United States House of Representatives elections in Washington, 2010

United States House of Representatives elections in Washington, 2010
Washington (state)
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
All 9 Washington seats to the United States House of Representatives

  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 6 3
Seats won 5 4
Seat change Decrease1 Increase1
Popular vote 1,296,502 1,135,166
Percentage 52.29% 45.78%

2010 election results by district
  Democratic hold
  Democratic gain
  Republican hold
  Republican gain
Washington's congressional districts in 2010

Elections were held on November 2, 2010, to determine Washington's nine members of the United States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011 until January 3, 2013. Nonpartisan blanket primary elections were held on August 17, 2010.[1]

Of the nine elections, the races in the 2nd, 3rd and 8th districts were rated as competitive by CQ Politics,[2] The Rothenberg Political Report[3] and Sabato's Crystal Ball,[4][5][6] while The Cook Political Report rated the 2nd, 3rd, 8th and 9th districts as competitive.[7] Every incumbent was re-elected, with the exception of Democrat Brian Baird, the U.S. Representative for Washington's 3rd congressional district, who retired rather than seeking re-election. Baird was succeeded by Jamie Herrera Beutler, a Republican.[8]

In total, five Democrats and four Republicans were elected.[9] In the November elections a total of 2,479,409 votes were cast, of which 1,296,502 (52 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 1,135,166 (46 percent) were for Republican candidates, and 47,741 (2 percent) were for an independent candidate.[10]

District 1

Washington's 1st congressional district in 2010
Jay Inslee, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 1st district
James Watkins, who also ran in the 1st district

In 2010 the 1st district included Bothell, Edmonds, Lynnwood and parts of Kirkland, Redmond and Shoreline.[11] The district's population was 77 percent white, 10 percent Asian and 6 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 94 percent were high school graduates and 41 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $73,943.[12] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 36 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain.[11]

Democrat Jay Inslee, who took office in 1999, was the incumbent. Inslee was re-elected in 2008 with 68 per cent of the vote.[11] In 2010 Inslee's opponent in the general election was James Watkins, a businessman and a member of the Republican Party.[13] Matthew Burke, a financial planner, also ran as a Republican; and David D. Schirle, a former physician and a member of the Washington National Guard, ran as an independent candidate.[14]

Inslee raised $1,403,962 and spent $1,270,456. Watkins raised $351,477 and spent $339,770.[15] Burke raised $51,135 and spent $49,931.[16] Schirle raised $9,602 and spent $12,842.[17]

In a Republican internal poll conducted in March 2010 by Moore Information, with a sample size of 300 registered voters, 41 percent of respondents supported Inslee while 27 percent favored Watkins. Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Inslee a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 62 percent of the vote to Watkins's 36 percent.[18] On election day Inslee was re-elected with 58 percent of the vote to Watkins's 42 percent.[19]

Inslee resigned in March 2012 in order to run for Governor of Washington.[20] He was elected to that office in November 2012.[21] Watkins unsuccessfully ran for the position of state auditor in 2012.[22]

Primary results

Washington's 1st congressional district primary, August 17, 2010[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jay Inslee (incumbent) 90,208 55.85
Republican James Watkins 44,269 27.41
Republican Matthew Burke 20,185 12.50
Independent David D. Schirle 6,864 4.25
Total votes 161,526 100.00

General election results

Washington's 1st congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jay Inslee (incumbent) 172,642 57.67
Republican James Watkins 126,737 42.33
Total votes 299,379 100.00

District 2

Washington's 2nd congressional district in 2010
Rick Larsen, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 2nd district

The 2nd district included Bellingham, Marysville and parts of Everett.[24] The district's population was 83 percent white and 8 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 90 percent were high school graduates and 25 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $55,887.[25] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 56 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 42 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[24] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3.[7]

Democrat Rick Larsen, who took office in 2001, was the incumbent. Larsen was re-elected in 2008 with 62 percent of the vote.[24] In 2010 Larsen's opponent in the general election was John Koster, a former member of the Washington House of Representatives and a member of the Republican Party.[26] John Carmack, a structural-mechanical designer and contractor, also ran as a Republican;[27] while Larry Kalb, a member of the Democratic State Committee;[28] and Diana McGinness, a retired fraud investigator,[29] also ran as Democrats.

