Galician regional election, 2016

Galician regional election, 2016
Galicia (Spain)
25 September 2016
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 2,701,932 0.2%
Turnout 1,448,962 (53.6%)
1.3 pp

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo Luis Villares Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga
Party PP En Marea PSdeG–PSOE
Leader since 15 January 2006 19 August 2016 28 May 2016
Leader's seat Pontevedra Lugo A Coruña
Last election 41 seats, 45.8% 9 seats, 13.9% 18 seats, 20.6%
Seats won 41 14 14
Seat change 0 5 4
Popular vote 682,150 273,523 256,381
Percentage 47.6% 19.1% 17.9%
Swing 1.8 pp 5.2 pp 2.7 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Ana Pontón Cristina Losada
Party BNG–Nós C's
Leader since 30 April 2016 9 August 2016
Leader's seat A Coruña (running for
A Coruña)
Last election 7 seats, 10.1% Did not contest
Seats won 6 0
Seat change 1 0
Popular vote 119,446 48,553
Percentage 8.3% 3.4%
Swing 1.8 pp New party

Constituency results map for the Parliament of Galicia
President before election

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
PP

 Elected President

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
PP

The 2016 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 25 September 2016, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in the Basque Country.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo announced the election would be brought forward to September, after initially scheduling to held it throughout October, after Basque Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu announced he would held the Basque election on 25 September.[1] Feijóo argued his decision in that it would make "no sense" to hold the election just mere weeks after the Basque poll, specially considering the state of political instability dominating the national landscape and the possible backlash the regional elections could have on parties' stances during the government formation process.[2]

The election took place in a situation in which the Spanish political landscape had undergone a major transformation in a short time, with a decrease of PP and PSOE nationally and the emergence of new options such as Podemos and C's.

Overview

Background

After his defeat in the 2012 election, Pachi Vázquez announced his intention to abandon Socialists' Party of Galicia's leadership within a year and to allow for a primary election to be held to elect his successor.[3] The primaries were held on 7 September 2013, in which José Ramón Gómez Besteiro emerged as winner with 77% of the votes,[4] with his appointment ratified at a special party congress held on 29 September.[5]

However, Gómez Besteiro came under public scrutiny after being indicted on 3 July 2015 for four crimes, including influence peddling, bribery, prevarication and a crime against regional planning, allegedly committed during Besteiro's time in the local government of Lugo in 2005.[6] On 12 March 2016, with just a few months to go for the next regional election to be held, Besteiro was accused of a further six crimes—new bribery, prevarication and influence peddling crimes, as well as abuse of public administrations, subsidy fraud and embezzlement of public funds[7]—which prompted him to announce his declination to be the party's candidate to the Xunta de Galicia in the next regional election the following day.[8] Mounting pressure from his party's colleagues, however, eventually led to Besteiro resigning as party leader on 18 March.[9] Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga was elected on 28 May through a primary election to be Besteiro's replacement as candidate to the Xunta,[10] while a management committee took charge of the party.

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in matters of regional competence as underlined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to grant or revoke confidence from a President of the Xunta.[11] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, with all nationals over eighteen, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of all political rights entitled to vote. Additionally, Galicians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[12]

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 per 100 of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over five percent, dependant on the district magnitude.[13] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of 10 seats, with the remaining 35 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[14][11]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure at least the signature of 1 per 100 of the electors entered in electoral register of the constituency for which they were seeking election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days from the election call.[14][15][16]

Election date

Article 11 of the Statute of Autonomy for Galicia of 1981 established that the term of the Parliament expired four years from the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. Article 12 of the Parliament of Galicia Elections Law of 1985 required for the election Decree to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of the Parliament in the event that the President did not make use of his prerogative of early dissolution. The Decree was to be published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia, with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 21 October 2012, which meant that the legislature's term would expire on 21 October 2016. The election Decree was required to be published no later than 27 September 2016, with the election taking place on the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament at Saturday, 26 November 2016.[11][14]

Article 24 of the Xunta and President Law of 1983 granted the President the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that it did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. Additionally, under Article 17 of the Law the Parliament was to be dissolved and a new election called if an investiture process failed to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot.[17]

Campaign

Parties, leaders and slogans

Party/alliance Leader/candidate Campaign slogan(s)
People's Party (PP) Alberto Núñez Feijóo "In Galicia yes"[18]
Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga "A new response"[18]
In Tide (En Marea) Luis Villares "A fair country"[19]
Galician Nationalist Bloc–We–Galician Candidacy (BNG–Nós) Ana Pontón "Build Galicia. With hope. Galicia with you"[18]
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) Cristina Losada "Galicia deserves more"[20]

