Next Japanese general election

48th Japanese general election
Japan
on or before 13 December 2018

All 465 seats to the House of Representatives of Japan:
289 first-past-the-post in single-member districts, 176 by d'Hondt proportional in 11 regional blocs

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Shinzō Abe Vacant Natsuo Yamaguchi
Party Liberal Democratic Democratic Komeito
Leader since 26 September 2012 27 July 2017 8 September 2009
Leader's seat Yamaguchi-4th not contesting (Coun.)
Last election 291 seats
48.1% (district)
33.11% (block)
New 35 seats
1.5% (district)
13.71% (block)
Seats before 290 seats 97 seats 35 seats

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Kazuo Shii Ichirō Matsui
Party Communist Initiatives
Leader since 24 November 2000 2 November 2015
Leader's seat Minami-Kantō PR not contesting
(Gov. of Osaka)
Last election 21 seats
13.3% (district)
11.37% (block)
New
Seats before 21 seats 15 seats

Parliamentary districts not including proportional blocks

Prime Minister before election

Shinzō Abe
Liberal Democratic

Prime Minister-designate

TBD

This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Japan

Japan portal

The 48th general election of members of the House of Representatives (第48回衆議院議員総選挙, dai-yonjūhachikai Shūgiin giin sōsenkyo) is due to take place on or before 13 December 2018, a barring by Constitution of Japan. Voting will take place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan – 289 single-member districts and eleven proportional blocks –, in order to appoint all 465 members (down from 475) of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the then 707-member bicameral National Diet of Japan. As the cabinet has to resign after a general House of Representatives election in the first post-election Diet session (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election will also lead to a new designation election of the Prime Minister in the Diet, and the appointment of a new cabinet (even if the same ministers are re-appointed).

Date of the election

Under the post-occupation interpretation of Article 7 of the Constitution, the cabinet may instruct the Emperor to dissolve the House of Representatives before the end of term at will. Elections must be held within 40 days after dissolution.

The only time in postwar history that the House of Representatives was not dissolved before the end of its term was in 1976. If the House of Representatives completes a full four-year term, the election must be held within 30 days before that. Under certain conditions if the Diet is in session or scheduled to open at that time, the election could take place somewhat beyond the actual end of term under the "public offices election act" (kōshokusenkyohō).[1]

As of June 2015, the Democratic Party of Japan was reportedly preparing a roster of up to 250 candidates so as to be prepared in the event that the next general election was to be held alongside the House of Councillors election in the summer of 2016.[2]

