Alberta general election, 2015

Alberta general election, 2015
Alberta
May 5, 2015

87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout 54.2%

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Rachel Notley Brian Jean Jim Prentice
Party New Democratic Wildrose Progressive Conservative
Leader since October 18, 2014 March 28, 2015 September 6, 2014
Leader's seat Edmonton-Strathcona Fort McMurray-Conklin Calgary-Foothills (disclaimed re-election)
Last election 4 seats, 9.82% 17 seats, 34.29% 61 seats, 43.95%
Seats before 4 5 70
Seats won 54 21 10[lower-alpha 1]
Seat change Increase50 Increase16 Decrease60
Popular vote 604,515 360,511 413,607
Percentage 40.57% 24.23% 27.80%
Swing Increase30.75pp Decrease10.06pp Decrease16.15pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader David Swann Greg Clark
Party Liberal Alberta Party
Leader since interim until TBA September 21, 2013
Leader's seat Calgary-Mountain View Calgary-Elbow
Last election 5 seats, 9.89% 0 seats, 1.31%
Seats before 5 0
Seats won 1 1
Seat change Decrease4 Increase1
Popular vote 62,153 33,221
Percentage 4.19% 2.29%
Swing Decrease5.70pp Increase0.98pp

Popular vote by riding. As this is a first-past-the-post election, seat totals are not determined by total popular vote, but instead by results in each riding.

Premier before election

Jim Prentice
Progressive Conservative

Premier-designate

Rachel Notley
New Democratic

The 29th general election of Alberta, Canada, took place on May 5, 2015, following a request of Premier Jim Prentice to the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta Donald Ethell to dissolve the Legislative Assembly on April 7, 2015. This election elected members to the 29th Alberta Legislature. It was one of only four times that Alberta has changed governments.

The provincial Election Act fixed the election date to a three-month period between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day - in this case, April 23, 2012. However, the Act does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislature before this period.[1]

The Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta (PCs) had a majority in the outgoing Assembly. As a result of the election, the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) were elected to a majority government under leader Rachel Notley. The NDP formed Government for the first time in Alberta history, ousting the PCs, who were reduced to third place in seats. Prentice resigned as PC leader and MLA for Calgary-Foothills on election night.[2] The Progressive Conservatives had won every provincial election since the 1971 election, making them the longest-serving provincial government in Canadian history. This was only the fourth change of government in Alberta since Alberta became a province in 1905, and one of the worst defeats a provincial government has suffered in Canada. It also marked the first time a left-of-centre political party had formed government in Alberta since the defeat of the United Farmers of Alberta in 1935 and the Depression-era radical monetary reform policies of William Aberhart's Social Credit government.[3]

The Wildrose Party under leader Brian Jean remained the Official Opposition, gaining four seats since 2012 despite winning 82,000 fewer votes and a 10.7% lower share of the popular vote than in the previous election. The Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta Party each won a single seat with Alberta Party leader Greg Clark becoming the party's first MLA. The Alberta Liberal Party lost four seats, only returning interim leader David Swann to the Legislative Assembly.

The election is sometimes called the "Orange Chinook," a reference to the province's dramatic swing to the NDP, as well as the NDP's orange colour.[4][5]

Following the election, Notley and her cabinet were sworn in on May 24, 2015.[6]

Background

In the 2012 general election the PCs lost a portion of their caucus, but were able to continue as majority government, despite their share of the popular vote decreasing to under 50%. The Wildrose Party formed the official opposition for the first time, while the other two parties in the Assembly, the Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP), both held official party status with five and four seats respectively.[7] On September 4, 2014, the PCs became the longest serving political dynasty in Canadian history, at 43 years, 5 days.[8]

Prentice, who succeeded former premier and interim leader of the Progressive Conservatives Dave Hancock in September 2014, was not obligated to call an election until 2016. However, seeking a new mandate to pass his budget, he asked Lieutenant Governor Donald Ethell to dissolve the legislature on April 7. In accordance with Canadian constitutional practice, Ethell granted the request, beginning a month long campaign.[9] The early election call was criticized by some as unethical, as it violated the fixed election dates specified in the Elections Act, but it was constitutionally valid and followed the general practice of the reserve powers of the Crown, specifically the constitutional convention of following the advice of the premier.[10]

Results

54 21 9 1 1 1
NDP Wildrose PC LIB AP *
Party Votes Seats
New Democratic 603,459
40.6%
Increase 30.8%
54 / 87(62%)
Progressive Conservative 412,958
27.8%
Decrease 16.2%
10 / 87(11%)
Wildrose 360,124
24.2%
Decrease 10.1%
21 / 87(24%)
Liberal 62,171
4.2%
Decrease 5.7%
1 / 87(1%)
Alberta Party 33,867
2.3%
Increase 1.0%
1 / 87(1%)

Summary of the May 5, 2015 Legislative Assembly of Alberta election results[11]

 
Party Party leader Number of
candidates
Seats Popular vote*
2012 Dissol. 2015 % of Seats # % Change (pp)
New Democratic Rachel Notley 87 4 4 54 62.1 603,459 40.59 +30.77
Wildrose Brian Jean 86 17 5 21 24.1 360,124 24.22 -10.07
Progressive Conservative Jim Prentice 87 61 70 9 10.3 412,958 27.77 –16.18
Liberal David Swann 56 5 5 1 1.1 62,171 4.18 –5.71
Alberta Party Greg Clark 36 1 1.1 33,867 2.28 +0.95
Green[12] Janet Keeping 24 7,321 0.49 +0.10
Social Credit Len Skowronski 6 832 0.06 +0.04
Communist Naomi Rankin 2 181 0.01 =
Alberta First[13] Bart Hampton 1 72 0.005 =
  Independent 15 1 5,916 0.40 +0.13
  Vacant 2 1** 1.1
Total 400 87 87 87 100.0% 1,486,901 100.00%
* The total popular vote includes votes from voided Calgary-Foothills election.
** The candidate elected for Calgary-Foothills, Jim Prentice, disclaimed his victory.[14] According to section 139 of the Alberta Elections Act,[15] if a winning candidate disclaims their right to become an MLA before the end of the appeal period for the official results, that riding's election is declared void.
Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta - seats won/lost by party, 2012-2015
Party 2012 Gain from (loss to) 2015
NDP WR PC Lib Alb
New Democratic4 2 44 4 54
Wildrose17 (2) 7(1) 21
Progressive Conservative61 (44) 1(7) (1) 9
Liberal5 (4) 1
Alberta Party0 1 1
Total 87(50) 3 (7) 52 (1) 4 (1) 86

The election resulted in a majority government led by the New Democratic Party.

