World Football Elo Ratings

The World Football Elo Ratings is a ranking system for men's national teams in association football published by the website eloratings.net. The method used to rank teams is based upon the Elo rating system method but modified to take various football-specific variables into account. These ratings should not be confused with the FIFA World Rankings, which is more prevalent because it is the official rating system used by the international governing body of football to rank national teams. Also this website uses specific numbers and factors in its implementation of the general Elo system. Other Elo rankings are of course possible, thus there is not the Elo ranking for a national team.

The ratings consider all international "A" matches for which results could be found. Ratings tend to converge on a team's true strength relative to its competitors after about 30 matches.[1] Ratings for teams with fewer than 30 matches should be considered provisional.

The FIFA Women's World Rankings system uses a modified version of the Elo formula whereas the FIFA men's ranking system uses a non-Elo formula. A 2009 comparative study of eight methods found that the implementation of the Elo rating system described below had the highest predictive capability for football matches, while the men's FIFA ranking method performed poorly.[2]

Top 60 ranking

The following table shows World Football Elo Ratings on 14 February 2016, using data from the World Football Elo Ratings web site.[3]

Each national team's FIFA World Rankings are shown as they were on 4 February 2016.[4]

AFC
CAF
CONCACAF
CONMEBOL
UEFA

Elo
Rank
1 Year
Change
TeamPointsFIFA
Rank
1Steady Germany20464
2Increase 1 Brazil20126
3Decrease 1 Argentina20062
4Increase 4 Spain19823
5Increase 1 Chile19545
6Decrease 1 Colombia19358
7Increase 2 England19349
8Decrease 1 France193124
9Increase 1 Uruguay192811
10Increase 3 Belgium19041
11Steady Portugal18967
12Increase 4 Ecuador189413
13Decrease 1 Mexico189122
14Decrease 10 Netherlands187614
15Decrease 1 Italy184915
16Increase 2 Ukraine179227
17Steady Croatia179118
18Increase 3 Switzerland178312
19Increase 11 South Korea177853
Increase 27 Turkey177820

Elo
Rank
1 Year
Change
TeamPointsFIFA
Rank
21Increase 17 Austria177610
22Increase 11 Peru176843
23Decrease 8 Costa Rica176331
24Increase 12 Poland175034
Decrease 2 Russia175023
26Decrease 7 United States174832
27Increase 7 Republic of Ireland174730
28Decrease 5 Sweden174435
29Decrease 9 Czech Republic173925
30Decrease 3 Japan173758
31Decrease 5 Ivory Coast173328
32Decrease 8 Romania173216
33Decrease 4 Slovakia171925
34Increase 1 Iran171344
35Increase 8 Paraguay170942
36Decrease 8 Denmark170540
37Increase 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina170121
38Decrease 7 Serbia170051
39Decrease 7 Australia169168
40Decrease 3 Scotland167446

Elo
Rank
1 Year
Change
TeamPointsFIFA
Rank
41Decrease 3 Panama167160
42Increase 10 Hungary167019
43Decrease 2 Algeria166036
44Increase 5 Senegal165045
45Increase 16 Wales164717
46Increase 8 Uzbekistan164571
47Increase 3 Iceland164138
48Decrease 23 Ghana164041
49Decrease 5 Nigeria162663
50Decrease 3 United Arab Emirates162365
51Increase 2 Egypt161755
52Increase 5 Cameroon160562
53Increase 3 Bolivia160372
54Increase 3 Norway160050
55Decrease 4 Slovenia159459
56Decrease 14 Venezuela159381
57Decrease 9 Greece158639
58Increase 15 Trinidad and Tobago157649
59Increase 9 Albania157536
60Steady South Africa157473

Highest average ratings since 1970

Time averaged Elo or Elo-like scores are routinely used to compare chess player strengths.[5][6][7] The following is a list of the national teams with the highest average Elo score from 1 January 1970 to 1 January 2016. Before this time intercontinental play was fairly limited and many nations in Africa, North America, and Asia had played too few games yet to create a representative Elo score.

