Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014

Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014
Arizona
November 4, 2014

 
Nominee Doug Ducey Fred DuVal
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 805,062 626,921
Percentage 53.4% 41.5%

County results
Governor before election

Jan Brewer
Republican

 Elected Governor

Doug Ducey
Republican

The 2014 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arizona, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Jan Brewer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a second full term in office. After a bitter six-candidate primary, Republicans nominated Arizona State Treasurer Doug Ducey; Democrat Fred DuVal, the former Chairman of the Arizona Board of Regents, won his party's nomination unopposed. Ducey won the election with 53% of the vote.

Background

Candidates for Governor speaking at a forum hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry. From left to right: Al Melvin, Scott Smith, Christine Jones, Fred DuVal, Frank Riggs, Doug Ducey and Ken Bennett.

Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano resigned on January 21, 2009, to be sworn-in as Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security. Since Arizona does not have a lieutenant governor, Secretary of State Jan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as governor on the same day. She was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Democrat Terry Goddard, the Arizona Attorney General, by 54% to 42%.

Brewer was term-limited in 2014, despite only serving one full term. This is because Arizona state law limits office holders to two consecutive terms regardless of whether they serve full or partial terms. In November 2012, Brewer declared she was looking into what she called "ambiguity" in Arizona's term-limit law to seek a third term.[1] In February 2014, Brewer reiterated that she was considering running for re-election,[2] but on March 12, 2014, she announced that she would not attempt to seek another term in office, which would have required what The Arizona Republic called a "long-shot court challenge".[3]

Republican primary

The Republican primary campaign was widely characterised as being "bitter" and "nasty"[4][5][6][7] and the $16.2 million spent by the six Republican candidates means that the 2014 election has already broken the record for most expensive gubernatorial race in state history, exceeding the 2002 election in which $9.2 million was spent during the primary and general election campaigns combined.[8]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ken
Bennett		 Doug
Ducey		 Christine
Jones		 Al
Melvin		 John
Molina		 Frank
Riggs		 Scott
Smith		 Andrew
Thomas		 Undecided
Magellan Strategies August 17–21, 2014 1,281 ± 2.74% 12% 32% 18% — — 2% 21% 8% 7%
Harper Polling August 19–20, 2014 812 ± 3.44% 14% 32% 16% — — 2% 19% 7% 10%
Remington August 17–19, 2014 502 ± 4.37% 10% 33% 18% — — 1% 22% 11% 5%
Magellan Strategies August 15–18, 2014 1,322 ± ? 12% 31% 17% — — 3% 22% 8% 7%
Magellan Strategies August 12–15, 2014 1,300 ± ? 10% 31% 16% — — 3% 23% 7% 10%
Magellan Strategies August 5–7, 2014 1,289 ± 2.73% 11% 29% 13% — — 4% 22% 9% 12%
Magellan Strategies July 28–31, 2014 1,644 ± ? 12% 23% 13% — — 5% 21% 10% 16%
Undisclosed Late July 2014 ? ± ? 10% 23% 20% — — 2% 15% 9% 21%
Harper Polling July 16–17, 2014 885 ± 3.29% 12% 23% 21% — — 1% 13% 7% 22%
Behavior Research Center July 10–17, 2014 459 ± 4.7% 10% 13% 17% — — 2% 8% 0% 50%
Gravis Marketing July 14, 2014 691 ± 4% 7% 28% 19% — — 1% 14% 8% 24%
Highground July 10–12, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 3.5% 17.3% 15.3% — — 1.5% 9.8% 3% 49.8%
Magellan Strategies July 9–10, 2014 593 ± 4.02% 11% 26% 22% — — 2% 14% 6% 19%
Harper Polling June 25–26, 2014 791 ± 3.48% 12% 33% 15% — — 2% 14% 3% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates June 10, 2014 400 ± 3.48% 8% 22.8% 6.2% — — — 6.5% — 56.5%
Magellan Strategies June 3–4, 2014 630 ± 3.9% 12% 28% 12% 2% — 2% 16% 5% 23%
Magellan Strategies May 13–14, 2014 760 ± 3.6% 12.7% 27.3% 11.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.7% 11.5% 5.6% 28.8%
Undisclosed April 29, 2014 1,367 ± 3.5% 7% 4% 10% — — — 9% 5% 65%
Magellan Strategies April 8–9, 2014 ? ± ? 15% 9% 14% — — 1% 6% 6% 45%
Public Policy Polling Feb. 28–Mar. 2, 2014 403 ± 4.9% 20% 6% 16% 1% 1% 1% 12% 9% 34%
Behavior Research Center January 16–26, 2014 701 ± 3.8% 6% 2% 8% 1% — — 7% 7% 69%
Susquehanna Nov. 27–Dec. 4 2013 245 ± ? 20% 8% 4% 2% — — 6% 4% 56%