The result in Calgary-Glenmore remained unresolved on election night, as incumbent PC MLA Linda Johnson and NDP challenger Anam Kazim finished the vote count in an exact tie of 7,015 votes each,[16] necessitating a recount process.[16] On May 15, the recount determined NDP candidate Anam Kazim won the riding by six votes.

The Alberta NDP had been leading in most polls since late April. They had been expected to do well in Edmonton, which historically had been more favourable to centre-left parties and candidates than Alberta in general. However, in a result that exceeded even the most optimistic projections for the NDP, Edmonton swung dramatically to support Notley. The NDP took every seat in the city, all by very large margins (4,000 votes or more with absolute majority support). The NDP also won 15 of the 25 seats in Calgary, the power base of the PCs for most of the last four decades. The NDP also swept the province's third and fourth-largest cities, Lethbridge and Red Deer. NDP support remained relatively lower in rural Alberta, where they only won a handful of ridings in the north of the province, as well as some rural ridings around Edmonton.[17]

Notley later said that she had known a week before the election that the NDP would win. She told the Canadian Press that she had been sitting in a hotel room in either Calgary or Lethbridge when she saw a very credible poll showing the NDP was poised to rebound from a mere four seats in the legislature - the minimum for official party status - to an outright majority. She was stunned at first, but recovered long enough to drop her plans for a whirlwind schedule to close out the campaign in favour of making plans for a transition.[18]

The PCs finished second in the popular vote, 52,800 votes ahead of the Wildrose. However, their caucus was decimated due to a near-total collapse in the major cities, as well as a more pronounced split in the right-of-centre vote. They were completely shut out in Edmonton, Lethbridge, and Red Deer, and lost 12 of their 20 seats in Calgary. Since the first-past-the-post system awards power solely on the basis of seats won (not by proportional representation), the PCs were knocked down to third place with 10 seats, and only two outside Calgary. This was further reduced to nine, following Prentice's disclaiming of victory in his riding. The PC were reduced to their smallest presence in the Legislative Assembly since 1967. With a few exceptions, their support in the cities transferred to the NDP, while their rural support moved to the Wildrose. All but three members of Prentice's cabinet were defeated.

The Wildrose had its legislative caucus greatly reduced in 2014 when then-leader and Leader of the Official Opposition Danielle Smith and all but 5 Wildrose MLAs crossed the floor to sit with the governing PCs. In the 2015 general election, the party rebounded to 21 seats and retained Official Opposition status. All of their gains were in rural areas, and they failed to win a seat in either of Alberta's two largest cities.

Greg Clark, leader of the Alberta Party, won the first ever seat for his party in the Legislative Assembly.

For the first time since the 1920s, centre-left candidates won a majority of seats in Calgary - 15 for the NDP and one for the Liberals.

Timeline

Opinion polls

The following is a summary of published polls of voter intentions.

Polling Firm Date of Polling Margin of Error
(19 times out of 20)
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Other Undecided
Election 2015 May 5, 2015 27.8 24.2 4.2 40.6 2.3 0.9
Forum Research May 4, 2015 ±3 pp 23 23 4 45 3 2
Insights West May 1–4, 2015 ±3.1 pp 23 27 4 42 3 2 9
EKOS Research Associates Apr. 29–May 3, 2015 ±3.4 pp 22.5 24.0 5.6 44.3 2.2 1.4
Forum Research May 2, 2015 ±3 pp 21 24 5 42 5 3
Mainstreet Research April 29, 2015 ±1.85 pp 21 26 5 44 3 14
Ipsos-Reid April 27–29, 2015 ±4.1 pp 24 26 9 37 3 1
EKOS Research Associates April 25–29, 2015 ±3.7 pp 23.1 21.3 6.3 42.2 4.6 2.6
ThinkHQ April 26–28, 2015 ±2.1 pp 20 27 9 39 4 1
Leger Marketing April 26–28, 2015 ±2.8 pp 30 24 6 38 1 1 16
Return On Insight April 25–28, 2015 ±3.6 pp 24 21 10 38 4
Mainstreet Research April 23, 2015 ±1.49 pp 26 32 8 31 4 21
Forum Research April 22–23, 2015 ±3 pp 20 25 7 38 6 5
Mainstreet Research April 20, 2015 ±1.78 pp 25 35 4 31 4 19
Mainstreet Research April 13, 2015 ±1.76 pp 24 31 10 30 5 23
Forum Research April 7–9, 2015 ±2 pp 27 30 12 28 2 2
Mainstreet Research April 7, 2015 ±1.78 pp 27 31 12 26 3 24
ThinkHQ April 2–6, 2015 ±2.3 pp 25 31 12 26 5 1
Insights West March 27–30, 2015 ±3.9 pp 31 27 14 22 2 5
Mainstreet Research March 29, 2015 ±1.8 pp 30 30 17 18 5 20
Environics February 13–23, 2015 46 16 18 17 4
Insights West December 28–30, 2014 42 14 19 18 7
Mainstreet Research December 21, 2014 44 20 14 18 4
Insights West Nov. 28–Dec. 1, 2014 35 29 15 16 5
Lethbridge College October 4–9, 2014 32.6 30.8 12.8 16.8 7.0
Leger Marketing Aug. 27–Sep. 2, 2014 29 33 18 16 4
Leger Marketing June 23–26, 2014 26 31 20 19 4
Insights West April 23–26, 2014 21 50 11 16 2
ThinkHQ March 10–16, 2014 19 46 16 15 3 1
Angus Reid March 3–9, 2014 23 46 15 13 4
Leger Marketing February 24–27, 2014 25 38 16 15 3 2
Environics February 14–23, 2014 36 33 18 12 2
Lethbridge College October 5–6, 2013 36.1 29.4 15.7 12.2 1.1 5.6
Leger Marketing September 11–17, 2013 33 34 15 15 3
Leger Marketing April 9–12, 2013 29 37 17 14 3
ThinkHQ February 12–16, 2013 26 38 13 16 3 4
Leger Marketing January 14–20, 2013 40 28 12 13 6
Environics October 10–23, 2012 45 29 13 12 1
Lethbridge College September 29–30, 2012 44.6 23.9 11.1 14.0 3.0 3.4
Environics August 10–22, 2012 43 26 14 13 3
Forum Research June 11, 2012 39 36 9 12 2 2
Election 2012 April 23, 2012 ±0.0 pp 44.0 34.3 9.9 9.8 1.3 0.7