RankCountryAvg Elo
1 Brazil2013.4
2 Germany[8]1981.2
3 Netherlands1927.4
4 England1922.1
5 Italy1921.2
6 Spain1912.2
7 Argentina1907.6
8 France1883.2
9 Russia[9]1849.5
10 Czech Republic[10]1829.5
11 Portugal1820.2
12 Serbia[11] 1813.8
13 Sweden1798.4
14 Romania1779.7
15 Mexico1778.2
16 Uruguay1776.3
17 Poland1770.1
RankCountryAvg Elo
18 Belgium1765.9
19 Denmark1757.6
20 Scotland1737.1
21 Chile1725.5
22 Paraguay1725.3
23 Republic of Ireland1720.5
24 Bulgaria1703.6
25 Australia1700.4
26 Colombia1693.7
27  Switzerland1690.5
28 Austria1689.4
29 Hungary1683.9
30 Iran1676.4
31 South Korea1667.0
32 Greece1656.8
33 Nigeria1654.9
34 Egypt1654.4
RankCountryAvg Elo
35 Wales1652.6
36 Peru1647.5
37 Israel1643.2
38 Ivory Coast1641.9
39 Morocco1641.3
40 Turkey1637.1
41 Cameroon1637.0
42 Norway1636.2
43 Ghana1614.8
44 United States1611.7
45 Costa Rica1604.2
46 Northern Ireland1603.5
47 Tunisia1602.0
48 Japan1596.2
49 Iraq1591.3
50 Ecuador1591.0
51 Algeria1573.6

List of number one teams

The following is the list of nations who have achieved the number one position in the World Football Elo Ratings since 1990:

Start DateNation# of days
25 June 1988 Netherlands717
12 June 1990 West Germany7
19 June 1990 Brazil5
24 June 1990 West Germany725
18 June 1992 Netherlands3
21 June 1992 Germany5
26 June 1992 Netherlands75
9 September 1992 Brazil37
16 October 1992 Argentina247
20 June 1993 Germany49
8 August 1993 Argentina7
15 August 1993 Germany313
24 June 1994 Brazil3
27 June 1994 Germany12
9 July 1994 Brazil708
16 June 1996 Germany3
19 June 1996 Brazil4
23 June 1996 Germany311
30 April 1997 Brazil30
30 May 1997 Germany11
10 June 1997 Brazil380
25 June 1998 Brazil /  Germany2
27 June 1998 Brazil15

Start DateNation# of days
12 July 1998 France328
5 June 1999 Brazil389
28 June 2000 France708
6 June 2002 Argentina1
7 June 2002 France4
11 June 2002 Netherlands1
12 June 2002 Spain4
16 June 2002 Netherlands5
21 June 2002 Brazil351
7 June 2003 Netherlands4
11 June 2003 Brazil8
19 June 2003 Netherlands83
10 September 2003 France291
27 June 2004 Czech Republic4
1 July 2004 France10
11 July 2004 Brazil3
14 July 2004 France35
18 August 2004 Argentina290
4 June 2005 Czech Republic4
8 June 2005 Argentina21
29 June 2005 Brazil102
9 October 2005 Netherlands3
12 October 2005 Brazil265

Start DateNation# of days
4 July 2006 Italy43
16 August 2006 France52
7 October 2006 Brazil122
6 February 2007 France1
7 February 2007 Brazil140
27 June 2007 France14
11 July 2007 Argentina4
15 July 2007 Brazil334
13 June 2008 Brazil /  Netherlands2
15 June 2008 Netherlands6
21 June 2008 Spain368
24 June 2009 Brazil373
2 July 2010 Netherlands1
3 July 2010 Netherlands /  Spain3
6 July 2010 Netherlands1
7 July 2010 Spain1089
30 June 2013 Brazil45
14 August 2013 Spain59
12 October 2013 Brazil260
29 June 2014 Netherlands5
4 July 2014 Brazil4
8 July 2014 Germany587

Ranking by days as leader since 1 January 1990

NationdaysLast Date as Leader
 Brazil 3,582 8 July 2014
 Germany 2,026 Current
 Spain 1,523 12 October 2013
 France 1,443 10 July 2007
 Argentina 570 14 July 2007
 Netherlands 354 4 July 2014
 Italy 43 15 August 2006
 Czech Republic 8 7 June 2005

All-time highest ratings

The following is a list of national football teams ranked by their highest Elo score ever reached.