Polling

Parties' approval ratings since last GE
Date Polling Firm/Source LDP DP K JCP PJK SDP LP IO Oth. No
party
Und. Lead
5-6 Aug Asahi Shimbun 33 6 3 3 0 0 0 1 1 46 7 13
5-6 Aug ANN 38.1 10.8 3.9 5.6 0.1 1.5 0.8 1.4 0.7 37.1 1.0
4-6 Aug NHK 34.8 5.7 3.7 2.8 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.5 45.7 4.8 10.9
3-6 Aug Jiji Press 25.7 3.2 2.5 2.3 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 62.2 36.5
3-4 Aug Mainichi Shimbun 26 7 5 5 0 1 0 3 1 47 21
3-4 Aug Kyodo News 39.0 7.3 5.9 5.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 2.6 37.9 1.1
22-23 Jul Mainichi Shimbun 25 5 3 5 0 1 1 2 2 53 28
22-23 Jul FNN 29.1 7.0 5.3 4.6 0.2 1.3 0.8 3.2 2.0 45.7 0.8 16.6
7-10 Jul Jiji Press 21.1 3.8 3.2 2.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.1 65.3 44.2
8-9 Jul Asahi Shimbun 30 5 4 4 0 1 0 1 1 47 7 17
7-9 Jul NTV 35.6 9.2 3.7 5.6 0.0 1.5 0.4 1.1 0.1 38.1 4.6 2.5
7-9 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 31 6 4 4 0 0 0 1 2 47 4 16
7-9 Jul NHK 30.7 5.8 4.1 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 0.3 47.0 5.8 16.3
17-18 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 27 8 3 4 0 1 1 2 1 47 20
17-18 Jun FNN 36.0 8.3 4.1 5.6 0.2 0.8 1.3 3.5 1.7 38.1 0.4 2.1
17-18 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 41 7 3 3 0 1 0 1 0 40 4 1
17-18 Jun Asahi Shimbun 34 8 4 4 0 1 0 1 0 41 7 7
16-18 Jun NTV 38.5 11.0 5.1 4.1 0.0 1.4 0.1 1.1 0.3 33.4 5.0 5.1
9-11 Jun NHK 36.4 7.9 4.2 2.7 0.0 0.9 0.4 1.2 0.3 40.8 5.1 4.4
13-14 May FNN 41.6 8.0 2.9 4.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 2.9 2.1 35.6 0.4 6.0
12-14 May Yomiuri Shimbun 43 6 2 2 0 0 1 1 39 5 4
12-14 May NHK 37.5 7.3 3.8 2.7 0.1 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 38.4 7.5 0.9
14-16 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 44 6 3 3 0 0 2 0 38 4 6
7-9 Apr NHK 38.1 6.7 3.8 3.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.2 38.7 7.0 0.6
18-19 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 40 7 2 3 1 0 2 0 43 2 3
10-12 Mar NHK 36.9 7.6 4.1 2.8 0.0 1.1 0.1 1.6 0.4 38.9 6.6 2.0
17-19 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 43 6 4 3 0 0 0 1 0 40 2 3
11-12 Feb NHK 38.2 6.4 2.8 4.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 40.1 5.2 1.9
27-29 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 40 7 3 4 0 0 0 1 0 42 2 2
7-9 Jan NHK 38.3 8.7 3.5 3.2 0.9 0.0 0.3 38.3 5.3 Tied
2017
8-10 Oct NHK 37.1 9.9 3.9 3.9 0.0 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.2 37.8 4.9 0.7
7-9 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 40 7 3 3 0 1 0 2 1 39 4 1
9-11 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 46.0 8.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 31.0 2.0 15.0
9-11 Sep NHK 40.2 8.3 4.3 2.5 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.9 0.2 36.0 6.1 4.2
4-6 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 37.0 8.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 43.0 2.0 6.0
12-14 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 42.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 40.0 3.0 2.0
5-7 Feb NHK 37.6 9.6 3.6 3.9 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6 0.1 35.1 7.4 2.5
30-31 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 40.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 39.0 3.0 1.0
9-11 Jan NHK 37.5 8.1 4.3 4.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.9 0.2 33.1 9.4 4.4
8-10 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 40.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 37.0 4.0 3.0
2016
17-18 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 37.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 39.0 0.0 2.0
11-13 Dec NHK 37.5 8.5 4.7 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.8 0.2 34.3 7.0 3.2
4-6 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 36.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 43.0 2.0 7.0
6-8 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 40.0 7.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 39.0 2.0 1.0
6-8 Nov NHK 37.1 8.4 3.4 4.1 0.0 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.1 36.3 8.2 0.8
10-12 Oct NHK 35.6 8.6 3.3 4.2 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 35.7 10.3 0.1
7-8 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 39.0 10.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 1.0 Tied
19-20 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 33.0 11.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 42.0 3.0 9.0
11–13 Sep NHK 34.7 9.8 3.7 4.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.6 36.2 9.0 1.5
15-16 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun 37.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 3.0 2.0
7–9 Aug NHK 34.3 10.9 3.0 4.2 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.1 34.5 9.6 0.2
