Texas gubernatorial election, 2010

Texas gubernatorial election, 2010
Texas
November 2, 2010

 
Nominee Rick Perry Bill White
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,737,481 2,106,395
Percentage 55.0% 42.3%

County Results



Governor before election

Rick Perry
Republican


Elected Governor

Rick Perry
Republican

The 2010 Texas gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Perry ran successfully for election to a third consecutive term. He won the Republican primary against U.S. Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison. The former Mayor of Houston, Bill White, won the Democratic nomination. Kathie Glass, a lawyer from Houston and previous candidate for Texas Attorney General, won the Libertarian nomination. Deb Shafto was the nominee of the Texas Green Party. Andy Barron, an orthodontist from Lubbock, was a declared write-in candidate.

The Lieutenant Governor of Texas is elected on a separate ticket. As a result, the Governor-elect and Lieutenant Governor-elect may be, and have in the past been, of different political parties. For that race, Linda Chavez-Thompson won the Democratic Party nomination and avoided a runoff; incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst won re-election. Scott Jameson was the Libertarian nominee.

Perry's fourth inauguration was held on January 18, 2011 at the Texas State Capitol grounds. Exit Polls showed Perry winning whites (71% to 29%), while White performed well among blacks (88% to 12%) and Hispanics (61% to 38%)

The Governor of Texas and Lieutenant Governor of Texas are both sworn-in on the third Tuesday of January every four years. Perry's fourth inauguration for a third full four-year term began on January 18, 2011 on the State Capitol South Grounds.

Election rules

Texas does not have term limits for its governors; thus, gubernatorial incumbents are free to run as often as they want if they are eligible for the office.

The Republicans and Democrats chose their gubernatorial nominees based on the results of primary votes held on March 2, 2010 (the first Tuesday in March[1]). Both parties' candidates received at least 20 percent of the total votes cast for governor in the 2006 election; thus, they must nominate their candidates via primary election.[2]

Any third-party which obtains ballot access must nominate its candidates via a statewide convention, which by law must be held on June 12, 2010 (the second Saturday in June[3]). The Libertarian Party obtained ballot access automatically due to its 2008 showing, in which one of its nominees attracted over one million votes.

In the primary election the party's winning candidate must garner a majority (over 50%) of votes cast; otherwise, the top two candidates face each other in a runoff election. However, in the general election, the winning candidate needs only a plurality of votes to be elected Governor (as was the case with the 2006 election and the 1990 election, in which Libertarian Jeff Daiell attracted over 129,000 votes).

Independent and write-in candidates may seek ballot access; however, the criteria for such access are quite strict (see "Ballot Access" below). Nevertheless, in the 2006 election, two independent candidates, Carole Keeton Strayhorn, the Republican State Comptroller, and Kinky Friedman, a popular Texas country musician, obtained enough signatures to qualify. The Libertarian nominee, James Werner, was on the ballot automatically because of that party's Texas showing in the 2004 general election.

Ballot access

Political party candidates

Any political party whose candidate for governor, during the 2006 election, garnered at least 20 percent of the total votes cast, must nominate all its candidates for all offices sought via primary election.[2] In the 2006 election, both the Democratic candidate (Chris Bell) and the Republican candidate (Rick Perry) received this many votes; thus, both parties must hold primary elections using the two-round system. The primary elections must be held on the first Tuesday in March,[1] and a candidate must receive a majority of votes cast in the primary election;[4] otherwise, a runoff election between the top two finishers must be held[5] on the second Tuesday in April.[6]

A political party whose candidate for governor, during the 2006 election, received at least two percent but less than 20 percent of the total votes cast, may nominate its candidates for all offices sought via either a primary election (using the two-round system) or a state convention. If the party chooses to conduct a primary election, it must notify the Texas Secretary of State at least one year prior to the general election date and must nominate all its candidates via primary election.[7] No third-party candidate met this requirement in 2006; the last to do so was the Libertarian Party in 1990 (when nominee Jeff Daiell polled over 3.3% of the vote).

All other political parties must nominate their candidates via state convention,[8] which by law must be held on the second Saturday in June.[3] In order to qualify for ballot access at the general election, the party must either:

Independent candidates

Should an independent gubernatorial candidate seek ballot access in the state of Texas, the candidate must meet the following requirements:

Write-in candidates

In the event a candidate does not qualify for independent status, the person may still run as a write-in candidate. The candidate must either:[18]

Republican primary

Candidates

Endorsements

Perry

Debra Medina

Hutchison

Polling

Note: polls used different sample sizes and citizen groups. A candidate must have a majority of the vote (>50%) to avoid a runoff with their second place opponent.

Poll Source Date(s)
administered
Rick
Perry
Kay Bailey
Hutchison
Debra
Medina
Other Unde-
cided
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 23, 2010 48% 27% 16% 9%
Public Policy Polling (report) February 19–21, 2010 40% 31% 20% 9%
Research 2000 (report) February 8–10, 2010 42% 30% 17% 11%
Public Policy Polling (report) February 4–7, 2010 39% 28% 24% 10%
University of Texas (report) February 1–7, 2010 45% 21% 19% 16%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 1, 2010 44% 29% 16% 11%
Rasmussen Reports (report) January 17, 2010 43% 33% 12% 11%
Rasmussen Reports (report) November 13, 2009 46% 35% 4% 14%
University of Texas (report) November 3, 2009 42% 30% 7% 4% 18%
Rasmussen Reports (report) September 16, 2009 38% 40% 3% 19%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 15, 2009 46% 36% 5% 14%
Texas Politics (report) June 11–22, 2009 38% 27% 8% 26%
38% 26% 9% 27%
Texas Lyceum (report) June 5–12, 2009 33% 21% 1% 41%
Rasmussen Reports (report) May 7, 2009 42% 38% 7% 13%
Texas Politics (report) February 24 – Mar. 6, 2009 29% 37% 10% 24%
Public Policy Polling (report) February 18–20, 2009 31% 56%
Texas Lyceum (report) June 12–20, 2008 22% 35%

