Andalusian regional election, 1996
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All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia 55 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 5,577,567 3.5% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout |
4,353,877 (78.1%) 10.8 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1996 Andalusian regional election was held on Sunday, 3 March 1996, to elect the 5th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 1996 Spanish general election.
The PSOE won the election with a greater relative majority than before, enabling it to require the support of only the Andalusian Party in order for Socialist candidate Manuel Chaves González to be invested as President of Andalusia, ending the period of instability that had dominated the previous legislature.
Overview
The Parliament of Andalusia was the unicameral legislature of Andalusia at the time of the 1996 election. Legislative initiative for those areas of responsibility attributed to the regional government belonged to this chamber, which also had the attribution of granting or revoking confidence from the President of Andalusia.
The President had the ability to dissolve the chamber at any given time and call a snap election. In the event that investiture attempts failed to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate for the party with the most seats was automatically elected.[1]
Electoral system
Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, with all residents over eighteen and in the full enjoyment of all political rights entitled to vote. Concurrently, residents meeting the previous criteria and not involved in any cause of ineligibility were eligible for the Parliament. Groups of electors were required to obtain the signatures of at least 1% of registered electors in a particular district in order to be able to field candidates.
All 109 Parliament seats were allocated to eight multi-member districts—each constituency corresponding to a province—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of eight seats, with the remaining 45 seats allocated among the eight provinces in proportion to their populations on the condition that the number of seats in each district did not exceed two times those of any other. A threshold of 3% of valid votes—which included blank ballots—was applied, with parties not reaching the threshold not entitled to enter the seat distribution.[2]
Opinion polls
Individual poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. Seat projections are displayed in bold and in a different font. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1996 regional election | 3 Mar 1996 | N/A | 78.1 | 44.1 52 |
33.9 40 |
14.0 13 |
6.7 4 |
10.2 |
Sigma Dos–Vox Pública/El Mundo[p 1] | 26 Feb 1996 | ? | ? | 32.5 36/39 |
37.9 43/48 |
19.0 19/22 |
8.5 5/8 |
5.4 |
Demoscopia/El País[p 2] | 16–21 Feb 1996 | ? | 80 | 33.3 39/42 |
39.7 47/49 |
18.3 16/18 |
7.5 3/6 |
6.4 |
CIS[p 3][p 4] | 12–21 Feb 1996 | 2,497 | 76.5 | 35.1 | 38.4 | 18.7 | 7.4 | 3.3 |
Vox Pública/El Periódico[p 5] | 11–16 Feb 1996 | 2,000 | ? | 34.9 38/42 |
40.2 44/49 |
17.7 16/20 |
6.0 1/4 |
5.3 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 1][p 6] | 29 Jan 1996 | ? | ? | 32.7 36/40 |
39.4 45/49 |
18.3 16/20 |
8.2 3/6 |
6.7 |
Sigma Dos/PP[p 7] | 3–10 Dec 1995 | ? | ? | 37.4 41/44 |
38.7 44/48 |
19.4 17/23 |
2.5 0/1 |
1.3 |
PSOE[p 8][p 9] | 9 Dec 1995 | 2,400 | ? | 38.0 | 34.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 |
PSOE[p 10] | 27 Nov 1995 | ? | ? | ? 38 |
? 46 |
? 24/25 |
? 0/1 |
? |
1995 local elections | 28 May 1995 | N/A | 68.8 | 34.0 | 31.2 | 18.1 | 6.9 | 2.8 |
1994 regional election | 12 Jun 1994 | N/A | 67.3 | 38.7 45 |
34.4 41 |
19.1 20 |
5.8 3 |
