Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock (UK Parliament constituency)

Coordinates: 55°18′04″N 4°37′05″W / 55.301°N 4.618°W / 55.301; -4.618

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
County constituency for the House of Commons
Boundary of Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock in Scotland for the 2005 general election.
Subdivisions of Scotland	East Ayrshire, South Ayrshire
Population	93,308 (2011 census)
Electorate	69,299 (2015)
Current constituency
Created	2005
Member of parliament	Bill Grant (Conservative)
Created from	Ayr, Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley
Overlaps
Scottish Parliament	Ayr, Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley, South Scotland
European Parliament constituency	Scotland

Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock is a county constituency represented in the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom. It was created for the 2005 general election from parts of the old Ayr and Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley constituencies. It has been represented since 2017 by Bill Grant of the Scottish Conservative Party.

Boundaries

2005 onwards

As defined by the Fifth Review of UK Parliament constituencies, the constituency covers the South Ayrshire electoral wards of Ayr Whitletts; Ayr Lochside; Ayr Newton; Ayr Craigie; Ayr Central; Ayr Fort; Ayr Forehill; Ayr Masonhill; Ayr Belmont; Ayr Old Belmont; Ayr Rozelle; Ayr Doonfoot and Seafield; Coylton and Minishant; North Carrick and Maybole West; North Carrick and Maybole East; South Carrick; Girvan Ailsa and Girvan Glendoune plus the East Ayrshire electoral wards of Patna and Dalrymple; Dalmellington; Drongan, Stair and Rankinston; Ochiltree, Skares, Netherthird and Craigens; New Cumnock; Cumnock East and Cumnock West.

The constituency covers approximately three-fifths of the South Ayrshire council area and one-fifth of the East Ayrshire council area, with the remaining portion of the South Ayrshire council area being covered by the Central Ayrshire constituency. The remainder of East Ayrshire is covered as part of Kilmarnock and Loudoun.

Constituency profile

Chart of Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock elections since the 2005 general election.

Constituency

Ayr is a large coastal resort town located to the north-west of the constituency, consisting of a mixture of council estates and affluent middle-class areas. The town has traditionally been a strong area for the Conservative Party, with Labour, and more recently the SNP, performing stronger towards the more industrial north of the town and the Conservatives performing well in the suburbs to the south and south-west of the town in particular. Since the establishment of the Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock constituency in 2005, support for the Conservatives has grown significantly around the town of Ayr, which is the best part of the constituency for the Conservative Party.

South of the town is the more deprived rural region of Carrick running down the Ayrshire coast between Ayr and Galloway. Carrick has traditionally been more hospitable to the Labour Party, and more recently the SNP, in comparison to Ayr. On a local level Carrick has largely been represented by the Labour Party, with the Conservatives performing stronger around northern Girvan and in rural areas and Labour, and more recently the SNP, performing stronger in Maybole and southern Girvan. Additionally, the constituency extends eastwards from Ayr to cover the suburban village of Coylton.

Further east, the constituency stretches into the south of the East Ayrshire council area to cover a set of deprived former mining communities around Cumnock and Doon Valley - a very deprived area which has traditionally returned a much stronger vote for the Labour Party in comparison to elsewhere in the Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock constituency.^[1]^[2]^[3]^[4]

Voting patterns

UK Parliament

In 2005, approximately two-thirds of the former Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley constituency was attached to a third of the former marginal seat of Ayr to form the Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock constituency. Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley had been represented in the UK Parliament by the Labour Party since the 1935 general election, whilst Ayr was represented by the Conservative Party from the 1906 general election until Labour gained the seat during their 1997 landslide election, from which point onwards the constituency was represented by Labour, with the Conservatives coming in a close second place.

The newly formed Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock constituency was won by Labour's Sandra Obsorne at the 2005 general election with a 9,997 vote majority (22.2%) ahead of the Conservatives. This was reduced slightly to 9,911 votes (21.6%) in 2010, before the constituency fell to the SNP at the 2015 SNP landslide election, with SNP candidate Corri Wilson overturning incumbent Labour MP Sandra Osborne's 13,356 vote lead over the SNP (29.1%), securing the constituency with a majority of 11,265 votes (21.6%).

Bill Grant of the Conservatives gained the seat of Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock at the 2017 UK general election with a majority of 2,774 votes (6.0%) ahead of the SNP's Corri Wilson. Electoral Calculus estimates that the Conservatives were ahead in Ayr, Carrick and Coylton at the 2017 general election, with Labour polling ahead in Cumnock and Doon Valley.^[5]

Scottish Parliament

The constituency overlaps the Scottish Parliamentary constituencies of Ayr and Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley. Ayr has been represented by Conservative MSP John Scott since a by-election in 2000, marginally ahead of the Scottish National Party in second place and Labour in third. Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley has been represented by the SNP since the 2011 Scottish Parliamentary election, previously being represented by Labour. The current MSP for Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley is Jeane Freeman of the SNP, ahead of Labour in second place and the Conservatives marginally behind in third.