Larsen raised $2,028,596 and spent $2,080,326. Koster raised $1,100,868 and spent $1,096,191.[30] Kalb raised $22,436 and spent $20,824.[31] McGinness raised $4,922 and spent $4,741.[32]

A Republican internal poll of 300 likely voters conducted by Moore Information in April 2010 found 44 percent of respondents intended to vote for Larsen, while 37 percent favored Koster.[33] In June 2010 Koster's campaign manager cited a poll of 784 respondents conducted for Koster's campaign, in which Koster led Larsen by around 53 percent to 47 percent; however he did not provide a hard copy of the results, which Larsen's campaign manager said were inaccurate.[34] In a poll conducted in August and September 2010 by SurveyUSA, with a sample size of 612 likely voters, 50 percent of respondents supported Koster while 46 percent favored Larsen and 4 percent were undecided.[35] In a SurveyUSA poll of 576 likely voters conducted later in September 2010, Larsen led with 50 percent to Koster's 47 percent, and 3 percent were undecided.[36] In SurveyUSA's final poll of 643 likely and actual voters, conducted in October 2010, Larsen led with 50 percent to Koster's 46 percent, and 3 percent were undecided.[37]

In October 2010, The Cook Political Report rated the race as "Lean Democratic"[7] and CQ Politics[2] and Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Leans Democratic".[4] In November 2010, The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Lean Democrat".[3] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Larsen a 74 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 52 percent of the vote to Koster's 48 percent.[33]

Larsen was re-elected with 51 percent of the vote to Koster's 49 percent.[38] After the initial count Koster led by less than 1,500 votes; however Larsen took the lead on November 3 and was later declared the winner.[39] Larsen was again re-elected in 2012 and in 2014,[40] while Koster unsuccessfully ran in the redrawn 1st district in the 2012 election.[41]

Primary results

Washington's 2nd congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Koster 74,032 42.18
Democratic Rick Larsen (incumbent) 73,734 42.01
Democratic Diana McGinness 10,548 6.01
Republican John Carmack 9,566 5.45
Democratic Larry Kalb 7,627 4.35
Total votes 175,507 100.00

General election results

Washington's 2nd congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[38]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rick Larsen (incumbent) 155,241 51.07
Republican John Koster 148,722 48.93
Total votes 303,963 100.00

District 3

Washington's 3rd congressional district in 2010
Jaime Herrera Beutler, who was elected as the U.S. Representative for the 3rd district
Dennis Heck, who also ran in the 3rd district

The 3rd district included Vancouver and part of Olympia.[43] The district's population was 85 percent white and 6 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 89 percent were high school graduates and 24 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $54,813.[44] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 53 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 45 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[43] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+0.[7]

Democrat Brian Baird, who took office in 1999, was the incumbent. Baird was re-elected in 2008 with 64 percent of the vote.[43] In 2010 Baird retired rather than seeking re-election.[45] The candidates in the general election were Jaime Herrera Beutler, a Republican,[46] and Dennis Heck, a Democrat,[47] both of whom were members of the Washington House of Representatives. Cheryl Crist, a Democratic Precinct Committee Officer, also ran as a Democrat;[48] while David B. Castillo, a U.S. Navy veteran,[49] and David W. Hedrick, a management accountant,[50] also ran as Republicans. Norma Jean Stevens, a small business owner, ran as an independent candidate.[51] Deb Wallace, a member of the Washington House of Representatives,[52] Maria Rodriguez-Salazar, a nurse;[53] and Craig Pridemore, a member of the Washington Senate,[54] ran as Democrats but dropped out of the race in February, March and June 2010 respectively. Democrat Brendan Williams, a member of the state House of Representatives, announced in December 2009 that he would not run.[55] Jon Russell, the mayor pro tem of Washougal, ran as a Republican but ended his campaign in February 2010.[56] Richard DeBolt, the leader of the Republican party in the state House of Representatives, announced in January 2010 that he would not run.[57]

Herrera Beutler raised $1,557,221 and spent $1,534,650. Heck raised $1,988,495 and spent $1,965,997.[58] Castillo raised $282,516 and spent £275,436.[59] Crist raised $14,511 and spent $17,141.[60] Hedrick raised $41,358 and spent $27,715.[61] Pridemore raised $114,782 and spent $114,681.[62] Russell raised $30,478 and spent $30,479.[63] Wallace raised $56,907 and spent the same amount.[64]