Results

Republican primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Doug Ducey 200,607 37.05
Republican Scott Smith 119,107 22.00
Republican Christine Jones 89,922 16.61
Republican Ken Bennett 62,010 11.45
Republican Andrew Thomas 43,822 8.09
Republican Frank Riggs 24,168 4.45
Republican Write-in 1,804 0.33
Total votes 541,440 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Fred DuVal 271,276 96.93
Democratic Write-in 8,578 3.07
Total votes 279,854 100

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

Results

Libertarian primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Barry Hess 3,979 74.74
Libertarian Write-in 1,345 25.26
Total votes 5,324 100
Americans Elect primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Americans Elect John Lewis Mealer 722 95.00
Americans Elect Write-in 38 5.00
Total votes 760 100

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Doug
Ducey (R)		 Fred
DuVal (D)		 Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,621 ± 4% 50% 40% 1% 9%
The Polling Company October 20–22, 2014 601 ± 4% 42% 35% 7%[other 1] 15%
Rasmussen Reports October 14–16, 2014 1,056 ± 3% 47% 42% 3% 7%
Tarrance Group October 13–16, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 43% 36% 5%[other 1] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–14, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 37% 35.8% 5.4%[other 2] 21.8%
Adrian Gray Consulting October 8–9, 2014 600 ± 4% 43% 35% 8%[other 3] 14%
Moore Information October 7–8, 2014 400 ± ~4.9% 36% 39% 4%[other 4] 21%
The Polling Company October 6–8, 2014 600 ± 4% 46% 37% 5%[other 1] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,808 ± 3% 50% 39% 2% 9%
Keating Research September 17–19, 2014 600 ± 4% 41% 39% 7%[other 1] 13%
Tarrance Group September 15–17, 2014 505 ± 4.5% 44% 38% 7%[other 5] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 3,289 ± 3% 39% 38% 15% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 27–28, 2014 850 ± 3% 40% 40% — 20%
Public Policy Polling August 24–25, 2014 588 ± 4% 35% 35% 12%[other 1] 18%
Public Policy Polling February 28–March 2, 2014 870 ± 3.3% 35% 36% — 29%
Undisclosed February 2014 500 ± ? 32% 32% 6%[other 1] 30%
Behavior Research Center January 16–26, 2014 701 ± 3.8% 21% 23% — 56%
Susquehanna November 27–December 4, 2013 600 ± 4% 36% 33% — 31%
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Barry Hess (L)
  2. ↑ Barry Hess (L) 2.8%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 2.6%
  3. ↑ Barry Hess (L) 5%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 3%
  4. ↑ Barry Hess (L) 3%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%
  5. ↑ Barry Hess (L) 6%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%

Results

General election results[68]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Doug Ducey 805,062 53.35
Democratic Fred DuVal 626,921 41.55
Libertarian Barry Hess 57,337 3.8
Americans Elect John Lewis Mealer 15,432 1.02
Write-ins Other 4,167 0.28
Total votes 1,508,919 100

