Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 2000

In the run up to the Spanish general election of 2000, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 3 March 1996, to the day the next election was held, on 12 March 2000.

National polling

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	IU	CiU	PNV	Oth.	Lead
Date	Polling Firm/Source						Oth.	Lead
12 Mar 2000	General Election	44.5	34.2	5.5	4.2	1.5	10.1	10.3
12 Mar (21:00)	Ipsos-Eco	42.1	32.9	7.5	4.0	1.9	11.6	9.2
12 Mar (20:00)	Ipsos-Eco	41.6	34.6	7.0	4.0	1.6	11.2	7.0
Exit polls
8–11 Mar	Gallup	42.7	33.9	7.8	4.3	1.6	9.7	8.8
7 Mar	CIS	43.7	33.7	8.7	4.2	1.7	8.0	10.0
5 Mar	La Vanguardia	43.2	35.3				21.5	7.9
5 Mar	Sondaxe	42.1	37.4	8.1	4.3	1.6	6.5	4.7
5 Mar	Sigma-2	41.9	36.8	6.5	4.5	1.7	8.6	5.1
5 Mar	Metra-6	41.5	36.7	8.0	4.4	1.4	8.0	4.8
25 Feb–2 Mar	Demoscopia	41.7	37.1	7.3	4.1	1.4	8.4	4.6
28–29 Feb	Vox Pública^{[lower-alpha 1]}	44.5	33.7	6.2	4.4	1.5	9.7	10.8
28–29 Feb	Vox Pública	41.7	37.6	7.5	4.2	1.6	7.4	4.1
25–29 Feb	Ipsos-Eco	40.5	36.7	7.3	4.3	1.4	9.8	3.8
24–28 Feb	Opina	41.8	37.2	8.0	4.2	1.3	7.5	4.6
11–28 Feb	CIS	41.6	36.6	7.4	4.1	1.3	9.0	5.0
7–28 Feb	Gallup	42.4	37.4	6.9	4.2	1.5	7.6	5.0
25 Feb	La Vanguardia	45.7	33.2				21.1	12.5
11–15 Feb	Ipsos-Eco	41.8	38.2	7.3	4.5	1.4	6.8	3.6
13 Feb	Demoscopia	41.6	37.3	7.5	4.4	1.4	7.8	4.3
5–8 Feb	Vox Pública^{[lower-alpha 1]}	46.3	32.3	7.1	3.7	1.6	9.0	14.0
5–8 Feb	Vox Pública	42.6	36.6	7.5	4.2	1.9	7.2	6.0
6 Feb	Sigma-2	42.9	36.2	7.8	4.4	1.3	7.4	6.7
30 Jan	La Vanguardia	44.7	35.1				20.2	9.6
22–25 Jan	Opina^{[lower-alpha 2]}	42.0	40.0	8.0	4.0	1.2	4.8	2.0
22–25 Jan	Opina	42.5	37.0	7.5	4.3	1.3	7.4	5.5
12–24 Jan	Gallup	40.7	37.1	7.0	4.1	1.4	9.7	3.6
11–18 Jan	Vox Pública^{[lower-alpha 1]}	45.0	33.3	5.8	4.3	1.2	10.4	11.7
11–18 Jan	Vox Pública	43.0	38.0	6.5	4.2	1.3	7.0	5.0
3 Jan	Sigma-2	42.5	36.8	6.3	4.4	1.4	8.6	5.7
2000
15–22 Dec	Demoscopia	40.9	36.5	6.7	4.1	1.5	10.3	4.4
8–20 Dec	Gallup	38.6	38.2	6.8	4.5	1.2	10.7	0.4
5 Dec	Sondaxe	43.8	36.8				19.4	7.0
28 Nov	La Vanguardia	42.2	34.2				23.6	8.0
19–22 Nov	Opina	41.5	36.0	8.0	4.0	1.5	9.0	5.5
10–22 Nov	Gallup	39.0	38.4	6.3	4.2	1.3	10.8	0.6
31 Oct	La Vanguardia	39.7	36.8	6.5			17.0	2.9
22–26 Oct	CIS	40.6	35.8	6.8	4.5	1.2	11.1	4.8
22 Oct	La Vanguardia	41.1	34.1				24.8	7.0
22 Sep–7 Oct	GETS	41.0	36.5	10.3	4.4	1.2	6.6	4.5
3 Oct	Sigma-2	42.2	37.0	7.1	4.5	1.3	7.9	5.2
27 Sep–1 Oct	Metra-6	41.8	36.8	7.4	4.5	1.2	8.3	5.0
8–20 Sep	Gallup	40.7	37.2	9.8	4.3	1.0	7.0	3.5
13–15 Sep	Demoscopia	40.8	36.7	7.0	4.8	1.3	9.4	4.1
9–10 Sep	Ipsos-Eco	41.4	35.8	8.8	4.3	1.5	8.2	5.6
9–15 Jul	CIS	40.7	35.8	6.6	4.6	1.2	11.1	4.9
