Opinion polling in the Philippine Senate election, 2016

In most polls (surveys) for the Senate, a respondent is given the option to give up to 12 names.

Voting preferences per candidate

In this table, the people that are in the top twelve are boldfaced, while those within the margin of error are italicized.

Until filing of candidacies

Name and party Date Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 Sep 8–15, 2014 Nov 14–20, 2014 Mar 1–7, 2015 May 30–Jun 7, 2015 Sep 2–5, 2015
Pollster Pulse Asia[1] Pulse Asia[2] Pulse Asia[3] Pulse Asia[4] Pulse Asia[5] SWS[6]
Sample size 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
Margin of error ±3% ±3% ±3% ±3% ±3% ±3%
Florencio Abad Liberal 5.0 5.6 — — — —
Benny Abante UNA — — 1.9 — — —
Joseph Emilio Abaya Liberal — — 3.5 3.0 4.7 4
Persida Acosta Independent — — 10.1 7.5 — 2
Jose Rene Almendras Liberal 2.7 1.5 — — 2.9 —
Rafael Alunan Independent — 1.4 1.2 2.3 1.5 —
Kris Aquino Independent — — — — — 7
Baby Arenas Liberal — — 1.5 3.3 3.1 —
Lito Atienza Buhay 22.1 22.0 26.7 25.3 26.6 —
Robert "Ace" Barbers Nacionalista 10.6 10.3 — — — —
Herbert Bautista Liberal 32.3 — — — — —
Darlene Berberabe Independent — — 0.7 2.2 0.7 —
Ruffy Biazon Liberal 18.4 17.0 18.6 19.6 23.5 —
Abby Binay UNA — — — — 26.8 —
Jejomar Binay, Jr. UNA — — — — — 12
Teodoro Casiño Makabayan — 9.2 9.0 6.9 — —
Lino Cayetano Nacionalista 32.0 27.7 31.3 29.7 36.1 —
Arnold Clavio Independent — 7.9 11.4 8.1 — —
Neri Colmenares Makabayan 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.5 4.1 3
Miriam Coronel-Ferrer Independent — — — — 1.1 —
Dingdong Dantes Independent 11.5 11.1 12.8 13.0 15.2 6
Randy David Independent — — 4.4 4.1 2.7 —
Rizalito David Ang Kapatiran — — — — — 1
Leila de Lima Liberal 28.6 35.3 33.8 36.0 38.7 33
John Carlos de los Reyes Ang Kapatiran 3.9 — — — — —
Jose Manuel Diokno Independent — — 2.8 — — —
Franklin Drilon Liberal 44.7 42.6 44.9 44.1 45.9 42
Ace Durano Liberal 3.6 — — — — —
Rodrigo Duterte PDP-Laban — — — — 39.2 —
Edgar Erice Liberal — 1.7 — — — —
Leonardo Espina Independent — — — — — 2
Precy Estrada Independent — — — — 16.5 —
Rodolfo Fariñas Nacionalista 2.9 2.9 2.3 6.1 — —
Janette Garin Liberal — — — — — 3
Sherwin Gatchalian NPC 5.0 3.2 8.1 5.8 5.3 10
Richard J. Gordon Independent 45.1 45.9 42.9 35.5 39.7 29
TG Guingona Liberal 30.8 23.5 31.8 29.8 28.1 23
Edward Hagedorn Liberal 20.1 19.6 22.0 — — —
Mujiv Hataman Liberal 3.0 2.6 3.1 2.9 3.0 —
Kim Henares Independent — — — 7.1 — 3
Ernesto Herrera Independent — — 8.7 — — —
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 32.4 30.7 35.4 33.1 27.0 21
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon — — — 2.1 — —
