United Kingdom general election, 2015 (England)

United Kingdom general election, 2015[1]
England
7 May 2015 (2015-05-07)

All 533 English seats to the House of Commons
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader David Cameron Ed Miliband Nick Clegg
Party Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat
Leader since 6 December 2005 25 September 2010 18 December 2007
Leader's seat Witney Doncaster North Sheffield Hallam
Last election 298 seats, 39.6% 191 seats, 28.1% 43 seats, 24.2%
Seats before 298 191 43
Seats won 319 206 6
Seat change Increase21 Increase15 Decrease37
Popular vote 10,483,555 8,087,706 2,098,430
Percentage 41.0% 31.6% 8.2%
Swing Increase1.4% Increase3.6% Decrease16%

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Nigel Farage Natalie Bennett
Party UKIP Green
Leader since 5 November 2010 3 September 2012
Leader's seat Lost Thanet South Lost Holborn and St Pancras
Last election 0 seats, 3.5% 1 seat, 1.0%
Seats before 2 1
Seats won 1 1
Seat change Increase1 Steady0
Popular vote 3,611,367 1,073,242
Percentage 14.1% 4.2%
Swing Increase10.7% Increase3.2%

Colours on map indicate winning party for each constituency.

Prime Minister before election

David Cameron
Conservative

Subsequent Prime Minister

David Cameron
Conservative

The United Kingdom general election, 2015, was held on 7 May 2015 across 533 constituencies within England.

Political context

The general election was fought with the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats having been in coalition since 2010, with Labour being the main opposition; though with election the Conservatives holding the majority of English seats. It was also fought following the victory of UKIP in the European Elections and in to by-elections the year before (2014). Along with George Galloway of the Respect Party winning the Bradford West by-election, 2012 from Labour.

Results overview

The Conservatives emerged as the largest party increasing both its number of seats and votes winning seats both from the Liberal Democrats and the Labour party, as well as holding on to many of their key marginal seats.

Labour though increasing both in number of votes and seats after making gains against the Liberal Democrats along with limited gains against the Conservative Party failed to become the largest party losing its Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls to the Conservatives, with its leader Ed Miliband resigning as Labour leader.

The Liberal Democrats lost the vast majority of its seats barely keeping that of its former leader Nicolas Clegg who resigned on the morning of the election results.

UKIP made large gains in the percentage of votes, though failed to retain Rochester and Strood or to take any seats, leading to the resignation of its leader Nigel Farage.

The Green party increased its share of the vote and held Brighton Pavilion but also failed to make any gains.

[2]

Party Seats Seats
change
Votes % %
change
Conservative 319 +21 10,483,611 41.0 +1.4
Labour 206 +15 8,087,684 31.6 +3.6
Liberal Democrat 6 -37 2,098,404 8.2 -16.0
UKIP 1 +1 3,611,367 14.1 +10.7
Green 1 0 1,073,242 4.2 +3.2
TUSC 0 0 32,868 0.1 +0.1
National Health Action 0 0 20,210 0.1 0.0
Respect 0 0 9,989 0.0 -0.1
Yorkshire First 0 0 6,811 0.0 0.0
English Democrats 0 0 6,431 0.0 -0.2
CISTA 0 0 4,569 0.0 0.0
Monster Raving Loony 0 0 3,432 0.0 0.0
Christian Peoples 0 0 3,260 0.0 0.0
BNP 0 0 1,667 0.0 -2.1
Class War 0 0 526 0.0 0.0
Others 0 0 127,133 0.5 -0.2
Turnout: 25,571,204 65.9 +0.4

Votes summary

Popular vote
Conservative
 
40.99%
Labour
 
31.63%
UKIP
 
14.12%
Liberal Democrats
 
8.21%
Greens
 
4.20%
Other
 
0.85%
Parliament seats
Conservative
 
59.85%
Labour
 
38.65%
Liberal Democrats
 
1.13%
UKIP
 
0.19%
Greens
 
0.19%

Campaign events

Target seats

The recorded swing in each case is calculated as two-way swing from the party that won in 2010 to the party targeting the seat. Negative swing implies that the targeting party lost votes to the incumbent party.

