United States presidential election, 1992

United States presidential election, 1992

November 3, 1992
All 538 electoral votes of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout	55.2%[1] 5.0 pp
Nominee Bill Clinton George H. W. Bush Ross Perot Party Democratic Republican Independent Home state Arkansas Texas Texas Running mate Al Gore Dan Quayle James Stockdale Electoral vote 370 168 0 States carried 32 + D.C. 18 0 Popular vote 44,909,806 39,104,550 19,743,821 Percentage 43.01% 37.45% 18.91%
Presidential election results map. Blue denotes those won by Clinton/Gore, red denotes states won by Bush/Quayle. Numbers indicate electoral votes allotted to the winner of each state.
President before election George H. W. Bush Republican Elected President Bill Clinton Democratic

The United States presidential election of 1992 was the 52nd quadrennial presidential election. It was held on Tuesday, November 3, 1992. There were three major candidates: Incumbent Republican President George H. W. Bush, Democratic Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton, and independent Texas businessman Ross Perot.

Bush had alienated much of his conservative base by breaking his 1988 campaign pledge against raising taxes. The economy was in recession and Bush's perceived greatest strength, foreign policy, was regarded as much less important following the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the relatively peaceful climate in the Middle East after the defeat of Iraq in the Gulf War.

Clinton won a plurality in the popular vote, and a wide Electoral College margin. The election was a significant realigning election after three consecutive Republican landslides.^[2][3] Northeastern, Upper Midwest, and West Coast states which had previously been competitive began voting reliably Democratic. As of 2017, this is the most recent election in which an incumbent president served one term and lost re-election, the previous one having been the 1980 election in which Ronald Reagan unseated then-incumbent Jimmy Carter. Bush won 18 states with a plurality, but did not win a majority in any state. This is a sharp change from the 1988 presidential election in which Bush won a majority in 40 states.

Perot's campaign took 18.9% of the vote, finishing second in Maine and Utah. This was noted for being the highest vote share of a third-party candidate since 1912, though he did not obtain any electoral votes.

As of 2016, this is the last time Georgia and Montana voted for the Democratic candidate, and the last time the state of Florida backed the losing candidate, while being only the second time the state has done so since 1960. This is also the earliest presidential election from which all four Democratic and Republican presidential and vice-presidential candidates are still living.

Nominations

Republican Party nomination

Republican Party Ticket, 1992
George H. W. Bush	Dan Quayle
for President	for Vice President
41st President of the United States (1989–1993)	44th Vice President of the United States (1989–1993)
Campaign

Withdrawn candidates

• 
  Conservative Columnist
  Pat Buchanan
  from Virginia
• 
  State Representative
  David Duke
  from Louisiana
• 
  Retired engineer
  Jack Fellure
  from West Virginia
• 
  Comedian
  Pat Paulsen
• 
  Former Governor
  Harold Stassen
  of Minnesota

Conservative journalist Pat Buchanan was the primary opponent of President Bush; Ron Paul, the Libertarian Party's presidential nominee in 1988, had planned to run against the President, but dropped out shortly after Buchanan's entry in December. Buchanan's best showing was in the New Hampshire primary on February 18, 1992—where Bush won by a 53–38% margin. President Bush won 73% of all primary votes, with 9,199,463 votes. Buchanan won 2,899,488 votes; unpledged delegates won 287,383 votes, and David Duke, a former Republican Louisiana state representative and Grand Wizard of the Ku Klux Klan won 119,115 votes. Just over 100,000 votes were cast for all other candidates, half of which were write-in votes for H. Ross Perot.^[4]

President George H. W. Bush and Vice President Dan Quayle easily won renomination by the Republican Party. However, the success of the conservative opposition forced the moderate Bush to move further to the right than in the previous election, and to incorporate many socially conservative planks in the party platform. Bush allowed Buchanan to give the keynote address at the Republican National Convention in Houston, Texas, and his culture war speech alienated many moderates.

With intense pressure on the Buchanan delegates to relent, the tally for president went as follows:

• George H. W. Bush 2166
• Pat Buchanan 18
• former ambassador Alan Keyes 1

Vice President Dan Quayle was renominated by voice vote.

Democratic Party nomination

Democratic Party Ticket, 1992
Bill Clinton	Al Gore
for President	for Vice President
Governor of Arkansas (1979–1981, 1983–1992)	U.S. Senator from Tennessee (1985–1993)
Campaign

Withdrawn candidates

• 
  Former Governor
  Jerry Brown
  of California
• 
  Former Senator
  Paul Tsongas
  from Massachusetts
• 
  Senator
  Bob Kerrey
  from Nebraska
• 
  Senator
  Tom Harkin
  from Iowa
• 
  Governor
  Douglas Wilder
  of Virginia
• 
  Former Senator
  Eugene McCarthy
  from Minnesota
• 
  Former Mayor of Irvine
  Larry Agran
  from California

Overview

After the successful performance by U.S. and coalition forces in the Persian Gulf War, President George H.W. Bush's approval ratings were 89%. His re-election was considered very likely. As a result, several high-profile candidates, such as Mario Cuomo, refused to seek the Democratic nomination. In addition, Senator Al Gore refused to seek the nomination due to the fact his son was struck by a car and was undergoing extensive surgery as well as physical therapy. However, Tom Harkin, Paul Tsongas, Jerry Brown, Bob Kerrey, Douglas Wilder and Bill Clinton chose to run as candidates.

U.S. Senator Tom Harkin (Iowa) ran as a populist liberal with labor union support. Former U.S. Senator Paul Tsongas (Massachusetts) highlighted his political independence and fiscal conservatism. Former California Governor Jerry Brown, who had run for the Democratic nomination in 1976 and 1980 while he was still Governor, declared a significant reform agenda, including Congressional term limits, campaign finance reform, and the adoption of a flat income tax. Nebraska Senator Bob Kerrey was an attractive candidate based on his business and military background, but made several gaffes on the campaign trail. Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton positioned himself as a centrist, or New Democrat. He was still relatively unknown nationally before the primary season. That quickly changed however, when a woman named Gennifer Flowers appeared in the press to reveal allegations of an affair. Clinton rebutted the story by appearing on 60 Minutes with his wife, Hillary Clinton.

