Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election, 2014
Massachusetts
November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)

 
Charlie Baker cropped.jpg
Nominee Charlie Baker Martha Coakley
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Karyn Polito Steve Kerrigan
Popular vote 1,044,573 1,004,408
Percentage 48.4% 46.5%

Results by town. Red indicates towns carried by Charlie Baker, blue indicates towns carried by Martha Coakley.

Governor before election

Deval Patrick
Democratic

Elected Governor

Charlie Baker
Republican

The 2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of Massachusetts' Class II U.S. Senate seat, and other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Deval Patrick was eligible to seek a third term but stated in January 2011 that he would not run for re-election.[1][2] The office of Lieutenant Governor had been vacant since the resignation of Tim Murray in June 2013.

Primary elections for Governor and Lieutenant Governor were conducted separately on September 9, 2014: the Democrats nominated Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley and former CEO of the Democratic National Convention Steve Kerrigan, and the Republicans nominated former state cabinet secretary and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Charlie Baker and former State Representative Karyn Polito.

Baker defeated Coakley and three other candidates in the general election.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Eliminated at convention
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone
Donald
Berwick
Martha
Coakley
Steven
Grossman
Juliette
Kayyem
Dan
Wolf
Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC September 2–7, 2014 234 ± 6.4% 12% 41% 20% 1% 27%
Boston Globe September 2–3, 2014 400 ± 4.8% 13% 47% 25% 14%
UMass Lowell August 25–31, 2014 685 ± 4.55% 9% 52% 20% 19%
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014 340 ± 5.3% 6% 47% 23% <1% 24%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 361 ± 5.2% 10% 46% 24% 21%
Suffolk August 21–24, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 15.75% 42.25% 30% 12%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 358 ± 5.2% 10% 45% 24% 21%
Boston Globe August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 357 ± 5.2% 10% 45% 21% 24%
Boston Globe July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 361 ± 5.2% 9% 45% 18% 28%
Boston Globe July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 369 ± 5.1% 5% 45% 20% 30%
Boston Globe July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 374 ± 5.1% 5% 46% 18% 30%
Boston Globe July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 362 ± 5.1% 6% 50% 16% 28%
Boston Globe June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 365 ± 5.1% 5% 53% 17% 26%
Boston Globe June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 373 ± ? 6% 52% 18% 24%
Boston Globe June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 392 ± ? 8% 52% 19% 21%
Boston Globe June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 198 ± ? 8% 52% 19% 21%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 442 ± 4.7% 2% 3% 49% 14% 3% 30%
Suffolk University June 4–7, 2014 450 ± 4.6% 1.78% 4% 44% 12% 2.44% 35.77%
WBUR/MassINC May 16–18, 2014 262 ± 6.1% 1% 3% 51% 7% 4% 1% 32%
UMass March 31–April 6, 2014 156 ± ? 3% 39% 9% 3% 2% 44%
WBUR/MassINC March 14–16, 2014 237 ± ? 1% 4% 45% 14% 2% 2% 32%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014 309 ± ? 0.97% 0.97% 56.31% 10.68% 4.21% 26.86%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013 324 ± 5.4% 4% 6% 57% 10% 2% 3% 17%

Results

Democratic convention vote[68]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Grossman 1,547 35.2
Democratic Martha Coakley 1,024 23.3
Democratic Donald Berwick 972 22.1
Democratic Juliette Kayyem 535 12.1
Democratic Joseph Avellone 311 7
Total votes 4,389 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of 15 percent to appear on the primary ballot

Democratic primary results[69]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Martha Coakley 229,156 42.4
Democratic Steve Grossman 196,594 36.4
Democratic Donald Berwick 113,988 21.1
Democratic All Others 995 0.2
Democratic Blank Votes 15,359
Total votes 556,092 100.00

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared
Eliminated at convention
Withdrew

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
James
Arena-DeRosa
Leland
Cheung
Jonathan
Edwards
Stephen
Kerrigan
Michael
Lake
Other Undecided
Boston Globe September 2–3, 2014 400 ± 4.8% 7% 23% 9% 60%
UMass Lowell August 25–31, 2014 685 ± 4.55% 10% 24% 10% 57%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 361 ± 5.2% 5% 14% 7% 74%
Suffolk August 21–24, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 8.75% 9.5% 9% 72.75%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 358 ± 5.2% 7% 12% 5% 75%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 442 ± 4.7% 3% 5% 5% 3% 85%
Suffolk June 4–7, 2014 450 ± 4.6% 0.89% 4% 4% 2.67% 88.44%
Suffolk January 29–February 3, 2014 309 ± ? 1.94% 4.53% 3.56 5.5% 2.27% 82.2%