In a poll of 562 likely voters, conducted in August 2010 by SurveyUSA, 54 percent of respondents supported Herrera Beutler while 41 percent favored Heck and 5 percent were undecided.[65] An internal poll conducted between September 7 and 9, 2010 for Heck's campaign by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, with a sample size of 502 likely voters, found Herrera Beutler at 47 percent and Heck at 44 percent.[66] In a SurveyUSA poll conducted between September 12 and 14, 2010, with a sample size of 552 likely voters, Herrera Beutler led again with 52 percent to Heck's 43 percent, while 4 percent were undecided.[67] A poll conducted by Penn Schoen Berland from October 2 until October 7, 2010, with a sample size of 400 likely voters, found Herrera leading with 42 percent to Heck's 40 percent.[68] In a SurveyUSA poll conducted from October 10 until October 12, 2010, with a sample size of 597 likely voters, 53 percent of respondents intended to vote for Herrera Beutler while 42 percent favored Heck and 6 percent were undecided.[69] In SurveyUSA's final poll, conducted between October 24 and 25, 2010, with a sample size of 640 likely and actual voters, Herrera Beutler led with 50 percent to Heck's 46 percent, and 4 percent were undecided.[70]

Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Leans Republican".[5] In October 2010, The Cook Political Report rated the race as "Lean Republican"[7] and CQ Politics rated the race as "Leans Republican".[2] In November 2010, The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Toss-up/Tilt Republican".[3] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Herrera Beutler an 83 percent chance of winning and projected that she would receive 53 percent of the vote to Heck's 47 percent.[68] On election day Herrera Beutler was elected with 53 percent of the vote to Heck's 47 percent.[71] Herrera Beutler was re-elected in 2012,[72] when Heck successfully ran in the newly created 10th district;[73] and in 2014.[74]

Primary results

Washington's 3rd congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[75]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dennis Heck 51,895 31.40
Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler 46,001 27.83
Republican David W. Hedrick 22,621 13.69
Republican David B. Castillo 19,995 12.10
Democratic Cheryl Crist 18,453 11.17
Independent Norma Jean Stevens 6,309 3.82
Total votes 165,274 100.00

General election results

Washington's 3rd congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[71]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler 152,799 52.97
Democratic Dennis Heck 135,654 47.03
Total votes 288,453 100.00

District 4

Washington's 4th congressional district in 2010
Doc Hastings, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 4th district
Jay Clough, who also ran in the 4th district

The 4th district included Kennewick, Pasco, Richland and Yakima.[76] The district's population was 64 percent white and 31 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 78 percent were high school graduates and 19 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $45,616.[77] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 58 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 40 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[76]

Republican Doc Hastings, who took office in 1995, was the incumbent. Hastings was re-elected in 2008 with 63 percent of the vote.[76] In 2010 Hastings's opponent in the general election was Jay Clough, a member of the United States Marine Corps who ran as a Democrat.[78] Shane Fast, a business owner, also ran as a Republican.[79] Rex A. Brocki, a chapter president of Young Americans for Freedom, ran as a Tea Party candidate.[80] Mary Ruth Edwards, a teacher, ran as the Constitution Party candidate.[81] Leland Yialelis, a pastor, ran as an independent candidate.[82]

Hastings raised $1,056,576 and spent $1,089,271. Clough raised $119,993 and spent $118,863.[83] Yialelis raised $5,534 and spent the same amount.[84] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Hastings a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 67 percent of the vote to Clough's 30 percent.[85]

On election day Hastings was re-elected with 68 percent of the vote to Clough's 32 percent.[86] Hastings was again re-elected in 2012,[87] while Clough ran for a seat in the Washington House of Representatives.[88] Hastings retired rather than seeking re-election in 2014 and will be succeeded by Republican Dan Newhouse.[89]

Primary results

Washington's 4th congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[90]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Doc Hastings (incumbent) 82,909 58.74
Democratic Jay Clough 31,782 22.52
Tea Party Rex A. Brocki 9,826 6.96
Republican Shane Fast 9,214 6.53
Constitution Mary Ruth Edwards 4,270 3.03
Independent Leland Yialelis 3,136 2.22
Total votes 141,137 100.00

General election results

Washington's 4th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[86]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Doc Hastings (incumbent) 156,726 67.64
Democratic Jay Clough 74,973 32.36
Total votes 231,699 100.00

District 5

Washington's 5th congressional district in 2010
Cathy McMorris Rodgers, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 5th district

The 5th district included Spokane, Spokane Valley and Walla Walla.[91] The district's population was 86 percent white and 6 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 91 percent were high school graduates and 26 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $45,344.[92] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 52 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 46 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[91]

Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers, who took office in 2005, was the incumbent. McMorris Rodgers was re-elected in 2008 with 65 percent of the vote.[91] In 2010 McMorris Rodgers's opponent in the general election was Daryl Romeyn, a television presenter and a member of the Democratic Party.[93] Clyde Cordero, a vice president of the American GI Forum;[94] David R. Fox, a lawyer;[95] and Barbara Lampert, a retired nurse's aide,[96] also ran as Democrats. Randall Yearout, an operations engineer and business owner, ran as a Constitution Party candidate.[97]

McMorris Rodgers raised $1,453,240 and spent $1,381,220. Romeyn raised $2,320 and spent $13,318.[98] Cordero raised $18,397 and spent $15,525.[99] Yearout raised $7,644 and spent $10,151.[100]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave McMorris Rodgers a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that she would receive 68 percent of the vote to Romeyn's 30 percent.[101] On election day McMorris Rodgers was re-elected with 64 percent of the vote to Romeyn's 36 percent.[102] McMorris Rodgers was again re-elected in 2012,[103] when Romeyn was elected as a County Commissioner in Spokane County;[104] and in 2014.[105]

Primary results

Washington's 5th congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[106]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) 106,191 62.53
Democratic Daryl Romeyn 21,091 12.42
Democratic Barbara Lampert 15,538 9.15
Democratic Clyde Cordero 10,787 6.35
Constitution Randall Yearout 10,635 6.26
Democratic David R. Fox 5,569 3.28
Total votes 169,811 100.00

General election results

Washington's 5th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[102]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) 177,235 63.67
Democratic Daryl Romeyn 101,146 36.33
Total votes 278,381 100.00

District 6

Washington's 6th congressional district in 2010
Norm Dicks, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 6th district

The 6th district included Bremerton, University Place and parts of Lakewood, Parkland and Tacoma.[107] The district's population was 76 percent white, 7 percent Hispanic, 5 percent black and 5 percent Asian (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 89 percent were high school graduates and 22 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $48,170.[108] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 57 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 40 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[107]

Democrat Norm Dicks, who took office in 1977, was the incumbent. Dicks was re-elected in 2008 with 67 percent of the vote.[107] In 2010 Dicks's opponent in the general election was Doug Cloud, a lawyer and a member of the Republican Party.[109] Jesse Young, a software engineer, also ran as a Republican.[110]

Dicks raised $1,412,760 and spent $1,582,738. Cloud raised $118,128 and spent $116,474.[111] Young raised $35,351 and spent $35,295.[112] In an internal poll with a sample size of 1,262 likely voters, conducted by Wenzel Strategies for Cloud's campaign in October 2010, 609 respondents intended to vote for Cloud while 558 favored Dicks and 95 were unsure.[113]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Dicks a 97 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 57 percent of the vote to Cloud's 43 percent.[114] On election day Dicks was re-elected with 58 percent of the vote to Cloud's 42 percent.[115] In 2012, Dicks retired rather than seeking re-election and was succeeded by Democrat Derek Kilmer,[116] while Cloud ran for the seat again.[117]

Primary results

Washington's 6th congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[118]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Norm Dicks (incumbent) 90,596 56.63
Republican Doug Cloud 45,959 28.73
Republican Jesse Young 23,410 14.63
Total votes 159,965 100.00

General election results

Washington's 6th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[115]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Norm Dicks (incumbent) 151,873 58.04
Republican Doug Cloud 109,800 41.96
Total votes 261,673 100.00

District 7

Washington's 7th congressional district in 2010
Jim McDermott, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 7th district

The 7th district included parts of Seattle and Shoreline.[119] The district's population was 67 percent white, 13 percent Asian, 8 percent black and 7 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 91 percent were high school graduates and 50 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $60,620.[120] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 83 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 15 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[119]

Democrat Jim McDermott, who took office in 1989, was the incumbent. McDermott was re-elected in 2008 with 84 percent of the vote.[119] In 2012 McDermott's opponent in the general election was Bob Jeffers-Schroder, a member of Citizens Climate Lobby who ran as an independent candidate.[121] Bill Hoffman, a screenwriter and film producer;[122] Don Rivers, an advisor to elected officials;[123] and Scott Sizemore, the leader of the Seattle Youth and Beauty Brigade,[124] also ran as Democrats. S. Sutherland, a renewable energy researcher, also ran as an independent candidate.[125]