Results

Results of the Republican gubernatorial primary by county.
Republican Primary results[180]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Perry (inc.) 758,222 51.1
Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison 450,196 30.3
Republican Debra Medina 275,693 18.6
Total votes 1,484,111 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Endorsements

White

Shami

Polling

Poll Source Date(s)
Administered
Felix
Alvarado
Alma
Aguado
Kinky
Friedman*
Tom
Schieffer*
Bill
White
Farouk
Shami
Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report) February 19–21, 2010 5% 3% 59% 12% 18%
Public Policy Polling (report) February 4–7, 2010 5% 2% 49% 19% 24%
University of Texas (report) October 20–27, 2009 2% 19% 10% 55%
University of Texas (report) June 11–22, 2009 12% 2% 62%
Texas Lyceum (report) June 5–12, 2007 10% 6% 73%
Wilson Research (report) September 21, 2007 9% 12% 30%

* Dropped out prior to the primary.

Results

Democratic Primary results[180][205]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bill White 516,621 76.0
Democratic Farouk Shami 87,268 12.8
Democratic Felix Alvarado 33,708 5.0
Democratic Alma Aguado 19,556 2.9
Democratic Clement E. Glenn 9,852 1.4
Democratic Bill Dear 6,574 1.0
Democratic Star Locke 6,298 0.9
Total votes 679,877 100

Election

Candidates

Major

Candidates who have obtained at least 5% or more in at least one pre-election poll

Minor

Predictions

Source Rating As of
Cook Political Report Lean R[208] October 30, 2010
Rothenberg Report Lean R[209] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Leans R[210] October 30, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R[211] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans R[212] October 30, 2010
New York Times R[213] October 30, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Lean R[214] October 30, 2010

Polling

Poll
Source
Date(s)
Administered
Sample
size
Margin of
Error
Rick
Perry
(R)
Kathie
Glass
(L)
Bill
White
(D)
Other Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report) October 26–28, 2010 568 ± 4.1% 53% 44% 3%
Lighthouse Opinion and Polling Research (report) October 15–17, 2010 1200 ± 2.9% 48% 3% 37% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling (report) September 2–6, 2010 538 ± 4.2% 48% 42% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) August 22, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 41% 3% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (report) July 13, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 41% 2% 7%
Public Policy Polling (report) June 19–21, 2010 500 ± 4.4% 43% 43% 14%
Rasmussen Reports (report) June 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 40% 5% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (report) May 13, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 51% 38% 4% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report) April 14, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 44% 2% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report) March 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 43% 3% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 22, 2010 1,200 ± 3.0% 47% 41% 5% 7%
Public Policy Polling (report) February 4–7, 2010 1,200 ± 2.8% 48% 42% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (report) February 1, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 48% 39% 5% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (report) January 17, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 50% 40% 4% 6%

Results

Texas Gubernatorial Election 2010[215]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican Rick Perry (inc.) 2,737,481 54.97 +15.95
Democratic Bill White 2,106,395 42.30 +12.52
Libertarian Kathie Glass 109,211 2.19 +1.58
Green Deb Shafto 19,516 0.39 +0.39
Independent Andy Barron (Write-In) 7,267 0.15
Majority 631,086 12.67
Turnout 4,979,870
Republican hold

References

  1. 1 2 Texas Election Code, Section 41.007(a)
  2. 1 2 Texas Election Code, Section 172.001
  3. 1 2 Texas Election Code, Section 181.061(a)
  4. Texas Election Code, Section 172.003
  5. Texas Election Code, Section 172.004
  6. Texas Election Code, Section 41.007(b)
  7. Texas Election Code, Section 172.002
  8. Texas Election Code, Section 181.003
  9. Texas Election Code, Section 181.005(b)
  10. Texas Election Code, Section 181.005(a)
  11. Texas Election Code, Section 181.006(b)(2)
  12. Texas Election Code, Section 181.006(g)
  13. Texas Election Code, Section 142.007
  14. Texas Election Code, Sections 142.008 and 142.009
  15. Texas Election Code, Section 141.066
  16. Texas Election Code, Section 142.009(1)
  17. Texas Election Code, Section 142.006(a)
  18. Texas Election Code, Section 146.023 (filing fee or signatures required)
  19. Texas Election Code, Section 146.0231 (referencing Section 172.024)
  20. Texas Election Code, Section 146.0230 (referencing Section 172.025)
  21. Texas Election Code, Section 146.025
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  116. "Texas Ophthalmological Association Endorses Gov. Rick Perry for Re-election | Texans for Rick Perry". Rickperry.org. February 8, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
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  122. "Texas Podiatric Medical Association Endorses Gov. Perry for Re-election | Texans for Rick Perry". Rickperry.org. October 8, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
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Debate:

Voter resources:

Republican candidates for Governor:

Democratic candidates for Governor:

Libertarian candidate for governor:

Third party/Independent candidates for Governor:

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