Opinion polls

Individual poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If that date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. in the case of seat projections, they are displayed in bold and in a different font. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 25 September 2016 Parliament of Galicia election results
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Won +/−
People's Party (PP) 682,150 47.56 +1.76 41 ±0
In Tide (En Marea)1 273,523 19.07 +5.16 14 +5
Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) 256,381 17.87 –2.74 14 –4
Galician Nationalist Bloc–We–Galician Candidacy (BNG–Nós) 119,446 8.33 –1.78 6 –1
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 48,553 3.38 New 0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 15,135 1.06 +0.50 0 ±0
Blank ballots 14,037 0.98 –1.68
Total 1,434,418 100.00 75 ±0
Valid votes 1,434,418 99.00 +1.53
Invalid votes 14,544 1.00 –1.53
Votes cast / turnout 1,448,962 53.63 –1.28
Abstentions 1,252,970 46.37 +1.28
Registered voters 2,701,932
Source(s): Xunta of Galicia, historiaelectoral.com
Popular vote
PP
  
 47.56%
En Marea
  
 19.07%
PSdeG–PSOE
  
 17.87%
BNG–Nós
  
 8.33%
C's
  
 3.38%
PACMA
  
 1.06%
Others
  
 1.76%
Blank ballots
  
 0.98%
Seats
PP
  
 54.67%
En Marea
  
 18.67%
PSdeG–PSOE
  
 18.67%
BNG–Nós
  
 8.00%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP En Marea PSdeG BNG–Nós
% S % S % S % S
A Coruña 47.8 13 19.4 5 17.2 5 8.8 2
Lugo 52.8 8 15.4 2 19.1 3 7.4 1
Ourense 53.1 9 13.8 2 17.6 2 6.0 1
Pontevedra 43.3 11 22.0 5 18.4 4 9.0 2
Total 47.6 41 19.1 14 17.9 14 8.3 6

Aftermath

Investiture vote

First round: 10 November 2016
Absolute majority (38/75) required
Candidate: Alberto Núñez Feijoo
Choice Vote
Parties Votes
YesYes PP (41)
41 / 75
No En Marea (14), PSdeG–PSOE (14), BNG (6)
34 / 75
Abstentions
0 / 75
Source: historiaelectoral.com

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "Feijóo obtiene la mayoría absoluta y las Mareas igualan con el PSOE, según los sondeos". lainformacion.com (in Spanish). 25 September 2016.
  2. ↑ "Sondeos a pie de urna elecciones gallegas y vascas 2016". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 September 2016.
  3. ↑ "Feijoo revalidaría la mayoría absoluta, según Sondaxe". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 25 September 2016.
  4. ↑ "El PP revalida la mayoría absoluta en Galicia y En Marea supera al PSOE en votos, según GAD3". ABC (in Spanish). 25 September 2016.
  5. ↑ "Análisis de precisión: Encuesta publicada a las 20:00H (25-S)". GAD3 (in Spanish). 25 September 2016.
  6. ↑ "La última encuesta que la ley electoral permite difundir da 39 escaños al PP". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 20 September 2016.
  7. ↑ "El BNG araña un escaño en A Coruña al PSOE y este otro a En Marea en Ourense". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 19 September 2016.
  8. ↑ "Elecciones gallegas: El PP conseguiría 38 diputados, y los grupos de izquierdas, 36". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  9. ↑ "El PP volverá a gobernar Galicia con mayoría absoluta". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 17 September 2016.
  10. ↑ "El PSOE se hunde en País Vasco y queda tras En Marea en Galicia". La Razón (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  11. ↑ "Estimación de voto en Galicia" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  12. ↑ "Estimación de voto en Galicia (Por provincias)" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  13. ↑ "Feijóo revalidará la mayoría absoluta sin sufrir ningún desgaste". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 September 2016.
  14. ↑ "El PP araña un escaño a En Marea, que pierde ventaja sobre el PSOE". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 17 September 2016.
  15. ↑ "El PP se aproxima a una mayoría absoluta sin precedentes en Galicia". Atlántico (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  16. ↑ "El PP consolida su mayoría absoluta en Galicia con un PSOE hundido". ABC (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  17. ↑ "Encuesta socio-electoral en Galicia". GAD3 (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  18. ↑ "El BNG crece a costa de En Marea y de Ciudadanos y subiría a 4 escaños". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 16 September 2016.
  19. ↑ "La encuesta de Sondaxe: El arranque de la campaña no aclara la configuración del futuro Gobierno". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 September 2016.
  20. ↑ "Feijóo lograría una amplia mayoría absoluta y En Marea rebasaría al PSOE". El País (in Spanish). 17 September 2016.
  21. ↑ "Posible mayoría absoluta de Feijóo en las elecciones gallegas". Metroscopia (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  22. ↑ "Empate técnico entre PP y la izquierda". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 14 September 2016.
  23. ↑ "Los datos de la encuesta del CIS dan una gran ventaja a En Marea sobre el PSdeG que su 'cocina' no ha reflejado". Público (in Spanish). 11 September 2016.
  24. ↑ "En Marea ganaría un escaño, el PSOE perdería otro y la nacionalista Ana Pontón se quedaría sin acta". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 September 2016.
  25. ↑ "El PSdeG remonta a costa de En Marea". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 12 September 2016.
  26. ↑ "Feijoo conservaría la mayoría absoluta pese a perder tres escaños". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 11 September 2016.
  27. ↑ "GALICIA (Autonómicas), Septiembre 2016. Sondeo Einvenio". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 September 2016.
  28. ↑ "La crisis de la oposición empuja al PP hacia otra mayoría absoluta". Atlántico (in Spanish). 11 September 2016.
  29. ↑ "GALICIA (Autonómicas), Septiembre 2016. Sondeo Infortécnica". Electograph (in Spanish). 11 September 2016.
  30. ↑ "Preelectoral de Galicia. Elecciones autonómicas 2016 (Estudio nº 3153. Agosto-Septiembre 2016)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 September 2016.
  31. ↑ "En Marea desbancaría al PSOE como líder de una hipotética coalición multipartita". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 28 August 2016.
  32. ↑ "El PP tiene muchas posibilidades de lograr de nuevo la mayoría absoluta". Atlántico (in Spanish). 28 August 2016.
  33. ↑ "Feijóo mantiene su mayoría absoluta". La Razón (in Spanish). 28 August 2016.
  34. ↑ "El PP conserva la Xunta" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 28 August 2016.
  35. ↑ "Podemos podría obtener grupo propio". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 7 August 2016.
  36. ↑ "Un puñado de votos podrían inclinar el Gobierno hacia el PP o cuatro partidos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 7 August 2016.
  37. ↑ "El PP aguanta en Galicia y podría lograr su tercera mayoría absoluta". ABC (in Spanish). 10 April 2016.
  38. ↑ "Encuesta socio-electoral en Galicia". GAD3 (in Spanish). 7 April 2016.
  39. ↑ "En Galicia el PP perdería la mayoría absoluta, pero gobernaría con Ciudadanos". Twitter (in Spanish). 17 January 2016.
  40. ↑ "Podemos conquista los votos de AGE y BNG y casi iguala al PSOE en Galicia". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 9 November 2014.
  41. ↑ "Proyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos". El País (in Spanish). 31 May 2014.
  42. ↑ "Feijoo salva la mayoría, pero cede tres escaños frente a una izquierda al alza". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 20 October 2013.
  43. ↑ "La crisis y los escándalos hacen retroceder cinco escaños al PP". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 10 February 2013.