The primary season began with U.S. Senator Tom Harkin winning his native Iowa as expected. Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts won the New Hampshire primary on February 18, but Clinton's second-place finish, helped by his speech labeling himself "The Comeback Kid," energized his campaign. Jerry Brown won the Maine caucus and Bob Kerrey won South Dakota. Clinton won his first primary in Georgia. Tsongas won the Utah and Maryland primaries and a caucus in Washington. Harkin won caucuses in Idaho and Minnesota while Jerry Brown won Colorado. Bob Kerrey dropped out two days later. Clinton won the South Carolina and Wyoming primaries and Tsongas won Arizona. Harkin dropped out. Jerry Brown won the Nevada caucus. Clinton swept nearly all of the Super Tuesday primaries on March 10 making him the solid front runner. Clinton won the Michigan and Illinois primaries. Tsongas dropped out after finishing 3rd in Michigan. Jerry Brown, however, began to pick up steam, aided by using a 1–800 number to receive funding from small donors. Brown scored surprising wins in Connecticut, Vermont and Alaska. As the race moved to the primaries in New York and Wisconsin, Brown had taken the lead in polls in both states. Then he made a serious gaffe by announcing to an audience of New York City's Jewish community that, if nominated, he would consider Reverend Jesse Jackson as a Vice Presidential candidate. Clinton won dramatically in New York (41%–26%) and closely in Wisconsin (37%–34%). Clinton then proceeded to win a long streak of primaries leading up to Jerry Brown's home state of California. Clinton won this primary 48% to 41% and secured the delegates needed to clinch the nomination.

The convention met in New York, New York, and the official tally was:

• Bill Clinton 3,372
• Jerry Brown 596
• Paul Tsongas 289
• Robert P. Casey 10
• Pat Schroeder 5
• Larry Agran 3
• Al Gore 1

Clinton chose U.S. Senator Al Gore (D-Tennessee) to be his running mate on July 9, 1992. Choosing fellow Southerner Gore went against the popular strategy of balancing a Southern candidate with a Northern partner. Gore did serve to balance the ticket in other ways, as he was perceived as strong on family values and environmental issues, while Clinton was not.^[5] Also, Gore's similarities to Clinton allowed him to push some of his key campaign themes, such as centrism and generational change.^[6]

Third parties and independents

Ross Perot's candidacy

The public's concern about the federal budget deficit and fears of professional politicians allowed the independent candidacy of billionaire Texan Ross Perot to explode on the scene in dramatic fashion—at one point Perot was leading the major party candidates in the polls.^[7] Perot crusaded against the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and internal and external national debt, tapping into voters' potential fear of the deficit. His volunteers succeeded in collecting enough signatures to get his name on the ballot in all 50 states. In June, Perot led the national public opinion polls with support from 39% of the voters (versus 31% for Bush and 25% for Clinton).^[7] Perot severely damaged his credibility by dropping out of the presidential contest in July and remaining out of the race for several weeks before re-entering. He compounded this damage by eventually claiming, without evidence, that his withdrawal was due to Republican operatives attempting to disrupt his daughter's wedding.^[8]

Perot and retired Vice Admiral James Stockdale drew 19,743,821 votes (19% of the popular vote).

Libertarian Party nomination

Libertarian candidates:

• Andre Marrou, former Alaska State Representative and 1988 vice presidential nominee
• Richard B. Boddie, political science professor from California

• 
  Former State Representative Andre Marrou from Alaska

The 6th Libertarian Party National Convention was held in Chicago, Illinois. There, the Libertarian Party nominated Andre Marrou, former Alaska State Representative and the Party's 1988 vice-presidential candidate, for President. Nancy Lord was his running mate.

Marrou and Lord drew 291,627 votes (0.28% of the popular vote).

The Balloting

Presidential Ballot	1st	Vice Presidential Ballot	1st	2nd	3rd
Andre Marrou	257	Nancy Lord	98	180	240
Richard B. Boddie	187	Richard B. Boddie	179	160	180
None of the Above	20	Mary Ruwart	129	64	0
Hans G. Schroeder	7	Calvin Warburton	19	20	0
David H. Raaflaub	6	Craig Franklin	10	0	0
Mary Ruwart	2
Craig Franklin	1
Nancy Lord	1

New Alliance Party nomination

New Alliance candidate:

• Lenora Fulani, Psychotherapist and political activist from New Jersey, and the 1988 Presidential nominee

Lenora Fulani, who was the 1988 presidential nominee of the New Alliance Party, received a second consecutive nomination from the Party in 1992. Unlike in 1988, Fulani failed to gain ballot access in every state, deciding to concentrate some of that campaign funding towards exposure of her candidacy and the Party to the national public.

Fulani also sought the endorsement of the Peace and Freedom Party of California, but despite winning a majority in that party's primary, she would lose the nomination to Ronald Daniels, the former Director the National Rainbow Coalition. Rather than pursuing a ballot space of her own, Fulani would endorse Daniels's candidacy in California.

Fulani and her running mate Maria Elizabeth Munoz received 73,622 votes (0.1% of the popular vote).

Natural Law Party nomination

Natural Law candidate:

• 
  Scientist and Researcher John Hagelin from Iowa

The newly formed Natural Law Party nominated scientist and researcher John Hagelin for President and Mike Tompkins for Vice President. The Natural Law Party had been founded in 1992 by Hagelin and 12 others who felt that governmental problems could be solved more effectively by following "Natural Laws." The party platform included preventive health care, sustainable agriculture and renewable energy technologies. During this and future campaigns, Hagelin favored abortion rights without public financing, campaign finance law reform, improved gun control, a flat tax, the eradication of PACs, a ban on soft money contributions, and school vouchers.

The party's first presidential ticket appeared on the ballot in 28 states and drew 37,137 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

U.S. Taxpayers' Party nomination

U.S. Taxpayers' candidates:

• Howard Phillips, conservative political activist from Virginia
• Pat Buchanan, conservative columnist from Virginia (declined interest)
• Gordon J. Humphrey, former Senator from New Hampshire (declined interest)

• 
  Conservative Columnist Pat Buchanan
  (Declined Interest)
• 
  Conservative Political Activist Howard Phillips

The U.S. Taxpayers Party ran its first presidential ticket in 1992, having only been formed the prior year. Initially Howard Phillips had hoped to successfully entice a prominent conservative politician, such as the former Senator Gordon J. Humphrey from New Hampshire, or even Patrick Buchanan who at the time had only been mulling over running against President Bush (he would officially declare in December of '91).

