United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2006

United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2006
Connecticut
November 7, 2006

 
Nominee Joe Lieberman Ned Lamont Alan Schlesinger
Party Connecticut for Lieberman Democratic Republican
Popular vote 564,095 450,844 109,198
Percentage 49.71% 39.73% 9.62%

Municipal results

U.S. Senator before election

Joe Lieberman
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Joe Lieberman
Connecticut for Lieberman

The 2006 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman lost the August 8th Democratic primary to Ned Lamont. Lieberman formed his own third party and won in the general election to a fourth term.

Democratic primary

The primary election for the Senate election in Connecticut was held on August 8, 2006. The Democratic Party primary pitted incumbent Joe Lieberman against cable executive Ned Lamont.

Candidates

Campaign

Because Connecticut was believed to be a Democratic stronghold, Connecticut's Senate seat was considered safe to remain as a Democratic seat by political analysts,[1][2] but Lieberman's continued support for conservative and Bush administration policies made him vulnerable to a Democratic primary challenger. Lieberman's critics objected to what they call Lieberman's lack of commitment to the Democratic party;[3] his opposition to affirmative action;[4] his opposition to a Connecticut state law that would require Catholic hospitals to provide emergency contraception to rape victims;[5] his membership in the bipartisan Gang of 14;[6] his support of Florida governor Jeb Bush in the Terri Schiavo case;[7] his initial willingness to compromise on Social Security privatization;[8] his alliances with Republicans;[9] and his attacks on other Democrats.[10][11][12]

On March 13, 2006, Ned Lamont announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination. Lamont was more liberal than Lieberman, but he was not immune from criticism from within his own party. The New Republic senior editor and "liberal hawk" Jonathan Chait, who is critical of Lieberman on a variety of issues, wrote:

I can't quite root for Lieberman to lose his primary. What's holding me back is that the anti-Lieberman campaign has come to stand for much more than Lieberman's sins. It's a test of strength for the new breed of left-wing activists who are flexing their muscles within the party. These are exactly the sorts of fanatics who tore the party apart in the late 1960s and early 1970s. They think in simple slogans and refuse to tolerate any ideological dissent.[13]

Early polling showed Lieberman with as much as a 46-point lead,[14] but subsequent polls showed Lamont gaining until Lamont took the lead just weeks before the primary.[15] Lieberman released several campaign advertisements over the summer of 2006, seeking to connect himself to former President of the United States Bill Clinton and to portray Lamont as standing for little more than opposition to Lieberman. Lamont struck back against some of Lieberman's more negative ads with an advertisement produced by well-known political consultant Bill Hillsman. In Lamont's ad, a foreboding narrator says, "Meet Ned Lamont. He can't make a decent cup of coffee, he's a bad karaoke singer, and he has a messy desk." Lamont then chimes in, "Aren't you sick of political attack ads that insult your intelligence? Senator Lieberman, let's stick to issues and pledge to support whoever wins the Democratic primary."

From midmorning August 7 to well past August 9, Lieberman's official campaign site was taken offline; officials from Lieberman's campaign claimed "dirty politics" and "Rovian tactics" on the part of Lamont's supporters, and more specifically, a sustained Distributed Denial of Service attack that, according to the Lieberman campaign, had left the site down for several days.[16]

Tim Tagaris, Lamont's Internet communications director, denied the charge and attributed the downtime to the fact that the Lieberman campaign had chosen an inferior web host, or ISP, and was only paying $15/month to operate its site (in comparison to the $1500/month being spent by the Lamont campaign).[17][18][19] On December 20, 2006, a joint investigation by Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal's office and the U.S. attorney's office cleared the Lamont campaign of the hacking accusations. A spokesman for Kevin O'Connor, the U.S. Attorney for Connecticut, stated, "The investigation has revealed no evidence the problems the Web site experienced were the result of criminal conduct."[20]

Lieberman was backed by the Human Rights Campaign, the United States Chamber of Commerce, the Defenders of Wildlife, and Planned Parenthood; he received endorsements from The Hartford Courant, The New Haven Register, and the Connecticut Post. Lamont was backed by the National Organization for Women, MoveOn.org, and Democracy for America; he received the endorsement of The New York Times.