Results

Democratic convention vote[68]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Kerrigan 1,625 37.6
Democratic Michael Lake 1,529 35.4
Democratic Leland Cheung 695 16.2
Democratic James Arena-DeRosa 460 10.6
Total votes 4,304 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of 15 percent to appear on the primary ballot

Democratic primary results[69]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Kerrigan 222,562 50.7
Democratic Leland Cheung 128,645 29.3
Democratic Michael Lake 86,006 19.6
Democratic All Others 1,435 0.3
Democratic Blank Votes 117,444
Total votes 556,092 100

Republican primary

Governor

At the Republican State Convention on March 22, 2014, Baker received 2,095 votes (82.708%), Fisher received 374 votes (14.765%) and there were 64 blank votes (2.527%). The threshold for making the ballot is 15% and the Party announced that Baker had thus received the nomination without the need for a primary election.[76] However, Fisher argued that according to the Convention Rules, blank votes are not counted for the purposes of determining the winner and that he thus received 15.148%, enough to make the ballot. He sued the Massachusetts Republican State Committee and his case was due to be heard in Suffolk Superior Court between May 2 and June 18.[77][78]

The Committee's lawyer, Louis M. Ciavarra, said that in negotiations with the Committee, Fisher declined their offer of being placed on the ballot, and instead asked for $1 million in return for dropping the suit. Ciavarra said that after it was pointed out to Fisher and his representatives that this would be illegal, they allegedly lowered their request to $650,000. Fisher's lawyer, Thomas M. Harvey, has confirmed that Fisher had asked for $1 million, which he called a "starting point", saying that Fisher should be "compensated" for his efforts, in addition to receiving a place on the ballot. He later said that the request for $650,000 was "still negotiable" and added that "you don't ask for what you expect".[79][80][81] Fisher himself has denied asking for a "payoff", instead saying that party officials had offered him a "bribe" in December 2013 in return for dropping out. He refused to say who made the offer, claiming to have been under a gag order, though no such order existed.[82][83] He said that he only asked for $1 million during the negotiations because he had been asked for a figure and it was the sum that he claimed the party had offered to him. He further denied the claim that he had offered to withdraw in exchange for the money, saying that he wanted a place on the ballot, for the State Committee to release the "tally sheets" which he claims show that he rightfully won a place on the ballot, and to be reimbursed $100,000 in damages: for the cost of legal fees and of collecting signatures to make the ballot by petition.[84]

On May 9, 2014, a week into the case, Judge Douglas Wilkins accepted the State Committee's offer to certify Fisher on the primary ballot and put off the expedited June 16 trial date.[85][86] The State Committee had not at that point turned over the "tally sheets" and the judge did not order them to do so, instead inviting Fisher's attorneys to submit an amended complaint.[86] The State Committee also asked that the trial, discovery and deliberation over damages be postponed until after the election. The judge did not rule on that request,[87] but he did rule that the other portions of Fisher's complaint would proceed at a later date, with no need for an expedited trial before the primary.[88]

A debate was held between Baker and Fisher on August 21. They clashed on jobs, gun control and higher education. Baker called for "constructive friction" in electing him Governor to counterbalance the Democratic-controlled General Court and said that he would "clean up the regulatory morass, control spending [and] reduce taxes." Fisher criticised the rise in food stamps, rising cost of entitlement programmes and illegal immigration.[89] In the primary election on September 9, Baker defeated Fisher 116,004 votes (74.1%) to 40,240 (25.7%). In February 2015, Fisher settled with the State Party for $240,000. Executive Director Brian Wynne said that despite the settlement, the Party denied his accusations and said that the settlement was forced on them because of mounting legal costs.[90]

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Baker
Mark
Fisher
Other Undecided
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014 340 ± 5.3% 59% 7% <1% 34%
Suffolk University August 21–24, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 70.25% 11.25% 18.5%
Suffolk University June 4–7, 2014 202 ± 6.9% 63.37% 4.95% 31.69%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014 162 ± ? 63.58% 10.49% 25.93%

Results

Republican primary results[69]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charlie Baker 116,004 74.1
Republican Mark Fisher 40,240 25.7
Republican All Others 336 0.2
Republican Blank Votes 30,327
Total votes 159,936 100

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared

Independents and Third Parties

Participants at the MassEquality/WGBH 2014 Gubernatorial Forum on LBGTQ equality in Boston, March 25, 2014. From left to right: Joe Avellone, Don Berwick, Martha Coakley, Evan Falchuk, Steve Grossman, Juliette Kayyem, Scott Lively, Jeff McCormick.