No one, however, announced any intention to seek the Taxpayers Party nomination; Buchanan himself in the end endorsed President Bush at the Republican National Convention in Houston. Phillips had been unofficially nominated earlier in the year so as to allow the Party to be able to seek ballot access properly. This was a temporary post that was made permanent in September, with Phillips and Albion Knight being named the official presidential ticket of the party.

Phillips and Knight drew 43,369 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Populist Party Nomination

Populist candidate:

• Bo Gritz, Former United States Army Special Forces officer and Vietnam veteran

Former United States Army Special Forces officer and Vietnam veteran Bo Gritz was the nominee of the Populist Party, facing virtually no opposition. Under the campaign slogan "God, Guns and Gritz" and publishing his political manifesto "The Bill of Gritz" (playing on his last name rhyming with "rights"), he called for staunch opposition to what he called "global government" and "The New World Order", ending all foreign aid, abolishing federal income tax, and abolishing the Federal Reserve System. During the campaign, Gritz openly proclaimed the United States to be a "Christian Nation", stating that the country's legal statutes "should reflect unashamed acceptance of Almighty God and His Laws." His run on the America First/Populist Party ticket was prompted by his association with another far-right political Christian talk radio host, Tom Valentine. During his campaign, part of Gritz's standard stump speech was an idea to pay off the National debt by minting a coin at the Treasury and sending it to the Federal Reserve. This predates the 2012 Trillion dollar coin concept.

During August 1992, Gritz attracted national attention as mediator during the government standoff with Randy Weaver at Ruby Ridge, Idaho.

He received 106,152 votes nationwide (0.1% of the popular vote). In two states he had a respectable showing for a minor third party candidate: Utah, where he received 3.8% of the vote and Idaho, where he received 2.1% of the vote. In some counties, his support topped 10%, and in Franklin County, Idaho, was only a few votes away from pushing Bill Clinton into fourth place in the county.

Lyndon LaRouche's candidacy

• 
  Political Activist Lyndon LaRouche

While officially running for the Democratic Presidential nomination, Lyndon LaRouche also decided to run as an Independent in the general election, standing as the National Economic Recovery candidate. LaRouche was in jail at the time, having been convicted of conspiracy to commit mail fraud in December 1988; it was only the second time in history that the presidency was sought from a prison cell (after Socialist Party candidate Eugene V. Debs, while imprisoned for his opposition to U.S. involvement in World War I, ran in 1920). His running-mate was James Bevel, a civil rights activist who had represented the LaRouche movement in its pursuit of the Franklin child prostitution ring allegations.

In addition to the displayed states, LaRouche had nearly made the ballot in the states of New York and Mississippi. In the case of New York, while his petition was valid and had enough signatures, none of his electors filed declarations of candidacy; in the cases of Mississippi a sore-loser law was in place, and because he ran in that state's Democratic presidential primary he was ineligible to run as an Independent in the general. Ohio also had a sore-loser law, but it was ruled in Brown vs. Taft that it did not apply to presidential candidates. LaRouche and Beval drew 22,863 votes. (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Socialist Workers' Party nomination

Socialist Workers candidate:

• James Warren, journalist and steel worker from Illinois, and the 1988 Presidential nominee

James Warren, who was the 1988 presidential nominee of the Socialist Workers Party, received a second consecutive nomination from the Party on the first of November 1991. Warren had two running mates that varied from state to state; Estelle DeBates and Willie Mae Reid, the latter also a resident of Illinois.

Warren received 22,882 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Ron Daniels candidacy

• Ronald Daniels, former director of the National Rainbow Coalition

Ronald Daniels was the former executive director for the Center for Constitutional Rights, the former director of the National Rainbow Coalition, and the worked on both of Jesse Jackson's campaigns for the Democratic presidential nomination. Asiba Tupahache, a Native American activist from New York was his running-mate.

Though running an Independent campaign under the label "Campaign for a Better Tomorrow", Daniels was endorsed by a number of third parties across the states, most notably the Peace and Freedom Party of California; though he had lost that party's presidential primary to Lenora Fulani, the nominee of the New Alliance Party, the delegates at its convention voted in favor of his candidacy 110–91, the only time it has ever nominated someone other than the winner of the primary.

Daniels and Tupachache drew 27,396 votes (<0.1% of the popular vote).

Other nominations

The 1992 campaign also marked the entry of Ralph Nader into presidential politics as a candidate. Despite the advice of several liberal and environmental groups, Nader did not formally run. Rather, he tried to make an impact in the New Hampshire primaries, urging members of both parties to write-in his name.^[9] As a result, several thousand Democrats and Republicans wrote-in Nader's name. Despite supporting mostly liberal legislation during his career as a consumer advocate, Nader received more votes from Republicans than Democrats.

The Worker's League nominated Helen Halyard for President; she was the party's nominee for Vice President in 1984 and 1988. Fred Mazelis was nominated for Vice President. Halyard and Mazelis drew 3,050 votes.

Ballot Access: Michigan, New Jersey (33 Electoral)

John Yiamouyiannis, a major opponent of water fluoridation, ran as an Independent under the label "Take Back America". Allen C. McCone was his running-mate. Yiamouyiannis and McCone drew 2,199 votes.

Ballot Access: Arkansas, Iowa, Louisiana, Tennessee (33 Electoral)

The Socialist Party nominated J. Quinn Brisben for President and Barbara Garson for Vice President. Brisben and Garson drew 2,909 votes.

Ballot Access: DC, Tennessee, Utah, Wisconsin (30 Electoral)

The Grassroots Party nominated Jack Herer, a noted cannabis activist for President and Derrick Grimmer for Vice President. Herer and Grimmer drew 3,875 votes.

Ballot Access: Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin (28 Electoral)

The Prohibition Party nominated Earl Dodge, the party's chairman for President and George Ormsby for Vice President. Dodge and Ormsby drew 935 votes.

Ballot Access: Arkansas, New Mexico, Tennessee (22 Electoral)

Drew Bradford was an Independent candidate for the Presidency; he did not have a running-mate. Bradford drew 4,749 votes.

