Estonian parliamentary election, 2019

Estonian parliamentary election, 2019
Estonia
2019
101 seats in the Riigikogu
51 seats are needed for a majority

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Hanno Pevkur Jüri Ratas Jevgeni Ossinovski[1]
Party Reform Centre Social Democratic
Last election 30 seats, 27.7% 27 seats, 24.8% 15 seats, 15.2%
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Helir-Valdor Seeder[2] Artur Talvik Mart Helme
Party Pro Patria and Res Publica Free Conservative People's
Last election 14 seats, 13.7% 8 seats, 8.7% 7 seats, 8.1%

Electoral districts
Prime Minister before election

Jüri Ratas
Centre

 Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Parliamentary elections will be held in Estonia in 2019.

Electoral system

The 101 members of the Riigikogu is elected by proportional representation in twelve multi-member constituencies. The seats are allocated using a modified D'Hondt method. Parties have to pass a nationwide threshold of 5%, but if the number of votes cast for an individual candidate exceeds or equals the simple quota (obtained by dividing the number of valid votes cast in the electoral district by the number of mandates in the district), they are elected.[3]

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date Polling Firm Ref Kesk SDE IRL EVA EKRE Green Others Lead Govt-Opposition
9–16 June 2017 TNS Emor 25.4 25.1 14.2 6.6 8.5 16.2 3 1 0.3 45.9 – 50.1
25 May–6 Jun 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 26 26 11 6 8 10 3 10 0 43 – 44
17–22 May 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 23.7 24.7 12.9 6.9 4.6 12.8 5.7 8.7 1 44.5 – 41.1
12–18 May 2017 TNS Emor 27.5 21.8 17.8 5.6 9.9 13.4 3.7 0.3 5.7 45.2 – 50.8
25 Apr–9 May 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 26 12 4 8 14 3 8 1 42 – 47
Apr 2017 TNS Emor 25 25 15 5 11 14 5 1 0 45 – 50
28 Mar–10 Apr 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 20 30 11 8 7 13 2 9 10 49 – 40
1–14 Mar 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 29 11 7 7 8 3 10 4 47 – 40
Mar 2017 TNS Emor 26 27 15 6 10 14 2 0 1 48 – 50
Feb 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 23 29 10 7 8 10 2 11 6 46 – 41
Feb 2017 TNS Emor 25 27 16 7 10 13 2 0 2 50 – 48
19–31 Jan 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 31 10 6 7 9 1 11 6 47 – 41
Dec 2016 TNS Emor 23 26 19 7 8 11 4 2 3 52 – 42
Dec 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 20 32 15 8 6 8 1 10 12 55 – 34
23 Nov 2016Jüri Ratas' cabinet is sworn in
Nov 2016 TNS Emor 23 24 19 9 11 10 3 1 1 N/A
Nov 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21 29 13 9 9 12 – 7 8 N/A
9 Nov 2016Taavi Rõivas loses the vote of confidence in Riigikogu
Oct 2016 TNS Emor 22 25 17 8 15 10 3 0 3 47 – 50
Oct 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 25 26 12 7 9 10 – 11 1 44 – 45
Sep 2016 TNS Emor 22 20 19 9 12 13 4 1 2 50 – 45
Sep 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 25 26 12 7 9 10 – 11 1 44 – 45
Aug 2016 TNS Emor 28 23 15 8 9 13 3 1 5 51 – 45
Aug 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23 24 15 5 10 13 – 10 1 43 – 47
Jun 2016 TNS Emor 27 21 17 6 11 14 3 1 6 50 – 46
Jun 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 20 28 10 7 12 13 2 8 8 37 – 53
May 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21 23 12 4 11 14 – 15 2 37 – 48
Apr 2016 TNS Emor 23 22 16 7 15 13 2 2 1 46 – 50
Apr 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21 25 13 7 12 14 – 8 4 41 – 51
Mar 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23 25 13 6 12 13 – 8 2 42 – 50
Mar 2016 TNS Emor 23 25 14 6 15 14 2 1 2 43 – 54
Feb 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23 29 12 6 12 11 – 7 6 41 – 52
Feb 2016 TNS Emor 22 22 16 6 16 13 3 2 0 44 – 51
Jan 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 17 26 13 7 13 12 – 12 9 37 – 51
Dec 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 20 25 14 7 13 10 – 11 5 41 – 48
Dec 2015 TNS Emor 21 25 16 8 15 11 3 1 3 45 – 51
Nov 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 17 33 13 8 11 9 – 9 16 38 – 53
Nov 2015 TNS Emor 20 23 16 7 16 12 3 1 3 43 – 51
Oct 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 19 27 14 8 14 10 – 8 8 41 – 51
Sep 2015 TNS Emor 24 24 18 7 17 7 3 1 0 49 – 48
Sep 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 21 29 15 9 11 6 – 9 8 45 – 46
Aug 2015 TNS Emor 20 25 16 9 17 9 3 2 5 45 – 51
Jun 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 16 28 18 9 15 6 – 8 10 43 – 49
Jun 2015 TNS Emor 18 26 16 8 19 9 3 1 7 42 – 54
May 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 18 31 13 9 14 7 – 8 13 40 – 52
May 2015 TNS Emor 19 26 17 8 18 8 3 1 7 44 – 52
Apr 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 22 26 17 10 12 7 – 6 4 49 – 45
Mar 2015 TNS Emor 28 24 16 10 12 9 1 0 4 54 – 45
1 Mar 2015 Election Results 27.7 24.8 15.2 13.7 8.7 8.1 0.9 0.9 2.9 56,6 – 41,6

References

  1. ↑ "Ossinovski valiti sotside uueks juhiks, Mikser loobus". Postimees. 30 May 2015. Retrieved 30 May 2015.
  2. ↑ "Helir-Valdor Seeder elected chairman of IRL". ERR. 13 May 2017. Retrieved 13 April 2017.
  3. ↑ "Riigikogu Election Act". Riigi Teataja. 20 January 2015. Retrieved 1 April 2015.
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