McDermott raised $582,232 and spent $568,649.[126] Hoffman raised $14,856 and spent $14,843.[127] Rivers raised $4,698 and spent $9,623.[128]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight gave McDermott a 100 percent chance of winning.[129] On election day McDermott received 83 percent of the vote to Jeffers-Schroder's 17 percent.[130] McDermott was again re-elected in 2012[41] and in 2014.[131]

Primary results

Washington's 7th congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[132]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim McDermott (incumbent) 110,914 79.85
Independent Bob Jeffers-Schroder 8,860 6.38
Democratic Bill Hoffman 6,135 4.42
Independent S. Sutherland 4,999 3.60
Democratic Don Rivers 4,781 3.44
Democratic Scott Sizemore 3,220 2.32
Total votes 138,909 100.00

General election results

Washington's 7th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[130]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim McDermott (incumbent) 232,649 82.97
Independent Bob Jeffers-Schroder 47,741 17.03
Total votes 280,390 100.00

District 8

Washington's 8th congressional district
Dave Reichert, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 8th district
Suzan DelBene, who also ran in the 8th district

The 8th district included Bellevue, Sammamish, and parts of Auburn, Kent, Renton and South Hill.[133] The district's population was 76 percent white, 11 percent Asian and 6 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 93 percent were high school graduates and 41 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $82,403.[134] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 56 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 42 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[133] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3.[7]

Republican Dave Reichert, who took office in 2005, was the incumbent. Reichert was re-elected in 2008 with 53 percent of the vote.[133] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Suzan DelBene, a businesswoman who ran as a Democrat.[135] Keith Arnold, an accounting technician for the federal government;[136] Tom Cramer, a small business owner;[137] and Boleslaw (John) Olinski, a social worker with the Washington Department of Social and Health Services,[138] also ran as Democrats. Tim Dillon, a member of the Yarrow Point town council;[139] and Ernest Huber, a retired lieutenant commander in the United States Navy,[140] also ran as Republicans. Robin Adair, who ran for the U.S. Senate in 2006;[141] and Caleb Love Mardini, a marketing and business consultant,[142] ran as independent candidates.

Reichert raised $2,793,788 and spent $2,770,293. DelBene raised $4,024,786 and spent $3,942,493.[143] Cramer raised $72,140 and spent $72,132.[144] Mardini raised $3,156 and spent $1,813.[145]

In a poll of 657 likely voters conducted by SurveyUSA in August and September 2010, 54 percent of respondents supported Reichert while 41 percent favored DelBene and 5 percent were undecided.[146] In a SurveyUSA poll of 579 likely voters conducted later in September 2010, Reichert led with 52 percent to DelBene's 45 percent with 4 percent undecided.[147] An internal poll by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates for DelBene's campaign, conducted on October 4 and 5, 2010, with a sample size of 400 likely voters, found Reichert leading with 48 percent to DelBene's 44 percent, while 8 percent chose "undecided/other".[148] A poll of 1,036 likely voters by Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos, conducted on October 9 and 10, 2010, found Reichert leading with 49 percent to DelBene's 46 percent, and 5 percent undecided.[149] In a SurveyUSA poll of 639 likely and actual voters conducted between October 18 and 20, 2010, 52 percent supported Reichert, 45 percent supported DelBene, and 3 percent were undecided.[150]

Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Leans Republican" and noted that "Reichert has the difficult task of defending his seat and voting record as an incumbent".[6] In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as "Likely Republican"[7] and CQ Politics rated the race as "Leans Republican".[2] In November 2010, The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Republican Favored".[3] Prior to the election, FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Reichert a 95 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 56 percent of the vote to DelBene's 44 percent.[151]

On election day Reichert was re-elected with 52 percent of the vote to DelBene's 48 percent.[152] Reichert was again re-elected in 2012,[153] when DelBene was elected to represent the 1st district;[154] and in 2014.[131]

Primary results

Washington's 8th congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[155]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dave Reichert (incumbent) 76,118 47.23
Democratic Suzan DelBene 43,272 26.85
Democratic Tom Cramer 15,313 9.50
Republican Ernest Huber 9,376 5.82
Republican Tim Dillon 8,291 5.14
Democratic Keith Arnold 3,405 2.11
Independent Robin Adair 2,648 1.64
Democratic Boleslaw (John) Olinski 1,761 1.09
Independent Caleb Love Mardini 987 0.61
Total votes 161,171 100.00

General election results

Washington's 8th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[152]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dave Reichert (incumbent) 161,296 52.05
Democratic Suzan DelBene 148,581 47.95
Total votes 309,877 100.00

