Castilian-Leonese regional election, 2011

22 May 2011

All 84 seats in the Cortes of Castile and León
43 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls

Registered

2,166,385

0.2%

Turnout

1,462,397 (67.5%)

3.2 pp

	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	Juan Vicente Herrera	Óscar López	José María González
Party	PP	PSOE	IUCyL
Leader since	16 March 2001	20 September 2008	2007
Last election	48 seats, 49.2%	33 seats, 37.7%	0 seats, 3.1%
Seats won	53	29	1
Seat change	5	4	1
Popular vote	739,502	425,777	69,872
Percentage	51.6%	29.7%	4.9%
Swing	2.4 pp	8.0 pp	1.8 pp

	Fourth party

Leader	Alejandro Valderas
Party	UPL
Leader since	2011
Last election	2 seats, 2.7%
Seats won	1
Seat change	1
Popular vote	26,660
Percentage	1.9%
Swing	0.8 pp

President before election

Juan Vicente Herrera
PP

Elected President

Juan Vicente Herrera
PP

The 2011 Castilian-Leonese regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Cortes of the Autonomous Community of Castile and León. All 84 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The elections were won by the People's Party (pp), which had formed the government of the region since the second democratic election in 1987 and had won a majority of seats since the 1991 election. Both the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and Leonese People's Union (UPL) lost seats, while United Left (IU) won its first seat since the 1999 election.

One of the first tasks of the Courts was to elect the President of Castile and León from among their number, with the incumbent President, Juan Vicente Herrera of the PP, being re-elected.

Electoral system

The number of seats in the regional Courts was determined by the population count. For the 2011 election, the Courts size was set to 84 seats. All Courts members were elected in 9 multi-member districts, corresponding to Castile and León's nine provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of 3 seats, with 1 additional seat per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500. For the 2011 election, seats were distributed as follows: Avila (7), Burgos (11), Leon (14), Palencia (7), Salamanca (11), Segovia (7), Soria (5), Valladolid (15) and Zamora (7).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[1]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	IU	UPL	UPyD	Others	Lead
Date	Polling Firm/Source						Others	Lead
22 May 2011	Regional Election	51.6	29.7	4.9	1.9	3.3	8.6	21.9
Exit polls
11 May	TNS-Demoscopia	51.8	31.9	4.8	2.4		9.1	19.9
26 Apr–3 May	TNS-Demoscopia	52.4	32.4	4.6	2.1		8.5	20.0
25 Apr	NC-Report	53.4	35.5	3.6	2.4		5.1	17.9
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel^{[lower-alpha 1]}	51.8	30.5	5.3	3.2		9.2	21.3
13–17 Apr	Ikerfel	51.5	34.0	4.2	3.4	2.8	4.1	17.5
17 Mar–17 Apr	Ikerfel	51.5	32.8	4.3	2.0	2.1	7.3	18.7
7–12 Apr	Sigma-2	53.8	33.4	3.9	2.6		6.3	20.4
10–28 Mar	TNS-Demoscopia	54.2	31.2	5.2	1.7	2.4	5.3	23.0
2011
20–23 Dec	Sigma-2	53.6	34.4	3.0	2.4		6.6	19.2
20–24 May	Sigma-2	55.1	31.4	3.9	1.8	3.6	4.2	23.7
8–20 Apr	TNS-Demoscopia	49.8	34.5	5.4	2.4	1.8	6.1	15.3
1–6 Mar	Obradoiro	48.9	33.4	6.0	2.0	5.4	4.3	15.5
2010
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	51.7	38.2	2.3	N/A	3.7	4.1	13.5
2009
9 Mar 2008	General Election	50.0	42.8	2.5	0.3	1.5	2.9	7.2
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	49.2	37.7	3.1	2.7		7.3	11.5

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 43 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Courts of Castile and León.