Results by riding

Bold indicates cabinet members, and party leaders are italicized. Candidate names appear as they appeared on the ballot.

All riding results sourced from Elections Alberta.[47] </ref>

Northern Alberta

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater Jeff Johnson
5,016 - 29.9%
Travis Olson
4,973 - 29.6%
Colin Piquette
6,797 - 40.5%
Jeff Johnson
Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock Maureen Kubinec
4,876 - 26.6%
Glenn van Dijken
7,206 - 39.3%
Tristan Turner
6,232 - 34.0%
Maureen Kubinec
Bonnyville-Cold Lake Craig Copeland
3,594 - 30.4%
Scott Cyr
5,452 - 46.2%
Josalyne Head
2,136 - 18.1%
Rob Fox
628 - 5.3%
Genia Leskiw
Dunvegan-Central Peace-Notley Rhonda Clarke-Gauthier
2,766 - 28.8%
Kelly Hudson
3,147 - 32.8%
Margaret McCuaig-Boyd
3,692 - 38.4%
Hector Goudreau
Fort McMurray-Conklin Don Scott
1,502 - 22.3%
Brian Jean
2,950 - 43.9%
Melinda Hollis
204 - 3.0%
Ariana Mancini
2,071 - 30.8%
Don Scott
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Mike Allen
2,486 - 25.9%
Tany Yao
3,835 - 40.0%
Robin Le Fevre
345 - 3.6%
Stephen Drover
2,915 - 30.4%
Mike Allen
Grande Prairie-Smoky Everett McDonald
4,968 - 30.8%
Todd Loewen
5,343 - 33.2%
Kevin McLean
787 - 4.9%
Todd Russell
5,009 - 31.1%
Everett McDonald
Grande Prairie-Wapiti Wayne Drysdale
6,229 - 35.6%
Laila Goodridge
4,175 - 23.8%
Mary Dahr
5,062 - 28.9%
Rory Tarant
2,048 - 11.7%
Wayne Drysdale
Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills Darrell Younghans
3,004 - 24.4%
David Hanson
4,763 - 38.7%
Catherine Harder
4,214 - 34.2%
Brian Deheer (Green)
339 - 2.8%
Shayne Saskiw
Lesser Slave Lake Pearl Calahasen
1,944 - 21.5%
Darryl Boisson
3,198 - 35.3%
Danielle Larivee
3,915 - 43.2%
Pearl Calahasen
Peace River Frank Oberle
3,529 - 36.4%
Nathan Steinke
1,979 - 20.4%
Debbie Jabbour
3,821 - 39.4%
Sherry Hilton
376 - 3.9%
Frank Oberle

Central Edmonton

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Tony Caterina
2,524 - 15.5%
Stephanie Diacon
1,248 - 7.6%
Tomi Yellowface
359 - 2.2%
Deron Bilous
12,049 - 73.8%
Owais Siddiqui
147 - 0.9%
Deron Bilous
Edmonton-Calder Thomas "Tom" Bradley
3,222 - 17.8%
Andrew Altimas
1,565 - 8.6%
Amit "Sunny" Batra
527 - 2.9%
David Eggen
12,837 - 70.7%
David Eggen
Edmonton-Centre Catherine Keill
2,228 - 13.5%
Joe Byram
772 - 4.7%
Laurie Blakeman[lower-alpha 2]
4,199 - 25.4%
David Shepherd
8,983 - 54.4%
Greg Keating (Ind.)
295 - 1.8%
Rory Joe Koopmans (Ind.)
40 - 0.2%
Laurie Blakeman
Edmonton-Glenora Heather Klimchuk
3,145 - 17.3%
Don Koziak
1,394 - 7.6%
Karen Sevcik
553 - 3.0%
Sarah Hoffman
12,473 - 68.4%
Chris Vilcsak
463 - 2.5%
David Parker (Green)
195 - 1.1%
Heather Klimchuk
Edmonton-Gold Bar David Dorward
4,147 - 18.6%
Justin J. James
1,422 - 6.4%
Ronald Brochu
702 - 3.2%
Marlin Schmidt
15,349 - 68.9%
Cristina Stasia
662 - 3.0%
David Dorward
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood Jonathan Weiqun Dai
1,778 - 12.0%
Joshua Loeppky
967 - 6.5%
Matthew R. Smith
494 - 3.3%
Brian Mason
11,555 - 78.1%
Brian Mason
Edmonton-Mill Creek Gene Zwozdesky
3,848 - 23.9%
Saqib Raja
1,365 - 8.5%
Harpreet Gill
1,896 - 11.8%
Denise Woollard
9,025 - 55.9%
Gene Zwozdesky
Edmonton-Mill Woods Sohail Quadri
2,920 - 19.1%
Baljit Sall
1,437 - 9.4%
Roberto Maglalang
850 - 5.6%
Christina Gray
9,930 - 64,9%
Aura Leddy (Ind.)
129 - 0.8%
Naomi Rankin
(Communist)
44 - 0.3%
Sohail Quadri
Edmonton-Riverview Steve Young
3,732 - 19.3%
Ian Crawford
1,350 - 7.0%
Donna Wilson
1,416 - 7.3%
Lori Sigurdson
12,108 - 62.8%
Brandon Beringer
487 - 2.5%
Sandra Wolf Lange (Green)
135 - 0.7%
Glenn Miller (Ind.)
59 - 0.3%
Steve Young
Edmonton-Rutherford Chris LaBossiere
3,940 - 22.5%
Josef Pisa
1,644 - 9.4%
Michael Chan
741 - 4.2%
Richard Feehan
11,214 - 63.9%
Fred Horne
Edmonton-Strathcona Shelley Wegner
2,242 - 13.6%
Steve Kochan
658 - 4.0%
Rachel Notley
13,592 - 82.4%
Rachel Notley

