Hwasong-14

Hwasong-14
Type Ballistic missile, mobile ICBM
Place of origin North Korea
Service history
In service Successful test on 4 July 2017
Used by North Korea
Production history
Manufacturer North Korea
Specifications
Length 19.5m[1]
Diameter 1.70m
Warhead weight Unknown

Engine 2-stage liquid-propellant
1st: 1 + 4 verniers
2nd: ?
main propulsion possibly derived from the Soviet RD-250 (single-chamber version)
453kN
Propellant Liquid rocket propellant[2]
Operational
range
6,700–10,000 km (4,200–6,200 mi)[3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]
Flight altitude ~3720 km
Korean name
Chosŏn'gŭl 화성 14
Hancha 14
Revised Romanization Hwasong-14
McCune–Reischauer Hwasong-14

The Hwasong-14 (Chosŏn'gŭl: 화성 14; hancha: 火星 14, meaning Mars-14), also known under alternative US designation KN-20,[5] is a mobile intercontinental ballistic missile developed by North Korea. It had its maiden flight on 4 July 2017, which coincided with the United States' Independence Day.[11] North Korea is the only known operator of this missile.

Design

The Hwasong-14 is likely a two-staged version of the Hwasong-12 first tested in May 2017.[12] The second stage appears to have increased its range.[12] The first stage engine appears very similar to the Hwasong-12. With a single liquid fuel engine, it has four Vernier thrusters for stability and guidance.[12] The trajectory of the first KN-20 test indicates that its upper stage was propelled by a set of vernier engines from an old Soviet submarine-launched ballistic missile (R-27 Zyb) whose technology was acquired by Pyongyang from Russia in the 1990s.[13][14] Less is known about the Hwasong-14's second stage.[12]

Chinese Transporter Erector

Like the Hwasong-12, the Hwasong-14 appears to be transported on an off-road capable Wanshan Special Vehicle WS51200 8 axle transporter erector vehicle. This capability is particularly well-suited for North Korea, which has only around 700 km of paved road throughout the country.[15] The vehicle uses a US-designed Cummins KTTA19 C700 diesel engine.[16] The vehicle was imported from China and declared for civilian use by the North Korean foreign ministry.[17][18] Mike Turner, chairman of the House Armed Services subcommittee on strategic forces stated that "the prospect of Chinese support for this program, which ‘would require approval from the highest levels of China’s government and from the People’s Liberation Army,’ means that China is enabling North Korea to deploy ICBMs that could be tipped with nuclear warheads aimed at the United States. Such cooperation therefore poses a direct threat to the security of the American people."[16] Although it is hard to believe that the Chinese were not aware that North Korea would use the vehicle chassis for its illicit missile program, available evidence suggests that Pyongyang did indeed add the erectors at facilities known to assemble missile TELs.[19]

But the missile is launched from a detachable platform on a concrete pad. This could have several operational ramifications. It may increase the time required to launch the Hwasong-12, and limit the number of launch locations to pre-sited and pre-constructed launch pads.[20]

List of Hwasong-14 tests

Attempt Date Location Pre-launch announcement / detection Outcome Additional Notes
1 4 July 2017 [21] near Panghyon Airport, 39.872126 N 125.269258 E[22] None Success ICBM variant of Hwasong-12 with second stage added and smaller reentry vehicle was fired on a lofted trajectory with apogee of 2,802 km (1,741 mi), landing 933 km (580 mi) away in the Sea of Japan.
2 28 July 2017 [23] near Mupyong-ni, Chagang Province Detected by US intelligence since 20 July[24] Success Fired on a lofted trajectory with apogee of 3,724.9 km (2,314.5 mi), landing 998 km (620 mi) away in the Sea of Japan near Hokkaido, with a total flight time of 47 minutes, 12 seconds.

First test flight

Very high angle[7] lofted trajectories of Hwasong-14

The first publicly announced flight test was on the 4th July 2017,[lower-roman 1] to coincide with the US Independence Day celebrations. This flight had a claimed range of 933 kilometres (580 mi) eastwards into the Sea of Japan and reached an altitude of 2,802 kilometres (9,193,000 ft) during a 39 minute flight.[25]

This range was deliberately shortened, to avoid encroaching on other nations' territory, by 'lofting' the missile: firing it on a trajectory that was inefficiently high, rather than optimised for range. This allows the missile's performance to be tested and demonstrated, without requiring a huge test range.[25]

A prediction for the possible range, following an optimum trajectory, has been given at 6,700 kilometres (4,200 mi)[26] or as much as 10,400 kilometres (6,500 mi) not taking into account the Earth’s rotation. If true, then this brings the U.S. states of Alaska and Hawaii within the missile's range.[25]