Ballot Access: New Jersey (15 Electoral)

Eugene R. Hem was an Independent candidate for the Presidency, running under the label "The Third Party". His running-mate was Joanne Roland. Hem and Roland drew 405 votes.

Ballot Access: Wisconsin (11 Electoral)

Delbert Ehlers was an Independent candidate for the Presidency. His running-mate was Rick Wendt. Ehlers and Wendt drew 1,149 votes.

Ballot Access: Iowa (7 Electoral)

James Boren was an Independent candidate for the Presidency, running under the label "Apathy". His running-mate was Bill Weidman. Boren and Weidman drew 956 votes.

Ballot Access: Arkansas (6 Electoral)

Professor Isabell Masters was an Independent candidate for the Presidency, running under the label "Looking Back". Her running-mate was her son, Walter Ray Masters. Masters drew 327 votes.

Ballot Access: Arkansas (6 Electoral)

The American Party nominated Robert J. Smith for President and Doris Feimer for Vice President. However, for a time neither the Utah or South Carolina state parties would endorse the ticket. The American Party of South Carolina would ultimately endorse the candidacy of Howard Phillips, the nominee of the U.S. Taxpayers Party, while the American Party of Utah would decide to endorse Smith. Smith and Feimer drew 291 votes.

Ballot Access: Utah (5 Electoral)

The Workers World Party nominated Gloria La Riva for President and Larry Holmes for Vice President. Initially the party had voted not to field a presidential candidate in 1992, but it was later found that the party would need to get at least half a percent of the vote in New Mexico in order to maintain its ballot access in that state. La Riva and Holmes drew 181 votes.

Ballot Access: New Mexico (5 Electoral)

General election

Campaign

After Bill Clinton secured the Democratic Party's nomination in the spring of 1992, polls showed Ross Perot leading the race, followed by President Bush and Clinton in third place after a grueling nomination process. Two-way trial heats between Bush and Clinton in early 1992 showed Bush in the lead, however.^{[10][11][12][13]} But as the economy continued to grow sour and the President's approval rating continued to slide, the Democrats began to rally around their nominee. On July 9, 1992, Clinton chose Tennessee Senator and former 1988 Presidential candidate Al Gore to be his running mate.^[14] As Governor Clinton's nomination acceptance speech approached, Ross Perot dropped out of the race, convinced that staying in the race with a "revitalized Democratic Party" would cause the race to be decided by the United States House of Representatives.^[15] Clinton gave his acceptance speech on July 16, 1992, promising to bring a "new covenant" to America, and to work to heal the gap that had developed between the rich and the poor during the Reagan/Bush years.^[16] The Clinton campaign received the biggest convention "bounce" in history^[17] which brought him from 25 percent in the spring, behind Bush and Perot, to 55 percent versus Bush's 31 percent.

After the convention, Clinton and Gore began a bus tour around the United States, while the Bush/Quayle campaign began to criticize Clinton's character, highlighting accusations of infidelity and draft dodging. The Bush campaign emphasized its foreign policy successes such as Desert Storm, and the end of the Cold War. Bush also contrasted his military service to Clinton's lack thereof, and criticized Clinton's lack of foreign policy expertise. However, as the economy was the main issue, Bush's campaign floundered across the nation, even in strongly Republican areas,^[18] and Clinton maintained leads with over 50 percent of the vote nationwide consistently, while Bush typically saw numbers in the upper 30s.^[19] As Bush's economic edge had evaporated, his campaign looked to energize its socially conservative base at the 1992 Republican National Convention in Houston, Texas. At the Convention, Bush's primary campaign opponent Pat Buchanan gave his famous "culture war" speech, criticizing Clinton's and Gore's social progressiveness, and voicing skepticism on his "New Democrat" brand. After President Bush accepted his renomination, his campaign saw a small bounce in the polls, but this was short lived, as Clinton maintained his lead.^[20] The campaign continued with a lopsided lead for Clinton through September,^[21] until Ross Perot decided to re-enter the race.^[22] Ross Perot's re-entry in the race was welcome by the Bush campaign, as Fred Steeper, a poll taker for Bush, said, "He'll be important if we accomplish our goal, which is to draw even with Clinton." Initially, Perot's return saw the Texas billionaire's numbers stay low, until he was given the opportunity to participate in a trio of unprecedented three-man debates. The race narrowed, as Perot's numbers significantly improved as Clinton's numbers declined, while Bush's numbers remained more or less the same from earlier in the race^[23] as Perot and Bush began to hammer at Clinton on character issues once again.

Character issues

Many character issues were raised during the campaign, including allegations that Clinton had dodged the draft during the Vietnam War, and had used marijuana, which Clinton claimed he had pretended to smoke, but "didn't inhale." Bush also accused Clinton of meeting with communists on a trip to Russia he took as a student. Clinton was often accused of being a philanderer by political opponents.

Allegations were also made that Bill Clinton had engaged in a long-term extramarital affair with Gennifer Flowers.^[24] Clinton denied ever having an affair with Flowers.^[25]

Results

On November 3, Bill Clinton won the election to serve as the 42nd President of the United States by a wide margin in the Electoral College, receiving 43% of the popular vote against Bush's 37.5% and Perot's 18.9%. It was the first time since 1968 that a candidate won the White House with under 50% of the popular vote. Only Washington, D.C. and Clinton's home state of Arkansas gave the majority of their votes to a single candidate in the entire country; the rest were won by pluralities of the vote.

Even though Clinton roughly received 3.1 million more votes than Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis had four years earlier, the Democrats recorded a 2.6 percentage point decrease in their share of the popular vote compared to 1988 due to the higher turnout. His 43% share of the popular vote was the second-lowest for any winning candidate in the 20th century after Woodrow Wilson in 1912 (41.8%). President Bush's 37.5% was the lowest percentage total for a sitting president seeking re-election since William Howard Taft, also in 1912 (23.2%);^[26] just like this one, the 1912 election was also a three way race (that time between Taft, Woodrow Wilson, and Theodore Roosevelt). It was also the lowest percentage for a major-party candidate since Alf Landon received 36.5% of the vote in 1936. Bush had a lower percentage of the popular vote than even Herbert Hoover, who was defeated in 1932 (39.7%). However, none of these races included a major third candidate. As of the 2016 election, Bush has been the last president voted out of office after one term, as Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama were all re-elected to second terms in office.