24-26 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 36.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.0 3.0 5.0
18–19 Jul Asahi Shimbun 31.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 41.0 7.0 10.0
11–12 Jul Asahi Shimbun 32.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.0 10.0 6.0
10–12 Jul NHK 34.7 7.7 4.2 3.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 36.8 9.5 2.1
3-5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 35.0 9.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 44.0 1.0 9.0
20–21 Jun Asahi Shimbun 36.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 41.0 7.0 5.0
5-7 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 38.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.0 2.0 4.0
5–7 Jun NHK 35.8 9.4 3.6 4.4 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.2 33.9 9.3 1.9
16–17 May Asahi Shimbun 39.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 33.0 10.0 6.0
8-10 May Yomiuri Shimbun 43.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 35.0 2.0 8.0
8–10 May NHK 37.5 7.8 5.3 3.5 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 34.7 8.4 2.8
18–19 Apr Asahi Shimbun 36.0 7.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 34.0 10.0 2.0
10–12 Apr NHK 37.8 9.2 4.1 4.8 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.3 29.2 9.9 8.6
3-5 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 41.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 1.0 1.0
14–15 Mar Asahi Shimbun 38.0 8.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 37.0 8.0 1.0
6–8 Mar NHK 36.7 10.9 3.8 4.6 0.0 1.6 0.3 0.3 31.8 8.1 4.9
28 Jan-28 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 43.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 30.0 1.0 13.0
14–15 Feb Asahi Shimbun 40.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 35.0 7.0 5.0
6–8 Feb NHK 41.2 10.3 4.9 4.2 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.1 29.7 6.5 11.5
6-7 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 42.0 11.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 35.0 1.0 8.0
17–18 Jan Asahi Shimbun 33.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 38.0 7.0 5.0
10–12 Jan NHK 39.4 9.2 4.0 3.7 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.2 31.9 7.7 7.5
9-11 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 41.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 38.0 1.0 3.0
2015
24-25 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 36.0 11.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 32.0 3.0 4.0
15–16 Dec Asahi Shimbun 35.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 33.0 12.0 2.0
14 Dec 2014 General Election 33.1 18.3 13.7 11.4 2.7 2.5 1.9 N/A 0.7 N/A N/A 14.9
Cabinet approval / disapproval ratings
Approval (blue) and Disapproval (red) Ratings for Second and Third Abe Cabinet
Date Polling Firm/Source PM Approval Disapproval No Opinion
5-6 Aug ANN Shinzo Abe 37.6% 47.2% 15.2%
5-6 Aug JNN Shinzo Abe 39.7% 59.0% 1.3%
5-6 Aug Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 35% 45%
4-6 Aug NHK Shinzo Abe 39% 43%
4-6 Aug NTV Shinzo Abe 35.6% 47.3% 17.1%
3-6 Aug Jiji Press Shinzo Abe 36.6% 44.1%
3-4 Aug Kyodo News Shinzo Abe 44.4% 43.2%
3-4 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 42% 48%
3-4 Aug The Nikkei & TV Tokyo Shinzo Abe 42% 49%
3-4 Aug Mainichi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 35% 47% 17%
22-23 Jul FNN Shinzo Abe 34.7% 56.1% 9.2%
22-23 Jul The Nikkei & TV Tokyo Shinzo Abe 39% 52%
22-23 Jul Mainichi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 26% 56% 17%
15-16 Jul ANN Shinzo Abe 29.2% 54.5% 16.3%
15-16 Jul Kyodo News Shinzo Abe 35.8% 53.1%
7-10 Jul Jiji Press Shinzo Abe 29.9% 48.6%
8-9 Jul Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 33% 47% 20%
7-9 Jul NTV Shinzo Abe 31.9% 49.2% 18.9%
7-9 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 36% 52% 11%
7-9 Jul NHK Shinzo Abe 35% 48% 17%
1-2 Jul JNN Shinzo Abe 43.3% 55.5% 1.3%
17-18 Jun Mainichi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 36% 44% 17%
17-18 Jun ANN Shinzo Abe 37.9% 41.6% 20.5%
17-18 Jun Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 41% 37% 20%
17-18 Jun Kyodo News Shinzo Abe 44.9% 43.1%
17-18 Jun FNN Shinzo Abe 47.6% 42.9% 9.5%
17-18 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 41% 10%
16-18 Jun The Nikkei Shinzo Abe 49% 42%
16-18 Jun NTV Shinzo Abe 39.8% 41.8% 18.4%
9-11 Jun NHK Shinzo Abe 48% 36% 16%
3-4 Jun JNN Shinzo Abe 54.4% 44.1% 1.5%
25-28 May The Nikkei Shinzo Abe 56% 36%
20-21 May Mainichi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 46% 35% 16%
20-21 May ANN Shinzo Abe 46.4% 32.4% 21.2%
19-21 May NTV Shinzo Abe 46.1% 36.4% 17.6%
13-14 May FNN Shinzo Abe 56.1% 34.7% 9.2%
12-14 May Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 61% 28% 11%