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA — — — — — 2
Panfilo Lacson Independent 47.1 47.1 52.9 58.3 67.4 47
Rey Langit UNA — — 4.3 3.8 — —
Mark Lapid Aksyon 18.1 15.6 18.2 27.6 22.7 —
Danilo Lim Liberal 6.5 4.8 7.3 7.0 6.2 —
Joey Lina Independent — — 5.1 — — —
Jun Lozada Independent 4.3 — 4.1 3.9 — —
Romulo Macalintal Independent — — 2.6 — — —
Jamby Madrigal Liberal 38.2 35.9 34.9 33.1 33.9 —
Edu Manzano Independent — — 11.9 — — —
Mitos Magsaysay UNA 23.2 20.6 21.5 18.9 — —
Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. Independent 43.8 47.2 40.5 47.2 54.2 40
Lani Mercado Lakas — — — — — 15
Vanessa Lacsamana UNA — — 8.8 — — —
Francisco Domagoso PMP — 24.5 19.6 22.9 23.6 4
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 37.4 35.4 37.8 36.0 41.2 28
Manny Pacquiao UNA 25.6 31.3 21.9 29.5 37.6 30
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 54.7 51.5 49.2 44.7 46.9 40
Jericho Petilla Liberal — 2.3 2.1 2.1 3.1 2
Gwendolyn Pimentel PDP-Laban 18.9 16.8 — — — —
Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr. NPC 23.8 20.4 23.6 — — —
Manuel Quezon III Independent 6.4 — — — — —
Miro Quimbo Liberal — — — — — 0.8
Amina Rasul Independent 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.9 — —
Ralph Recto Liberal 52.7 44.1 45.1 43.9 47.6 43
Danton Remoto Ladlad 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 —
Gilbert Remulla UNA 11.0 11.7 11.3 8.7 7.4 —
Lani Revilla Lakas 28.4 21.4 19.0 19.0 19.1 —
Leni Robredo Liberal 15.2 20.6 12.4 9.6 13.1 23
Rufus Rodriguez CDP 5.4 4.8 4.7 5.2 2.9 4
Martin Romualdez Lakas 4.8 2.6 5.8 6.9 5.2 8
Bernadette Romulo-Puyat Independent — 0.8 — — — —
Roman Romulo Independent — 3.3 4.4 3.2 3.3 3
Harry Roque Independent — — 0.5 0.9 1.2 1
Etta Rosales Akbayan 2.1 1.9 — — — —
Mar Roxas Liberal 47.0 47.6 — — — —
Joey Salceda Liberal 3.1 4.0 6.0 6.5 — —
Vilma Santos Liberal — 44.5 — — — 18
Shalani Soledad Liberal 8.9 8.7 — — — —
Corazon Soliman Independent — 11.7 — — — —
Tito Sotto NPC 53.8 51.6 54.7 59.3 63.4 54
Lorenzo Tañada III Liberal 4.2 4.0 6.4 6.6 6.7 —
Gilberto Teodoro, Jr. Independent — — — — — 3
"Niel Tupas" (unspecified) Liberal — 3.9 — — — —
Niel Tupas, Jr. Liberal — — — — — 4
Francis Tolentino Independent 12.2 9.7 14.2 15.6 17.8 10
Reynaldo Umali Liberal 2.2 — — — — 0.6
Luis Raymond Villafuerte NPC 2.4 2.1 — — — —
Mark Villar Nacionalista — — — — — 24
Joel Villanueva Liberal 7.4 5.3 8.3 9.2 17.2 12
Juan Miguel Zubiri Independent 42.2 41.5 45.5 40.2 43.9 32
Others — 0.6 — — — — 4
Don't know — 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1
Refused — 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.6
None — 1.8 1.0 3.6 2.1 0.1