Independent candidate Ross Perot received 19,741,065 with 18.9% of the popular vote. The billionaire used his own money to advertise extensively, and is the only third-party candidate ever allowed into the nationally televised presidential debates with both major party candidates (Independent John Anderson debated Republican Ronald Reagan in 1980, but without Democrat Jimmy Carter, who had refused to appear in a three-man debate). Speaking about the North American Free Trade Agreement, Perot described its effect on American jobs as causing a "giant sucking sound". Perot was ahead in the polls for a period of almost two months – a feat not accomplished by an independent candidate in almost 100 years. Perot lost much of his support when he temporarily withdrew from the election, only to declare himself a candidate again soon after. This was also the most recent time that a third-party candidate won a county.

Perot's almost 19% of the popular vote made him the most successful third-party presidential candidate in terms of popular vote since Theodore Roosevelt in the 1912 election. Also, his 19% of the popular vote was the highest ever percent of the popular vote for a candidate who did not win any electoral votes. Although he did not win any states, Perot managed to finish ahead of one of the two major party candidates in two states: In Maine, he received 30.44% of the vote to Bush's 30.39% (Clinton won Maine with 38.77%); in Utah, he collected 27.34% of the vote to Clinton's 24.65%. Bush won that state with 43.36%.

The election was the most recent in which Georgia and Montana voted for the Democratic candidate and the last time that Colorado voted Democratic until 2008. This was also the first time since Texas' admission to the Union in 1845 that a Democrat won the White House without winning the state, and the second time a Democrat won the White House without North Carolina (the first was 1844), and the second time since Florida's admission (also in 1845) that a Democrat won without winning the state (John F. Kennedy in 1960 was the first).

Clinton was also the only Democrat at that point to win every electoral vote in the Northeast except for Lyndon Johnson in 1964. Every Democrat since Clinton has repeated this result, except for Al Gore, who narrowly lost New Hampshire in 2000, and Hillary Clinton, who lost Pennsylvania and Maine's second congressional district in 2016. Also, this was the first time since 1964 that many states voted Democratic, such as California, Colorado, Illinois, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, and Vermont.

The 168 electoral votes received by Bush, added to the 426 electoral votes he received in 1988, gave him the most total electoral votes received by any candidate who was elected to the office of president only once (594).

Analysis

Several factors made the results possible. First, the campaign came on the heels of an economic slowdown. Exit polling showed that 75% thought the economy was in fairly or very bad shape while 63% thought their personal finances were better or the same as four years ago.^[27] The decision by Bush to accept a tax increase adversely affected his re-election bid. Pressured by rising budget deficits, Bush agreed to a budget compromise with Congress which raised taxes. Clinton was able to condemn the tax increase effectively on both its own merits and as a reflection of Bush's dishonesty. Effective Democratic TV ads were aired showing a clip of Bush's infamous 1988 campaign speech in which he promised "Read my lips … No new taxes." Most importantly, Bush's coalition was in disarray, for both the aforementioned reasons and for unrelated reasons. The end of the Cold War allowed old rivalries among conservatives to re-emerge and meant that other voters focused more on domestic policy, to the detriment of Bush, a social and fiscal moderate. The consequence of such a perception depressed conservative turnout.^[28]

Unlike Bush, Clinton was able to unite his fractious and ideologically diverse party behind his candidacy, even when its different wings were in conflict. To garner the support of moderates and conservative Democrats, he attacked Sister Souljah, a little-known rap musician whose lyrics Clinton condemned. Furthermore, Clinton made clear his support of the death penalty and would later champion making school uniforms in public schools a requirement.^[29] Clinton could also point to his centrist record as Governor of Arkansas. More liberal Democrats were impressed by Clinton's record on abortion and affirmative action. His strong connections to African Americans also played a key role. In addition, he organized significant numbers of young voters and became a symbol of the rise of the Baby Boomer generation to political power.^[30] Supporters remained energized and confident, even in times of scandal or missteps.

The effect of Ross Perot's candidacy has been a contentious point of debate for many years. In the ensuing months after the election, various Republicans asserted that Perot had acted as a spoiler, enough to the detriment of Bush to lose him the election. While many disaffected conservatives may have voted for Ross Perot to protest Bush's tax increase, further examination of the Perot vote in the Election Night exit polls not only showed that Perot siphoned votes nearly equally among Bush and Clinton,^{[31][32][33][34]} but roughly two-thirds of those voters who cited Bush's broken "No New Taxes" pledge as "very important" (25%) voted for Bill Clinton.^[35] The voting numbers reveal that to win the electoral vote Bush would have had to win 10 of the 11 states Clinton won by less than five percentage points. For Bush to earn a majority of the popular vote, he would have needed 12.2% of Perot's 18.9% of the vote, 65% of Perot's support base.^[36] State exit polls suggested that Perot did not alter the electoral college count, except potentially in one state (Ohio), which nonetheless showed a result in the margin of error.^[37] Furthermore, Perot was most popular in states that strongly favored either Clinton or Bush, limiting his real electoral impact for either candidate.^[38] He gained relatively little support in the Southern states and happened to have the best showing in states with few electoral votes. Perot appealed to disaffected voters all across the political spectrum who had grown weary of the two-party system. NAFTA played a role in Perot's support, and Perot voters were relatively moderate on hot-button social issues.^[39][40]

Clinton, Bush, and Perot did not focus on abortion during the campaign. Exit polls, however, showed that attitudes toward abortion "significantly influenced" the vote, as pro-choice Republicans defected from Bush.^[41][42]

Implications

Clinton's election ended an era in which the Republican Party had controlled the White House for 12 consecutive years, and for 20 of the previous 24 years. The election also brought the Democrats full control of the legislative and executive branches of the federal government, including both houses of U.S. Congress and the presidency, for the first time since the administration of the last Democratic president, Jimmy Carter. This would not last for very long, however, as the Republicans won control of both the House and Senate in 1994. Reelected in 1996, Clinton would become the first Democratic President since Franklin D. Roosevelt to serve two full terms in the White House.