United Kingdom European Union membership referendum

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock is estimated to have voted to Remain within the European Union at the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum at 57.1% Remain 42.9% Leave, an above-average vote share for Leave relative to the rest of Scotland.^[6]

Council elections

At the most recent local council election in 2017 the composition of Councillors elected in the equivalent area of the Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock constituency was as follows:

Scottish National Party	Conservative	Labour	Independent
9	8	4	3

The total number of votes cast by political party in the equivalent area of Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock at the local election was as follows:

Scottish Conservatives - 12,689 (35.8%)
Scottish National Party - 10,370 (29.3%)
Scottish Labour - 6,732 (19.0%)
Independents - 5,436 (15.3%)
Scottish Greens - 180 (0.5%)
Scottish Libertarians - 31 (0.1%)^[2]^[3]

Members of Parliament

	Member^[7]	Party	Notes
2005	constituency created, see Ayr and Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley
2005	Sandra Osborne	Labour	Previously MP for Ayr First female MP to represent Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley
2010	Sandra Osborne	Labour
2015	Corri Wilson	Scottish National Party
2017	Bill Grant	Conservative

Election results

Elections in the 2010s

2017 general election

Bill Grant MP making his acceptance speech following the declaration of election results for the Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock constituency for the 2017 general election.

General Election 2017: Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock^[8]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	Bill Grant	18,550	40.1	+20.3
	SNP	Corri Wilson	15,776	34.1	-14.7
	Labour	Carol Mochan	11,024	23.9	-3.4
	Liberal Democrat	Callum Leslie	872	1.9	+0.2
Majority			2,774	6.0	N/A
Turnout			46,296	64.9	-6.6
	Conservative gain from SNP		Swing	+17.5

2015 general election

General Election 2015: Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock^[9]^[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	SNP	Corri Wilson	25,492	48.8	+30.8
	Labour	Sandra Osborne	14,227	27.3	−19.9
	Conservative	Lee Lyons	10,355	19.8	−5.7
	UKIP	Joseph Adam-Smith^[11]	1,280	2.5	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	Richard Brodie	855	1.6	−7.7
Majority			11,265	21.6	N/A
Turnout			52,209	71.5	+8.9
	SNP gain from Labour		Swing	+25.4

2010 general election

General Election 2010: Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock^[12]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labour	Sandra Osborne	21,632	47.1	+1.8
	Conservative	William Grant	11,721	25.5	+2.4
	SNP	Chic Brodie	8,276	18.0	+4.9
	Liberal Democrat	James Taylor	4,264	9.3	−4.8
Majority			9,911	21.6	-0.6
Turnout			45,893	62.6	+0.7
	Labour hold		Swing	−0.3

Elections in the 2000s

2005 general election

General Election 2005: Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock^[13]^[14]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labour	Sandra Osborne	20,433	45.4	-5.9
	Conservative	Mark Jones	10,436	23.2	-1.6
	Liberal Democrat	Colin Waugh	6,341	14.1	+6.9
	SNP	Chic Brodie	5,932	13.2	-0.5
	Scottish Senior Citizens	Donald Sharp	592	1.3	New
	Scottish Socialist	Murray Steele	554	1.2	-1.2
	Socialist Labour	James McDaid	395	0.9	+0.3
	UKIP	Bryan McCormack	365	0.8	+0.7
Majority			9,997	22.2	-4.3
Turnout			45,048	61.3
	Labour hold		Swing	-2.15

Graphical representation

**2005**
	23.2%		14.1%	45.4%			13.2%
	Con		LD	Lab			SNP

**2010**
25.5%	9.3%	47.1%	18.0%
Con	LD	Lab	SNP

**2015**
	19.8%		27.3%	48.8%
	Con		Lab	SNP

**2017**
40.1%		23.9%	34.1%
Con		Lab	SNP

References

↑ http://www.electionscentre.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Scottish-Council-Elections-2003.pdf 'Scottish Council Elections 2003'
1 2 http://www.south-ayrshire.gov.uk/council-election/results2017.aspx 'South Ayrshire Council Election 2017 results'
1 2 https://www.east-ayrshire.gov.uk/news/article/scottish-local-government-elections-2017-results 'East Ayrshire Scottish Local Government Elections 2017 results'
↑ http://simd.scot/2016/ 'Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2016'
↑ http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.py?seat=Ayr+Carrick+and+Cumnock 'Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock: Ward-by-Ward'
↑ 'Revised estimates of Leave vote share in Westminster constituencies'
↑ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "A" (part 3)
↑
↑ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
↑ http://www.south-ayrshire.gov.uk/documents/ayr%20carrick%20cumnock%20results.pdf
↑ http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/ayrcarrickandcumnock/
↑ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
↑ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
↑ "Election 2005". BBC. Retrieved 28 December 2016.

