Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010
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The 2010 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Governor Pat Quinn, a Democrat, sought and was elected to a full term.[1] Quinn was elected as the Democratic nominee,[2] the Illinois Green Party nominee was attorney and 2006 nominee Rich Whitney, the Republican nominee was State Senator Bill Brady, the Libertarian Party nominee was Lex Green, and Scott Lee Cohen ran as an independent. Governor Quinn won election to a full term in a very close race, beating Senator Brady by only about 32,000 votes, despite Brady winning in 98 of 102 Illinois counties.[3]
Prior to the general election, the primary election in February 2010 featured extremely close races between candidates for the two largest parties' nominations. Quinn warded off a challenge by Comptroller Dan Hynes by a margin of about 8,300 votes, while Brady won the Republican nomination on the strength of less than a 200-vote margin in a fractured seven-way race.
The election marked the first time since 1852 that Democrats had won three consecutive Illinois gubernatorial elections.[4]
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Pat Quinn (Incumbent)
- Daniel Hynes, Illinois State Comptroller, 2004 Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate
Debates
Democratic candidates Quinn and Hynes debated on January 19.[5] WSIU Public Broadcasting (WSIU (FM)/WSIU-TV) at Southern Illinois University and Illinois Public Media (WILL AM/FM/TV) at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign also co-sponsored two gubernatorial primary election debates.[6][7] Pat Quinn and Dan Hynes debated on January 21, 2010.[8]
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Pat Quinn | Lisa Madigan | Dan Hynes | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | January 26, 2010 | 40% | – | 41% | 19% |
| Chicago Tribune | January 16–20, 2010 | 44% | – | 40% | 15% |
| Chicago Tribune | December 2–8, 2009 | 49% | – | 23% | 23% |
| Simon Public Policy | October 16, 2009 | 33.9% | – | 16.5% | 35.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 24–26, 2009 | 29% | 45% | – | 26% |
Results
| Democratic primary results[9] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Pat Quinn (Incumbent) | 462,049 | 50.46 | |
| Democratic | Dan Hynes | 453,677 | 49.54 | |
| Total votes | 915,726 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
- Bill Brady, Illinois State Senator, 2006 Republican candidate for Governor
- Kirk Dillard, Illinois State Senator
- Andy McKenna, businessman, former Chairman of the Republican Party of Illinois, 2004 Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate
- Jim Ryan, former Attorney General of Illinois, 2002 Republican nominee for Governor
- Adam Andrzejewski, businessman
- Dan Proft, political commentator
- Bob Schillerstrom, Chairman of the DuPage County Board, dropped out of race
Results
| Republican primary results[9] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Bill Brady | 155,527 | 20.26 | |
| Republican | Kirk Dillard | 155,334 | 20.24 | |
| Republican | Andy McKenna | 148,054 | 19.29 | |
| Republican | Jim Ryan | 130,785 | 17.04 | |
| Republican | Adam Andrzejewski | 111,030 | 14.47 | |
| Republican | Dan Proft | 59,335 | 7.73 | |
| Republican | Robert Schillerstrom | 7,420 | 0.97 | |
| Total votes | 767,485 | 100.00 | ||
Green primary
Candidates
Rich Whitney, 2006 Green Party nominee for Governor
Results
| Green Party primary results[9] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Green | Rich Whitney | 5,086 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 5,086 | 100.00 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Pat Quinn (Democratic) (campaign website): Incumbent governor who assumed office after the impeachment of Rod Blagojevich; sought a full term in 2010.[1] Quinn was previously Revenue Director for the City of Chicago, State Treasurer (1990-1994), and an unsuccessful candidate for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senator (1996), Illinois Secretary of State (1994), and Lieutenant Governor (1998).