Rank Nation Points Date
1  Germany 2200 13 July 2014
2  Hungary 2166 30 June 1954
3  Brazil 2153 17 June 1962
4  Spain 2143 23 June 2013
5  Netherlands 2133 12 July 2014
6  Argentina 2117 3 April 1957
7  France 2106 15 August 2001
8  Italy 2079 20 July 1939
9  Poland 2047 1 September 1974
10  England 2042 22 October 1966
11  Uruguay 2035 13 June 1928
12  Russia[12] 2023 9 October 1983
13  Colombia 2016 28 June 2014
14  Czech Republic 1999 27 June 2004
15  Austria 1998 31 May 1934
16  Chile 1997 13 October 2015
17  Portugal 1983 28 February 2001
18  Croatia 1968 11 July 1998
19  Serbia[13] 1962 25 June 1998
20  Denmark 1961 13 June 1986

Rank Nation Points Date
21  Scotland 1953 10 March 1888
22  East Germany 1951 22 June 1974
23  Sweden 1950 25 June 1950
24  Mexico 1936 19 June 2005
25  Paraguay 1932 21 February 1954
26  Belgium 1916 9 September 1981
27  Norway 1914 13 June 2000
28  Romania 1910 9 June 1990
29  Greece 1896 18 August 2004
30  Ecuador 1894 17 November 2015
31  Republic of Ireland 1889 21 August 2002
32  Ivory Coast 1881 26 January 2013
33  Switzerland 1877 22 June 1994
34  Australia 1873 14 December 1997
35  United States 1872 8 July 2009
36  Turkey 1868 19 June 2003
37  Japan 1867 15 August 2001
38  Wales 1859 20 May 1981
39  Bulgaria 1856 15 June 1969
 Peru 1856 11 June 1978

Rank Nation Points Date
41  Cameroon 1849 26 June 2003
42  Costa Rica 1846 13 November 2014
43  Egypt 1835 31 January 2010
44  Iran 1824 8 June 2005
45  Ukraine 1821 15 November 2013
46  South Korea 1818 22 June 2002
47  Nigeria 1816 5 June 2004
48  Northern Ireland 1809 23 April 1986
49  Senegal 1803 16 June 2002
50  Ghana 1798 3 February 2008
51  Morocco 1794 24 December 1998
52  Venezuela 1786 20 July 2011
53  Bosnia and Herzegovina 1783 7 June 2013
54  Algeria 1768 17 December 1990
55  Bolivia 1767 25 June 1997
56  South Africa 1764 18 September 1996
57  DR Congo[14] 1759 14 March 1974
58  Guinea 1758 5 June 1977
59  Tunisia 1756 26 January 2006
60  Israel 1751 11 April 1976

Averages by decade

The table below shows the teams with the best average Elo score per decade (Jan 1 19X0 - Dec 31 19X9).

Rank 1920s 1930s 1940s [15] 1950s 1960s
1 1911

 Uruguay

1976

 Argentina

2036

 Argentina

2025

 Argentina

1962

 Brazil

2 1873

 Spain

1970

 Italy

2018

 Italy

1998

 Hungary

1928

 England

3 1859

 Argentina

1899

 Uruguay

1892

 England

1996

 Brazil

1924

 Hungary

4 1843

 Scotland

1868

 Spain

1876

 Brazil

1917

 England

1923

 Argentina

5 1820

 Czechoslovakia

1867

 England

1858

 Spain

1870

 West Germany

1918

 Soviet Union

6 1795

 Denmark

1859

 Austria

1852

 Uruguay

1856

 Uruguay

1887

 West Germany

7 1771

 Brazil

1841

 Scotland

1841

 Scotland

1853

 Italy

1867

 Czechoslovakia

8 1768

 England

1814

 Czechoslovakia

1832

 Germany

1850

 Yugoslavia

1852

 Italy

9 1761

 Hungary

1810

 Brazil

1815

 Hungary

1817

 Austria

1844

 Spain

10 1760

 Austria

1785

 Hungary

1783

 Mexico

1815

 Spain

1840

 Uruguay

11 1739

 Netherlands

1767

 Costa Rica

1768

 Czechoslovakia

1799

 Paraguay

1811

 Yugoslavia

12 1712

 Sweden

1759

 Germany

1766

 Austria

1796

 Sweden

1801

 Scotland

13 1701

 Belgium

1685

 Denmark

1746

 Wales

1791

 Scotland

1796

 Sweden

14 1693

 Italy

1682

 Sweden

1734

 Sweden

1753

 France

1783

 Mexico

15 1676

 Portugal

1678

 United States

1719

 Paraguay

1728

 Peru

1741

 Austria

Rank 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s [16]
1 2060

 Brazil

1975

 Brazil

1999

 Brazil

1998

 Brazil

2064

 Spain

2 2041

 West Germany

1964

 West Germany

1988

 Germany

1984

 France

2050

 Brazil

3 1948

 England

1951

 Soviet Union

1952

 Italy

1966

 Netherlands

2048

 Germany

4 1933

 Italy

1927

 England

1928

 France

1964

 Argentina

2013

 Netherlands

5 1888

 Netherlands

1897

 Argentina

1920

 Netherlands

1955

 Spain

1973

 Argentina

6 1884

 Poland

1890

 Italy

1904

 Spain

1942

 Italy

1915

 England

7 1878

 Soviet Union

1884

 Netherlands

1902

 FR Yugosalvia[17]