Lamont won the primary with 51.79% of the vote, as opposed to Lieberman's 48.21%.[21] However, in his concession speech, Lieberman announced that he would stand by his prior statements that he'd run as an independent if he lost the Democratic primary.[22]

In the Republican Party primary, Alan Schlesinger drew fire in July when it was revealed that he had been gambling under an alias in order to avoid detection as a card counter. Despite calls to withdraw from the race, Schlesinger remained in the race,[23] ultimately becoming the Republican nominee when no other Republican challengers entered the race.

Results

Candidate Votes[24] Percentage
Ned Lamont 146,587 52%
Joe Lieberman 136,468 48%

General election

Candidates

Ned Lamont
Joe Lieberman

Campaign

Connecticut for Lieberman party

Lieberman during his reelection campaign on a third party ticket

On June 12, Ned Lamont began running radio ads promising if he lost the primary to endorse Lieberman, challenging Lieberman to abandon consideration of an independent run by making a similar pledge. Lieberman refused to make this pledge; his campaign manager, Sean Smith said, "Are we going to support Ned Lamont? Ah, no!"[35]

On July 3 in Hartford, Lieberman announced that he would collect signatures in order to guarantee himself a position on the November ballot. Both Lieberman and Smith said that Lieberman will run as a "petitioning Democrat" and will caucus with Senate Democrats if elected.[36] On July 10, the Lieberman campaign officially filed paperwork allowing him to collect signatures to form a new political party, the Connecticut for Lieberman party.[37]

Upon Lieberman's announcement, independent polls continued to show him favored to win a plurality or outright majority of the vote in a three-way general election (see below). The petition issue led to charges against the Lieberman campaign of political opportunism and lack of respect for the political process.[38] Lieberman received strong support from many prominent conservative pundits and publications. "[H]is most vocal support came from places like The Weekly Standard, National Review, and Commentary Magazine; Sean Hannity, Bill Kristol and right-wing radio hosts cheered for his victory."[39] Thus, "Lieberman was able to run in the general election as the de facto Republican candidate — every major Republican office-holder in the state endorsed him — and to supplement that GOP base with strong support from independents."[40]

On August 29, Lieberman began airing an ad, named "Soothing", featuring images of a sunset over an ocean beach, while a female narrator says "you might enjoy a break from Ned Lamont's negative advertising. So just sit back and think about - good stuff." The Lamont campaign stood by their advertisements.[41]

There was some debate over what impact Lieberman's campaign would have on several tight House races in Connecticut. Some argued that Lieberman would bring out Republican supporters, who would vote for Lieberman and then cross over to support the Republican House candidates. Others, such as Rahm Emanuel, argued that having two Democrats running against each other will increase the Democratic turnout, which will then benefit the Democratic House candidates.

Democratic reaction

On August 9, Democratic Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid and DSCC Chair Chuck Schumer issued the following joint statement on the Connecticut Senate race:

The Democratic voters of Connecticut have spoken and chosen Ned Lamont as their nominee. Both we and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) fully support Mr. Lamont’s candidacy. Congratulations to Ned on his victory and on a race well run.

Joe Lieberman has been an effective Democratic Senator for Connecticut and for America. But the perception was that he was too close to George Bush and this election was, in many respects, a referendum on the President more than anything else. The results bode well for Democratic victories in November and our efforts to take the country in a new direction.[42]

According to The Hill, a Democratic aide to a high-ranking senator commented that Lieberman might be stripped of his Democratic privileges in the Senate. "At this point Lieberman cannot expect to just keep his seniority," said the aide. "He can’t run against a Democrat and expect to waltz back to the caucus with the same seniority as before. It would give the view that the Senate is a country club rather than representative of a political party and political movement."[43]

