2 (2016)
Las Vegas Mayoral elections 1911 1915 1919 1923 1927 1931 1935 1939 1943 1947 1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019
Reno Mayoral elections 1868 1870 1874 1878 1882 1886 1890 1894 1898 1902 1906 1910 1914 1918 1922 1926 1930 1934 1938 1942 1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018
None of These Candidates

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Green papers for the 2016 Nevada caucuses and convention
• 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com

State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election
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