30th Alberta general election
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87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta 44 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 30th general election of Alberta, Canada, will elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. It will take place on or before May 31, 2019.
The Election Act fixes the election to a three-month period, between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day which in this case was May 5, 2015. However, this does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislature before this period.[1]
In the 2015 general election, the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) was elected to a majority government under leader Rachel Notley. The NDP formed the government for the first time in Alberta history and ousted the long-ruling Progressive Conservatives, who were reduced to third place. Outgoing Premier Jim Prentice resigned as party leader and as MLA for Calgary-Foothills on election night.[2] The Progressive Conservatives had won every provincial election since the 1971 election, making them the longest-serving provincial government in Canadian history. This was only the fourth change of government in Alberta since Alberta became a province in 1905, and one of the worst defeats that any provincial government has suffered in Canada.
Timeline
2015
- May 5: The Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) wins a majority government in the 29th Alberta General Election, defeating the long-ruling Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta (PCs) after close to 44 years in office. The Wildrose Party remains the official opposition, with the PCs dropping to third and the Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta Party winning one seat each. Outgoing Premier Jim Prentice announces his resignation as PC leader, and disclaims his victory in Calgary-Foothills, leaving the riding vacant.
- May 11: Ric McIver, PC MLA-elect for Calgary-Hays and outgoing cabinet minister, is appointed interim leader of the PCs.[3]
- May 15: Elections Alberta publishes the official election results.[4]
- May 22: Deborah Drever, NDP MLA-elect for Calgary-Bow, is suspended from the NDP caucus for controversial social media posts.[5]
- May 24: Rachel Notley, NDP MLA-elect for Edmonton-Strathcona, is sworn in as Alberta's 17th Premier, along with her 11-member Cabinet.[6]
- June 1: The new MLAs are sworn in.[7]
- June 11: The first session of the 29th Alberta Legislative Assembly begins.[8]
- August 6: Premier Notley calls a byelection for Calgary-Foothills, vacated by Jim Prentice's disclamation of victory, with the vote to be held on September 3.[9]
- September 3: The Calgary-Foothills byelection is held. Wildrose candidate Prasad Panda is elected.[10]
- November 23: Manmeet Bhullar, PC MLA for Calgary-Greenway, dies in a highway crash.[11]
2016
- January 8: Deborah Drever, Independent MLA for Calgary-Bow, rejoins the NDP.[12]
- February 23: Premier Notley calls a byelection for Calgary-Greenway, vacated by Manmeet Bhullar's death, with the vote to be held on March 22.[13]
- March 22: The Calgary-Greenway byelection is held. PC candidate Prabhdeep Gill is elected.[14]
- May 27: Derek Fildebrandt, Wildrose MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, is suspended from caucus for controversies over a social media post regarding Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne.[15]
- May 31: Derek Fildebrandt, MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, has suspension lifted by the Wildrose Party after promising to follow set conditions.[16]
- November 17: Sandra Jansen, PC MLA for Calgary-North West, joins the NDP after allegations of harassment during the PC leadership race.[17]
2017
- March 18: Jason Kenney, former federal cabinet minister, is elected PC leader on a platform of joining with the Wildrose to form a united right-of-centre party.
- May 18: PC leader Jason Kenney and Wildrose leader Brian Jean announce that merger referenda will be held in their parties on July 22, 2017. If they pass, with thresholds of 50%+1 of PC members and 75% of Wildrose members, the parties will begin the process of merging into the United Conservative Party, or UCP.[18]
- May 25: The Alberta Electoral Boundaries Commission presents its interim report, proposing changes to the boundaries and names of the province's ridings for the next election.[19]
- June 4: David Khan is elected leader of the Liberal Party, becoming the first openly gay leader of a major Alberta political party.[20] David Swann, MLA for Calgary-Mountain View, had been serving as interim leader since the resignation of Raj Sherman in January 2015.
- July 22: The PC and Wildrose parties hold unity referenda on the question of merging into the United Conservative Party. Both parties approve the merger with 95% support.[21]
- July 24: The UCP legislative caucus meets for the first time and elects Nathan Cooper, Wildrose MLA for Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills, as interim leader.[22] Richard Starke, PC MLA for Vermilion-Lloydminster, announces that he will not join the UCP caucus, and will continue sitting as a PC until the party is formally deregistered (at which time he will become an Independent).[23]
- July 25: The UCP caucus is formally established in the legislature, comprising all 22 Wildrose MLAs and 7 of the 8 PC MLAs. Richard Starke continues to sit as a PC MLA.[24]
- July 27: The UCP is formally registered with Elections Alberta. The PC and Wildrose parties remain registered, but both share the UCP's leadership team.[25]
Opinion polls
The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.