Suburban Edmonton

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Edmonton-Castle Downs Thomas Lukaszuk
4,182 - 23.1%
Gerrit Roosenboom
1,383 - 7.6%
Todd Ross
880 - 4.9%
Nicole Goehring
11,689 - 64.5%
Thomas Lukaszuk
Edmonton-Decore Janice Sarich
2,847 - 18.4%
Dean R. Miller
1,289 - 8.3%
Bradley Lawrence Whalen
691 - 4.5%
Chris Nielsen
10,531 - 67.9%
Trey Capnerhurst (Green)
150 - 1.0%
Janice Sarich
Edmonton-Ellerslie Harman Kandola
3,549 - 19.8%
Jackie Lovely
2,499 - 13.9%
Mike McGowan
839 - 4.7%
Rod Loyola
11,034 - 61.6%
Naresh Bhardwaj§
Edmonton-Manning Gurcharan Garcha
2,599 - 15.1%
Atiq Rehman
1,475 - 8.6%
Adam Mounzer
776 - 4.5%
Heather Sweet
12,376 - 71.8%
Peter Sandhu§
Edmonton-McClung David Xiao
4,408 - 25.9%
Steve Thompson
2,373 - 14.0%
Lorne Dach
9,412 - 55.4%
John Hudson
808 - 4.8%
David Xiao
Edmonton-Meadowlark Katherine O'Neill
3,924 - 22.8%
Amber Maze
1,972 - 11.5%
Dan Bildhauer
1,507 - 8.8%
Jon Carson
9,796 - 57.0%
Raj Sherman
Edmonton-South West Matt Jeneroux
6,316 - 27.8%
Cole Kander
2,290 - 10.1%
Rudy Arcilla
1,199 - 5.3%
Thomas Dang
12,352 - 54.4%
Krishna Tailor
543 - 2.4%
Matt Jeneroux
Edmonton-Whitemud Stephen Mandel
7,177 - 32.2%
Chad Peters
1,423 - 6.4%
Steven Townsend
629 - 2.8%
Bob Turner
12,805 - 57.4%
Kathryn Jackson (Green)
182 - 0.8%
John Baloun (Ind.)
73 - 0.3%
Stephen Mandel
Sherwood Park Cathy Olesen
5,655 - 25.9%
Linda Osinchuk
4,815 - 22.1%
Annie McKitrick
11,365 - 52.0%
Cathy Olesen
St. Albert Stephen Khan
6,340 - 27.9%
Shelley Biermanski
2,858 - 12.6%
Bill Alton
778 - 3.4%
Marie Renaud
12,220 - 53.9%
Trevor Love
493 - 2.2%
Stephen Khan

West Central Alberta

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Drayton Valley-Devon Diana J. McQueen
5,182 - 30.5%
Mark Smith
6,284 - 37.0%
Katherine Swampy
4,816 - 28.4%
Connie Jensen
416 - 2.5%
Jennifer R. Roach (Green)
276 - 1.6%
Diana McQueen
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake Kerry Towle
5,136 - 28.0%
Don MacIntyre
7,829 - 42.7%
Patricia Norman
4,244 - 23.1%
Danielle Klooster
1,135 - 6.2%
Kerry Towle
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Wade Bearchell
5,274 - 26.3%
Nathan Cooper
10,692 - 53.4%
Glenn R. Norman
3,366 - 16.8%
Jim Adamchick
685 - 3.4%
Bruce Rowe
Red Deer-North Christine Moore
3,836 - 22.7%
S.H. "Buck" Buchanan
4,173 - 24.7%
Michael Dawe[lower-alpha 3]
3,262 - 19.3%
Kim Schreiner
4,969 - 29.4%
Krystal Kromm
683 - 4.0%
Mary Anne Jablonski
Red Deer-South Darcy Mykytyshyn
5,414 - 27.6%
Norman Wiebe
4,812 - 24.6%
Deborah Checkel
738 - 3.8%
Barb Miller
7,024 - 35.9%
Serge Gingras
1,035 - 5.3%
Ben Dubois (Green)
274 - 1.4%
Patti Argent (Ind.)
232 - 1.2%
William Berry (Ind.)
60 - 0.3%
Cal Dallas
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre Tammy Coté
5,296 - 31.8%
Jason Nixon
6,670 - 40.1%
Hannah Schlamp
2,791 - 16.8%
Joe Anglin (Ind.)
1,871 - 11.3%
Joe Anglin
Spruce Grove-St. Albert Rus Matichuk
6,362 - 25.6%
Jaye Walter
4,631 - 18.7%
Reg Lukasik
916 - 3.7%
Trevor Horne
11,546 - 46.5%
Gary Hanna
1,081 - 4.4%
Brendon Greene (Green)
269 - 1.1%
Vacant
Stony Plain Ken Lemke
4,944 - 25.7%
Kathy Rondeau
5,586 - 29.1%
Mike Hanlon
657 - 3.4%
Erin Babcock
7,268 - 37.8%
Sandy Simmie
538 - 2.8%
Matt Burnett (Green)
220 - 1.1%
Ken Lemke
West Yellowhead Robin Campbell
3,433 - 32.3%
Stuart Taylor
3,055 - 28.8%
Eric Rosendahl
4,135 - 38.9%
Robin Campbell
Whitecourt-Ste. Anne George VanderBurg
4,721 - 31.1%
John Bos
4,996 - 33.0%
Oneil Carlier
5,442 - 35.9%
George VanderBurg