Conservative Party

Rank Constituency Region Winning party
2010
Swing
required (%)
Result Swing to
CON (±%)
1 Hampstead and Kilburn London Labour 0.10 Labour hold -1.0
2 Bolton West North West England Labour 0.10 Conservative gain +0.9
3 Solihull West Midlands Liberal Democrats 0.16 Conservative gain +11.9
4 Southampton Itchen South East England Labour 0.22 Conservative gain +2.8
5 Mid Dorset and North Poole South West England Liberal Democrats 0.29 Conservative gain +11.6
6 Wirral South North West England Labour 0.66 Labour hold -4.8
7 Derby North East Midlands Labour 0.68 Conservative gain +0.8
8 Wells South West England Liberal Democrats 0.72 Conservative gain +7.4
9 Dudley North West Midlands Labour 0.84 Labour hold -4.7
10 Great Grimsby Yorkshire and the Humber Labour 1.08 Labour hold -5.7

Labour Party

Rank Constituency Region Winning party 2010 Swing
required (%)
Result Swing to
LAB (±%)
1 North Warwickshire West Midlands Conservative 0.06 Conservative hold −3.1
2 Thurrock South East England Conservative 0.10 Conservative hold −0.5
3 Hendon London Conservative 0.11 Conservative hold −3.7
4 Sherwood East Midlands Conservative 0.22 Conservative hold −4.4
5 Norwich South East of England Liberal Democrats 0.33 Labour gain +13.2
6 Stockton South North East England Conservative 0.33 Conservative hold −4.6
7 Broxtowe East Midlands Conservative 0.37 Conservative hold −3.7
8 Lancaster and Fleetwood North West England Conservative 0.39 Labour gain +1.9
9 Bradford East Yorkshire and the Humber Liberal Democrats 0.45 Labour gain +9.0
10 Amber Valley East Midlands Conservative 0.58 Conservative hold −4.1

Liberal Democrats

Rank Constituency Region Winning party 2010 Swing
required (%)
Result Swing to
LD (±%)
1 Camborne and Redruth South West England Conservative 0.08 Conservative hold −13.8
2 Oxford West and Abingdon South East England Conservative 0.16 Conservative hold −8.3
3 Sheffield Central Yorkshire and the Humber Labour 0.20 Labour hold −22.5
4 Ashfield East Midlands Labour 0.20 Labour hold −12.9
5 Truro and Falmouth South West England Conservative 0.45 Conservative hold −13.2

UKIP

Rank[4] Constituency Region Winning party 2010 Swing
required (%)
Result Swing to
UKIP (±%)
1 Thanet South South East England Conservative 21.2 Conservative hold +18.4
2 Thurrock East of England Conservative 14.7 Conservative hold +13.7
3 Castle Point East of England Conservative (No candidate in 2010) Conservative hold (Vote share: 31.2%)
4 Boston and Skegness East of England Conservative 20.0 Conservative hold +15.0
5 Great Grimsby Yorkshire and the Humber Labour 13.3 Labour hold +5.9

Green Party

Swing for the Greens is measured as one-party swing, i.e. the change in the party's share of the vote.

Rank[5] Constituency Region Winning party 2010 Result Swing to
GRN (±%)
1 Norwich South East of England Liberal Democrats Labour gain −1.0
2 Bristol West South East England Liberal Democrats Labour gain +23.0
3 St Ives South West England Liberal Democrats Conservative gain +3.5
4 Sheffield Central Yorkshire and the Humber Labour Labour hold +12.1
5 Liverpool Riverside North West England Labour Labour hold +8.6