District 9

Washington's 9th congressional district in 2010
Adam Smith, who was re-elected as the U.S. Representative for the 9th district

The 9th district included Federal Way and parts of Kent, Lacey, Lakewood, Puyallup and Renton.[156] The district's population was 68 percent white, 10 percent Hispanic, 9 percent Asian and 7 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States Census); 89 percent were high school graduates and 23 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $56,522.[157] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 58 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 40 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[156] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5.[7]

The incumbent was Democrat Adam Smith, who took office in 1997. Smith was re-elected in 2008 with 65 percent of the vote.[156] In 2010 his opponent in the general election was Republican Dick Muri, a member of the Pierce County Council.[158] Jim Postma, a retired engineer and rocket scientist, also ran as a Republican;[159] and Roy Olson, a government actuary, ran as a Green Party candidate.[160] Tom Campbell, a member of the Washington House of Representatives, had planned to seek the Republican nomination but ended his campaign in September 2009.[161]

Smith raised $948,533 and spent $1,355,512. Muri raised $240,210 and spent the same amount.[162] Postma raised $168,744 and spent $114,057.[163] Olson raised $1,941 and spent the same amount.[164]

In a poll of 586 likely voters conducted by SurveyUSA in September 2010, 49 percent of respondents intended to vote for Smith while 46 percent supported Muri and 5 percent were undecided.[165] A poll of 400 likely voters, conducted later that month by the Benenson Strategy Group for Smith's campaign, found Smith leading with 54 percent to Muri's 35 percent, and 11 percent unsure.[166] Another SurveyUSA poll, conducted in October 2010 with a sample size of 590 likely and actual voters, found Smith again leading with 49 percent to Muri's 46 percent, and 5 percent undecided.[167]

In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as "Likely Democratic".[7] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Smith a 94 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Muri's 45 percent.[168] On election day Smith was re-elected with 55 percent of the vote to Muri's 45 percent.[169] Smith was again re-elected in 2012,[41] when Muri unsuccessfully ran in the newly created Washington's 10th congressional district;[73] and in 2014.[170]

Primary results

Washington's 9th congressional district primary election, August 17, 2010[171]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Smith (incumbent) 63,866 51.24
Republican Dick Muri 32,116 25.76
Republican Jim Postma 24,509 19.66
Green Roy Olson 4,159 3.34
Total votes 124,650 100.00

General election results

Washington's 9th congressional district general election, November 2, 2010[169]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Smith (incumbent) 123,743 54.85
Republican Dick Muri 101,851 45.15
Total votes 225,594 100.00