1916

 England

1880

 Chile

8 1869

 East Germany

1884

 France

1901

 England

1891

 Germany

1879

 Uruguay

9 1861

 Argentina

1847

 Spain

1874

 Denmark

1887

 Portugal

1877

 Portugal

10 1851

 Spain

1840

 Poland

1869

 Argentina

1873

 Czech Republic

1867

 Italy

11 1838

 Czechoslovakia

1820

 Czechoslovakia

1843

 Czech Republic[18]

1838

 Croatia

1853

 France

12 1831

 Hungary

1819

 Belgium

1836

 Sweden

1825

 Mexico

1852

 Colombia

13 1830

 Yugoslavia

1818

 Yugoslavia

1829

 Croatia

1822

 Denmark

1849

 Mexico

14 1809

 Scotland

1803

 East Germany

1826

 Russia[19]

1808

 Sweden

1836

 Croatia

15 1803

 Portugal

1785

 Uruguay

1825

 Mexico

1800

 Romania

1803

 Sweden

16 1793

 Belgium

1784

 Romania

1813

 Romania

1790

 United States

1800

 Russia

17 1771

 Sweden

1783

 Scotland

1810

 Portugal

1787

 Ireland

1779

 Ecuador

18 1767

 Austria

1776

 Sweden

1784

 Colombia

1786

 Turkey

1777

 Ivory Coast

19 1766

 Romania

1775

 Austria

1777

 Ireland

1782

 Uruguay

1769

  Switzerland

20 1755

 France

1774

 Denmark

1773

 Belgium

1774

 Australia

1767

 United States

Highest rated matches

A list of the 15 matches between teams with the highest combined Elo ratings (the nations' points before the matches are given).

RankCombined
points
Nation 1Elo 1Nation 2 Elo 2ScoreDateOccasionLocation
1 4241  Germany 2180  Argentina 2061 1 : 0 aet 2014-07-13 World Cup F Brazil Rio de Janeiro
 Germany 2200  Argentina 2041 2 : 4 2014-09-03 Friendly[20] Germany Düsseldorf
3 4213  Netherlands 2101  Spain 2112 0 : 1 aet 2010-07-11 World Cup F South Africa Johannesburg
4 4198  Brazil 2100  Germany 2098 1 : 7 2014-07-08 World Cup SF Brazil Belo Horizonte
5 4192  Brazil 2064  Spain 2128 3 : 0 2013-06-30 Confederations Cup F Brazil Rio de Janeiro
6 4161  West Germany 1995  Hungary 2166 3 : 2 1954-07-04 World Cup F Switzerland Bern
7 4160  Netherlands 2051  Brazil 2109 2 : 1 2010-07-02 World Cup QF South Africa Port Elizabeth
8 4152  Brazil 2062  Netherlands 2090 0 : 0 2011-06-04 Friendly Brazil Goiânia
9 4150  West Germany 2069  Brazil 2081 0 : 1 1973-06-16 Friendly West Germany Berlin
10 4135  Netherlands 2075  Argentina 2060 0 : 0 2014-07-09 World Cup SF Brazil São Paulo
11 4130  Spain 2086  Germany 2044 1 : 0 2010-07-07 World Cup SF South Africa Durban
12 4121  Brazil 2051  West Germany 2070 1 : 0 1982-03-21 Friendly Brazil Rio de Janeiro
13 4118  Hungary 2108  Brazil 2010 4 : 2 1954-06-27 World Cup QF Switzerland Bern
14 4116  Hungary 2141  Uruguay 1975 4 : 2 1954-06-30 World Cup SF Switzerland Lausanne
15 4114  West Germany 2080  Netherlands 2034 2 : 1 1974-07-07 World Cup F West Germany Munich

Biggest upsets

A list of the 15 matches with the biggest point exchange.[21] Since the importance of the match, the goal differential and the perceived home team advantage are factored in the point exchange, these are not necessarily the most surprising wins as expressed by the difference in Elo rating.[22] The nations' points before the matches are given.