East Central Alberta

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Battle River-Wainwright Blake Prior
5,057 - 31.2%
Wes Taylor
6,862 - 42.3%
Ron Williams
500 - 3.1%
Gordon Naylor
3,807 - 23.5%
Vacant
Drumheller-Stettler Jack Hayden
5,388 - 33.9%
Rick Strankman
7,570 - 47.7%
Emily Shannon
2,927 - 18.4%
Rick Strankman
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Jacquie Fenske
5,527 - 28.3%
Joe Gosselin
3,959 - 20.2%
Peter Schneider
475 - 2.4%
Jessica Littlewood
8,983 - 45.9%
Derek Christensen
324 - 1.7%
Allison Anderson (Green)
285 - 1.5%
Jacquie Fenske
Lacombe-Ponoka Peter Dewit
5,018 - 27.6%
Ron Orr
6,502 - 35.7%
Doug Hart
5,481 - 30.1%
Tony Jeglum
1,206 - 6.6%
Rod Fox§
Leduc-Beaumont George Rogers
6,225 - 28.3%
Sharon Smith
6,543 - 29.7%
Shaye Anderson
8,321 - 37.8%
Bert Hoogewoonink
612 - 2.8%
Josh Drozda (Green)
301 - 1.4%
George Rogers
Strathcona-Sherwood Park Dave Quest
6,623 - 30.1%
Rob Johnson
5,286 - 24.0%
Estefania Cortes-Vargas
9,376 - 42.6%
Lynne Kaiser
721 - 3.3%
Dave Quest
Vermilion-Lloydminster Richard Starke
5,935 - 47.4%
Danny Hozack
4,171 - 33.3%
Saba Mossagizi
2,428 - 19.4%
Richard Starke
Wetaskiwin-Camrose Verlyn Olson
5,951 - 34.7%
Bill Rock
3,685 - 21.5%
Bruce Hinkley
7,531 - 43.9%
Verlyn Olson

Central Calgary

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Calgary-Acadia Jonathan Denis
4,602 - 29.0%
Linda Carlson
4,985 - 31.4%
Nicholas Borovsky
765 - 4.8%
Brandy Payne
5,506 - 34.7%
Jonathan Denis
Calgary-Buffalo Terry Rock
3,738 - 28.1%
Leah Wamboldt
1,351 - 10.2%
David Khan
3,282 - 24.7%
Kathleen Ganley
4,671 - 35.1%
Sabrina Lee Levac (Green)
263 - 2.0%
Kent Hehr
Calgary-Cross Rick Hanson
4,501 - 35.3%
Moiz Mahmood
2,060 - 16.2%
Manjot Singh Gill
1,194 - 9.4%
Ricardo Miranda
4,602 - 36.1%
Peter Meic (Green)
236 - 1.9%
Katherine Le Rougetel (Ind.)
143 - 1.1%
Yvonne Fritz
Calgary-Currie Christine Cusanelli
4,577 - 24.7%
Terry DeVries
3,769 - 20.3%
Shelley Wark-Martyn
1,441 - 7.8%
Brian Malkinson
7,387 - 39.8%
Tony Norman
1,006 - 5.4%
Nelson Berlin (Green)
373 - 2.0%
Christine Cusanelli
Calgary-East Moe Amery
3,971 - 28.3%
Ali Waissi
3,633 - 25.9%
Naser Al-Kukhun
806 - 5.7%
Robyn Luff
5,506 - 39.2%
Bonnie Devine (Communist)
138 - 1.0%
Moe Amery
Calgary-Elbow Gordon Dirks
6,254 - 30.3%
Megan Brown
1,786 - 8.7%
John Roggeveen
565 - 2.7%
Catherine Welburn
3,256 - 15.8%
Greg Clark
8,707 - 42.2%
Larry R. Heather (Social Credit)
67 - 0.3%
Gordon Dirks
Calgary-Fish Creek Richard Gotfried
6,198 - 32.9%
Blaine Maller
5,568 - 29.6%
Jill Moreton
6,069 - 32.2%
Allison Wemyss
850 - 4.5%
Martin Owen (Social Credit)
148 - 0.8%
Heather Forsyth
Calgary-Fort Andy Bao Nguyen
3,204 - 22.7%
Jeevan Mangat
3,003 - 21.3%
Said Abdulbaki
476 - 3.4%
Joe Ceci
7,027 - 49.8%
Vic Goosen
410 - 2.9%
Wayne Cao
Calgary-Glenmore Linda Johnson
7,015 - 33.2%
Chris Kemp-Jackson
5,058 - 23.9%
David Waddington
1,345 - 6.4%
Anam Kazim
7,021 - 33.2%
Terry Lo
719 - 3.4%
Linda Johnson
Calgary-Klein Kyle Fawcett
4,878 - 26.7%
Jeremy Nixon
4,206 - 23.0%
David Gamble
1,104 - 6.0%
Craig Coolahan
8,098 - 44.3%
Noel Keough[lower-alpha 4] (Green)
0 - 0.0%
Kyle Fawcett
Calgary-Mountain View Mark Hlady
4,699 - 23.9%
Terry Wong
2,070 - 10.5%
David Swann
7,204 - 36.7%
Marc Andrew Chikinda
5,673 - 28.9%
David Swann
Calgary-Varsity Susan Billington
5,700 - 30.2%
Sharon Polsky
2,598 - 13.8%
Pete Helfrich
1,862 - 9.9%
Stephanie McLean
8,297 - 43.9%
Carl Svoboda (Green)
424 - 2.2%
Donna Kennedy-Glans

