Andalusian regional election, 2004

14 March 2004

All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia
55 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls

Registered

6,052,012

2.3%

Turnout

4,518,545 (74.7%)

6.0 pp

	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	Manuel Chaves	Teófila Martínez	Diego Valderas
Party	PSOE–A	PP	IULV–CA
Leader since	19 April 1990	20 February 1999	10 October 2000
Leader's seat	Cádiz	Cádiz	Huelva
Last election	52 seats, 44.3%	46 seats, 38.0%	6 seats, 8.1%
Seats won	61	37	6
Seat change	9	9	0
Popular vote	2,260,545	1,426,774	337,030
Percentage	50.4%	31.8%	7.5%
Swing	6.1 pp	6.2 pp	0.6 pp

	Fourth party

Leader	Antonio Ortega
Party	PA
Leader since	19 October 1996
Leader's seat	Seville
Last election	5 seats, 7.4%
Seats won	5
Seat change	0
Popular vote	276,674
Percentage	6.2%
Swing	1.2 pp

Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia

President before election

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

Elected President

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

The 2004 Andalusian regional election was held on Sunday, 14 March 2004, to elect the 7th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 2004 Spanish general election.

Incumbent Socialist Manuel Chaves González was re-elected with a clear absolute majority, and was thus invested for the fifth time as President of Andalusia.

Overview

The Parliament of Andalusia was the unicameral legislature of Andalusia at the time of the 2004 election. Legislative initiative for those areas of responsibility attributed to the regional government belonged to this chamber, which also had the attribution of granting or revoking confidence from the President of Andalusia.

The President had the ability to dissolve the chamber at any given time and call a snap election. In the event that investiture attempts failed to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate for the party with the most seats was automatically elected.^[1]

Electoral system

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, with all residents over eighteen and in the full enjoyment of all political rights entitled to vote. Concurrently, residents meeting the previous criteria and not involved in any cause of ineligibility were eligible for the Parliament. Groups of electors were required to obtain the signatures of at least 1% of registered electors in a particular district in order to be able to field candidates.

All 109 Parliament seats were allocated to eight multi-member districts—each constituency corresponding to a province—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of eight seats, with the remaining 45 seats allocated among the eight provinces in proportion to their populations on the condition that the number of seats in each district did not exceed two times those of any other. A threshold of 3% of valid votes—which included blank ballots—was applied, with parties not reaching the threshold not entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[2]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	PA	Oth.	Lead
Date	Polling Firm/Source					Oth.	Lead
14 Mar 2004	Regional Election	50.4	31.8	7.5	6.2	4.1	18.6
Exit polls
26–27 Feb	Opina	47.0	36.5	7.0	6.0	3.5	10.5
12–20 Feb	TNS-Demoscopia	47.1	36.7	6.9	7.3	2.0	10.4
24 Jan–15 Feb	CIS	47.1	36.1	8.1	6.8	1.9	11.0
14 Feb	IAC	42.0	39.8			18.2	2.2
2–7 Feb	Opina	45.5	37.5	7.5	6.0	3.5	8.0
2004
3–23 Dec	CADPEA	45.2	37.1	7.8	6.7	3.2	8.1
1–21 Nov	IESA	46.7	37.2	8.0	7.4	0.7	9.5
22 Sep–2 Oct	IAC	42.8	39.5	8.5	5.5	3.7	3.3
30 Sep	CADPEA	45.1	37.3	8.2	6.6	2.8	7.8
28 Feb	TNS-Demoscopia	47.9	34.7	7.7	8.2	1.5	13.2
18–19 Feb	Opina	50.5	30.0	9.5	7.5	2.5	20.5
14–17 Feb	Sigma-2	49.8	33.7	7.5	6.1	2.9	16.1
3–12 Feb	IAC	43.2	39.8	6.9	6.6	3.5	3.4
9 Feb	CADPEA	46.9	34.9	7.7	7.8	2.7	12.0
2003
15 Nov–10 Dec	IESA	47.9	35.2	7.5	7.1	2.3	12.7
10 Nov	Inner	51.6	39.1	7.6	1.7	0.1	12.5
9 Sep–9 Oct	CIS	45.0	37.2	7.1	8.2	2.5	7.8
28 Feb	Sigma-2	45.0	40.7	6.8	5.0	2.5	4.3
28 Feb	IAC	41.9	40.6	7.4	5.7	4.4	1.3
18–19 Feb	Opina	47.3	35.0	7.3	7.8	2.6	12.3
31 Jan–5 Feb	PSOE	45.7	35.5	8.6	7.9	2.3	10.2
2002
15 Nov–10 Dec	IESA	46.8	35.8	8.9	7.1	1.4	11.0
15–27 Oct	Opina	44.2	39.5	7.4	6.9	2.0	4.7
28 Feb	Sigma-2	43.2	40.3	7.1	7.4	2.0	2.9
2001
10 Nov–5 Dec	IESA	46.6	35.7	9.4	7.8	0.5	10.9
12 Mar 2000	Regional Election	44.3	38.0	8.1	7.4	2.2	6.3