RankPoint
exchange
Nation 1Elo 1Nation 2 Elo 2ScoreDateOccasionLocation
1 95  Sweden 1621  Belgium 1772 8 : 1 1924-05-29 Olympic Games France Paris
2 85  Fiji 1148  New Zealand 1534 4 : 0 1980-02-23 OFC Nations Cup New Caledonia Nouméa
 Czechoslovakia 1809  Argentina 1964 6 : 1 1958-06-15 World Cup Sweden Helsingborg
4 84  Poland 1583  Hungary 1823 3 : 0 1936-08-05 Olympic Games Germany Berlin
5 82  Brazil 2100  Germany 2098 1 : 7 2014-07-08 World Cup Brazil Belo Horizonte
6 81  Ghana 1598  Czech Republic 1975 2 : 0 2006-06-17 World Cup Germany Cologne
7 80  Khmer Republic 1200  Kuwait 1510 4 : 0 1972-05-14 Asian Cup Thailand Bangkok
8 79  Paraguay 1596  Uruguay 1986 3 : 0 1929-11-01 Copa América Argentina Buenos Aires
9 78  Croatia 1873  Germany 2054 3 : 0 1998-07-04 World Cup France Lyon
 Norway 1535  Great Britain 1865 3 : 1 1920-08-28 Olympic Games Belgium Antwerp
11 77  Uruguay 1785  Brazil 2125 3 : 0 1959-12-12 Copa América Ecuador Guayaquil
 Chile 1540  Uruguay 1893 3 : 0 1937-01-10 Copa América Argentina Buenos Aires
13 76  Netherlands 1962  Spain 2088 5 : 1 2014-06-13 World Cup Brazil Salvador
 United States 1869  Mexico 1772 0 : 5 2009-07-26 Concacaf Gold Cup United States East Rutherford
 Germany 1851  Norway 1650 0 : 2 1936-08-07 Olympic Games Germany Berlin

History

The Elo system, developed by Hungarian-American mathematician Dr. Árpád Élő, is used by FIDE, the international chess federation, to rate chess players, and by the European Go Federation, to rate Go players. In 1997 Bob Runyan adapted the Elo rating system to international football and posted the results on the Internet. He was also the first maintainer of the World Football Elo Ratings web site, now maintained by Kirill Bulygin.

Overview

The Elo system was adapted for football by adding a weighting for the kind of match, an adjustment for the home team advantage, and an adjustment for goal difference in the match result.

The factors taken into consideration when calculating a team's new rating are:

The different weights of competitions in descending order are:

These ratings take into account all international "A" matches for which results could be found. Ratings tend to converge on a team's true strength relative to its competitors after about 30 matches. Ratings for teams with fewer than 30 matches should be considered provisional.

Basic calculation principles

The basic principle behind the Elo ratings is only in its simplest form similar to that of a league, unlike the FIFA tables who effectively run their table as a normal league table, but with weightings to take into account the other factors, the Elo system has its one formula which takes into account the factors mentioned above. There is no first step as in the FIFA system where a team immediately receives points for the result, there is just one calculation in the Elo system.

The ratings are based on the following formulae:

R_n = R_o + K G (W - W_e)

or

P = K G (W - W_e)

Where;

R_n= The new team rating
R_o= The old team rating
K= Weight index regarding the tournament of the match
G= A number from the index of goal differences
W= The result of the match
W_e= The expected result
P= Points Change

The number of Points Change is rounded to the nearest integer before updating the team rating.

Status of match

The status of the match is incorporated by the use of a weight constant. The weight is a constant regarding the "weight" or importance of a match, defined by which tournament the match is in, they are as follows;

Tournament or Match typeIndex (K)
World Cup60
Continental Championship and Intercontinental Tournaments50
World Cup and Continental qualifiers and major tournaments40
All other tournaments30
Friendly Matches20

Number of goals

The number of goals is taken into account by use of a goal difference index. G is increased by half if a game is won by two goals, and if the game is won by three or more goals by a number decided through the appropriate calculation shown below;

If the game is a draw or is won by one goal

G = 1

If the game is won by two goals

G = \frac{3}{2}

If the game is won by three or more goals

G = \frac{11+N}{8}

Table of examples:

Goal DifferenceCoefficient of K (G)
01
+11
+21.5
+31.75
+41.875
+52
+62.125
+72.25
+82.375
+92.5
+102.625

Result of match

W is the result of the game (1 for a win, 0.5 for a draw, and 0 for a loss). This also holds when a game is won or lost on extra time. If the match is decided on penalties, however, the result of the game is considered a draw (W = 0.5).