5–12 Jul	DYM	41.8	37.1	7.2	4.9	1.1	7.9	4.7
9 Jul	La Vanguardia	41.8	34.7				23.5	7.1
24 Jun	Demoscopia	41.5	37.0	7.7	4.1		9.7	4.5
9–21 Jun	Gallup	40.1	38.1	9.5	4.0	1.2	7.1	2.0
13 Jun 1999	EP Election	39.7	35.3	5.8	4.4	1.9	12.9	4.4
14–20 May	Metra-6	41.7	35.3	8.8	4.7	1.2	8.3	6.4
24–28 Apr	CIS	41.0	35.9	8.9	4.6	1.3	8.3	5.1
9–16 Apr	DYM	42.9	34.1	10.1	4.6	1.5	6.8	8.8
12–14 Apr	Demoscopia	41.1	31.6	8.1	5.4		13.8	9.5
5–30 Mar	Gallup	41.0	38.0	9.0	4.5		7.5	3.0
18–22 Feb	Metra-6	42.5	35.7	7.6	4.6	1.3	8.3	6.8
18–20 Feb	Ipsos-Eco	42.1	35.0	10.0	4.5	1.5	6.9	7.1
31 Jan	La Vanguardia	41.5	35.9				22.6	5.6
27–31 Jan	CIS	41.1	35.4	9.2	4.5	1.3	8.5	5.7
21–23 Jan	Opina	42.0	37.0	7.5	4.4	0.8	8.3	5.0
11–16 Jan	DYM	42.6	33.9	8.5	4.5	1.1	9.4	8.7
1999
26–27 Dec	Sigma-2	42.9	36.1	7.7	4.5	1.3	7.5	6.8
9–21 Dec	Gallup	40.6	36.4	9.9	4.7	1.4	7.0	4.2
9–14 Dec	Metra-6	42.0	36.8	8.2	4.4	1.2	7.4	5.2
17–18 Nov	Ipsos-Eco	40.6	36.5	9.8	4.5	1.7	6.9	4.1
13–14 Nov	Opina	41.5	37.5	6.5	4.8	0.8	8.9	4.0
1 Nov	La Vanguardia	41.3	34.7	7.1			16.9	6.6
26–31 Oct	CIS	40.9	36.6	9.1	4.2	1.3	7.9	4.3
23 Sep–8 Oct	GETS	38.3	39.8	8.9	4.8	1.5	6.7	1.5
4 Oct	Demoscopia	40.9	35.9	10.1	3.9		9.2	5.0
28 Sep–3 Oct	Vox Pública	38.1	38.1	10.7	4.2	1.2	7.7	0.0
16–30 Sep	PSOE	38.6	39.5	8.2			13.7	0.9
16–21 Sep	Metra-6	41.3	37.3	8.5	4.4	1.4	7.1	4.0
9–21 Sep	Gallup	37.6	39.4	9.6	4.8	1.4	7.2	1.8
6 Sep	Sigma-2	40.4	37.8	9.1	4.3	1.3	7.1	2.6
9–13 Jul	CIS	38.4	37.9	9.3	4.5	1.3	8.6	0.5
13 Jul	Demoscopia	37.9	35.8	8.8	4.2		13.3	2.1
15–17 Jun	Vox Pública	38.5	37.6	9.3	4.3	1.8	8.5	0.9
13–25 May	Gallup	37.8	40.6	8.6	4.2	1.3	7.5	2.8
18–22 May	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	40.1	36.8	9.3			13.8	3.3
13 May	Opina	40.0	38.0	7.0	5.0	1.0	9.0	2.0
27–29 Apr	Vox Pública	36.2	39.4	9.4	3.7	2.2	9.1	3.2
25–29 Apr	CIS	37.1	38.9	9.0	4.9	1.3	8.8	1.8
26 Apr	Demoscopia	36.6	38.2	7.3	5.6	1.3	7.2	1.6
20–24 Apr	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	36.2	38.9				24.9	2.7
19 Apr	Sigma-2	40.3	38.6	8.4	4.5	1.2	7.0	1.7
13–15 Apr	Metra-6	41.2	37.5	8.5	4.5	1.3	7.0	3.7
11–23 Mar	Gallup	38.3	38.3	9.4	4.6	1.2	8.2	0.0
16–20 Mar	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	38.5	37.3				24.2	1.2
19 Mar	PSOE	38.0	39.0				23.0	1.0
23 Feb	PSOE	40.1	38.3				21.6	1.8
16–20 Feb	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	39.0	36.0				25.0	3.0
23–27 Jan	CIS	40.5	36.4	9.3	4.5	1.3	8.0	4.1
23–24 Jan	Opina	41.0	36.0	6.5	4.8	1.0	10.7	5.0
19–23 Jan	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	41.0	34.6				24.4	6.4
12–14 Jan	Metra-6	41.8	36.5	8.6	4.8	1.5	6.8	5.3
4 Jan	Sigma-2	42.1	36.4	8.5	4.4	1.3	7.3	5.7
1998