Suburban Calgary

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Calgary-Bow Byron Nelson
5,419 - 33.0%
Trevor Grover
3,752 - 22.8%
Matt Gaiser
682 - 4.2%
Deborah Drever
5,669 - 34.5%
Jonathon Himann
459 - 2.8%
David Reid (Green)
448 - 2.7%
Alana DeLong
Calgary-Foothills Jim Prentice[lower-alpha 5]
7,163 - 40.3%
Keelan Frey
3,216 - 18.1%
Ali Bin Zahid
1,271 - 7.2%
Anne Wilson
5,748 - 32.4%
Janet Keeping (Green)
363 - 2.0%
Jim Prentice
Calgary-Greenway Manmeet Bhullar
5,337 - 42.8%
Devinder Toor
2,627 - 21.1%
Don Monroe
4,513 - 36.2%
Manmeet Bhullar
Calgary-Hawkwood Jason Luan
6,378 - 31.2%
Jae Shim
4,448 - 21.7%
Harbaksh Singh Sekhon
736 - 3.6%
Michael Connolly
7,443 - 36.4%
Beth Barberree
925 - 4.5%
Polly Knowlton Cockett (Green)
455 - 2.2%
Len Skowronski (Social Credit)
90 - 0.4%
Jason Luan
Calgary-Hays Ric McIver
6,671 - 38.3%
Bob Mailloux
4,562 - 26.2%
Shawn Emran
722 - 4.1%
Carla Drader
5,138 - 29.5%
Graham MacKenzie (Green)
250 - 1.4%
Zachary Doyle (Social Credit)
93 - 0.5%
Ric McIver
Calgary-Lougheed Dave Rodney
5,939 - 35.0%
Mark Mantei
4,781 - 28.2%
Leila Keith
817 - 4.8%
Mihai Ion
5,437 - 32.0%
Dave Rodney
Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill Neil Brown
4,587 - 27.4%
Kathy Macdonald
4,914 - 29.3%
Prab Lashar
768 - 4.6%
Karen M. McPherson
6,177 - 36.9%
Sandy Kevin Aberdeen (Green)
316 - 1.9%
Neil Brown
Calgary-McCall Jagdeep Kaur Sahota
2,317 - 18.2%
Happy Mann
3,367 - 26.4%
Avinash S. Khangura
2,224 - 17.5%
Irfan Sabir
3,812 - 29.9%
Burhan Khan (Ind.)
1,010 - 7.9%
Darshan Kang
Calgary-North West Sandra Jansen
6,320 - 32.7%
Jeff Callaway
5,163 - 26.7%
Neil Marion
935 - 4.8%
Karen Mills
5,724 - 29.6%
Chris Blatch
1,176 - 6.1%
Sandra Jansen
Calgary-Northern Hills Teresa Woo-Paw
5,343 - 30.7%
Prasad Panda
4,392 - 25.3%
Harry Lin
1,000 - 5.8%
Jamie Kleinsteuber
6,641 - 38.2%
Teresa Woo-Paw
Calgary-Shaw Jeff Wilson
5,348 - 30.7%
Brad Leishman
5,301 - 30.4%
Alexander Barrow
668 - 3.8%
Graham Sucha
5,449 - 31.3%
Evert Smith
661 - 3.8%
Jeff Wilson
Calgary-South East Rick Fraser
7,663 - 32.5%
Brandon Lunty
6,892 - 29.2%
Gladwin Gill
1,304 - 5.5%
Mirical Macdonald
7,358 - 31.2%
Jordan Mac Isaac (Green)
374 - 1.6%
Rick Fraser
Calgary-West Mike Ellis
8,312 - 46.8%
Gerard Lucyshyn
4,512 - 25.4%
Mizanur Rahman
4,940 - 27.8%
Mike Ellis
Chestermere-Rocky View Bruce McAllister
7,454 - 36.0%
Leela Sharon Aheer
7,676 - 37.0%
William James Pelech
3,706 - 17.9%
Jamie Lall (Ind.)
1,093 - 5.3%
Coral Bliss Taylor (Green)
405 - 2.0%
Matt Grant (Ind.)
391 - 1.9%
Bruce McAllister

Southern Alberta

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Airdrie Peter Brown
6,181 - 28.9%
Angela Pitt
7,499 - 35.1%
Chris Noble
6,388 - 29.9%
Jeremy Klug
912 - 4.3%
Jeff Willerton (Ind.)
399 - 1.9%
Rob Anderson
Banff-Cochrane Ron Casey
5,555 - 28.2%
Scott Wagner
5,692 - 28.9%
Cameron Westhead
8,426 - 42.8%
Ron Casey
Cardston-Taber-Warner Brian Brewin
4,356 - 35.5%
Grant Hunter
5,126 - 41.8%
Aaron Haugen
2,407 - 19.6%
Delbert Bodnarek
378 - 3.1%
Gary Bikman§
Cypress-Medicine Hat Bob Olson
3,389 - 21.6%
Drew Barnes
8,544 - 54.6%
Eric Musekamp
528 - 3.4%
Bev Waege
3,201 - 20.4%
Drew Barnes
Highwood Carrie Fischer
6,827 - 33.0%
Wayne Anderson
8,504 - 41.1%
Leslie Mahoney
3,3937 - 19.0%
Joel Windsor
892 - 4.3%
Martin Blake (Green)
390 - 1.7%
Jeremy Fraser (Social Credit)
187 - 0.9%
Danielle Smith§
Lethbridge-East Tammy L. Perlich
4,743 - 25.3%
Kent Prestage
3,918 - 20.9%
Bill West
1,201 - 6.4%
Maria Fitzpatrick
8,918 - 47.5%
Bridget Pastoor
Lethbridge-West Greg Weadick
3,938 - 21.0%
Ron Bain
3,063 - 16.3%
Sheila Pyne
634 - 3.4%
Shannon Phillips
11,144 - 59.3%
Greg Weadick
Little Bow Ian Donovan
4,793 - 35.3%
David Schneider
4,803 - 35.4%
Helen McMenamin
377 - 2.8%
Bev Muendel-Atherstone
3,364 - 24.8%
Caleb Van Der Weide (Social Credit)
249 - 1.8%
Ian Donovan
Livingstone-Macleod Evan P. Berger
6,404 - 34.7%
Pat Stier
7,362 - 39.9%
Alida Hess
464 - 2.5%
Aileen Burke
4,338 - 22.9%
Pat Stier
Medicine Hat Blake Pedersen
3,427 - 21.1%
Val Olson
5,790 - 35.6%
Bob Wanner
6,160 - 37.9%
Jim Black
731 - 4.5%
David Andrew Phillips (Ind.)
137 - 0.8%
Blake Pedersen
Strathmore-Brooks Molly Douglass
4,452 - 27.0%
Derek Fildebrandt
8,652 - 52.5%
Ali Abdulbaki
200 - 1.2%
Lynn MacWilliam
2,463 - 15.0%
Einar B. Davison
304 - 1.8%
Mike Worthington (Green)
322 - 2.0%
Glen Dundas (Alberta First)
72 - 0.4%
Jason Hale