Expected result of match

We is the expected result (win expectancy with a draw counting as 0.5) from the following formula:

W_e = \frac{1}{10^{-dr/400} + 1}

where dr equals the difference in ratings (add 100 points for the home team). So dr of 0 gives 0.5, of 120 gives 0.666 to the higher-ranked team and 0.334 to the lower, and of 800 gives 0.99 to the higher-ranked team and 0.01 to the lower.

Examples

The same examples have been used on the FIFA World Rankings for a fair comparison. Some actual examples should help to make the methods of calculation clear. In this instance it is assumed that three teams of different strengths are involved in a small friendly tournament on neutral territory.

Before the tournament the three teams have the following point totals.

TeamPoints
A630
B500
C480

Thus, team A is by some distance the highest ranked of the three: The following table shows the points allocations based on three possible outcomes of the match between the strongest team A, and the somewhat weaker team B:

Example 1

Team A versus Team B (Team A stronger than Team B)

Team ATeam BTeam ATeam BTeam ATeam B
Score 3 : 11 : 32 : 2
K 202020202020
G 1.51.51.51.511
W 10010.50.5
W_e 0.6790.3210.6790.3210.6790.321
Total (P) +9.63-9.63-20.37+20.37-3.58+3.58

Example 2

Team B versus Team C (both teams approximately the same strength)

When the difference in strength between the two teams is less, so also will be the difference in points allocation. The following table illustrates how the points would be divided following the same results as above, but with two roughly equally ranked teams, B and C, being involved:

Team BTeam CTeam BTeam CTeam BTeam C
Score 3 : 11 : 32 : 2
K 202020202020
G 1.51.51.51.511
W 10010.50.5
W_e 0.5290.4710.5290.4710.5290.471
Total (P) +14.13-14.13-15.87+15.87-0.58+0.58

Note that Team B loses more ranking points by losing to Team C than by losing to Team A.

See also

Notes and references

  1. "The World Football Elo Rating System". Eloratings.net. Retrieved 26 February 2012.
  2. J. Lasek, Z. Szlávik and S. Bhulai (2013), The predictive power of ranking systems in association football, Int. J. Applied Pattern Recognition1: 27-46.
  3. World Football Elo Ratings Elo.net. Retrieved: 2016-02-15.
  4. "FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking" (Press release). FIFA. 4 February 2016. Retrieved 2016-02-06.
  5. Arpad E. Elo, The Rating of Chessplayers, Past and Present, Arco, 1978. ISBN 0-668-04721-6.
  6. Arpad Elo, Chess Life, 1962.
  7. About the Chessmetrics Rating System, by Jeff Sonas
  8. Representing West Germany from 1949 to 1990
  9. Combined record of the USSR (1970-1992), the CIS (1992), and Russia national football teams (1992-present)
  10. Combined record of the Czechoslovakian (1970-1992) and Czech national football teams (1993-present)
  11. Combined record of Yugoslavia (1970-1992), Serbia and Montenegro (1994-2006) and Serbia national football teams (2006-present)
  12. as Soviet Union
  13. as FR of Yugoslavia
  14. as Zaire
  15. In the 1940s, most national teams did not play games until after the end of World War II, making comparison of countries for this decade weak. For example, Mexico did not play any matches between Feb 1938 and July 1947, so that the average over the decade mostly reflects the single Elo rating achieved in February 1938
  16. (up to 1 January 2016)
  17. Combined record of Yugoslavia (1990-1992) and FR of Yugoslavia (1994-1999)
  18. Combined record of Czechoslovakia (1990-1992) and Czech national football teams (1993-1999)
  19. Combined record of the USSR (1990-1992), the CIS (1992), and Russia national football teams (1992-1999)
  20. "Germany to play Argentina in September friendly". The Star. 21 March 2014. Retrieved 15 July 2014.
  21. Source: World Football Elo Ratings: Biggest Upsets. Only matches between teams with at least 30 earlier matches each are included to allow a stabilized Elo rating. These criteria just disqualify the 4:0 Turkey:China match at the 1948 Olympic Games and the 7:1 Italy:Spain match at the 1928 Olympic Games, each with an 89 point exchange.
  22. In those terms, most surprising may have been the 2:1 win of Luxembourg (Elo rating 1005) over Switzerland (ER 1767) in a World Cup qualification match in September 2008 (a 762 point difference). In another World Cup qualifier in October 2004 Liechtenstein (ER 1032) held the 839 points higher rated Portuguese team (ER 1871) to a 2:2 draw.

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