Lebanese general election, 2018

Lebanese general election, 2018

TBA
All 128 seats to the Parliament of Lebanon 65 seats needed for a majority
Leader Saad Hariri Gebran Bassil Nabih Berri Party Future Movement Free Patriotic Movement Amal Movement Alliance March 14 March 8 March 8 Leader's seat Beirut 3 None Tebnine Last election 26 seats, 20.31% 19 seats, 14.84% 13 seats, 10.16% Current seats 26 19 13   Leader Hassan Nasrallah Samir Geagea Walid Jumblatt Party Hezbollah Lebanese Forces Progressive Socialist Party Alliance March 8 March 14 None Leader's seat None None Chouf Last election 12 seats, 9.37% 8 seats, 6.25% 7 seats, 5.46% Current seats 12 8 7
Incumbent Prime Minister Saad Hariri Future Movement

Lebanon
This article is part of a series on the politics and government of Lebanon
Constitution Constitution of 1926
Executive President List of presidents Incumbent: Michel Aoun Prime Minister Incumbent: Saad Hariri Cabinet
Legislature Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri Current members
Political parties Lebanese Forces Movement of the Future Kataeb Party Hezbollah Free Patriotic Movement Syrian Social Nationalist Party
Elections Presidential: 2008, 2014–2016 General: 2009, next
Other issues Governorates Districts Municipalities Armed Forces Human rights Foreign relations
Other countries Atlas

General elections were supposed to be held in Lebanon in 2014.^[1] However, the failure of Parliament in electing a new President, two thirds of the body extended its own term until 2017^[2] then 2018.^[3]

Background

Following the last election, it took several months to form a new government. Saad Hariri eventually became prime minister in a March 14 government. About a year later, Walid Jumblatt's PSP broke away from the March 14 alliance and withdrew its ministers. Jumblatt then traveled to Syria for the first time in decades and met President Bashar al-Assad. After the government fell over the issue of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, a new government was formed by Najib Mikati that consisted of March 8 alliance parties, as well as the PSP.

Over the course of the Syrian civil war, fissures started to grow in Lebanon as March 14 parties supported the opposition in Syria and March 8 parties were ostensibly supportive of the Syrian government, particularly in the early stages, and faced accusation from the opposition and its affiliated media of kowtowing to the Syrian government. As the conflict started to spill over into Lebanon, both via refugees and Lebanon's own diverse demographics that are broadly reflective of Syria's own diversity, tensions started to grow. A spate of sectarian kidnappings and threats followed, some of which turned fatal.^[4]

On 22 March 2013, Mikati resigned citing a negative climate over the appointment of a committee to oversee the election and the extension of Internal Security Forces (ISF) head Ashraf Rifi, who was expected to retire in April. On 5 April, a new March 14-backed consensus candidate for prime minister was announced, Tammam Salam.

Electoral system

Electoral districts as per te 2017 vote law

In June 2017 a new electoral law was passed, replacing the previous system under which the 128 members of parliament were elected from 26 multi-member constituencies in which voters cast as many votes as there were seats in their constituency and the candidates with the highest number of votes within each religious community were elected.^[5] The new electoral law instituted proportional representation in 15 multi-member constituencies.^[6]

Campaign

In summer 2012, Tashnag re-iterated its commitment to the Christian alliance with the Free Patriotic Movement and its leader Michel Aoun as part of the March 8 alliance. However, it also held talks with March 14 alliance parties, partly as a result of municipal elections that enabled it to work with the other parties. Metn MP Hagop Pakradounian paid a visit to Sami Gemayel in order to "dispel the heavy summer clouds that overshadowed the previous period. [Today] we have no fundamental political quarrel with the Phalangists, but we differ due to their membership of March 14. So we prefer to discuss what we agree on. We are comfortable with our alliance with the FPM, and also open to all options. Our aim is to form broad alliances across the entirety Christian street;" while he also paid a visit to Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea, though he said that "Geagea has a representative capacity which we respect, and we appreciate his gesture toward us. But our political disagreements exceed our areas of agreement." On the other hand, Tashnag's relations with MP Michel Murr were stronger, as Pakradounian said: "We have a permanent honeymoon. We confer continually, although we haven’t yet spoken in detail about the elections." Yet he also said of the FPM that "the goodwill shown by the Aounists who reached out to form an alliance with us, refusing to let the Armenian vote and voice be sidelined or the Tashnag excluded from government. [Our ties are] unbreakable, however hard those who don’t like it may try, [more so that it does not commit it to any specific policy line]." Another March 14 party they opposed was the Future Movement, whom Secretary-General Hovig Mekhitarian was said to have been given a promise by then leader Rafik al-Hariri as part of the 2005 election to give the party "proper" representation in parliament, but his son, Saad Hariri then opted to "retain his father’s employees." The party's relations with Walid Jumblatt's Progressive Socialist Party were said to be informal with no progress beyond protocol visits. Pakradounian explained Tashnag's concern as lying with the "subservience" of smaller Armenian parties, who do not decide the community’s MPs nor have a say in the selection of other MPs, he cited, however, that Tashnag "makes its decisions independently, through internal party discussions, without any pressure from its allies." As a result, Aounists in Metn were said to be confident that the election "will be a replica of 2009 in terms of the alliances, lists and the vacant Armenian seat [even though] some of the Tashnag’s votes will go to Sami Gemayel and Michel Murr." The party also refuted allegations that it was Syria's stooge, with Pakradounian saying: "We have no vested interests with Damascus. We do not own apartments or palaces there. Our party didn’t crawl down the road to Damascus when the Syrians were present in Lebanon, and didn’t change its tune once they left."^[7]

Marketing

Since the Lebanese Civil War, electoral campaigns have increasingly relied on marketing strategies. This was especially true for FPM and Kataeb, who had leading marketers run their campaign for the party and individual candidates. This included such measures as choosing party colours.^[8]

Postponement

Since a new President should have been elected by Parliament before the legislative elections could have taken place, and because of the deadlock which has resulted in fourteen fruitless attempts at choosing a Head of State, Parliament decided on November 5, 2014 to extend its term by 2 years, 7 months.^[2] The deadlock is related to the ongoing situation in the Syrian Civil War, where both sides have major Lebanese parties as allies, as well as the intricacies of Lebanon's confessional political system.

See also

• Lebanese presidential election, 2014–2016

References

Elections in Lebanon
General elections	1922 1925 1927 1932 1943 1947 1951 1953 1957 1960 1964 1968 1972 1992 1996 2000 2005 2009 2018