12-14 May NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 30% 19%
29-30 Apr JNN Shinzo Abe 63.3% 34.8% 1.9%
27-30 Apr The Nikkei Shinzo Abe 60% 32%
22-23 Apr Mainichi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 51% 30% 17%
22-23 Apr ANN Shinzo Abe 50.4% 33.0% 16.6%
15-16 Apr FNN Shinzo Abe 59.3% 30.4% 10.3%
14-16 Apr NTV Shinzo Abe 50.4% 30.8% 18.8%
14-16 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 60% 29% 11%
7-9 Apr NHK Shinzo Abe 53% 27% 20%
1-2 Apr JNN Shinzo Abe 57.0% 40.6% 2.4%
25-26 Mar ANN Shinzo Abe 50.5% 31.2% 18.3%
24-26 Mar The Nikkei Shinzo Abe 62% 30%
18-19 Mar FNN Shinzo Abe 57.4% 30.9% 11.7%
18-19 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 56% 33% 12%
17-19 Mar NTV Shinzo Abe 47.6% 32.9% 19.5%
10-12 Mar NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 31% 18%
4-5 Mar JNN Shinzo Abe 61.0% 37.3% 1.7%
25-26 Feb ANN Shinzo Abe 54.5% 27.9% 17.6%
24-26 Feb The Nikkei Shinzo Abe 60% 30%
18-19 Feb FNN Shinzo Abe 58.8% 30.1% 11.1%
17-19 Feb NTV Shinzo Abe 54.9% 26.0% 19.1%
17-19 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 66% 24% 9%
11-12 Feb NHK Shinzo Abe 58% 23% 19%
4-5 Feb JNN Shinzo Abe 65.4% 33.4% 1.2%
28-29 Jan FNN Shinzo Abe 60.7% 30.7% 8.6%
28-29 Jan ANN Shinzo Abe 55.3% 27.5% 17.2%
27-29 Jan The Nikkei Shinzo Abe 66% 26%
27-29 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 61% 31% 8%
20-22 Jan NTV Shinzo Abe 57.2% 28.9% 13.9%
14-15 Jan JNN Shinzo Abe 67.0% 31.5% 1.7%
7-9 Jan NHK Shinzo Abe 55% 29% 16%
2017
17-18 Dec FNN Shinzo Abe 55.6% 30.9% 13.5%
12-13 Nov FNN Shinzo Abe 57.9% 31.9% 10.2%
15-16 Oct FNN Shinzo Abe 57.6% 35.5% 6.9%
17-18 Sep FNN Shinzo Abe 56.6% 33.3% 10.1%
9-11 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 62% 29% 9%
9-11 Sep NHK Shinzo Abe 57% 26% 17%
6-7 Aug FNN Shinzo Abe 55.4% 33.1% 11.5%
16-17 Jul FNN Shinzo Abe 49.8% 39.1% 11.1%
18-19 Jun FNN Shinzo Abe 49.4% 38.1% 10.6%
4-6 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 40% 11%
12-14 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 52% 36% 12%
5-7 Feb NHK Shinzo Abe 50% 34% 16%
30-31 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 56% 34% 9%
9-11 Jan NHK Shinzo Abe 46% 35% 19%
8-10 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 54% 36% 9%
2016
17-18 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 39% 12%
11-13 Dec NHK Shinzo Abe 46% 36% 18%
4-6 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 48% 40% 12%
6-8 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 51% 38% 11%
6-8 Nov NHK Shinzo Abe 47% 39% 14%
10-12 Oct NHK Shinzo Abe 43% 40% 17%
7-8 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 46% 45% 8%
19-20 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 41% 51% 8%
11–13 Sep NHK Shinzo Abe 43% 39% 18%
15-16 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 45% 45% 10%
7–9 Aug NHK Shinzo Abe 37% 46% 17%
24-26 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 43% 49% 8%
18–19 Jul Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 37% 46% 17%
11–12 Jun Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 39% 42% 19%
10–12 Jul NHK Shinzo Abe 41% 43% 16%
3-5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 40% 10%
20–21 Jun Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 39% 37% 24%
5-7 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 53% 36% 10%
5–7 Jun NHK Shinzo Abe 48% 34% 18%
16–17 May Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 45% 32% 23%
8-10 May Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 58% 32% 10%
8–10 May NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 32% 17%
18–19 Apr Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 44% 35% 21%
10–12 Apr NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 34% 15%
3-5 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 57% 35% 8%
14–15 Mar Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 46% 33% 21%
6–8 Mar NHK Shinzo Abe 46% 37% 17%
28 Jan-28 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 56% 36% 8%
14–15 Feb Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 50% 31% 19%
6–8 Feb NHK Shinzo Abe 54% 29% 17%
6-7 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 58% 34% 8%
17–18 Jan Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 42% 37% 21%
10–12 Jan NHK Shinzo Abe 50% 32% 18%
9-11 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 53% 38% 9%
2015
24-25 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 41% 10%
15–16 Dec Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 43% 34% 23%
5–7 Dec NHK Shinzo Abe 47% 38% 15%
2014

References

  1. MIC/e-gov legal database: 公職選挙法, chapter 5 (election dates), article 31 (general elections)
  2. "民主、衆参同日選も想定 年内に候補者170人擁立めざす". Nihon Keizai Shimbun. 6 June 2015. Retrieved 8 June 2015.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.