| Dates | Polling organisation | Sample size | NDP | UCP | Liberal | Alberta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–28 Jul 2017 | Mainstreet Research | 2,100 | 29% | 57% | 4% | 9% | ||||
| 24 Jul 2017 | Nathan Cooper becomes interim leader of the United Conservative Party | |||||||||
| 22 Jul 2017 | The PC and Wildrose parties vote to merge in joint referenda, forming the United Conservative Party | |||||||||
| Dates | Polling organisation | Sample size | NDP | Wildrose | PC | Liberal | Alberta | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2017 | David Khan becomes leader of the Liberal Party | |||||||||
| 11–12 Apr 2017 | Mainstreet Research | 2,421 | 24% | 37% | 29% | 5% | 5% | |||
| 18 Mar 2017 | Jason Kenney becomes leader of the Progressive Conservative Association | |||||||||
| 9–10 Feb 2017 | Mainstreet Research | 2,589 | 23% | 38% | 29% | 5% | 5% | |||
| 2–5 Dec 2016 | Insights West | 701 | 27% | 34% | 27% | 5% | 2% | |||
| 15–20 Nov 2016 | ThinkHQ | 1,106 | 31% | 35% | 24% | 4% | 3% | |||
| 25 Oct–1 Nov 2016 | Innovative Research | 646 | 14% | 25% | 39% | 14% | 2% | |||
| 1–8 Oct 2016 | Lethbridge College | 1,513 | 19.7% | 25.7% | 38.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% | |||
| 9–12 Jul 2016 | Insights West | 601 | 26% | 35% | 22% | 11% | 1% | |||
| 5–9 May 2016 | Insights West | 713 | 27% | 35% | 22% | 8% | 5% | |||
| 11–16 Mar 2016 | ThinkHQ | 1,331 | 27% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 4% | |||
| 3 Feb 2016 | Mainstreet Research | 3,092 | 27% | 33% | 31% | 5% | 4% | |||
| 1–6 Dec 2015 | ThinkHQ | 1,230 | 29% | 33% | 25% | 8% | 3% | |||
| 6–10 Nov 2015 | Insights West | 619 | 33% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 2% | |||
| 1 Nov 2015 | Mainstreet Research | 3,199 | 36% | 37% | 20% | 3% | 4% | |||
| 1 Oct 2015 | Mainstreet Research | 3,258 | 33% | 39% | 21% | 3% | 4% | |||
| 30 Jun 2015 | Mainstreet Research | 3,007 | 31% | 40% | 24% | 3% | 2% | |||
| 11 May 2015 | Ric McIver is appointed interim leader of the Progressive Conservative Association | |||||||||
| 5 May 2015 | Jim Prentice resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservative Association | |||||||||
| 5 May 2015 | General election results[26] | 1,486,901 | 40.6% | 24.2% | 27.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | |||
Footnotes
- ↑ The UCP was formed by a merger of the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta and the Wildrose Party. The PCs won 10 seats and 27.80% of the vote in 2015, however, their seats were reduced to 9 by Jim Prentice's disclamation of victory in his riding. Wildrose won 21 seats and 24.23% of the vote. Combined, the two parties won 31 seats and 52.03% of the vote.
References
- ↑ Election Act, R.S.A. 2000, c. E-1, s. 38.1, as amended by S.A. 2011, c. 19
- ↑ "Jim Prentice resignation as MLA too fast, strategist says". CBC News, May 6, 2015.
- ↑ "Ric McIver named interim leader of Alberta's PC party," CBC News May 11, 2015.
- ↑ "Official Poll Results". Elections Alberta. 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-16.
- ↑ "Here's the image that finally got NDP MLA Deborah Drever suspended from caucus". Calgary Herald, May 22, 2015.
- ↑ "Rachel Notley sworn in as Alberta premier, reveals cabinet," CBC News May 24, 2015.
- ↑ "Alberta MLAs sworn in after historic election," CBC News June 1, 2015.
- ↑ "Medicine Hat MLA elected Speaker of the 29th Legislature," CTV News June 11, 2015.
- ↑ "Notley calls Sept 3 Calgary-Foothills byelection," 630 CHED Edmonton Aug 6, 2015.
- ↑ ," Elections Alberta September 3, 2015.
- ↑ http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/alberta-conservative-mla-manmeet-bhullar-killed-in-highway-crash-1.3331978
- ↑ http://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/brian-mason-deborah-drever-to-make-announcement-in-calgary
- ↑ http://calgaryherald.com/news/politics/notley-announces-byelection-date
- ↑ Wood, James. "Tories hold Calgary-Greenway riding after byelection". Calgary Herald. Retrieved 24 March 2016.
- ↑ "Wildrose MLA Derek Fildebrandt 'surprised' by suspension". Calgary Herald, May 28, 2016.
- ↑ "Wildrose lifts suspension of MLA Derek Fildebrandt". CBC News, May 31, 2016.
- ↑ Bellefontaine, Michelle. "Alberta MLA Sandra Jansen leaves PCs, joins NDP caucus". CBC. Retrieved 17 November 2016.
- ↑ http://edmontonjournal.com/news/politics/alberta-conservative-unity-one-step-closer
- ↑ @AlbertaEBC (May 25, 2017). "The #AlbertaEBC presented its Interim Report to @LegAssemblyofAB. Read the report for yourself at www.abebc.ca/reports/ #ableg" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ↑ Dormer, Dave. "David Khan chosen leader of the Alberta Liberal Party". CBC. Retrieved June 4, 2017.
- ↑ Graney, Emma. "Wildrose, Progressive Conservative parties to merge with 95% approval". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved July 22, 2017.
- ↑ Bellefontaine, Michelle (July 24, 2017). "Nathan Cooper chosen as interim leader of United Conservative Party". CBC News. Retrieved July 24, 2017.
- ↑ Schwartz, Zane (July 24, 2017). "Former PC leadership contender won't join the new United Conservative Party". Calgary Herald. Retrieved July 24, 2017.
- ↑ "Recognition of the United Conservative Caucus as Official Opposition" (PDF) (Press release). Edmonton, Alberta: Legislative Assembly of Alberta. July 25, 2017. Retrieved July 25, 2017.
- ↑ Jason Nixon [@JasonNixonAB] (July 27, 2017). "It's official. Registration of the United Conservative Party has been approved by Elections Alberta. Great day for Albertans! #ableg #ucp" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ↑ "Results of the 2017 General Election". Elections Alberta. Retrieved 31 July 2017.
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