Second test flight

Preparations for a second test flight were detected by US intelligence as early as 20 July.[24] On 28 July, the missile was fired at 11:41 p.m local time, the first time which a night time launch was carried out. [27][28] The missile was fired at a lofted trajectory with apogee of 3,700 km (2,300 mi), landing 998 km (620 mi) away with a total flight time of approximately 47 minutes. Based on the data from the test flight, if the missile were fired at the optimal efficient trajectory, it is predicted that the maximum effective range would exceed 10,000 km (6,200 mi). If factoring in the rotation of the Earth, which may provide a range boost when travelling eastward, the Hwasong-14’s coverage area would include the US West Coast, Chicago, and possibly even New York,[20] but only with a substantially reduced payload.[13]

See also

References

  1. There is a 12½ hour time difference from North Korean local time to Eastern Daylight Time. The missile was launched at 9am, North Korean local time, on the morning of 4th July. This was 8:30pm Washington time on the evening of 3rd July.
  1. "North Korean HS-14 ICBM". www.b14643.de. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  2. Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat (Report). Defense Intelligence Ballistic Missile Analysis Committee. June 2017. p. 29. NASIC-1031-0985-17. Retrieved 16 July 2017.
  3. "North Korea Appears to Launch Missile with 6,700 km Range". 3 July 2017.
  4. "N. Korea likely to have operational ICBM capable of striking U.S. West Coast next year or two: U.S. expert".
  5. 1 2 Diplomat, Ankit Panda, The. "Why Is Russia Denying That North Korea Launched an ICBM?". thediplomat.com. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  6. Lewis, Jeffrey (10 July 2017). "That's more or less our range estimate too -- 7,000-10,000 km.https://twitter.com/nktpnd/status/884502134552657920 …". twitter.com. Retrieved 12 August 2017. External link in |title= (help)
  7. 1 2 "What is True and Not True About North Korea’s Hwasong-14 ICBM: A Technical Evaluation". 38 North. July 10, 2017. As was noted at the time, the Hwasong-14 was launched on a very high angle “lofted” trajectory to avoid overflying Japan, ...
  8. "Arms Control Wonk : North Korea's ICBM: Hwasong-14". armscontrolwonk.libsyn.com. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  9. "Arms Control Wonk : North Korea's New Missiles". www.armscontrolwonk.libsyn.com. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  10. "North Korean ICBM Appears Able to Reach Major US Cities". ucsusa.org. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  11. "North Korea's Kim Jong Un says ICBM an Independence Day 'gift' to 'American b**tards': KCNA". The Straits Times. 2017-07-05. Retrieved 2017-07-05.
  12. 1 2 3 4 "Hwasong-14". Center for Strategic and International Studies. Retrieved 7 July 2017.
  13. 1 2 "What Next for North Korea’s ICBM? - 38 North: Informed Analysis of North Korea". 38north.org. 1 August 2017. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  14. https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/legacy_files/files/publication/150325_Korea_Military_Balance.pdf
  15. "KN-15 (Pukkuksong-2) - Missile Threat". csis.org. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  16. 1 2 "China Arms the DPRK - Washington Free Beacon". freebeacon.com. 25 April 2012. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  17. Melissa Hanham (July 31, 2012). "North Korea's Procurement Network Strikes Again: Examining How Chinese Missile Hardware Ended Up in Pyongyang". NTI. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
  18. "North Korea appeared to use China truck in its first claimed ICBM test". 4 July 2017. Retrieved 12 August 2017 via Reuters.
  19. "That Ain’t My Truck: Where North Korea Assembled Its Chinese Transporter-Erector-Launchers". 38north.org. 3 February 2014. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  20. 1 2 "Hwasong-14 (KN-20) - Missile Threat". csis.org. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  21. "North Korea announces successful ICBM test". NK News.org. 5 July 2017.
  22. "North Korea’s Hwasong-14 Missile Launch Site Identified: The Panghyon Aircraft Factory". 38 North. Johns Hopkins. Retrieved July 7, 2017.
  23. "North Korea announces successful ICBM test". NK News.org. 28 July 2017.
  24. 1 2 "US intelligence shows North Korean preparations for a possible missile test". 20 July 2017.
  25. 1 2 3 John Schilling (5 July 2017). "North Korea Finally Tests an ICBM". 38 North.
  26. David Wright, (3 July 2017). "North Korea Appears to Launch Missile with 6,700 km Range". Union of Concerned Scientists.
  27. "Pentagon Spokesman Comments on North Korean Missile Launch". Department of Defense. 28 July 2017.
  28. "Why North Korea's Night Missile Launch Was So Unusual". 28 July 2017.
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