Constituencies in Scotland by Holding Party (59)
Scottish National Party (35)	Aberdeen North Airdrie and Shotts Argyll and Bute Central Ayrshire Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East Dundee East Dundee West Dunfermline and West Fife East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow Edinburgh East Edinburgh North and Leith Edinburgh South West Falkirk Glasgow Central Glasgow East Glasgow North Glasgow North West Glasgow South Glasgow South West Glenrothes Inverclyde Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey Kilmarnock and Loudoun Lanark and Hamilton East Linlithgow and East Falkirk Livingston Motherwell and Wishaw Na h-Eileanan an Iar North Ayrshire and Arran North East Fife Paisley and Renfrewshire North Paisley and Renfrewshire South Perth and North Perthshire Ross, Skye and Lochaber West Dunbartonshire
Conservative (13)	Aberdeen South Angus Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Banff and Buchan Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Dumfries and Galloway Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale East Renfrewshire Gordon Moray Ochil and South Perthshire Stirling West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
Labour (7)	Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill East Lothian Edinburgh South Glasgow North East Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Midlothian Rutherglen and Hamilton West
Liberal Democrat (4)	Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross East Dunbartonshire Edinburgh West Orkney and Shetland
Scotland European constituency: Scottish National Party (2) Labour (2) Conservative (1) UKIP (1)

Scottish Westminster constituencies
1708 to 1832 1832 to 1868 1868 to 1885 1885 to 1918 1918 to 1950 1950 to 1955 1955 to 1974 1974 to 1983 1983 to 1997 1997 to 2005
Current constituencies (2005 to present)
Aberdeen North Aberdeen South Airdrie & Shotts Angus Argyll & Bute Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock Banff & Buchan Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross Central Ayrshire Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East Dumfries & Galloway Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale Dundee East Dundee West Dunfermline & West Fife East Dunbartonshire East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow East Lothian East Renfrewshire Edinburgh East Edinburgh North & Leith Edinburgh South Edinburgh South West Edinburgh West Falkirk Glasgow Central Glasgow East Glasgow North Glasgow North East Glasgow North West Glasgow South Glasgow South West Glenrothes Gordon Inverclyde Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey Kilmarnock & Loudoun Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath Lanark & Hamilton East Linlithgow & East Falkirk Livingston Midlothian Moray Motherwell & Wishaw Na h-Eileanan an Iar North Ayrshire & Arran North East Fife Ochil & South Perthshire Orkney & Shetland Paisley & Renfrewshire North Paisley & Renfrewshire South Perth & North Perthshire Ross, Skye & Lochaber Rutherglen & Hamilton West Stirling West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine West Dunbartonshire

Carrick
Settlements	Former burghs Ballantrae Girvan Maybole Others Auchencrosh Balkissock Bargany Barr Colmonell Crosshill Dailly Drumshang Dunure Greenan Kirkmichael Kirkoswald Maidens Minishant Old Dailly Patna Pinmore Pinwherry Smyrton Straiton
Administration	National subdivisions Ayrshire and Arran lieutenancy area Carrick earldom Kyle and Carrick local government district Sheriffdom and County of Ayr South Ayrshire Council area Parliamentary seats (Scotland) Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley Parliamentary seats (UK) Ayrshire (1708–1868) South Ayrshire (1868–1983) Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley (1983–2005) Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock (2005–)
Culture	Gaelic in Carrick and Galloway Sawney Bean
Geography	Islands Ailsa Craig Lochs Craigdow Loch Loch Bradan Loch Doon Loch Dornal Loch Finloch Loch Goosey Loch Spaig Loch Spallander Loch Spouts Rivers River Doon River Stinchar Water of App Water of Girvan Water of Tig
History	Heritage sites Blairquhan Castle Crossraguel Abbey Culzean Castle Dinvin Motte Dunduff Castle Dunure Castle Glenapp Castle Greenan Castle Kirkoswald Parish Church Knockdolian Maybole Collegiate Church Penkill Castle Turnberry Castle People Abbots of Crossraguel Clan Kennedy Earls or mormaers of Carrick Marquesses of Ailsa and their predecessors
Sport	Girvan F.C. Maybole F.C. Turnberry golf course
Transport	Railway lines Girvan and Portpatrick Junction Railway Maybole and Girvan Railway Railway stations Barrhill railway station Girvan railway station Maybole railway station Roads A77 A714

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