1992 was arguably a "realigning" election. It made the Democratic Party dominant in presidential elections in the Northeast, the Great Lakes region (until 2016) and the West Coast, where many states had previously either been swing states or Republican-leaning. Clinton picked up several states that went Republican in 1988, and which have remained in the Democratic column ever since: California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, all of Maine, Maryland, New Jersey, and Vermont. Vermont, carried by Clinton, had been heavily Republican for generations prior to the election, voting for a Democrat only once (in 1964).^[43] The state has been won by the Democratic nominee in every presidential election since. Bill Clinton narrowly defeated Bush in New Jersey (by two points), which had voted for the Republican nominee all but twice since 1948. Clinton would later win the state in 1996 by eighteen points; like Vermont, Republicans have not won the state since.^[44] California, which had previously been a Republican stronghold from 1952 to 1988, was now solidly Democratic. Clinton, a lifelong Southerner, was able to carry several states in the South that the GOP had been winning for decades, but ultimately won only four of eleven former Confederate states. This reflected the final shift of the South to the Republican Party. This was also the last election where Colorado voted Democratic until 2008. The election was the last time that a Democrat won the presidency without winning Florida.

Detailed results

Presidential candidate	Party	Home state	Popular vote		Electoral vote	Running mate
			Count	Percentage		Vice-presidential candidate	Home state	Electoral vote
William Jefferson Clinton	Democratic	Arkansas	44,909,806	43.01%	370	Albert Arnold Gore, Jr.	Tennessee	370
George Herbert Walker Bush (Incumbent)	Republican	Texas	39,104,550	37.45%	168	James Danforth Quayle	Indiana	168
Henry Ross Perot	Independent	Texas	19,743,821	18.91%	0	James Bond Stockdale	California	0
Andre Verne Marrou	Libertarian	Alaska	290,087	0.28%	0	Nancy Lord	Nevada	0
Bo Gritz	Populist	Nevada	106,152	0.10%	0	Cy Minett	New Mexico	0
Lenora Fulani	New Alliance Party	New York	73,622	0.07%	0	Maria Munoz	California	0
Howard Phillips	U.S. Taxpayers Party	Virginia	43,369	0.04%	0	Albion Knight, Jr.	Florida	0
Other			152,516	0.13%	—	Other		—
Total			104,423,923	100%	538			538
Needed to win					270			270

Source (Popular Vote): Leip, David. "1992 Presidential Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved August 7, 2005. 

Source (Electoral Vote): "Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved August 7, 2005. 

• 
  Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote

Results by state

^[45]