References

  1. ↑ "Report: Jan Brewer may seek 3rd term as Arizona governor". Politico. November 12, 2012. Retrieved November 13, 2012.
  2. ↑ "Brewer says it's hard to let go of governing as she decides whether to seek re-election". AZ Central. February 24, 2014. Retrieved March 3, 2014.
  3. 1 2 "Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer won't seek another term in office". AZ Central. March 12, 2014. Retrieved March 13, 2014.
  4. ↑ Samantha Lachman (August 6, 2014). "GOP Gubernatorial Candidate Calls Her Opponent A 'Misogynistic Jerk'". The Huffington Post. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  5. ↑ Dan Nowicki (August 28, 2014). "Analysis of primary election results: Why they won". AZ Central. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  6. ↑ Bob Christie (August 27, 2014). "Doug Ducey must unite GOP after bruising primary". AZ Family. Archived from the original on September 24, 2014. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  7. ↑ "Primary elections underway in Florida, Oklahoma, Arizona, and Vermont". CBS News. August 26, 2014. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  8. ↑ "Governor's primary shatters spending records". AZ Central. August 30, 2014. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  9. ↑ "Ken Bennett says he'll run for governor". Associated Press. September 19, 2013. Retrieved September 20, 2013.
  10. ↑ "State treasurer Doug Ducey files paperwork to explore Ariz governor run". East Valley Tribune. July 23, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
  11. 1 2 3 4 DeLaney, Melissa (February 19, 2014). "Doug Ducey Will Run for Arizona Governor in 2014". Reuters. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  12. ↑ Rau, Alia Beard (August 9, 2013). "Former Go Daddy exec enters GOP governor race". AZCentral.com. Retrieved August 27, 2013.
  13. ↑ Fischer, Howard (January 23, 2014). "Former California congressman joins GOP race for AZ governor". Arizona Daily Star. Retrieved January 23, 2014.
  14. ↑ Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne; Nelson, Gary (January 9, 2014). "Mesa Mayor Smith will quit to run for governor". AZCentral. Retrieved January 9, 2014.
  15. ↑ Rau, Alia Beard (April 26, 2013). "Disbarred former Maricopa County Attorney Thomas to run for governor". AZCentral.com. Retrieved April 29, 2013.
  16. ↑ Pitzl, Mary Jo (September 20, 2013). "Hugh Hallman withdraws from Ariz. governor's race". AZCentral.com. Retrieved September 20, 2013.
  17. ↑ Fischer, Howard (April 23, 2013). "Sen. Al Melvin announces run for governor". Verde News. Retrieved April 24, 2013.
  18. ↑ "Arizona Sen. Al Melvin drops out of governor's race". KTAR. Associated Press. June 23, 2014. Archived from the original on June 25, 2014. Retrieved June 23, 2014.
  19. ↑ Duda, Jeremy (October 21, 2013). "Against the odds". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved January 23, 2014.
  20. 1 2 3 4 "2014 Primary Election Full Listing". Arizona Secretary of State. May 29, 2014. Retrieved May 30, 2014.
  21. ↑ Thomas, Jennifer (January 22, 2014). "Arpaio considering run for governor". KTVK. Archived from the original on March 4, 2014. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
  22. ↑ "Sheriff Arpaio says he won't run for governor". AZ Central. May 22, 2014. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  23. ↑ "Burns won't seek 2nd term on Corporation Commission". AZ Central. April 19, 2013. Retrieved May 26, 2014.
  24. ↑ Duda, Jeremy (August 6, 2013). "Cardon running for secretary of state". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved September 5, 2013.
  25. 1 2 3 Wingett Sanchez, Yvonne (July 25, 2013). "All eyes on 2014 race for governor". AZCentral. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
  26. ↑ Stephen Lemons (December 6, 2012). "Arizona AG Tom Horne's Sex Scandal Scuttles Gubernatorial Bid - - News - Phoenix". Phoenix New Times. Retrieved November 3, 2013.
  27. ↑ Fischer, Howard. "Richardson: AG Horne's checkered past might just be enough for reelection - East Valley Tribune: East Valley Voices". East Valley Tribune. Retrieved November 3, 2013.
  28. ↑ "McSally says she's being recruited for Ariz. governor, senate runs". AZCentral.com. April 23, 2013. Retrieved April 25, 2013.
  29. ↑ "Martha McSally Files Paperwork for Rematch #AZ02". Roll Call. July 3, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  30. ↑ "Steven Seagal mulls run for Arizona Governor". ABC15. January 3, 2014. Retrieved January 4, 2013.
  31. ↑ Prezelski, Tom (January 7, 2014). "Steven Seagal is not running for governor, so stop talking about it". Tucson Sentinel. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
  32. ↑ Yvonne Wingett Sanchez (August 1, 2014). "Arpaio endorses GOP governor candidate Doug Ducey". AZ Central. Retrieved September 11, 2014.
