Madrid City Council election, 2019

Madrid City Council election, 2019
Madrid
26 May 2019

All 57 seats in the Madrid City Council
29 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls

 
Leader José Luis Martínez Almeida Manuela Carmena Purificación Causapié
Party PP Ahora Madrid PSOE
Leader since 28 April 2017 30 March 2015 3 August 2015
Leader's seat Madrid Madrid Madrid
Last election 21 seats, 34.6% 20 seats, 31.8% 9 seats, 15.3%
Current seats 21 20 9
Seats needed 8 9 20

 
Leader Begoña Villacís
Party Cs
Leader since 2 March 2015
Leader's seat Madrid
Last election 7 seats, 11.4%
Current seats 7
Seats needed 22

Incumbent Mayor

Manuela Carmena
Ahora Madrid


The 2019 Madrid City Council election is expected to be held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the city council of the municipality of Madrid. All 57 seats in the City Council will be up for election.

According to article 42.3 of the Spanish Electoral Law, local elections are held every 4 years on the fourth Sunday of May.[1]

Electoral system

The number of seats in the Madrid City Council is determined by the population count. According to the municipal electoral law, the population-seat relationship on each municipality is to be established on the following scale:

Inhabitants Seats
<100 3
101–250 5
251–1,000 7
1,001–2,000 9
2,001–5,000 11
5,001–10,000 13
10,001–20,000 17
20,001–50,000 21
50,001–100,000 25

Additionally, for populations greater than 100,000, 1 seat is to be added per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction, according to the most updated census data, and adding 1 more seat if the resulting seat count gives an even number.

All City Council members are elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Madrid municipality, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes in all of the municipality (which include blank ballotsfor none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.

The Spanish municipal electoral law establishes a clause stating that, if no candidate is to gather an absolute majority of votes to be elected as mayor of a municipality, the candidate of the most-voted party will be automatically elected to the post.[1]

Opinion polls

Individual poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. in the case of seat projections, they are displayed in bold and in a different font. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. 29 seats are required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Madrid.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
NC Report/La Razón[p 1][p 2] 26–29 Apr 2017 700 63.6 36.2
22
31.4
19
14.9
9
12.2
7
4.8
Invymark/La Sexta[p 3] 26–27 Apr 2017 ? ? 31.0
19
31.8
19
17.2
10
14.6
9
0.8
Metroscopia/El País[p 4][p 5] 24–26 Apr 2017 600 72 24.2
15
31.8
19
16.0
10
21.4
13
7.6
GAD3/ABC[p 6] 4–10 Sep 2015 502 ? 33.7
21
29.1
18
17.4
10
13.8
8
4.6
NC Report/La Razón[p 7][p 8] 26 Jul–8 Aug 2015 900 65.7 35.0
22
30.1
18
14.5
9
13.5
8
0.3
0
2.7
0
4.9
NC Report/La Razón[p 9][p 10] 16–20 Jun 2015 900 ? 35.7
22
32.9
20
13.0
8
12.6
7
1.1
0
1.3
0
2.8
2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 N/A 68.9 34.6
21
31.8
20
15.3
9
11.4
7
1.8
0
1.7
0
2.8

Opinion poll sources

  1. "La «operación Lezo» no lastra al PP: hoy gobernaría el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". La Razón (in Spanish). 1 May 2017.
  2. "Encuesta NC Report abril 2017" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 1 May 2017.
  3. "El PP seguiría siendo el partido más votado en la Comunidad de Madrid pero tendría difícil gobernar". La Sexta (in Spanish). 2 May 2017.
  4. "El PP se desploma y Ahora Madrid se convierte en primera fuerza". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2017.
  5. "Situación política en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2017.
  6. "Carmena perdería la alcaldía de Madrid en solo tres meses de gobierno". ABC (in Spanish). 13 September 2015.
  7. "PP y C’s ganarían hoy en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 August 2015.
  8. "Encuesta agosto 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 25 August 2015.
  9. "El PP gobernaría hoy Madrid y el PSOE cae por su pacto con Podemos". La Razón (in Spanish). 21 June 2015.
  10. "NC Report / 20 de junio de 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 21 June 2015.

References

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