On August 21, 2006 a group of New Haven Democrats cited Connecticut General Statutes section 9-61 in a complaint filed with the New Haven Democratic Registrar of Voters, Sharon Ferrucci, demanding that she purge Lieberman from the Democratic voter rolls. The statute reads in part: "Knowingly becoming a candidate for office on ticket of a new party automatically separates voter from his former party."[44] Lieberman's campaign manager called it a "dirty political trick". Ferrucci rejected the complaint.[45]

Waterbury statement controversy

Lamont campaign manager Tom Swan criticized the strongly pro-Lieberman city of Waterbury for alleged corruption, describing it as a meeting place for "forces of evil" in a published interview.[46] Waterbury's Democratic Mayor Michael Jarjura, had endorsed Lieberman after the primary.[47] Swan later apologized for the statement saying the comment was aimed at former Mayor Philip Giordano, who was arrested for sexual crimes with a minor, as "slime" and former Governor John G. Rowland, a Waterbury native, who was indicted for corruption, as "evil". Both Giordano and Rowland were forced to resign from their positions due to criminal activities.[48] As Jarjura failed to accept Swan's apology, Lamont himself was forced to apologize for the comments.[49] On August 22 Lamont announced former Democratic state chairman George Jepsen would be the chairman of the general election campaign. He denied this was a demotion of Swan.[50]

"Al-Qaeda candidate"

On August 11, CNN Headline News anchor Chuck Roberts asked Hotline senior editor John Mercurio about the effects of the recent London terrorist plot on the 2006 Connecticut Senate race:

How does this factor into the Lieberman/Lamont contest? And might some argue, as some have, that Lamont is the Al-Qaeda candidate?

Roberts later apologized personally to Lamont on the air:[51]

You know, I owe you an apology. Last week, I led into an interview with a guest analyst and really botched the set-up. The guest had wanted to discuss the Dick Cheney and Joe Lieberman statements suggesting that terror groups — Al Qaeda type, to use Cheney’s words — would be buoyed by your win, but I posed it badly, stupidly ad-libbing about "some saying Lamont is the Al-Qaeda candidate." No one, in fact, used that construction. Anyway, I wanted to correct the record, and I'm glad we had this chance to do it.

Impact of Lamont allies

Opinion columnist Robert Novak stated that Democratic leaders feared the visible role black activists Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson had at Lamont's primary night rally "might drive Republican, independent and even some Democratic voters into support of Lieberman's independent candidacy."[52]

Vets For Freedom

On August 15, 2006, the Stamford Advocate reported that an organization called Vets For Freedom had run full page ads in the Hartford Courant in support of Lieberman. Lamont supporters claim that Vets for Freedom is a de facto Republican organization and point out the similarities between this organization and the Swift Vets, who had connections to Republican officials.[53]

E-mail controversy

In early September, Lamont attacked Lieberman's response to the 1998 scandal involving President Clinton's affair with intern Monica Lewinsky, claiming Lieberman had created a "media spectacle". Lieberman responded by releasing an e-mail Lamont sent the senator at the time, in which Lamont wrote he reluctantly supported Lieberman's stance critical of Clinton.[54]

I reluctantly supported the moral outrage you expressed on September 3. I was reluctant because I thought it might make matters worse; I was reluctant because nobody expressed moral outrage over how Reagan treated his kids or Gingrich lied about supporting term limits (in other words, it was selective outrage); I was reluctant because the Starr inquisition is much more threatening to our civil liberties and national interest than Clinton's misbehavior...

Lamont then called for Lieberman to "move on" from publicly criticizing Clinton:

You have expressed your outrage about the president's conduct; now stand up and use your moral authority to put an end to this snowballing mess. We all know the facts, a lot more than any of us care to know and should know. We've made up our minds that Clinton did wrong, confessed to his sin, maybe he should be censured for lying--and let's move on.