States/districts won by Clinton/Gore

States/districts won by Bush/Quayle

		Candidates with electoral votes (E)						Candidates with no electoral votes						Overall popular vote
		Bill Clinton Democratic			George H.W. Bush Republican			Ross Perot Independent		Andre Marrou Libertarian		Others		Top-2 margin (+/− if won by D/R)		State Total
State	E	Vote	%	E	Vote	%	E	Vote	%	Vote	%	Vote	%	Vote	%	Vote
Alabama	9	690,080	40.88	–	804,283	47.65	9	183,109	10.85	5,737	0.34	4,851	0.29	−114,203	−6.77	1,688,060	AL
Alaska	3	78,294	30.29	–	102,000	39.46	3	73,481	28.43	1,378	0.53	3,353	1.29	−23,706	−9.17	258,506	AK
Arizona	8	543,050	36.52	–	572,086	38.47	8	353,741	23.79	6,781	0.46	11,348	0.76	−29,036	−1.95	1,487,006	AZ
Arkansas	6	505,823	53.21	6	337,324	35.48	–	99,132	10.43	1,261	0.13	7,113	0.75	168,499	17.72	950,653	AR
California	54	5,121,325	46.01	54	3,630,574	32.61	–	2,296,006	20.63	48,139	0.43	35,677	0.32	1,490,751	13.39	11,131,721	CA
Colorado	8	629,681	40.13	8	562,850	35.87	–	366,010	23.32	8,669	0.55	1,970	0.13	66,831	4.26	1,569,180	CO
Connecticut	8	682,318	42.21	8	578,313	35.78	–	348,771	21.58	5,391	0.33	1,539	0.10	104,005	6.43	1,616,332	CT
Delaware	3	126,054	43.52	3	102,313	35.78	–	59,213	20.45	935	0.32	1,105	0.38	23,741	8.20	289,620	DE
D.C.	3	192,619	84.64	3	20,698	9.10	–	9,681	4.25	467	0.21	4,107	1.80	171,921	75.55	227,572	DC
Florida	25	2,072,698	39.00	–	2,173,310	40.89	25	1,053,067	19.82	15,079	0.28	238	0.00	−100,612	−1.89	5,314,392	FL
Georgia	13	1,008,966	43.47	13	995,252	42.88	–	309,657	13.34	7,110	0.31	148	0.01	13,714	0.59	2,321,133	GA
Hawaii	4	179,310	48.09	4	136,822	36.70	–	53,003	14.22	1,119	0.30	2,588	0.69	42,488	11.40	372,842	HI
Idaho	4	137,013	28.42	–	202,645	42.03	4	130,395	27.05	1,167	0.24	10,894	2.26	−65,632	−13.61	482,114	ID
Illinois	22	2,453,350	48.58	22	1,734,096	34.34	–	840,515	16.64	9,218	0.18	12,978	0.26	719,254	14.24	5,050,157	IL
Indiana	12	848,420	36.79	–	989,375	42.91	12	455,934	19.77	7,936	0.34	4,206	0.18	−140,955	−6.11	2,305,871	IN
Iowa	7	586,353	43.29	7	504,891	37.27	–	253,468	18.71	1,076	0.08	8,819	0.65	81,462	6.01	1,354,607	IA
Kansas	6	390,434	33.74	–	449,951	38.88	6	312,358	26.99	4,314	0.37	199	0.02	−59,517	−5.14	1,157,256	KS
Kentucky	8	665,104	44.55	8	617,178	41.34	–	203,944	13.66	4,513	0.30	2,161	0.14	47,926	3.21	1,492,900	KY
Louisiana	9	815,971	45.58	9	733,386	40.97	–	211,478	11.81	3,155	0.18	26,027	1.45	82,585	4.61	1,790,017	LA
Maine	4	263,420	38.77	4	206,504	30.39	–	206,820	30.44	1,681	0.25	1,074	0.16	56,600	8.33	679,499	ME
Maryland	10	988,571	49.80	10	707,094	35.62	–	281,414	14.18	4,715	0.24	3,252	0.16	281,477	14.18	1,985,046	MD
Massachusetts	12	1,318,662	47.54	12	805,049	29.03	–	632,312	22.80	7,458	0.27	10,093	0.36	513,613	18.52	2,773,574	MA
Michigan	18	1,871,182	43.77	18	1,554,940	36.38	–	824,813	19.30	10,175	0.24	13,563	0.32	316,242	7.40	4,274,673	MI
Minnesota	10	1,020,997	43.48	10	747,841	31.85	–	562,506	23.96	3,374	0.14	13,230	0.56	273,156	11.63	2,347,948	MN
Mississippi	7	400,258	40.77	–	487,793	49.68	7	85,626	8.72	2,154	0.22	5,962	0.61	−87,535	−8.92	981,793	MS
Missouri	11	1,053,873	44.07	11	811,159	33.92	–	518,741	21.69	7,497	0.31	–	–	242,714	10.15	2,391,270	MO
Montana	3	154,507	37.63	3	144,207	35.12	–	107,225	26.12	986	0.24	3,658	0.89	10,300	2.51	410,583	MT
Nebraska	5	217,344	29.40	–	344,346	46.58	5	174,687	23.63	1,344	0.18	1,562	0.21	−127,002	−17.18	739,283	NE
Nevada	4	189,148	37.36	4	175,828	34.73	–	132,580	26.19	1,835	0.36	6,927	1.37	13,320	2.63	506,318	NV
New Hampshire	4	209,040	38.91	4	202,484	37.69	–	121,337	22.59	3,548	0.66	806	0.15	6,556	1.22	537,215	NH
New Jersey	15	1,436,206	42.95	15	1,356,865	40.58	–	521,829	15.61	6,822	0.20	21,872	0.65	79,341	2.37	3,343,594	NJ
New Mexico	5	261,617	45.90	5	212,824	37.34	–	91,895	16.12	1,615	0.28	2,035	0.36	48,793	8.56	569,986	NM
New York	33	3,444,450	49.73	33	2,346,649	33.88	–	1,090,721	15.75	13,451	0.19	31,654	0.46	1,097,801	15.85	6,926,925	NY
North Carolina	14	1,114,042	42.65	–	1,134,661	43.44	14	357,864	13.70	5,171	0.20	112	0.00	−20,619	−0.79	2,611,850	NC
North Dakota	3	99,168	32.18	–	136,244	44.22	3	71,084	23.07	416	0.14	1,221	0.40	−37,076	−12.03	308,133	ND
Ohio	21	1,984,942	40.18	21	1,894,310	38.35	–	1,036,426	20.98	7,252	0.15	17,034	0.34	90,632	1.83	4,939,964	OH
Oklahoma	8	473,066	34.02	–	592,929	42.65	8	319,878	23.01	4,486	0.32	–	–	−119,863	−8.62	1,390,359	OK
Oregon	7	621,314	42.48	7	475,757	32.53	–	354,091	24.21	4,277	0.29	7,204	0.49	145,557	9.95	1,462,643	OR
Pennsylvania	23	2,239,164	45.15	23	1,791,841	36.13	–	902,667	18.20	21,477	0.43	4,661	0.09	447,323	9.02	4,959,810	PA
Rhode Island	4	213,299	47.04	4	131,601	29.02	–	105,045	23.16	571	0.13	2,961	0.65	81,698	18.02	453,477	RI
South Carolina	8	479,514	39.88	–	577,507	48.02	8	138,872	11.55	2,719	0.23	3,915	0.33	−97,993	−8.15	1,202,527	SC
South Dakota	3	124,888	37.14	–	136,718	40.66	3	73,295	21.80	814	0.24	539	0.16	−11,830	−3.52	336,254	SD
Tennessee	11	933,521	47.08	11	841,300	42.43	–	199,968	10.09	1,847	0.09	6,002	0.30	92,221	4.65	1,982,638	TN
Texas	32	2,281,815	37.08	–	2,496,071	40.56	32	1,354,781	22.01	19,699	0.32	1,652	0.03	−214,256	−3.48	6,154,018	TX
Utah	5	183,429	24.65	–	322,632	43.36	5	203,400	27.34	1,900	0.26	32,637	4.39	−119,232	−16.03	743,998	UT
Vermont	3	133,592	46.11	3	88,122	30.42	–	65,991	22.78	501	0.17	1,495	0.52	45,470	15.70	289,701	VT
Virginia	13	1,038,650	40.59	–	1,150,517	44.97	13	348,639	13.63	5,730	0.22	15,129	0.59	−111,867	−4.37	2,558,665	VA
Washington	11	993,037	43.41	11	731,234	31.97	–	541,780	23.68	7,533	0.33	13,981	0.61	261,803	11.44	2,287,565	WA
West Virginia	5	331,001	48.41	5	241,974	35.39	–	108,829	15.91	1,873	0.27	–	–	89,027	13.02	683,677	WV
Wisconsin	11	1,041,066	41.13	11	930,855	36.78	–	544,479	21.51	2,877	0.11	11,837	0.47	110,211	4.35	2,531,114	WI
Wyoming	3	68,160	34.10	–	79,347	39.70	3	51,263	25.65	844	0.42	270	0.14	−11,187	−5.60	199,884	WY
z !TOTALS:	538	44,909,806	43.01	370	39,104,550	37.45	168	19,743,821	18.91	290,087	0.28	375,659	0.36	5,805,256	5.56	104,423,923	z !US

Close states

States with margin of victory less than 1% (27 electoral votes):

1. Georgia – 0.59%
2. North Carolina – 0.79%

States with margin of victory less than 5% (175 electoral votes):

1. New Hampshire – 1.22%
2. Ohio – 1.83%
3. Florida – 1.89%
4. Arizona – 1.95%
5. New Jersey – 2.37%
6. Montana – 2.51%
7. Nevada – 2.63%
8. Kentucky – 3.21%
9. Texas – 3.48%
10. South Dakota – 3.52%
11. Colorado – 4.26%
12. Wisconsin – 4.35%
13. Virginia – 4.37%
14. Louisiana – 4.61%
15. Tennessee – 4.65% (tipping point state)

States with margin of victory between 5% and 10% (131 electoral votes):