4.3 |
Results
Overall
Parties and coalitions | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Won | +/− | ||
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) | 1,909,160 | 44.13 | +5.41 | 52 | +7 | |
People's Party (PP) | 1,467,700 | 33.92 | –0.44 | 40 | –1 | |
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) | 603,495 | 13.95 | –5.19 | 13 | –7 | |
Andalusian Party (PA)1 | 287,764 | 6.65 | +0.85 | 4 | +1 |
Parties with less than 1.0% of the vote | 25,408 | 0.59 | — | 0 | ±0 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Communist Party of the Andalusian People (PCPA) | 7,340 | 0.17 | –0.17 | 0 | ±0 | |
Andalusian Nation (NA) | 5,846 | 0.14 | –0.13 | 0 | ±0 | |
Humanist Party (PH) | 4,339 | 0.10 | –0.05 | 0 | ±0 | |
Authentic Spanish Falange (FEA) | 3,869 | 0.09 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Centrist Union (UC) | 1,688 | 0.04 | –0.23 | 0 | ±0 | |
Democratic Andalusian Unity (UAD) | 1,486 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Voice of the Andalusian People (VDPA) | 840 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 |
Blank ballots | 33,165 | 0.77 | –0.08 | ||||||
Total | 4,326,692 | 100.00 | 109 | ±0 | |||||
Valid votes | 4,326,692 | 99.38 | –0.02 | ||||||
Invalid votes | 27,185 | 0.62 | +0.02 | ||||||
Votes cast / turnout | 4,353,877 | 78.06 | +10.79 | ||||||
Abstentions | 1,223,690 | 21.94 | –10.79 | ||||||
Registered voters | 5,577,567 | ||||||||
Source(s): Argos Information Portal, historiaelectoral.com | |||||||||
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Distribution by constituency
Constituency | PSOE–A | PP | IULV–CA | PA | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
Almería | 45.6 | 5 | 39.7 | 5 | 10.3 | 1 | 3.3 | − |
Cádiz | 40.0 | 6 | 32.3 | 5 | 12.6 | 2 | 13.6 | 2 |
Córdoba | 41.7 | 6 | 31.6 | 4 | 19.7 | 3 | 5.7 | − |
Granada | 44.9 | 7 | 37.5 | 5 | 12.4 | 1 | 3.9 | − |
Huelva | 49.2 | 6 | 32.8 | 4 | 11.5 | 1 | 5.3 | − |
Jaén | 47.3 | 6 | 36.2 | 5 | 12.2 | 1 | 3.3 | − |
Málaga | 39.6 | 6 | 37.3 | 6 | 15.8 | 2 | 5.7 | 1 |
Seville | 47.4 | 10 | 29.7 | 6 | 13.9 | 2 | 7.5 | 1 |
Total | 44.1 | 52 | 33.9 | 40 | 13.9 | 13 | 6.7 | 4 |
Opinion poll sources
- 1 2 "El PP ganará con claridad las elecciones andaluzas pero PSOE e IU tienen la mayoría". El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 February 1996.
- ↑ "El PP ganará ampliamente en Andalucía". El País (in Spanish). 24 February 1996.
- ↑ "Distribuciones de frecuencia marginales del Estudio 2207 (Andalucía)". CIS (in Spanish). 21 February 1996.
- ↑ "Estudio CIS nº 2207" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 21 February 1996.
- ↑ "Andalucía prepara un vuelco histórico". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 21 February 1996.
- ↑ "El PSOE pierde Andalucía". El Mundo (in Spanish). 29 January 1996.
- ↑ "El PP ganaría por primera vez las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas, según una encuesta". ABC (in Spanish). 9 January 1996.
- ↑ "Una encuesta del PSOE le sitúa como vencedor en las autonómicas, mientras que la oposición replica que los datos son "absolutamente falsos" y que el sondeo no tiene "ninguna credibilidad"". ABC (in Spanish). 9 December 1995.
- ↑ "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 December 1995.
- ↑ "El PP obtendría ahora en Andalucía ocho escaños más que los socialistas, según una encuesta del propio PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 27 November 1995.
References
- ↑ Statute of Autonomy for Andalusia of 1981, Organic Law No. 6 of December 30, 1981 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 2017-02-22.
- ↑ Electoral Law of Andalusia of 1986, Law No. 1 of January 2, 1986 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 2017-02-22.