Endorsements

The following media outlets endorsed the PCs during the campaign:

No endorsements were made for any of the other parties.

Defeated incumbents

Party Name Constituency Office held at election Year elected Defeated by Party
Progressive
Conservative
Mike Allen Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo 2012 Tany Yao Wildrose Party
Moe Amery Calgary East 1993 Robyn Luff New Democratic Party
Pearl Calahasen Lesser Slave Lake Longest-serving MLA at dissolution 1989 Danielle Larivee New Democratic Party
Jonathan Denis Calgary-Acadia Minister of Justice and Solicitor General 2008 Brandy Payne New Democratic Party
Gordon Dirks Calgary-Elbow Minister of Education 2014 Greg Clark Alberta Party
Ian Donovan Little Bow 2012 Dave Schneider Wildrose Party
David Dorward Edmonton-Gold Bar Associate Minister of Aboriginal Relations 2012 Marlin Schmidt New Democratic Party
Jacquie Fenske Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville 2012 Jessica Littlewood New Democratic Party
Matt Jeneroux Edmonton-South West 2012 Thomas Dang New Democratic Party
Jeff Johnson Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater Minister of Seniors 2008 Colin Piquette New Democratic Party
Stephen Khan St. Albert Minister of Service Alberta 2012 Marie Renaud New Democratic Party
Heather Klimchuk Edmonton-Glenora Minister of Human Services 2008 Sarah Hoffman New Democratic Party
Maureen Kubinec Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock Minister of Culture and Tourism 2012 Glenn van Dijken Wildrose Party
Thomas Lukaszuk Edmonton-Castle Downs 2001 Nicole Goehring New Democratic Party
Stephen Mandel Edmonton-Whitemud Minister of Health 2014 Bob Turner New Democratic Party
Bruce McAllister Chestermere-Rocky View 2012 Leela Aheer Wildrose Party
Everett McDonald Grande Prairie-Smoky 2012 Todd Loewen Wildrose Party
Frank Oberle Peace River Minister of Energy, Government House Leader 2004 Debbie Jabbour New Democratic Party
Cathy Olesen Sherwood Park 2012 Annie McKitrick New Democratic Party
Blake Pedersen Medicine Hat 2012 Bob Wanner New Democratic Party
Sohail Quadri Edmonton-Mill Woods 2012 Christina Gray New Democratic Party
Janice Sarich Edmonton-Decore 2008 Chris Nielsen New Democratic Party
Don Scott Fort McMurray-Conklin Minister of Innovation and Advanced Education, Deputy House Leader 2012 Brian Jean Wildrose Party
Kerry Towle Innisfail-Sylvan Lake 2012 Don MacIntyre Wildrose Party
Jeff Wilson Calgary-Shaw 2012 Graham Sucha New Democratic Party
David Xiao Edmonton-McClung 2008 Lorne Dach New Democratic Party
Steve Young Edmonton-Riverview 2012 Lori Sigurdson New Democratic Party
Gene Zwozdesky Edmonton-Mill Creek Speaker 1993 Denise Woollard New Democratic Party
Liberal Laurie Blakeman Edmonton-Centre 1997 David Shepherd New Democratic Party
Independent Joe Anglin Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre 2012 Jason Nixon Wildrose Party

MLAs who did not run again

Progressive Conservative
Wildrose
Liberal

Footnotes

  1. The election in the riding of Calgary-Foothills was voided, leaving the Progressive Conservatives with 9 seats in the official results. Popular votes in this table include votes from Calgary-Foothills.
  2. Blakeman was also endorsed by the Alberta Party and the Green Party of Alberta.
  3. Dawe was also endorsed by the Green Party of Alberta.
  4. Withdrew.
  5. Prentice disclaimed his victory on election night, leaving the seat vacant.