Until the campaign period

Name and party Date Oct 25 to Nov 5, 2015 Nov 28, 2015 Dec 4-11, 2015 Dec 4-12, 2015 Dec 12-14, 2015 Jan 8-10, 2016 Jan 24–28, 2016 Feb 5–7, 2016
Pollster RMN MBC-DZRH[7][8] Pulse Asia [9] Standard [10] SWS [11] SWS[12] Pulse Asia[13] SWS[14]
Sample size 3,607 7,436 1,800 1,500 1,200 1,200 1,800 1,200
Margin of error ±2.5% ±1.14% ±2% ±2.6% ±3% ±3% ±2% ±3%
Shariff Albani Independent — — — — — 01 — —
Aldin Ali Independent — — — 05.00 — 01 — —
Rafael Alunan Independent — 04.38 — — — 03 — —
Ina Ambolodto Liberal — 02.56 — — — 00.8 — —
Aladon Ampatuan Independent — 03.53 — — — — — —
Tonyboy Aquino Independent — 12.74 — — — — 08.6 —
Levito Baligod Independent — 01.90 — — — — — —
Greco Belgica Independent — 02.29 — — — 00.8 — —
Walden Bello Independent — 03.17 — — — 02 — —
Sandra Cam PMP — 02.39 — — — 02 — —
Melchor Chavez PMM — — — 06.00 — 08 07.5 —
Neri Colmenares Makabayan 07.94 09.48 — 07.00 — 06 17.1 —
Leila de Lima Liberal 34.91 36.27 46.80 40.00 35.00 33 48.6 35
Franklin Drilon Liberal 41.26 47.74 55.10 47.00 39.00 43 58.8 40
Mary Lou Estrada KBL — — 15.90 — 12.00 — — —
Sherwin Gatchalian NPC 13.79 19.46 36.00 25.00 21.00 17 37.7 23
Richard J. Gordon Independent 31.47 37.07 57.00 33.00 32.00 31 48.6 26
TG Guingona Liberal 21.70 26.22 38.60 26.00 28.00 28 41.4 26
Rodrigo Gutang Independent — 02.27 — — — — — —
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 29.16 33.81 35.70 28.00 26.00 28 41.1 27
Dante Jimenez Independent — 04.82 — — — — — —
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon — 04.66 — — — 05 — —
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA — 03.98 — — — 02 — —
Panfilo Lacson Independent 49.86 54.00 58.50 46.00 46.00 49 63.3 49
Razel Lagman Independent — 03.50 — — — — — —
Rey Langit UNA 06.60 10.72 — 05.00 — 05 — —
Mark Lapid Aksyon 24.97 21.18 20.90 19.00 19.00 19 27.2 19
Dante Liban Independent — 01.72 — — — — — —
Romeo Maganto Lakas — 02.80 — — — 03 — —
Edu Manzano Independent 18.90 21.38 22.50 19.00 15.00 16 24.5 19
Allan Montaño UNA — 04.94 — 05.00 — 06 — —
Ramon Montaño Independent — 04.57 — — — — — —
Vanessa Lacsamana UNA 08.88 11.04 — 12.00 13.00 111 11.8 —
Francisco Domagoso PMP 14.10 18.64 19.20 20.00 30.00 28 24.5 —
Getulio Napeñas UNA — 03.12 — — — 03 — —
Susan Ople Nacionalista 06.33 10.12 — 06.00 — 09 09.1 —
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 33.88 37.89 49.80 33.00 38.00 42 54.8 37
Manny Pacquiao UNA 34.21 36.64 40.00 37.00 40.00 37 46.9 35
Cresente Paez Independent — 01.28 — — — 00.6 — —
Samuel Pagdilao Independent — 03.06 — — — 02 — —
Jovito Palparan Independent — 04.45 — — — 03 — —
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 43.62 43.33 54.50 48.00 56.00 46 65.6 42
Jericho Petilla Liberal 06.88 05.34 — — — 03 07.4 —
Ralph Recto Liberal 44.34 45.98 58.90 44.00 56.00 46 59.9 46
Martin Romualdez Lakas 11.76 14.20 21.60 28.00 13.00 13 19.1 19
Roman Romulo Independent — 06.24 — — — 06 — —
Tito Sotto NPC 57.99 58.00 67.90 57.00 59.00 56 68.8 52
Francis Tolentino Independent 13.24 17.76 23.50 12.00 24.00 19 23.7 19
Joel Villanueva Liberal 14.04 19.24 29.40 17.00 20.00 19 31.1 22
Juan Miguel Zubiri Independent 40.18 46.97 55.90 39.00 40.00 39 54.9 38
Others — — — — — — — — —
Don't know — 08.15 — — — — 03 — —
Refused — — — — — — — — —
None — — — — — — — — —

Campaign period

Name and party Date ?
Pollster
Sample size 0
Margin of error ±0
Shariff Albani Independent —
Aldin Ali PMM —
Rafael Alunan Independent —
Ina Ambolodto Liberal —
Gofredo Arquiza Independent —
Levito Baligod Independent —
Greco Belgica Independent —
Walden Bello Independent —
Sandra Cam PMP —
Melchor Chavez PMM —
Neri Colmenares Makabayan —
Leila de Lima Liberal —
Francisco Domagoso PMP —
Ray Dorona Independent —
Franklin Drilon Liberal —
Larry Gadon KBL —
Sherwin Gatchalian NPC —
Richard J. Gordon Independent —
TG Guingona Liberal —
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan —
Eid Kabalu Independent —
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon —
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA —
Vanessa Lacsamana UNA —
Panfilo Lacson Independent —
Rey Langit UNA —
Mark Lapid Aksyon —
Dante Liban Independent —
Romeo Maganto Lakas —
Edu Manzano Independent —
Allan Montaño UNA —
Ramon Montaño Independent —
Getulio Napeñas UNA —
Susan Ople Nacionalista —
Sergio Osmeña III Independent —
Manny Pacquiao UNA —
Cresente Paez Independent —
Samuel Pagdilao Independent —
Jovito Palparan Independent —
Francis Pangilinan Liberal —
Jericho Petilla Liberal —
Ralph Recto Liberal —
Martin Romualdez Lakas —
Roman Romulo Independent —
Dionisio Santiago Independent —
Tito Sotto NPC —
Francis Tolentino Independent —
Diosdado Valeroso Independent —
Joel Villanueva Liberal —
Juan Miguel Zubiri Independent —
Others N/A N/A
Don't know — —
Refused — —
None — —

Seats won

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (7 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