See also

References

  1. ↑ "2010 Primary - August 17, 2010". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved January 5, 2014.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Race Ratings Chart: House". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 5, 2014.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. November 1, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  4. 1 2 "Washington (02) House 2010". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 6, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  5. 1 2 "Washington (03) House 2010". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  6. 1 2 "Washington (08) House 2010". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "2010 competitive House race chart". The Cook Political Report. October 26, 2010. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved January 5, 2014.
  8. ↑ Shannon, Brad (November 3, 2010). "Heck concedes to Herrera in battle for 3rd District". The Olympian. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  9. ↑ "Washington". The New York Times. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  10. ↑ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the congressional election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the United States House of Representatives. p. 52. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  11. 1 2 3 "Washington – 1st District". Roll Call. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  12. ↑ "Washington 1st District Profile". The New York Times. Retrieved March 20, 2014.
  13. ↑ "James Watkins". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  14. ↑ "Primary election choices: U.S. Congressional District 1". My Edmonds News. August 8, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  15. ↑ "Washington District 01 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  16. ↑ "Matthew Burke (R)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  17. ↑ "David D. Schirle (3)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  18. ↑ "Washington 1st District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  19. 1 2 "Congressional District 1". Secretary of State of Washington. November 29, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  20. ↑ "Rep. Jay Inslee resigns to run for Wash. governor". USA Today. March 10, 2012. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  21. ↑ Myers, Laura L. (November 9, 2012). "Democrat Jay Inslee elected Washington state governor". Reuters. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  22. ↑ Schrader, Jordan (November 9, 2012). "James Watkins concedes state auditors' race to Tacoma Rep. Troy Kelley". The News Tribune. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  23. ↑ "Congressional District 1". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
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  25. ↑ "Washington 2nd District Profile". The New York Times. Retrieved March 20, 2014.
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  27. ↑ "John Carmack". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  28. ↑ "Larry Kalb". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  29. ↑ "Diana McGinness". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  30. ↑ "Washington District 02 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  31. ↑ "Larry Kalb (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  32. ↑ "Diana B. McGinness (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  33. 1 2 "Washington 2nd District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  34. ↑ Cornfield, Jerry (June 29, 2010). "Koster ahead of Larsen in poll but is it accurate?". The Herald. Retrieved February 15, 2014.
  35. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17020". SurveyUSA. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  36. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17153". SurveyUSA. September 29, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  37. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17480". SurveyUSA. October 22, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  38. 1 2 "Congressional District 2". Secretary of State of Washington. November 29, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  39. ↑ La Corte, Rachel (November 8, 2010). "Rep. Larsen wins re-election to Wash. 2nd District". The Seattle Times. Retrieved February 15, 2014.
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  41. 1 2 3 "Koster to concede to DelBene in 1st Congressional District race Friday". Los Angeles Times. November 8, 2012. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  42. ↑ "Congressional District 2". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
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  47. ↑ "Denny Heck". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  48. ↑ "Cheryl Crist". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  49. ↑ "David B. Castillo". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  50. ↑ "David W. Hedrick". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  51. ↑ "Norma Jean Stevens". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  52. ↑ Shannon, Brad (February 21, 2010). "Deb Wallace drops out of 3rd congressional race". The News Tribune. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  53. ↑ "Democrat Rodriguez-Salazar withdraws from 3rd District race". The Columbian. March 25, 2010. Retrieved February 15, 2010.
  54. ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (June 1, 2010). "Pridemore out, clearing path for Heck". Politico. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  55. ↑ "Williams doesn't have sights on House". The Olympian. December 18, 2009. Retrieved February 15, 2014.
  56. ↑ Durbin, Kathie (February 23, 2010). "Russell bows out of congressional race, endorses Herrera". The Columbian. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  57. ↑ "DeBolt opts not to run in 3rd District". The Columbian. January 5, 2010. Retrieved February 15, 2014.
  58. ↑ "Washington District 03 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  59. ↑ "David B. Castillo (R)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  60. ↑ "Cheryl A. Crist (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  61. ↑ "David William Hedrick (R)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  62. ↑ "Craig Pridemore (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  63. ↑ "Jon David Russell (R)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  64. ↑ "Debbie D. Wallace (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  65. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16988". SurveyUSA. August 25, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  66. ↑ Trygstad, Kyle (September 21, 2010). "Washington: New Internal Poll Shows Heck Closing In". Roll Call. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  67. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17044". SurveyUSA. September 15, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
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  70. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17454". SurveyUSA. October 27, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  71. 1 2 "Congressional District 3". Secretary of State of Washington. November 29, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2010.
  72. ↑ "U.S. Rep. Herrera-Beutler wins second term in 3rd". Yakima Herald-Republic. November 7, 2012. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  73. 1 2 Shannon, Brad (November 11, 2012). "Denny Heck gets set to represent in D.C.". The Olympian. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  74. ↑ "Dingethal's bid to oust U.S. Rep. Herrera Beutler fizzles". The Daily News. November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 16, 2014.
  75. ↑ "Congressional District 3". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  76. 1 2 3 "Washington – 4th District". Roll Call. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  77. ↑ "Washington 4th District Profile". The New York Times. Retrieved March 20, 2014.
