Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from after the previous general election, held on 7 May 2015, to the present day. Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election is scheduled to be held on 7 May 2020.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain.

Graphical summary

UK Opinion Polling for the 2020 election including polls which started on or before 10th February 2016

Conservative

Labour

UKIP

Liberal Democrats

SNP

Greens

The graph shows the opinion polls for Great Britain from May 2015 for the next United Kingdom General Election. It includes polls up to 15th January 2016 and the moving average is calculated from the last ten polls.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.^[1] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results are generally rounded to the nearest percentage point (where a result is less than 0.5%, but more than zero, it is indicated by '*').

The six parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2015 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Other" column.

Conservative Party

Labour Party

UK Independence Party

Liberal Democrats

Scottish National Party

Green parties (Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party)

2016

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	SNP	Green	Others	Lead
12–14 Feb	ICM/The Guardian	1,004	39%	32%	11%	7%	4%	4%	3%	7%
10–12 Feb	ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday	2,018	41%	27%	15%	9%	5%	3%	1%	14%
3–4 Feb	YouGov/The Times	1,675	39%	29%	18%	6%	4%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	3%	1%	10%
27–28 Jan	YouGov	1,735	39%	30%	17%	6%	4%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	3%	1%	9%
23–25 Jan	Ipsos MORI	1,027	40%	31%	11%	7%	5%	4%	1%	9%
22–24 Jan	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,006	37%	32%	12%	6%	4%	4%	4%	5%
15–17 Jan	ICM/The Guardian	1,001	40%	35%	10%	6%	4%	3%	2%	5%
15–16 Jan	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,017	37%	30%	16%	7%	5%	3%	3%	7%
13–15 Jan	ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday	2,004	40%	29%	16%	7%	4%	3%	1%	11%
8–14 Jan	Panelbase/Sunday Times	2,087	39%	31%	14%	6%	5%	5%	*	8%

2015

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	SNP	Green	Others	Lead
18–20 Dec	ICM/The Guardian	1,003	39%	34%	10%	7%	4%	3%	3%	5%
17–18 Dec	YouGov/The Times	1,598	39%	29%	17%	6%	5%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	3%	1%	10%
15–18 Dec	Opinium/Observer	1,936	38%	30%	16%	5%	6%	5%	2%	8%
12–14 Dec	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,040	38%	31%	9%	9%	5%	6%	2%	7%
11–13 Dec	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,001	37%	33%	11%	7%	4%	5%	2%	4%
9–11 Dec	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,049	40%	29%	16%	7%	4%	3%	1%	11%
3 Dec	Oldham West and Royton by-election
30 Nov–1 Dec	YouGov/The Times	1,657	41%	30%	16%	6%	4%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	3%	1%	11%
20–24 Nov	YouGov	4,317	38%	29%	17%	6%	5%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	3%	1%	9%
20–22 Nov	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,000	40%	29%	11%	8%	4%	3%	4%	11%
18–20 Nov	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,067	42%	27%	15%	7%	5%	3%	1%	15%
16–17 Nov	Survation/Leave.EU^{[lower-alpha 2]}	1,546	37%	30%	16%	6%	5%	3%	3%	7%
14–17 Nov	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,021	41%	34%	7%	7%	6%	4%	*	7%
13–15 Nov	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	39%	33%	12%	7%	5%	3%	1%	6%
11–17 Nov	BMG Research	1,334	37%	30%	15%	7%	4%	4%	2%	7%
9–11 Nov	Survation/Leave.EU^{[lower-alpha 2]}	2,007	36%	30%	15%	7%	5%	3%	3%	6%
22–27 Oct	BMG Research	1,467	37%	31%	15%	6%	4%	5%	2%	6%
23–25 Oct	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,002	38%	33%	10%	8%	3%	3%	4%	5%
17–19 Oct	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,021	36%	32%	12%	10%	5%	3%	2%	4%
13–16 Oct	Opinium	1,934	37%	32%	15%	5%	6%	4%	2%	5%
14–15 Oct	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,051	42%	29%	13%	7%	5%	3%	1%	13%
9–11 Oct	ICM/The Guardian	1,002	38%	34%	11%	7%	5%	3%	3%	4%
29–30 Sep	YouGov/The Sun	2,064	37%	31%	17%	7%	5%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	2%	1%	6%
26–28 Sep	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,009	39%	30%	12%	9%	4%	4%	3%	9%
21–22 Sep	Survation/Huffington Post	1,008	37%	32%	13%	9%	5%	3%	1%	5%
19–22 Sep	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,255	39%	34%	7%	9%	5%	4%	1%	5%
17–18 Sep	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,601	39%	31%	16%	6%	5%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	3%	1%	8%
15–18 Sep	Opinium	1,942	37%	32%	14%	6%	5%	4%	1%	5%
16–17 Sep	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,015	42%	30%	13%	7%	5%	3%	1%	12%
11–13 Sep	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	38%	32%	13%	8%	5%	3%	2%	6%
12 Sep	Jeremy Corbyn is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Leader of the Opposition
3–4 Sep	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,004	38%	32%	13%	6%	5%	4%	2%	6%
21–23 Aug	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,001	42%	28%	9%	8%	5%	6%	3%	14%
12–13 Aug	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,035	40%	29%	13%	8%	5%	4%	1%	11%
12–13 Aug	Survation/TSSA	1,007	38%	33%	15%	6%	5%	3%	1%	5%
7–9 Aug	ICM/The Guardian	1,000	40%	31%	10%	7%	5%	4%	2%	9%
24–26 Jul	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,001	40%	28%	10%	7%	5%	5%	4%	12%
18–20 Jul	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,026	37%	31%	9%	10%	5%	8%	1%	6%
16 Jul	Tim Farron is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
10–12 Jul	ICM/The Guardian	1,005	38%	34%	13%	6%	4%	4%	1%	4%
26–28 Jun	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,002	39%	27%	11%	9%	5%	6%	3%	12%
14–16 Jun	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,005	39%	30%	8%	9%	5%	6%	2%	9%
12–14 Jun	ICM/The Guardian	1,004	37%	31%	13%	8%	5%	5%	1%	6%
29–31 May	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,000	41%	29%	10%	8%	5%	5%	3%	12%
25–26 May	YouGov/The Sun	1,709	41%	30%	13%	7%	4%^{[lower-alpha 1]}	4%	1%	11%
8–9 May	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,027	40%	31%	12%	6%	5%	3%	2%	9%
7 May	General Election results (GB only)^[2]^[3]	29,980,107	37.8%	31.2%	12.9%	8.1%	4.9%	3.8%	1.4%	6.6%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Includes those expressing a voting intention for Plaid Cymru.
1 2 This survey included respondents from Northern Ireland.