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Angus Jennings, professional planner/consultant[101]
  • Running mate: Shelly Saunders[103]

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martha
Coakley (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
Evan
Falchuk (UIP)
Scott
Lively (I)
Jeff
McCormick (I)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 30–November 2, 2014 887 ± 3.3% 42% 46% 3% 3% 1% 6%
47% 48% 5%
WNEU October 21–30, 2014 430 LV ± 5% 41% 46% 3% 1% 1% 8%
522 RV ± 4% 40% 41% 4% 2% 1% 12%
Suffolk University October 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42.6% 46% 2.6% 0.6% 1.8% 6.4%
Boston Globe October 26–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 37% 44% 4% 2% 1% 11%
Emerson College October 26–29, 2014 627 ± 3.85% 42% 48% 4% 6%
Umass Amherst October 20–27, 2014 591 LV ± 4.4% 47% 44% 3% 2% 2% <1% 3%
800 RV ± 3.8% 47% 41% 3% 2% 3% <1% 3%
WBUR/MassINC October 22–25, 2014 494 ± 4.4% 42% 43% 4% 2% 1% 1% 8%
UMass Lowell October 21–25, 2014 601 LV ± 4.5% 41% 45% 3% 1% 2% 8%
1,001 RV ± 3.6% 42% 38% 2% 1% 2% 15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,218 ± 3% 45% 41% 1% 13%
GreenbergQuinlanRosner October 20–22, 2014 611 ± 4% 45% 44% 5% 5%
Boston Globe October 19–22, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 36% 45% 3% 2% 2% 11%
WBUR/MassINC October 15–18, 2014 501 ± 4.4% 42% 43% 1% 1% 2% <1% 10%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–14, 2014 980 ± 3% 46% 48% 2% 5%
Boston Globe October 12–14, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 41% 41% 3% 3% 2% 10%
WBUR/MassINC October 8–11, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 42% 39% 2% 1% 2% 0% 14%
Emerson College October 7, 2014 500 ± 4.3% 39% 45% 16%
Boston Globe October 5–7, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 39% 34% 3% 2% 2% 20%
WBUR/MassINC October 1–4, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 41% 39% 2% 2% 1% 1% 14%
Umass Amherst September 26–October 2, 2014 414 LV ± 5.5% 48% 44% 2% 2% 2% 0% 2%
600 RV ± 4.6% 48% 41% 2% 3% 3% <1% 3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,389 ± 2% 47% 41% 1% 11%
Boston Globe September 28–30, 2014 401 ± 4.89% 36% 39% 2% 1% 1% 21%
Suffolk University September 25–28, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 43.8% 43.2% 2% 0.4% 1.6% 9%
WNEU September 20–28, 2014 416 LV ± 5% 43% 44% 2% 1% 2% 8%
536 RV ± 4% 40% 41% 2% 2% 3% 12%
WBUR/MassINC September 24–27, 2014 503 ± 4.4% 44% 41% 1% 1% 2% >1% 11%
Boston Globe September 21–23, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 38% 40% 2% 1% 2% 18%
Umass Amherst September 19–23, 2014 440 LV ± ? 45% 46% 2% 2% 2% <1% 2%
600 RV ± 4.4% 47% 42% 2% 3% 3% <1% 3%
WBUR/MassINC September 16–21, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 46% 36% 2% 1% 1% 1% 13%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% 42% 5% 10%
Boston Globe September 14–16, 2014 407 ± 4.85% 39% 36% 2% 3% 1% 19%
WBUR/MassINC September 11–14, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 44% 35% <1% 1% 2% 1% 16%
WBUR/MassINC September 2–7, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 39% 34% 1% 1% 1% 2% 21%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 3,361 ± 2% 43% 35% 6% 16%
WBUR/MassINC August 24–31, 2014 700 ± 3.7% 40% 31% 1% 1% 2% 2% 22%
UMass Lowell August 25–31, 2014 1,624 ± 2.94% 41% 32% 1% 7% 20%
Boston Globe August 17–19 & 24–26, 2014 605 ± 4% 37% 38% 2% 5% 18%
Boston Globe August 10–12 & 17–19, 2014 605 ± 4% 41% 34% 2% 6% 18%
Boston Globe August 3–5 & 10–12, 2014 606 ± 4% 40% 32% 1% 6% 21%
Boston Globe July 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014 605 ± 4% 42% 31% 2% 5% 21%
MassINC July 28–August 3, 2014 388 ± ? 44% 41% 15%
Boston Globe July 20–22 & 27–29, 2014 601 ± 4% 42% 32% 2% 5% 19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,899 ± 4.9% 51% 36% 4% 8%
Boston Globe July 13–15 & 20–22, 2014 625 ± 3.9% 38% 33% 1% 8% 19%
Boston Globe July 7–8 & 13–15, 2014 605 ± 4% 39% 36% 1% 7% 16%
Boston Globe June 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014 604 ± 4% 40% 35% 2% 6% 18%
Boston Globe June 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014 601 ± 4% 40% 31% 2% 6% 22%
WBUR/MassINC June 27–29, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 41% 28% 2% 1% 2% 2% 22%
Boston Globe June 15–17 & 22–24, 2014 604 ± 3.9% 41% 30% 1% 7% 21%
Boston Globe June 8–10 & 15–17, 2014 630 ± 3.9% 43% 30% 0% 6% 20%
Boston Globe June 1–3 & 8–10, 2014 697 ± 3.7% 42% 31% 1% 6% 20%
Suffolk University June 4–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 36.13% 28.5% 0.75% 1.25% 1.63% 31.76%
Boston Globe May 29–June 3, 2014 602 ± 4% 37% 32% 2% 7% 22%
WBUR/MassINC May 16–18, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 39% 30% 1% 3% 1% 25%
WNEU March 31–April 7, 2014 477 ± 5% 54% 25% 3% 3% 15%
UMass Amherst March 31–April 6, 2014 500 ± 5.9% 45% 34% 21%
WBUR/MassINC March 14–16, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 26% 1% 1% 3% 27%
Suffolk University January 29–February 3, 2014 600 ± 4% 44.17% 30.83% 0.83% 1.33% 2.17% 20.66%
Purple Strategies January 21–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 46% 36% 18%
WBUR/MassINC January 16–19, 2014 504 ± 4.4% 39% 29% 1% 3% 2% 26%
WNEU October 1–7, 2013 431 ± ?% 54% 34% 12%
Public Policy Polling September 20–23, 2013 616 ± 4% 51% 38% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 22–24, 2012 902 ± 3.3% 47% 34% 19%
Public Policy Polling March 16–18, 2012 936 ± 3.2% 49% 29% 22%