  33. ↑ Ducey, Doug (January 14, 2014). "Proud to be endorsed by Steve Chucri!". Facebook. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  34. ↑ Sunnucks, Mike (April 17, 2014). "Jerry Colangelo backs Doug Ducey for Arizona Governor". Phoenix Business Journal. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  35. 1 2 "News Release: Congressman Trent Franks & Phoenix City Councilman Sal DiCiccio Endorse Ducey". Arizona Progress & Gazette. March 11, 2014. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  36. ↑ "Barry Goldwater, Jr. Endorses Doug Ducey for Arizona Governor". Doug Ducey for Governor. March 27, 2014. Archived from the original on April 20, 2014. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  37. ↑ Hewitt, Hugh (March 30, 2014). "The Arizona Governor's Race: Doug Ducey Should Be The GOP's Nominee". HughHewitt.com. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  38. ↑ "Former Gov. Fife Symington Endorses Doug Ducey for Arizona Governor". Doug Ducey for Governor. March 6, 2014. Archived from the original on April 20, 2014. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  39. ↑ Ducey, Doug (March 26, 2014). "AZ Free Enterprise Club PAC Endorses Ducey For Governor". Facebook. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  40. ↑ Ducey, Doug (April 10, 2014). "Arizona Right to Life PAC Endorses Ducey For Governor". Facebook. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  41. ↑ "I'm Endorsing Frank Riggs for Governor, by Russell Pearce". Gilbert Watch. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  42. ↑ "Rick Santorum to Endorse Frank Riggs for Governor in Arizona". Arizona Progress & Gazette. April 4, 2014. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  43. ↑ Riggs, Frank (April 16, 2014). "Honored to receive the endorsement of Arizonans Against CommonCore!". Twitter. Retrieved April 19, 2014.
  44. ↑ "Brewer endorses Scott Smith for governor". Arizona Republic. August 8, 2014. Retrieved August 8, 2014.
  45. 1 2 3 4 "Unofficial Results Primary Election". Arizona Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 2, 2014. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
  46. ↑ "Fred DuVal first Arizona Democrat to announce run for governor". Ktar.com. April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 25, 2013.
  47. ↑ "Nobody Really Knows Who They Like for Arizona Governor, Poll Shows". Phoenix New Times. February 6, 2014. Retrieved February 6, 2014.
  48. ↑ "Campbell says he won’t run for governor in 2014". The Arizona Republic. September 17, 2013. Retrieved September 18, 2013.
  49. ↑ Resnik, Brahm (March 17, 2013). "Richard Carmona will not run for Arizona governor". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved March 18, 2013.
  50. ↑ "Neil Guiliano – "The Campaign Within"". KJZZ.org. Retrieved November 19, 2012.
  51. ↑ "Supporters « Fred DuVal 2014". Archived from the original on May 3, 2013. Retrieved June 5, 2013.
  52. ↑ Lemons, Stephen (December 19, 2012). "Terry Goddard Wants to Be AG Again? Puh-lease". Blogs.phoenixnewtimes.com. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  53. ↑ Pitzl, Mary Jo (October 29, 2013). "Sen. Reagan enters race for secretary of state post". Arizona Central. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
  54. ↑
  55. ↑ "University of California – UC Newsroom | Regents appoint UC's first woman president". Universityofcalifornia.edu. Archived from the original on September 21, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  56. ↑ Hendley, Matthew (February 26, 2013). "Felecia Rotellini Making Another Run at Attorney General". Phoenix New Times. Retrieved March 3, 2013.
  57. ↑ Gardiner, Dustin (January 28, 2013). "Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton is raising the office's profile". Arizona Central. Retrieved November 1, 2013.
  58. 1 2 3 Riester. "Former Arizona Governors Babbitt, Mofford and Castro Endorse Fred DuVal – Fred DuVal 2014". Fred2014.com. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  59. 1 2 3 Riester. "Three of Arizona's Former Congress Members Join Fred DuVal – Fred DuVal 2014". Fred2014.com. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  60. 1 2 Lavender, Paige (March 27, 2014). "Gabrielle Giffords And Mark Kelly Endorse Fred DuVal In Arizona Governor's Race". The Huffington Post. Retrieved March 27, 2014.
  61. ↑ Riester. "Congressman Raul Grijalva Announces Support for Fred DuVal – Fred DuVal 2014". Fred2014.com. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  62. 1 2 Riester (March 13, 2013). "Forty-Eight More Arizona Leaders Support Fred DuVal – Fred DuVal 2014". Fred2014.com. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  63. ↑ Riester. "Arizona Congressman Ed Pastor Supports Fred DuVal – Fred DuVal 2014". Fred2014.com. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  64. ↑ Riester (June 3, 2013). "Arizona Businessman Jim Pederson Endorses Fred DuVal for Governor – Fred DuVal 2014". Fred2014.com. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  65. 1 2 3 4 5 "List of Candidates". AZ Voter Guide. Archived from the original on October 19, 2014. Retrieved October 19, 2014.
  66. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Against long odds, write-in candidates seek governor's office". Arizona Capitol Times. September 10, 2014. Retrieved October 19, 2014.
  67. ↑ "Write-in candidate looks to shake up AZ governor's race". CBS5AZ. September 16, 2014. Retrieved October 19, 2014.
  68. ↑ "Unofficial Results General Election". Arizona Secretary of State. Archived from the original on November 10, 2014. Retrieved November 9, 2014.
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