Sub-national polling

England

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	LD	Green	Others	Lead
13–15 Jan 2016	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	1,468	42%	31%	17%	6%	3%	1%	11%
11–13 Dec 2015	ComRes/Daily Mail	670	39%	33%	12%	7%	5%	2%	6%
9–11 Dec 2015	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	1522	43%	30%	17%	7%	3%	<0.5%	13%
12–13 Nov 2015	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,015	38%	34%	18%	6%	4%	1%	4%
7 May 2015	General Election results	25,571,204	41.0%	31.6%	14.1%	8.2%	4.2%	0.9%	9.4%

Scotland

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	SNP	Lab	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
1-7 Feb 2016	Ipsos Mori	763	53%	20%	16%	6%	*	3%	*	33%
1–4 Feb 2016	YouGov Sunday Times	1,022	50%	19%	20%	6%	2%	2%	*%	30%
13–19 Oct 2015	YouGov/The Times	1,026	51%	21%	19%	5%	2%	1%	*%	30%
7–10 Sep 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,010	52%	21%	16%	6%	2%	3%	*	31%
15 Aug 2015	Kezia Dugdale is elected leader of the Scottish Labour Party
3–7 Jul 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,084	51%	21%	17%	7%	2%	2%	*	30%
7 May 2015	General Election results	2,910,465	50.0%	24.3%	14.9%	7.5%	1.6%	1.3%	0.3%	25.7%

Wales

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	UKIP	Plaid	LD	Green	Others	Lead
9th-11th Feb 2016	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer^[4]	TBA	37%	27%	18%	13%	4%	*	*	10%
30 Nov–4 Dec 2015	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,005	37%	27%	17%	12%	4%	2%	*	10%
21–24 Sep 2015	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,151	42%	26%	16%	10%	5%	2%	*	16%
24–26 Jun 2015	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,151	37%	28%	15%	12%	4%	3%	1%	9%
7 May 2015	General Election results	1,498,433	36.9%	27.2%	13.6%	12.1%	6.5%	2.6%	1.0%	9.7%

Northern Ireland

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	DUP	SF	UUP	SDLP	Alliance	UKIP	TUV	Others	Lead
7 May 2015	General Election Results	718,103	25.7%	24.5%	16.0%	13.9%	8.6%	2.6%	2.3%	6.6%	1.2%

London

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	UKIP	LD	Green	Others	Lead
4–6 Jan 2016	YouGov/LBC	1,156	44%	37%	11%	4%	2%	2%	7%
8 Jun–12 Aug 2015	YouGov/LBC	3,436	42%	38%	9%	5%	4%	1%	4%
7 May 2015	General Election results	3,536,251	43.7%	34.9%	8.1%	7.7%	4.9%	0.8%	8.8%

References

↑ "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
↑ "Election 2015: Results - National". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
↑ "Election 2015: Results - Northern Ireland". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
↑ []

External links

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