Results

  Coakley
  Baker
Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014[147]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Charlie Baker / Karyn Polito 1,044,573 48.40 Increase6.40
Democratic Martha Coakley / Steve Kerrigan 1,004,408 46.54 Decrease1.80
United Independent Evan Falchuk / Angus Jennings 71,814 3.33 N/A
Independent Scott Lively / Shelly Saunders 19,378 0.90 N/A
Independent Jeff McCormick / Tracy Post 16,295 0.75 N/A
Write-in All others 1,858 0.09 –0.02
Total votes 2,158,326
  Blank 28,465
Turnout 2,186,791
Majority 40,165 1.86
Republican gain from Democratic Swing Increase8.28

See also

References

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  106. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  107. Evan Falchuk 1.13%, Scott Lively 1.25%, Jeff McCormick 2.5%
  108. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  109. Evan Falchuk 0.83%, Scott Lively 1.17%, Jeff McCormick 3.33%
  110. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 8%, Other 2%
  111. Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 4.67%
  112. Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 4%
  113. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 4%
  114. 1 2 3 4 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 6%
  115. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 6%
  116. 1 2 3 4 5 Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 7%
  117. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 10%
  118. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 10%
  119. Evan Falchuk 3%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  120. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 4%
  121. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 8%
  122. Evan Falchuk 1.63%, Scott Lively 0.88%, Jeff McCormick 2.25%
  123. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 4%, Other 5%
  124. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 2%, Other 3%
  125. Evan Falchuk 1.33%, Scott Lively 0.67%, Jeff McCormick 3.33%
  126. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 4%, Jeff McCormick 9%, Other 3%
  127. Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1.5%, Jeff McCormick 4.5%
  128. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 6%, Other 4%
  129. Evan Falchuk 1.33%, Scott Lively 0.67%, Jeff McCormick 3%
  130. Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 1%, Other 4%
  131. Evan Falchuk 1%, Scott Lively 1%, Jeff McCormick 1%, Other 3%
  132. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 5%
  133. 1 2 3 4 5 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 7%
  134. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  135. Evan Falchuk 2%, Scott Lively 2%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 2%
  136. Evan Falchuk 0.63%, Scott Lively 1.63%, Jeff McCormick 1.75%
  137. 1 2 3 Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 3%, Other 3%
  138. Evan Falchuk 4%, Jeff McCormick 9%
  139. 1 2 Evan Falchuk 1.17%, Scott Lively 1.33%, Jeff McCormick 3.17%
  140. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 5%, Other 2%
  141. Evan Falchuk 3%, Scott Lively 3%, Jeff McCormick 8%, Other 3%
  142. Evan Falchuk 1.5%, Scott Lively 1.17%, Jeff McCormick 3.33%
  143. Evan Falchuk 1.38%, Scott Lively 1.38%, Jeff McCormick 1.75%
  144. Evan Falchuk 1%, Jeff McCormick 4%, Other 4%
  145. Evan Falchuk 2%, Jeff McCormick 7%, Other 1%
  146. Evan Falchuk 1.17%, Scott Lively 1.83%, Jeff McCormick 3.83%
  147. "Massachusetts Elections Results 2014 (Unofficial)". New York Times. November 7, 2014. Retrieved November 10, 2014.

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