1. Kansas – 5.14%
2. Wyoming – 5.60%
3. Iowa – 6.02%
4. Indiana – 6.12%
5. Connecticut – 6.43%
6. Alabama – 6.77%
7. Michigan – 7.39%
8. South Carolina – 8.14%
9. Delaware – 8.19%
10. Maine – 8.33%
11. New Mexico – 8.56%
12. Oklahoma – 8.63%
13. Mississippi – 8.91%
14. Pennsylvania – 9.02%
15. Alaska – 9.17%
16. Oregon – 9.95%

Source: New York Times President Map

Voter demographics

The Presidential Vote In Social Groups (In Percentages)
% of 1992 total vote		3-party vote
		1992			1996
	Social group	Clinton	Bush	Perot	Clinton	Dole	Perot
	Total vote	43	37	19	49	41	8
	Party and ideology
2	Liberal Republicans	17	54	30	44	48	9
13	Moderate Republicans	15	63	21	20	72	7
21	Conservative Republicans	5	82	13	6	88	5
4	Liberal Independents	54	17	30	58	15	18
15	Moderate Independents	43	28	30	50	30	17
7	Conservative Independents	17	53	30	19	60	19
13	Liberal Democrats	85	5	11	89	5	4
20	Moderate Democrats	76	9	15	84	10	5
6	Conservative Democrats	61	23	16	69	23	7
	Gender and marital status
33	Married men	38	42	21	40	48	10
33	Married women	41	40	19	48	43	7
15	Unmarried men	48	29	22	49	35	12
20	Unmarried women	53	31	15	62	28	7
	Race
83	White	39	40	20	43	46	9
10	Black	83	10	7	84	12	4
5	Hispanic	61	25	14	72	21	6
1	Asian	31	55	15	43	48	8
	Religion
46	White Protestant	33	47	21	36	53	10
29	Catholic	44	35	20	53	37	9
3	Jewish	80	11	9	78	16	3
17	Born Again, religious right	23	61	15	26	65	8
	Age
17	18–29 years old	43	34	22	53	34	10
33	30–44 years old	41	38	21	48	41	9
26	45–59 years old	41	40	19	48	41	9
24	60 and older	50	38	12	48	44	7
	Education
6	Not a high school graduate	54	28	18	59	28	11
24	High school graduate	43	36	21	51	35	13
27	Some college education	41	37	21	48	40	10
26	College graduate	39	41	20	44	46	8
17	Post graduate education	50	36	14	52	40	5
	Family income
11	Under $15,000	58	23	19	59	28	11
23	$15,000–29,999	45	35	20	53	36	9
27	$30,000–49,999	41	38	21	48	40	10
39	Over $50,000	39	44	17	44	48	7
18	Over $75,000	36	48	16	41	51	7
9	Over $100,000	—	—	—	38	54	6
	Region
23	East	47	35	18	55	34	9
26	Midwest	42	37	21	48	41	10
30	South	41	43	16	46.0	45.9	7.3
20	West	43	34	23	48	40	8
	Community size
10	Population over 500,000	58	28	13	68	25	6
21	Population 50,000 to 500,000	50	33	16	50	39	8
39	Suburbs	41	39	21	47	42	8
30	Rural areas, towns	39	40	20	45	44	10

Source: Voter News Service exit poll, reported in The New York Times, November 10, 1996, 28.

See also

• Chicken George
• "Giant sucking sound"
• "It's the economy, stupid"
• "Read my lips: no new taxes"
• History of the United States (1991–present)
• United States gubernatorial elections, 1992
• United States Senate elections, 1992
• United States House of Representatives elections, 1992
• First inauguration of Bill Clinton

References

• "Outline of U.S. History: Chapter 15: Bridge to the 21st century". Official web site of the U.S. Department of State. Retrieved December 10, 2005. 
  • Bulk of article text as of January 9, 2003 copied from this page, when it was located at http://usinfo.state.gov/usa/infousa/facts/history/ch13.htm#1992 and titled "An Outline of American History: Chapter 13: Toward the 21st century".
  • An archival version of this page is available at the Wayback Machine (archived November 3, 2004)
  • This page is in the public domain as a government publication.

Further reading

• Abramowitz, Alan I. (1995), "It's Abortion, Stupid: Policy Voting in the 1992 Presidential Election", Journal of Politics, Cambridge University Press, 57 (1): 176–186, ISSN 0022-3816, JSTOR 2960276, doi:10.2307/2960276 
• Alexander, Herbert E.; Corrado, Anthony (1995), Financing the 1992 Election, Armonk: Sharpe, ISBN 1-56324-437-3 
• Defrank, Thomas M.; et al. (1994), Quest for the Presidency, 1992, College Station: Texas A&M University Press, ISBN 0-89096-644-3 
• De la Garza, Rodolfo O.; Desipio, Louis (1996), Ethnic Ironies: Latino Politics in the 1992 Elections, Boulder: Westview, ISBN 0-8133-8910-0 
• Lacy, Dean; Burden, Barry C. (1999), "The Vote-Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U.S. Presidential Election", American Journal of Political Science, Midwest Political Science Association, 43 (1): 233–255, JSTOR 2991792, doi:10.2307/2991792 
• Jones, Bryan D. (1995), The New American Politics: Reflections on Political Change and the Clinton Administration, Boulder: Westview, ISBN 0-8133-1972-2 
• O'Mara, Margaret. Pivotal Tuesdays: Four Elections That Shaped the Twentieth Century (2015), compares 1912, 1932, 1968, 1992 in terms of social, economic, and political history
• Steed, Robert P. (1994), The 1992 Presidential Election in the South: Current Patterns of Southern Party and Electoral Politics, Westport: Praeger, ISBN 0-275-94534-0 

External links

• The Election Wall's 1992 Election Video Page
• 1992 popular vote by counties
• 1992 popular vote by state
• 1992 popular vote by states (with bar graphs)
• Presidential Campaign Commercials, C-SPAN
• Campaign commercials from the 1992 election
• Film footage of Gore speech on the election campaign trail on YouTube
• How close was the 1992 election? at the Wayback Machine (archived August 25, 2012) — Michael Sheppard, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
• Booknotes interview with Tom Rosenstiel on Strange Bedfellows: How Television and the Presidential Candidates Changed American Politics, 1992, August 8, 1993.
• Election of 1992 in Counting the Votes