43 seats needed for majority (01/01/2010–22/05/2011)
Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	IU	UPL	UPyD	Others
Date	Polling Firm/Source						Others
22 May 2011	Regional Election	53	29	1	1	0	0
Exit polls
16 May	NC-Report	49−51	30−32	0−1	1−2	0	0
11 May	TNS-Demoscopia	50−53	29−31	0−2	1−2	0	0
26 Apr–3 May	TNS-Demoscopia	51−53	31−34	0−1	1	0	0
25 Apr	NC-Report	50−52	29−31	0−1	1−2	0	0
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel	51	30	2	1	0	0
13–17 Apr	Ikerfel	51	31	0	2	0	0
17 Mar–17 Apr	Ikerfel	50	32	1	1	0	0
7–12 Apr	Sigma-2	49−54	28−31	0−1	1−2	0	0
10–28 Mar	TNS-Demoscopia	53−54	28−29	1	1	0	0
2011
20–23 Dec	Sigma-2	48−54	27−33	0−1	1−2	0	0
20–24 May	Sigma-2	52−54	28−30	0	1	0	0
8–20 Apr	TNS-Demoscopia	48−49	31−33	1−2	1−2	0	0
1–6 Mar	Obradoiro	49	33	1	0	1	0
2010
2009
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	48	33	0	1		0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Cortes of Castile and León election results →
Parties and coalitions		Popular vote			Seats

Parties and coalitions		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	739,502	51.55	+2.38	53	+5
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	425,777	29.68	–8.05	29	–4
	United Left of Castile and León (IUCyL)	69,872	4.87	+1.79	1	+1
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	47,040	3.28	New	0	±0
	Leonese People's Union (UPL)	26,660	1.86	–0.87	1	–1

Parties with less than 1.0% of the vote		78,553	5.48	—	±0
	Castilian Party (PCAS)	13,537	0.94	New	±0
	The Party of Castile and León–Independent Candidacy (PCL–CI)	10,796	0.75	–0.33	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	5,368	0.37	New	±0
	Social Alternative Movement (MASS)	4,777	0.33	New	±0
	Leonese Autonomist Party–Leonesist Unity (PAL–UL)	3,925	0.27	–0.06	±0
	Yes for Salamanca (UPSa–C's)	3,718	0.26	New	±0
	Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)	3,545	0.25	New	±0
	Zamoran Independent Electors–Zamoran People's Union (ADEIZA–UPZ)	3,322	0.23	+0.02	±0
	Greens of Salamanca (LV)	2,822	0.20	–0.17	±0
	Initiative for the Development of Soria (IDES)	2,680	0.19	–0.06	±0
	The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV)	2,619	0.18	New	±0
	Party of El Bierzo	2,401	0.17	+0.08	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	2,102	0.15	+0.05	±0
	Citizens of Burgos (CiBu)	2,001	0.14	+0.06	±0
	Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL)	1,965	0.14	+0.03	±0
	Greens and Castilians Coalition (VyC)	1,553	0.11	New	±0
	Civiqus (Civiqus)	1,527	0.11	New	±0
	Spanish Falange of the JONS (FE–JONS)	1,522	0.11	+0.03	±0
	Regionalist Unity of Castile and León (URCL)	1,428	0.10	+0.04	±0
	Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)	1,302	0.09	New	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	1,254	0.09	+0.02	±0
	Independents for San Andrés (IxSA)	859	0.06	New	±0
	Merindades of Castile Initiative (IMC)	854	0.06	New	±0
	Left Segovia (SdI)	760	0.05	New	±0
	Regionalist Party of El Bierzo (PRB)	657	0.05	–0.02	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	529	0.04	+0.01	±0
	Communist Unification of Spain (UCE)	492	0.03	New	±0
	Family and Life Party (PFyV)	238	0.02	New	±0

	Blank ballots	47,008	3.28	+1.30

Total		1,434,412	100.00		84	+1

Valid votes		1,434,412	98.09	–1.11
Invalid votes		27,985	1.91	+1.11
Votes cast / turnout		1,462,397	67.50	–3.20
Abstentions		703,988	32.50	+3.20
Registered voters		2,166,385

Source(s): Cortes of Castile and León, historiaelectoral.com

Popular vote

PP			51.55%
PSOE			29.68%
IUCyL			4.87%
UPyD			3.28%
UPL			1.86%
Others			5.48%
Blank ballots			3.28%

Seats

PP			63.10%
PSOE			34.52%
IUCyL			1.19%
UPL			1.19%

Notes

↑ This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.

References

↑ "Law 3/1987, of 30 March, electoral of Castile and León.".

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