- Bill Brady (Republican) (campaign website): State senator, real estate and construction businessman, unsuccessful candidate for the Republican nomination for Governor in 2006[10]
- Rich Whitney (Green): Illinois Green Party's 2006 nominee for governor
- Lex Green (Libertarian) (archived campaign website): Secretary of the McLean County Libertarian Party[11]
- Scott Lee Cohen (Independent): Former Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2010 who was replaced by Sheila Simon after withdrawing due to allegations of abuse toward his wife and other charges. Cohen was reported to have been in a private meeting with Speaker Michael Madigan discussing his plan for running against Quinn.[12]
Campaign
After the February 2 Democratic primary in which incumbent Governor Pat Quinn was re-nominated, attention was drawn to Scott Lee Cohen, the Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor. Illinois law required that candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor run in separate primary elections, but run as a ticket in the November general election. Cohen was criticized for his having been charged with domestic battery, in which he was accused of holding a knife to the throat of an ex-girlfriend who was also a convicted prostitute. Cohen was also accused by his ex-wife of physical abuse and using illegally obtained anabolic steroids.[13] Quinn and Dick Durbin, Illinois's senior U.S. Senator, both said that Cohen should withdraw his candidacy,[14][15] which he did on February 7.[16] Cohen ran as an independent candidate for the office of Governor against Quinn.[12]
On March 27, 2010, the Democratic State Central Committee chose a replacement candidate, Sheila Simon.[17][18] Dan Hynes, who placed second in the gubernatorial primary, denied interest in replacing Cohen on the ticket.[18] Other names suggested included State Representative Art Turner, who placed second to Cohen in the Democratic primary and then finished second to Simon in committee balloting on March 27, 2010; State Senators Rickey Hendon and Terry Link, State Representative Mike Boland, and electrician Thomas Castillo, all of whom also ran in the primary; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs official Tammy Duckworth; and State Representative Julie Hamos were suggested as possible replacements.[18] Jeff Melvin, a 21-year retired Army veteran, also applied to the open nominating call for the Democratic Lieutenant Governor position.[19]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Lean R[20] | October 28, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Lean R[21] | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Toss up[22] | October 28, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Leans R[23] | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Leans R[24] | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Quinn (D) |
Bill Brady (R) |
Rich Whitney (G) |
Other | Unde- cided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News () | October 23, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 4% | 7% | 6% |
| Chicago Tribune () | October 18–22, 2010 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 39% | 43% | 4% | 7% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports () | October 20, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 45% | 2% | 7% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | October 12, 2010 | 750 | ± 4.5% | 40% | 46% | 2% | 9% | 3% |
| Southern Illinois University () | September 30 – October 10, 2010 | — | ± 3.5% | 29.8% | 38.4% | 2.2% | 5.9% | - |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | October 4, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 46% | 4% | 5% | 8% |
| Suffolk University (report) | September 30 – October 3, 2010 | 500 | ±4.4% | 43% | 37% | 3% | 8% | 8% |
| (Public Policy Polling) | September 30, 2010 | 470 | ±4.5% | 35% | 42% | 4% | 8% | 11% |
| Chicago Tribune (report) | September 24–28, 2010 | 600 | ±4% | 39% | 38% | 3% | 8% | 12% |
| CNN/TIME (report) | September 24–28, 2010 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | 38% | 40% | 4% | 16% | 2% |
| We Ask America () | September 13, 2010 | 1,050 | ±2.70% | 32% | 42% | 4% | – | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | September 12, 2010 | 750 | ±4.0% | 37% | 50% | 4% | 7% | 3% |
| Chicago Tribune (report) | Aug. 28 – Sept. 1, 2010 | 600 | ±4.0% | 32% | 37% | 2% | – | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 23, 2010 | 750 | ±4.0% | 37% | 46% | – | 6% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | August 14–15, 2010 | 576 | ±4.1% | 30% | 39% | 11% | – | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | August 9, 2010 | 750 | ±4.0% | 35% | 48% | – | 6% | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 27, 2010 | 750 | ±4.0% | 37% | 44% | – | 11% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | July 7, 2010 | 500 | ±4.5% | 40% | 43% | – | 9% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | June 12–13, 2010 | 552 | ±4.2% | 30% | 34% | 9% | – | 27% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | June 7, 2010 | 500 | ±4.5% | 36% | 47% | – | 8% | 10% |
| Research 2000 (report) | May 3–5, 2010 | 600 | ±4.0% | 36% | 39% | – | – | 25% |
| We Ask America () | May 2, 2010 | 1,050 | ±3.02% | 31.15% | 46.25% | 4.81% | – | 17.79% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | April 28, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 45% | – | 5% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports () | April 8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 45% | – | 7% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (report) | April 5, 2010 | 591 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 43% | – | – | 24% |
| We Ask America () | March 10, 2010 | 798 | 3.5% | 31.58% | 44.61% | 3.51% | – | 20.30% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | March 8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 37% | 47% | – | 6% | 9% |
| Research 2000 (report) | February 22 –24, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 32% | – | 1% | 20% |
| The Illinois Poll () | February 7, 2010 | 1,200 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 31% | – | 4% | 23% |
| Rasmussen Reports (report) | December 14, 2009 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 30% | – | 13% | 13% |
Results
Even though Brady won 98 out of the 102 counties, Quinn won overwhelmingly Democratic and highly populated Cook County, thus putting Quinn on top.
| Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010[25] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Democratic | Pat Quinn (Incumbent) | 1,745,219 | 46.79% | -3.00% | |
| Republican | Bill Brady | 1,713,385 | 45.94% | +6.68% | |
| Independent | Scott Lee Cohen | 135,705 | 3.64% | ||
| Green | Rich Whitney | 100,756 | 2.70% | -7.66% | |
| Libertarian | Lex Green | 34,681 | 0.93% | ||
| Majority | 31,834 | 0.85% | -9.68% | ||
| Turnout | 3,729,989 | ||||
| Democratic hold | Swing | ||||
See also
References
- 1 2 Sweet, Lynn (2009-02-24). "Gov. Pat Quinn to run in 2010. 'I think I am doing a good job today'". Chicago Sun-Times (Chicago). Retrieved 2009-05-29.
'I have no reason not to run,' Quinn told me when I asked him about the 2010 election
- ↑ Long, Ray (2010-02-04). "Hynes concedes Dem governor race to Quinn". Chicago Tribune (Chicago). Retrieved 2010-02-04.
- ↑ "Ballots Cast". Elections.il.gov. Retrieved 2013-10-14.
- ↑ fr:Résultats des élections des gouverneurs dans l'Illinois
- ↑ VIDEO: Democrats running for governor debate, ABC7 Chicago, January 19, 2010
- ↑ Public media to air gubernatorial debates in January The News-Gazette, December 30, 2009
- ↑ "Illinois Public Media, WSIU Host Gubernatorial Debate". WILL Press Room (Press release). Urbana, Illinois: University of Illinois. 2010-01-12. Retrieved 2010-11-08.
- ↑ WSIU Prepares Voters For February 2nd Primary Election, WSIU
- 1 2 3 "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov. Retrieved 2013-10-14.
- ↑ State Journal-Register via Associated Press (2008-11-07). "Bill Brady says he will run for Governor". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved 2009-01-30.
- ↑ "Lex Green for Governor of Illinois in 2010". Electlex.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- 1 2
- ↑ Secter, Bob; Heinzmann, David; Kidwell, David (February 7, 2010). "Behind the man who could be lieutenant governor". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved February 8, 2010.
- ↑ Pallasch, Abdon M.; McKinney, Dave (February 4, 2010). "Lt. gov. nominee: I won't drop out of race over abuse history". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved February 8, 2010.
- ↑ Esposito, Stefano; Sweet, Lynn; Hussain, Rummana; Konkol, Mark J. (February 6, 2010). "Source: Cohen seeking 'honorable way' to drop out". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved February 8, 2010.
- ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (February 7, 2010). "Illinois lieutenant governor nominee Scott Lee Cohen withdraws". The Politico. Retrieved February 8, 2010.
- ↑ "Clout St: Democrats pick Simon as Quinn's running mate". Newsblogs.chicagotribune.com. 2010-03-27. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- 1 2 3 "Hynes not interested in Illinois". Blogs.suntimes.com. Retrieved 2013-10-14.
- ↑
- ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Ballots Cast". Elections.illinois.gov. Retrieved 2013-10-14.
External links
- Illinois State Board of Elections
- Illinois gubernatorial election, 2010 at Ballotpedia
- Illinois Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Illinois Governor from Follow the Money
- Illinois Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Illinois Senate General Election: Mark Kirk (R) vs Alexi Giannoulias (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Illinois Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Illinois Governor - Brady vs. Quinn from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Illinois Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Race for Governor from the Chicago Tribune
- Primary election debates
- Republican Primary Debate (November 5, 2009) video from sponsor Illinois Republican Party
- Republican (January 13) and Democratic (January 19, 2010) Primary Debates videos from sponsor ABC7 Chicago
- Republican (January 14) and Democratic (January 21, 2010) Primary Debates audio and video from sponsors WSIU and Illinois Public Media (WILL)
- General election debates and forums
- Illinois Gubernatorial Debate, C-SPAN, September 29, 2010
- Candidate forum Chicago Tonight, October 28, 2010
- Official campaign sites
- Bill Brady for Illinois Governor
- Pat Quinn for Illinois Governor incumbent
- Richard Whitney for Illinois Governor