10–22 Dec	Gallup	39.8	36.8	8.8	4.7	1.2	8.7	3.0
8–12 Dec	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	41.2	34.5				24.3	6.7
4–5 Dec	Opina	40.0	37.0	6.5	4.6	0.8	11.1	3.0
30 Nov	Demoscopia	40.8	34.7	8.8	3.2	1.3	11.2	6.1
10–14 Nov	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	38.0	37.7				24.3	0.3
24–28 Oct	CIS	39.6	36.4	9.0	4.6	1.2	9.2	3.2
13–17 Oct	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	39.5	36.6				23.9	2.9
12 Oct	Sigma-2	40.5	37.4	9.1	4.5	1.5	7.0	3.1
24 Sep–9 Oct	GETS	38.9	38.0	8.9	5.4	1.3	7.5	0.9
29 Sep–3 Oct	PSOE	38.5	37.7				23.8	0.8
1 Oct	Demoscopia	41.0	34.7	8.7	3.2	1.2	11.2	6.3
10–22 Sep	Gallup	39.0	38.6	8.9	5.0	1.2	7.3	0.4
19–21 Sep	Opina	40.0	38.5	8.5	5.2	1.0	6.8	1.5
12–15 Sep	Metra-6	41.0	37.2	9.0	4.8	1.5	6.5	3.8
8–12 Sep	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	40.8	35.8				23.4	5.0
21 Jul	Sigma-2	40.9	37.0	9.7	4.7	1.5	6.2	3.9
16 Jul	Demoscopia	38.1	36.4	10.5	4.3	1.3	9.4	1.7
11–15 Jul	CIS	40.3	38.2	9.4	4.3	1.4	6.4	2.1
7–11 Jul	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	39.6	36.4				24.0	3.2
6 Jul	PSOE	40.5	37.6				21.9	2.9
11–23 Jun	Gallup	40.1	37.7	10.3	4.5	1.4	6.0	2.4
14–16 Jun	Opina	40.0	38.0	10.5	5.0	1.0	5.5	2.0
15 Jun	Sigma-2	39.5	37.4	10.3	4.6	1.4	6.8	2.1
9–13 Jun	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	36.6	38.6				24.8	2.0
20–22 May	Vox Pública	40.0	35.9	10.9	3.6	1.1	8.5	4.1
19–20 May	Opina	39.5	38.0	10.0	5.1	1.2	6.2	1.5
5–9 May	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	39.2	35.8				25.0	3.4
23–27 Apr	CIS	39.2	37.4	10.5	4.6	1.2	7.1	1.8
19–20 Apr	Opina	38.0	39.0	10.5	5.0	1.0	6.5	1.0
17–18 Apr	Sigma-2	38.7	38.1	10.4	4.4	1.3	7.1	0.6
12–24 Mar	Gallup	37.5	39.6	10.6	4.9	1.1	6.3	2.1
7–8 Mar	Opina	38.0	38.5	10.0	5.0	1.0	7.5	0.5
9 Feb	Sigma-2	39.6	37.0	10.8	4.2	1.2	7.2	2.6
3–4 Feb	Opina	38.4	37.4	10.0	5.0	1.0	8.2	1.0
23–27 Jan	CIS	38.7	38.2	10.0	4.5	1.4	7.2	0.5
6–10 Jan	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	38.0	37.6	10.3			14.1	0.4
24 Dec–2 Jan	Sigma-2	38.2	39.1	10.4	4.3	1.3	6.7	0.9
1997
11–26 Dec	Gallup	35.9	39.9	11.9	4.2	1.6	6.5	4.0
25–29 Nov	PSOE	35.4	40.0	10.5			14.1	4.6
26–31 Oct	CIS	36.3	39.9	10.5	5.1	1.3	6.9	3.6
28 Oct	Sigma-2	37.1	38.4	11.4	4.8	1.3	7.0	1.3
22 Oct	PSOE	36.1	38.7	11.4			13.8	2.6
7–11 Oct	ASEP^{[lower-alpha 3]}	34.8	39.2	11.8			14.2	4.4
25 Sep–10 Oct	GETS	32.7	36.5	11.7	4.9	2.2	12.0	3.8
30 Sep–2 Oct	Opina	37.2	39.1	10.3	4.8	1.4	7.2	1.9
11 Aug	Sigma-2	38.8	36.8	11.3	4.3	1.4	7.4	2.0
17–21 Jul	CIS	38.8	37.3	11.2	4.6	1.4	6.7	1.5
29 May–2 Jun	CIS	38.6	37.3	11.3	4.9	1.4	6.5	1.3
3 Mar 1996	General Election	38.8	37.6	10.5	4.6	1.3	7.2	1.2