References

  1. Election Act, R.S.A. 2000, c. E-1, s. 38.1, as amended by S.A. 2011, c. 19
  2. "Jim Prentice resignation as MLA too fast, strategist says". CBC News, May 6, 2015.
  3. Betke, Carl (1979). Society and Politics in Alberta. Methuen. pp. 130–145.
  4. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/alberta/ndp-the-year-of-albertas-orange-chinook/article27939816/
  5. http://globalelectioninsights.ca/federal/could-the-orange-chinook-extend-into-october/
  6. Notley, 11 cabinet ministers to be sworn in Sunday at legislature. Edmonton Journal, 2015-05-20.
  7. Stolte, Elise (April 23, 2012). "Alberta Election 2012: NDP picks up support, falls short of goal". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
  8. "Alberta PCs win historic 12th straight majority". CTV Calgary. April 23, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2012.
  9. Justin Giovannetti (7 April 2015). "Jim Prentice seeks mandate on May 5 in cautious Alberta election bid". Retrieved 7 May 2015.
  10. Bratt, Duane. "Alberta election may be unethical, but it’s not illegal". The Globe and Mail (Apr. 10, 2015). Retrieved 12 March 2016.
  11. "Unofficial Results". Archived from the original on April 26, 2012. Retrieved July 18, 2015.
  12. Results compared to the Evergreen Party's results in 2012
  13. Results compared to the Separation Party's results in 2012
  14. Office of the Chief Electoral Officer (5 June 2015). "Notice: Members Elected to Serve in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta". The Alberta Gazette, Part I. 111 (11): 391.
  15. RSA 2000, c E-1
  16. 1 2 "Calgary-Glenmore riding in a dead heat". Calgary Herald, May 5, 2015.
  17. Dyck, Rand (2015). Provincial Politics in Canada (Revised 2015 ed.). pp. 241–28.
  18. Bennett, Dean (May 10, 2015). "Notley says she knew NDP would win Alberta election a week before vote". CTV News. Retrieved May 12, 2015.
  19. "Key Dates". Elections Alberta. Archived from the original on May 4, 2012. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
  20. Henton, Darcy (May 2, 2012). "Redford says she wants to fast-track twinning of Highway 63". Calgary Herald. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
  21. "Parties". Elections Alberta. Retrieved August 29, 2013. The Separation Party of Alberta made application to the Chief Electoral Officer to change the party name to "Alberta First Party". The request was received and approved, and the change was made effective May 14, 2013.
  22. O'Donnell, Sarah (May 14, 2013). "Edmonton Conservative MLA withdraws from caucus while ethics investigation underway". Edmonton Journal. Archived from the original on June 14, 2013. Retrieved May 23, 2013.
  23. "Alberta MLA quits PC caucus after U.S. prostitution arrest". CBC News. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 20, 2013.
  24. "MLA Peter Sandhu back in PC caucus". CBC News. December 10, 2013. Retrieved February 20, 2014.
  25. Wood, James (March 12, 2014). "MLA won’t remain a Tory ‘with her as leader of the party’". Calgary Herald. Retrieved March 13, 2014.
  26. Barrett, Jessica (March 18, 2014). "Associate minister leaves Tories, blaming culture of entitlement". Calgary Herald. Retrieved March 18, 2014.
  27. Janus, Andrea (March 20, 2014). "Redford's replacement Dave Hancock promises 'government Albertans want'". CTV News. Retrieved March 23, 2014.
  28. "Dave Hancock to be interim Alberta premier". CBC News. March 19, 2014. Retrieved March 20, 2014.
  29. Bennett, Dean (May 2, 2014). "Alberta NDP to pick new leader in Edmonton". Global News. Retrieved May 4, 2014.
  30. Mertz, Emily (July 7, 2014). "Alberta MLA Mike Allen back in PC Caucus". Global News. Retrieved July 7, 2014.
  31. Kleiss, Karen (August 6, 2014). "Alison Redford resigns seat, leaves politics". Calgary Herald. Archived from the original on August 8, 2014. Retrieved August 7, 2014.
  32. "Alberta PC leadership vote: Jim Prentice wins on 1st ballot". CBC News. September 6, 2014. Retrieved September 6, 2014.
  33. "Outgoing Alberta premier Dave Hancock resigns MLA seat". September 12, 2014. Retrieved September 12, 2014.
  34. Ibrahim, Mariam (September 15, 2014). "Prentice promises ‘new way of doing things’ as smaller cabinet sworn in". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved September 17, 2014.
  35. "Kennedy-Glans returns to Alberta PC caucus". Global News. September 17, 2014. Retrieved 18 September 2014.
  36. Howell, Trevor (September 30, 2014). "Prentice to run in Calgary-Foothills as four byelections called". Calgary Herald. Retrieved October 1, 2014.
  37. Bennett, Dean (October 18, 2014). "Rachel Notley becomes new leader of Alberta NDP". Global News. Retrieved October 19, 2014.
  38. "Alberta byelections swept by Jim Prentice's Progressive Conservative Party". CBC News. October 27, 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2014.
  39. "Joe Anglin quits Wildrose caucus, will sit as independent". CBC News. November 2, 2014. Retrieved November 2, 2014.
  40. Ibrahim, Mariam; Kleiss, Karen. "Wildrose MLAs Kerry Towle and Ian Donovan cross floor to join Tories". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved 24 November 2014.
  41. Bartko, Karen (December 17, 2014). "Cabinet minister has ‘open mind’ to Wildrose floor crossings". Global Edmonton. Retrieved December 17, 2014.
  42. "Wildrose turns to Heather Forsyth as party reels from defections". CBC News. December 21, 2014. Retrieved December 21, 2014.
  43. "Raj Sherman stepping down as Alberta Liberal leader". CBC News. January 26, 2015. Retrieved January 26, 2015.
  44. "Doug Horner resigning as MLA at end of January". CBC News. January 22, 2015. Retrieved January 27, 2015.
  45. "David Swann chosen as interim leader of Alberta Liberals". CBC News. February 1, 2015. Retrieved February 1, 2015.
  46. "Official Poll Results". Elections Alberta. 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-16.
  47. "Provincial Results". Elections Alberta. Retrieved August 11, 2017.
  48. "Our choice: Prentice deserves another mandate". Calgary Herald. May 2, 2015.
  49. "Editorial: Alberta PC party the only viable choice". Calgary Sun. May 2, 2015.
  50. "Saturday’s Editorial: In this election, we are picking a CEO for the province". Edmonton Journal. May 2, 2015. Retrieved May 2, 2015.
  51. "For Alberta, Jim Prentice is the best choice". The Globe and Mail. May 1, 2015.
  52. "Editorial: Alberta PC party the only viable choice". Edmonton Sun. May 2, 2015. Retrieved May 4, 2015.
  53. 1 2 3 4 5 Henton, Darcy (2015-02-07). "Retiring MLAs to take home $5M in severance pay". Calgary Herald. Retrieved 2016-06-03.
  54. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Markusoff, Jason (2015-02-17). "After five terms, Calgary MLA Wayne Cao joins list of Tories not running again". Calgary Herald. Retrieved 2016-10-10.

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