Madrilenian regional election, 2019

Madrilenian regional election, 2019
Community of Madrid
26 May 2019
All 129 seats in the Assembly of Madrid
65 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls

 
Leader Cristina Cifuentes Ángel Gabilondo Íñigo Errejón[1]
Party PP PSOE Podemos
Leader since 6 March 2015 21 February 2015 —
Leader's seat Madrid Madrid —
Last election 48 seats, 33.1% 37 seats, 25.4% 27 seats, 18.6%
Seats needed 17 28 38
 
Leader Ignacio Aguado Mauricio Valiente
Party Cs IU–Madrid
Leader since 2 March 2015 3 April 2016
Leader's seat Madrid —
Last election 17 seats, 12.2% 0 seats, 4.2%
Seats needed 48 65
Incumbent President

Cristina Cifuentes
PP

The 2019 Madrilenian regional election will be held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 11th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 129 seats in the Assembly will be up for election. As per convention, the election is expected to be held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, though the date may vary so as to make it coincide with the 2019 European Parliament election.

Electoral system

The 129 members of the Assembly of Madrid are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 per 100 of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. The Assembly is entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000, according to the updated data of the population census.[2][3] Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, with all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of all political rights entitled to vote. Additionally, Madrilenians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[4]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure at least the signature of 0.5 per 100 of the electors entered in electoral register of the Community of Madrid. Electors are barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days from the election call.[2][5][6]

Elections are fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The President of the Community of Madrid has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met—namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution—. Additionally, the chamber is to be automatically dissolved and a new election called if an investiture process fails to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remains of their four-year terms.[3][5]

Opinion polls

Individual poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If that date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. in the case of seat projections, they are displayed in bold and in a different font. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. 23 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Murcia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
NC Report/La Razón[p 1][p 2] 26–29 Apr 2017 1,000 59.3 35.9
51		 24.6
34		 18.1
26		 13.1
18		 ?
0		 – 10.3
Invymark/La Sexta[p 3] 26–27 Apr 2017 ? ? 30.9
44		 25.8
36		 21.3
30		 13.5
19		 ?
0		 – 5.1
Metroscopia/El País[p 4][p 5] 24–26 Apr 2017 1,200 72 25.7
36		 19.7
27		 24.9
35		 22.6
31		 2.1
0		 – 0.8
2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 N/A 70.8 38.2
51		 19.6
26		 w.UP 17.8
24		 w.UP 21.3
28		 16.9
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 N/A 74.1 33.4
45		 17.8
24		 20.9
28		 18.8
25		 5.3
7		 – 12.5
2015 regional election 24 May 2015 N/A 65.7 33.1
48		 25.4
37		 18.6
27		 12.2
17		 4.2
0		 – 7.7

Opinion poll sources

References

  1. ↑ "Pablo Iglesias pactó con Errejón la candidatura en Madrid para compensar su pérdida de poder estatal". El País (in Spanish). 2017-02-18.
  2. 1 2 Community of Madrid Electoral Law of 1986, Law No. 11 of November 16, 1986 Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (in Spanish). Retrieved on 22 February 2017.
  3. 1 2 Statute of Autonomy of the Community of Madrid of 1983, Organic Law No. 3 of February 25, 1983 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 22 February 2017.
  4. ↑ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  5. 1 2 General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985, Organic Law No. 5 of June 19, 1985 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 28 December 2016.
  6. ↑ "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
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