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

176 seats needed for majority
Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	IU	CiU	PNV	Others
Date	Polling Firm/Source						Others
12 Mar 2000	General Election	183	125	8	15	7	12
12 Mar (21:00)	Ipsos-Eco	173−180	122−126	10−13	14−16	8−9	14−16
12 Mar (20:00)	Ipsos-Eco	168−173	129−134	10−12	14−16	7	14−15
12 Mar	Sigma-2	162−173	133−143	9−11	14−15	7	11−15
12 Mar	Opitel	168−173	131−136	12−13	15−16	7−8	11−14
Exit polls
8–11 Mar	Gallup	173−178	128−133	11−13	14−15	6−7	9−13
7 Mar	CIS	176	123	17	14	7	13
5 Mar	La Vanguardia	175−180	128−136				39−42
5 Mar	Sondaxe	163−170	136−143	11−14	13−15	7	8−14
5 Mar	Sigma-2	164−170	137−143	9−11	16	6−7	9−11
5 Mar	Metra-6	162−170	134−142	12−13	15−16	7	12−14
25 Feb–2 Mar	Demoscopia	165−171	131−139	9−13	14−15	6−7	11−14
28–29 Feb	Vox Pública	165−170	135−140	9−12	13−14	7−8	9−11
25–29 Feb	Ipsos-Eco	158−164	138−144	9−12	15−16	6−7	10−13
24–28 Feb	Opina	166−170	136−140	12−14	14−15	6	9−12
11–28 Feb	CIS	163−168	138−143	9−11	14−15	7	10−15
25 Feb	La Vanguardia	183−185	123−128				39−42
30 Jan	La Vanguardia	180−182	126−131				39−42
22–25 Jan	Opina^{[lower-alpha 2]}	157−160	145−148	15−16	14	4−5	7−11
22–25 Jan	Opina	164−168	138−143	14−15	14−15	5	9−13
3 Jan	Sigma-2	167−174	137−144	9−10			29−30
2000
28 Nov	La Vanguardia	175−179	128−135				40−43
19–22 Nov	Opina	163−167	132−140	13−15	14−15	5−6	11
22–26 Oct	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	167	139				44
22 Oct	La Vanguardia	175−176	130−135				40−44
3 Oct	Sigma-2	165−170	135−140			5	40
27 Sep–1 Oct	Metra-6	164−170	136−142	11−13	14−16	5	12
9–15 Jul	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	169	140				41
9 Jul	La Vanguardia	175−176	130−135				40−44
13 Jun 1999	EP Election	(163)	(133)	(9)	(17)	(7)	(21)
24–28 Apr	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	169	138				43
31 Jan	La Vanguardia	170−171	136−140				40−43
27–31 Jan	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	169	133				48
1999
9–14 Dec	Metra-6	166−175	133−140	12−15			29−30
13–14 Nov	Opina	166−173	135−143	9	15−17	5	11
26–31 Oct	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	165	140				45
16–21 Sep	Metra-6	163−170	134−142				45−46
6 Sep	Sigma-2	164	139	18	14	6	9
9–13 Jul	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	156	147				47
13 May	Opina	163−164	143−144	10	17	5	11
25–29 Apr	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	149−151	152−155	14−15	16	5	11
23–27 Jan	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	164	138				48
1998
24–28 Oct	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	163	140				47
12–15 Sep	Metra-6	163−167	136−140	14−17	16	6−7	12−14
11–15 Jul	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	162	142				46
23–27 Apr	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	159	139				52
23–27 Jan	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	156	145				49
1997
26–31 Oct	CIS^{[lower-alpha 4]}	143	154				53
30 Sep–2 Oct	Opina	149	150	19	16	5	11
3 Mar 1996	General Election	156	141	21	16	5	11

Notes

1 2 3 This is a projection of poll results that were allegedly made before the election but not published until later. They are based on the same raw data obtained in Vox Pública pre-election poll waves, but used a data estimation model that was discarded because it was thought that the PSOE had 'hidden voters'.
1 2 Projection on the hypothesis of a PSOE and IU agreement to govern in coalition.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 This poll only includes data calculated over electorate figures and not over valid votes. Vote estimation has been manually calculated using a rule of three and the data made available by the pollster.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 La Vanguardia seat projection over this poll's vote results.

This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the Thursday, September 17, 2015. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.