Pollster Date(s) administered Sample
size 		Margin of
error		 AKB Lakas LP NP NPC PDP UNA Others Ind.
2013 election May 13, 2013 40.1 million NA 0 0 1 3 1 0 3 2 2
Pulse Asia[1] Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 (1) 5 (2) 1 (1) 1 0 2 0 2 (1)
Pulse Asia[2] Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3% 0 (1) 0 6 1 1 0 2 (1) 0 2 (1)
Pulse Asia[3] Nov 14–20, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 4 (1) 1 (1) 1 0 2 0 3
Pulse Asia[4] Mar 1–7, 2015 1,200 ±3% 1 0 4 (1) 1 (1) 1 0 2 (1) 0 3
Pulse Asia[5] May 30–Jun 5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 3 (1) 1 (1) 1 1 3 0 3
SWS[6] Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 3 2 1 0 3 0 3
MBC-DZRH[7][8] Nov 28, 2015 7,436 ±1.14%
Pulse Asia [9] Dec 4–11, 2015 1,800 ±2%
Standard [10] Dec 4–13, 2015 1,500 ±2.6%
SWS [11] Dec 12–14, 2015 1,200 ±3%
SWS[12] Jan 8–10, 2016 1,200 ±3%
Pulse Asia[13] Jan 24–28, 2016 1,800 ±2%

Senate composition

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (13 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

Pollster Date(s) administered Sample
size 		Margin of
error		 AKB Lakas LP NP NPC PDP UNA Others Ind.
2013 election May 13, 2013 40.1 million NA 0 2 4 5 2 1 5 2 3
Pulse Asia[1] Jun 24–Jul 2, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 (1) 6 (2) 4 (1) 2 0 5 2 4 (1)
Pulse Asia[2] Sep 8–15, 2014 1,200 ±3% 0 (1) 0 7 4 2 0 5 (1) 2 4 (1)
Pulse Asia[3] Nov 14–20, 2014 1,200 ±3% 1 0 4 (1) 4 (1) 2 0 5 2 5
Pulse Asia[4] Mar 1–7, 2015 1,200 ±3% 1 0 5 (1) 4 (1) 2 0 5 (1) 2 5
Pulse Asia[5] May 30–Jun 5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 4 (1) 3 (1) 2 1 6 2 5
SWS[6] Sep 2–5, 2015 1,200 ±3% 0 0 4 5 2 0 6 2 5
MBC-DZRH[7][8] Nov 28, 2015 7,436 ±1.14%
Pulse Asia [9] Dec 4–11, 2015 1,800 ±2%
Standard [10] Dec 4–13, 2015 1,500 ±2.6%
SWS [11] Dec 12–14, 2015 1,200 ±3%
SWS[12] Jan 8–10, 2016 1,200 ±3%
Pulse Asia[13] Jan 24–28, 2016 1,800 ±2%

References

  1. 1 2 3 Holmes, Ronald D. (2014-07-21). "Pulse Asia Research’s June 2014 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". http://pulseasia.ph/. Pulse Asia. Retrieved 2015-04-17. External link in |website= (help)
  2. 1 2 3 Holmes, Ronald D. (2014-09-29). "Pulse Asia Research’s September 2014 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". http://pulseasia.ph/. Pulse Asia. Retrieved 2015-04-17. External link in |website= (help)
  3. 1 2 3 Holmes, Ronald D. (2014-09-29). "Pulse Asia November 2014 Senatorial Survey". http://pulseasia.ph/. Rappler. Retrieved 2015-04-17. External link in |website= (help)
  4. 1 2 3 "Sotto, Lacson still lead senatorial poll". Rappler. 2014-03-17. Retrieved 2015-04-17.
  5. 1 2 3 "Pulse Asia Research’s June 2015 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". PulseAsia.ph. Retrieved 2015-06-18.
  6. 1 2 3 "BusinessWorld-SWS September 2015 Pre-Election Survey: Sotto, Lacson, and Recto lead Senatorial race". SWS.org.ph. 2015-09-25. Retrieved 2015-09-28.
  7. 1 2 3 Duterte Escudero. CNN Philippines.
  8. 1 2 3 "Duterte tops MBC-DZRH pre-election survey". DZRH. December 4, 2015.
  9. 1 2 3 "Sotto leads senatorial choices in Pulse survey". Philippine Daily Inquirer. December 23, 2015.
  10. 1 2 3 "Only four new faces make it in Senate poll". Manila Standard. December 23, 2015.
  11. 1 2 3 "Sotto, Pangilinan lead in SWS survey". Philippine Daily Inquirer. December 24, 2015.
  12. 1 2 3 "Binay leads over Poe, Roxas and Duterte in Presidential race; Escudero and Marcos lead over Robredo and Cayetano in VP race; Sotto, Lacson, Recto and Pangilinan lead Senatorial race". www.sws.org.ph. Retrieved 2016-01-15.
  13. 1 2 3 "High awareness of Pacquiao could make him senator". Retrieved 2016-02-06.
  14. ↑ "Binay slips, Duterte up in SWS survey". www.sws.org.ph. Retrieved 2016-01-15.
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