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

55 seats needed for majority
Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	PA	Others
Date	Polling Firm/Source					Others
14 Mar 2004	Regional Election	61	37	6	5	0
Exit polls
27 Feb–3 Mar	Metra-6	53−54	44	4	7−8	0
26–27 Feb	Opina	56−59	42−46	4−6	3	0
12–20 Feb	TNS-Demoscopia	54−56	46−47	4−5	3	0
24 Jan–15 Feb	CIS	55	42	8	4	0
14 Feb	IAC	50−51	49−51	5−6	3	0
2–7 Feb	Opina	53−54	45−46	7	3	0
2004
24 Nov	Metra-6	53−54	44−45	5−6	4−6	0
22 Sep–2 Oct	IAC	50−51	49−50	6	2−3	0
3–12 Feb	IAC	51−52	48−49	5	4	0
2003
2002
15–27 Oct	Opina	52−53	47−48	5−6	3−4	0
2001
12 Mar 2000	Regional Election	52	46	6	5	0

Results

Overall

Most voted party by provinces.

← Summary of the 14 March 2004 Parliament of Andalusia election results →
Parties and coalitions		Popular vote			Seats

Parties and coalitions		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)	2,260,545	50.36	+6.04	61	+9
	People's Party (PP)	1,426,774	31.78	–6.24	37	–9
	United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)	337,030	7.51	–0.60	6	±0
	Andalusian Party (PA)	276,674	6.16	–1.27	5	±0
	Andalusian Forum (FA)	53,288	1.19	New	0	±0

Parties with less than 1.0% of the vote		72,410	1.61	—	±0
	Socialist Party of Andalusia (PSA)	42,219	0.94	New	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	5,670	0.13	+0.02	±0
	New Andalusian Green Left (NIVA)	5,065	0.11	New	±0
	Andalusia Assembly (A)	4,544	0.10	–0.01	±0
	Spanish Falange of the JONS (FE–JONS)¹	4,437	0.10	+0.07	±0
	Party of Precarious Workers (PTPRE)	3,321	0.07	New	±0
	Republican Left (IR)	3,130	0.07	New	±0
	Andalusian Social Democratic Party (PSDA)	1,642	0.04	New	±0
	Left Assembly–Initiative for Andalusia (A–IZ)	1,334	0.03	New	±0
	Another Democracy is Possible (OtraDem)	525	0.01	New	±0
	National Union (UN)	523	0.01	±0.00	±0

Blank ballots

62,451

1.39

+0.10

Total

4,489,172

100.00

109

±0

Valid votes

4,489,172

99.35

+0.01

Invalid votes

28,658

0.65

–0.01

Votes cast / turnout

4,518,545

74.66

+5.95

Abstentions

1,533,467

25.34

–5.95

Registered voters

6,052,012

Source(s): Argos Information Portal, historiaelectoral.com

Notes:
¹ Spanish Falange of the JONS results are compared to Independent Spanish Falange totals in the 2000 election.

Popular vote

PSOE–A			50.36%
PP			31.78%
IULV–CA			7.51%
PA			6.16%
FA			1.19%
Others			1.61%
Blank ballots			1.39%

Seats

PSOE–A			55.96%
PP			33.94%
IULV–CA			5.50%
PA			4.59%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PSOE–A		PP		IULV–CA		PA

	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S
Almería	46.1	6	42.0	5	3.8	−	4.4	−
Cádiz	47.8	8	32.0	5	6.6	1	7.3	1
Córdoba	45.9	7	30.8	4	11.2	1	6.4	1
Granada	49.0	7	35.4	5	7.1	1	4.3	−
Huelva	52.9	7	28.8	3	7.3	−	8.0	1
Jaén	53.1	7	32.4	4	6.7	1	5.7	−
Málaga	47.5	8	34.6	6	7.6	1	6.7	1
Seville	55.9	11	26.2	5	7.9	1	6.1	1
Total	50.4	61	31.8	37	7.5	6	6.2	5

Aftermath

Investiture vote

First round: 21 April 2004
Absolute majority (55/109) required
Candidate: Manuel Chaves
Choice		Vote
Choice		Parties	Votes
	YYes	PSOE–A (61)	61 / 109
	No	PP (36)	36 / 109
	Abstentions	IULV–CA (6), PA (5)	11 / 109
Absences: PP (1)
Source: historiaelectoral.com

References

↑ Statute of Autonomy for Andalusia of 1981, Organic Law No. 6 of December 30, 1981 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 2017-02-22.
↑ Electoral Law of Andalusia of 1986, Law No. 1 of January 2, 1986 Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved on 2017-02-22.

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