Opinion polling

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabLDUKIPGreenOthersLead
7 May 2015Election 2015 Results25,571,20441.0%31.6%8.2%14.1%4.2%0.9%9.4%
30 Apr–1 May 2015Survation/Daily Mirror97836%34%10%17%4%<0.5%2%
30 Apr 2015Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Milliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
27–28 Apr 2015ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail87236%36%8%12%6%2%Tied
25–27 Apr 2015BMG/May2015.com87739%31%11%15%4%<0.5%8%
24–26 Apr 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]87037%32%9%12%8%1%5%
24–26 Apr 2015ICM/The Guardian[7]86339%32%7%15%6%<0.5%7%
24–25 Apr 2015Survation/Mail on Sunday87936%31%9%20%4%<0.5%5%
21–24 Apr 2015Opinium/The Observer1,66836%33%9%15%7%1%3%
22–23 Apr 2015Survation/Daily Mirror1,07236%29%10%20%5%<0.5%7%
21–22 Apr 2015ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail89039%34%8%11%5%3%5%
17–19 Apr 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]86336%33%9%14%5%2%3%
17–19 Apr 2015ICM/The Guardian[7]86338%35%9%12%5%1%3%
16–17 Apr 2015Opinium/The Observer1,65538%32%9%14%6%1%6%
16–17 Apr 2015Survation/Daily Mirror98635%34%8%18%3%1%1%
16 Apr 2015Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
12–15 Apr 2015Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard60035%37%8%11%8%1%2%
10–12 Apr 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]87034%36%9%14%6%1%2%
10–12 Apr 2015ICM/The Guardian[7]90041%35%7%8%8%1%6%
8–9 Apr 2015Opinium/The Observer1,62639%35%8%12%6%1%4%
8–9 Apr 2015Survation/Daily Mirror83833%36%9%16%5%1%3%
7–8 Apr 2015ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail71836%35%11%13%4%1%1%
2–3 Apr 2015Survation/Daily Mirror85634%33%9%21%3%<0.5%1%
2–3 Apr 2015Opinium/The Observer1,71035%34%7%15%7%1%1%
2 Apr 2015Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
28–29 Mar 2015ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail86438%32%9%13%6%2%6%
27–29 Mar 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]86540%34%7%11%7%1%6%
26 Mar 2015First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
24–25 Mar 2015Opinium/The Observer1,69035%34%9%13%7%<0.5%1%
24–25 Mar 2015Survation/Daily Mirror85134%34%8%20%4%<0.5%Tied
20–22 Mar 2015ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail86438%35%8%11%7%1%3%
20–22 Mar 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]86036%33%8%14%6%2%3%
20–21 Mar 2015Survation/Mail on Sunday 861 31%35%10%19%3%1%4%
18–19 Mar 2015Opinium/The Observer1,70237%33%7%14%7%1%4%
13–15 Mar 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]86334%29%8%18%9%3%5%
13–15 Mar 2015ICM/The Guardian[7]910 38%37%6%11%5%3%1%
10–12 Mar 2015Opinium/The Observer1,65435%35%7%15%7%<0.5%Tied
8–11 Mar 2015Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 863 34%37%8%14%6%1%3%
6–8 Mar 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]85936%31%5%18%9%1%5%
3–6 Mar 2015Opinium/The Observer1,62636%33%7%15%7%3%3%
27 Feb–1 Mar 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]86036%32%8%14%7%2%4%
24–26 Feb 2015Opinium/The Observer1,67935%36%7%14%6%1%1%
23 Feb 2015Survation/Daily Mirror92130%34%10%21%3%2%4%
20–23 Feb 2015ComRes/Daily Mail86536%32%7%14%9%2%4%
20–22 Feb 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]86732%38%6%13%8%2%6%
17–20 Feb 2015Opinium/The Observer1,70436%33%7%16%7%1%3%
13–15 Feb 2015Lord Ashcroft[6] 863 31%31%9%18%9%3%Tied
13–15 Feb 2015ICM/The Guardian[7]86038%34%7%10%8%2%4%
10–12 Feb 2015Opinium/The Observer1,71335%35%8%15%5%1%Tied
8–10 Feb 2015Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard84438%37%7%10%8%0%1%
6–8 Feb 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]86036%31%9%16%7%1%5%
3–6 Feb 2015Opinium/The Observer1,94733%35%7%15%8%2%2%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]85734%30%8%17%10%1%4%
25 Jan 2015Survation/Daily Mirror89034%30%7%25%4%<0.5% 4%
23–25 Jan 2015ComRes/The Independent85233%29%9%20%8%1%4%
22–25 Jan 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]85933%34%5%17%9%2%1%
16–19 Jan 2015ICM/The Guardian[7]86332%35%8%14%10%1%3%
16–18 Jan 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]87131%27%9%17%12%4%4%
11–13 Jan 2015Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard85435%35%8%12%8%2%Tied
9–11 Jan 2015Lord Ashcroft[6]85837%29%7%17%8%2%8%
12–16 Dec 2014ICM/The Guardian[7]86131%33%11%17%5%3%2%
13–15 Dec 2014Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard84036%31%9%14%10%0%5%
12–14 Dec 2014ComRes/The Independent89729%34%12%17%6%2%5%
5–7 Dec 2014Lord Ashcroft[6] 860 31%31%7%23%6%2%Tied
6 May 2010General Election Results25,085,09739.6%28.1%24.2%3.5%1.0%3.6%11.5%

Endorsements

Result

England vote share after 533 of 533 seats

References

  1. Election 2010 United Kingdom - National Results BBC News
  2. Election 2015 Results England BBC News
  3. "General Election 2015: Monday 13 April as it happened". Telegraph.co.uk. 13 April 2015.
  4. "Ukip target seats to secure a breakthrough in the 2015 general election". Mirror Online. 1 April 2015. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
  5. "Green Party's top target seats in the General Election if Natalie Bennett is to lead a breakthrough". Mirror Online. 2 April 2015. Retrieved 12 May 2015.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. The England figures are based on a table that does not adjust for don't knows/refusers.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentages for England are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
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