References

  1. ↑ "Urkullu moves forward the Basque election to 25 September" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-07-29.
  2. ↑ "Feijóo sets the Galician election for 25 September" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-08-01.
  3. ↑ "Pachi Vázquez guarantees that "the whole membership" will elect the new PSdeG leadership "before the summer"" (in Spanish). eldiario.es. 2013-02-28.
  4. ↑ "Besteiro will be the new leader of the Galician Socialists" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2013-09-06.
  5. ↑ "Gómez Besteiro takes command of the PSdeG asking for a party "without fissures'" (in Spanish). La Voz de Galicia. 2013-09-29.
  6. ↑ "The leader of the Galician PSOE, indicted for influence peddling, bribery and prevarication" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2015-07-03.
  7. ↑ "Trips to Disneyland and India charged to the Deputation of Lugo" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-03-11.
  8. ↑ "Besteiro declines his candidacy to the Xunta but will continue leading the Galician PSOE after adding 10 charges" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2016-03-12.
  9. ↑ "The leader of the Galician Socialists, Besteiro, resigns after adding 10 charges" (in Spanish). El País. 2016-03-18.
  10. ↑ "The candidate sponsored by Sánchez wins the Galician PSOE primaries to the candidate of the local barons" (in Spanish). infoLibre. 2016-03-18.
  11. 1 2 3 Statute of Autonomy for Galicia of 1981, Organic Law No. 1 of April 6, 1981 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 8 August 2017.
  12. ↑ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  13. ↑ "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. 30 July 2012. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  14. 1 2 3 Parliament of Galicia Elections Law of 1985, Law No. 2 of August 13, 1985 Official Journal of Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved on 8 August 2017.
  15. ↑ General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985, Organic Law No. 5 of June 19, 1985 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 28 December 2016.
  16. ↑ "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  17. ↑ Xunta and President Law of 1983, Law No. 1 of February 22, 1983 Official Journal of Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved on 8 August 2017.
  18. 1 2 3 "Starts a campaign in which Feijóo fights for the majority and the rest to unseat him" (in Spanish). El Confidencial. 2016-09-09.
  19. ↑ "Luis Villares, the judge who leaves the toga to aspire to the Xunta" (in Spanish). RTVE. 2016-09-08.
  20. ↑ "Citizens' bus and slogan sparks talk on networks" (in Spanish). La Voz de Galicia. 2016-09-12.
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