  78. ↑ "Jay Clough". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  79. ↑ "Shane Fast". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  80. ↑ "Rex A. Brocki". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  81. ↑ "Mary Ruth Edwards". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  82. ↑ "Leland Yialelis". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 27, 2013.
  83. ↑ "Washington District 04 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  84. ↑ "Leland Yialelis (I)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  85. ↑ "Washington 4th District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  86. 1 2 "Congressional District 4". Secretary of State of Washington. November 29, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  87. ↑ Faulk, Mike (November 7, 2012). "Hastings wins easy re-election to Congress". Yakima Herald-Republic. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  88. ↑ Dupler, Michelle (February 3, 2012). "Democrat Jay Clough to challenge GOP state Rep. Brad Klippert for seat". Tri-City Herald. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  89. ↑ Geranios, Nicholas K. (November 7, 2014). "Newhouse beats fellow GOPer Didier in 4th". KHQ-TV. Retrieved November 16, 2014.
  90. ↑ "Congressional District 4". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  91. 1 2 3 "Washington – 5th District". Roll Call. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  92. ↑ "Washington 5th District Profile". The New York Times. Retrieved March 20, 2014.
  93. ↑ "Daryl Romeyn". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  94. ↑ "Clyde Cordero". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  95. ↑ "David R. Fox". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  96. ↑ "Barbara Lampert". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  97. ↑ "Randall Yearout". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  98. ↑ "Washington District 05 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  99. ↑ "Clyde Cordero (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  100. ↑ "Randall Yearout (3)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
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  103. ↑ Pignolet, Jennifer (November 7, 2012). "Incumbents prevail". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  104. ↑ "Daryl Romeyn". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  105. ↑ Harnack, Roger (November 4, 2014). "McMorris Rodgers rides PAC money to victory". The Omak-Okanogan County Chronicle. Retrieved November 17, 2014.
  106. ↑ "Congressional District 5". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
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  110. ↑ "Jesse Young". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  111. ↑ "Washington District 06 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  112. ↑ "Jesse L. Young (R)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  113. ↑ Geraghty, Jim (October 22, 2010). "Could There Be One More Competitive House Race in Washington, Completely Overlooked?". National Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  114. ↑ "Washington 6th District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  115. 1 2 "Congressional District 6". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  116. ↑ Allison, Melissa (November 6, 2012). "Democratic state Sen. Kilmer wins race to replace U.S. Rep. Dicks". The Seattle Times. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  117. ↑ Schrader, Jordan (March 2, 2012). "Republicans Cloud, Young, Sauerwein running for seat; Angel not ready to say". The News Tribune. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  118. ↑ "Congressional District 6". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
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  122. ↑ "Bill Hoffman". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  123. ↑ "Don Rivers". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  124. ↑ "Scott Sizemore". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  125. ↑ "S. Sutherland". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  126. ↑ "Washington District 07 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  127. ↑ "Bill Hoffman (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  128. ↑ "Donovan Lamont Rivers (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  129. ↑ "Washington 7th District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
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  132. ↑ "Congressional District 7". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
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  137. ↑ "Tom Cramer". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  138. ↑ "Boleslaw (John) Olinski". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
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  140. ↑ "Ernest Huber". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  141. ↑ "Robin Adair". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  142. ↑ "Caleb Love Mardini". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  143. ↑ "Washington District 08 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  144. ↑ "Thomas A. Cramer (D)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  145. ↑ "Caleb Love Mardini (3)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
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  147. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17154". SurveyUSA. September 30, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2010.
  148. ↑ Metz, David; Bellow, Curtis (October 6, 2010). "Update on the 8th Congressional District Race" (PDF). Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  149. ↑ "Daily Kos WA-8 Poll". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  150. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17459". SurveyUSA. October 21, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  151. ↑ "Washington 8th District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  152. 1 2 "Congressional District 8". Secretary of State of Washington. November 29, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  153. ↑ Kagarise, Warren (November 6, 2012). "Dave Reichert outpaces Karen Porterfield to represent Issaquah in Congress". The Issaquah Press. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  154. ↑ Heffter, Emily (November 6, 2012). "DelBene beats Koster in race for U.S. House". The Seattle Times. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  155. ↑ "Congressional District 8". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 28, 2013.
  156. 1 2 3 "Washington – 9th District". Roll Call. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  157. ↑ "Washington 9th District Profile". The New York Times. Retrieved March 20, 2014.
  158. ↑ "Richard (Dick) Muri". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  159. ↑ "Jim Postma". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  160. ↑ "Roy Olson". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  161. ↑ Shannon, Brad (September 4, 2009). "Campbell abandons congressional race". The Olympian. Retrieved February 16, 2014.
  162. ↑ "Washington District 09 Race". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  163. ↑ "James Lee Postma (R)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  164. ↑ "Roy Olson (3)". Center for Responsive Politics. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  165. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17099". SurveyUSA. December 17, 2010. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  166. ↑ Brodnitz, Pete (September 21, 2010). "Smith – Memo on State of the Race". Benenson Strategy Group. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  167. ↑ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17448". SurveyUSA. December 26, 2010. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  168. ↑ "Washington 9th District". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  169. 1 2 "Congressional District 9". Secretary of State of Washington. November 29, 2010. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
  170. ↑ "Congressman Adam Smith wins re-election, looks ahead to Republican Congress". KIRO-FM. November 4, 2014. Retrieved November 17, 2014.
  171. ↑ "Congressional District 9". Secretary of State of Washington. September 3, 2010. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
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