Lieberman's speech in 1998 had occurred after the President had gone on prime time television to admit his relationship with Lewinsky. Lieberman believes his speech defused partisan tension over a "media spectacle" already present prior to the senator's speech.[55]

Turncoat ads

In late September, Lamont's campaign aired a controversial television ad that depicted various actors portraying Connecticut voters referring to Lieberman as a turncoat. One of these ads suggested that voters should wear their coats inside out to protest Lieberman's campaign as an independent candidate.[56]

Lieberman responded with the "Blackboard" ad, where the words "Democrat" and "Republican" are separated by a line and Lieberman erased it, stressing his appeal was primarily to the state's largest voter bloc, unaffiliated voters.[57]

Finances

Lieberman and Lamont fought a hotly contested and expensive primary battle for the Democratic nomination. Republican candidate Schlesinger gained his party's nomination through the Republican convention and raised and spent relatively little. Minor candidates' fundraising was almost nonexistent.

According to the Center for Responsive Politics,[58] fundraising and cash on hand (as of dates specified) are as follows:

Candidate Report date Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lieberman (CFL/I) 2006-07-19 $8,904,642 $6,512,697 $3,487,184
Lamont (D) 2006-07-19 $4,116,131 $3,763,327 $352,953
Schlesinger (R) 2006-06-30 $113,581 $38,001 $75,578
Ferruci (G) 2006-06-30 $1,290 $604 $684

In the days before the Democratic Party primary, the Lieberman campaign invoked the "millionaire rule", believing that Lamont's personal campaign contributions had exceeded federal limits. Despite having more than double Lamont's funding, Lieberman accepted contributions up to a higher $6,300 limit per individual. The normal limit is $2,300. Between the primary and the general election, Lamont added over $2 million of his own money to his campaign effort.[59][60] According to published reports, as of late October, Lamont had spent over $12.7 million of personal funds on his campaign, while Lieberman had raised over $14 million.[61]

Endorsements

Lieberman

Democratic U.S. Senators
Democratic U.S. Congressmen
Democratic former U.S. Senators
Republicans

* = candidate for U.S. Senate in his home state

Newspapers

Lamont

Democratic Senators[79]
Other Democrats

* = candidate for U.S. Senate in his home state

Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Date Ned Lamont (D) Alan Schlesinger (R) Joe Lieberman (CFL) Margin of error (+/- %)
October 20, 2006 37% 8% 49% 4%
September 19, 2006[91] 45% 3% 47% 4%
August 22, 2006[92] 42% 3% 44% 3.5%
Date Ned Lamont (D) Alan Schlesinger (R) Joe Lieberman (CFL) Margin of error (+/- %)
November 6, 2006[93] 38% 8% 50% 3.8%
November 1, 2006[94] 37% 8% 49% 3.2%
October 20, 2006[95] 35% 7% 52% 3.3%
September 28, 2006[96] 39% 5% 49% 2.9%
August 17, 2006[97] 41% 4% 53% 2.7%
July 20, 2006[98] 27% 9% 51% 2%
June 8, 2006[99] 18% 8% 56% 2.1%
May 2, 2006[100] 13% 10% 56% 2.5%
Date Ned Lamont (D) Alan Schlesinger (R) Joe Lieberman (CFL) Margin of error (+/- %)
October 31, 2006[101] 40% 9% 48% 4.5%
October 5, 2006[102] 40% 6% 50% 4.5%
September 14, 2006[103] 43% 5% 45% 4.5%
August 21, 2006[104] 43% 6% 45% 4.5%
August 12, 2006[105] 41% 6% 46% 4.5%
July 23, 2006[106] 40% 13% 40% 3%
June 19, 2006[107] 29% 15% 44% 4.5%
Date Ned Lamont (D) Alan Schlesinger (R) Joe Lieberman (CFL) Margin of error (+/- %)
November 3, 2006[108] 39% 7% 51% 4%
Date Ned Lamont (D) Alan Schlesinger (R) Joe Lieberman (CFL) Margin of error (+/- %)
November 5, 2006[109] 38% 9% 49% 3.9%
October 11, 2006[110] 40% 4% 53% 4.2%
September 12, 2006[111] 38% 7% 51% 4.2%
Date Ned Lamont (D) Alan Schlesinger (R) Joe Lieberman (CFL) Margin of error (+/- %)
November 2, 2006 37% 8% 49% 4.1%
October 5, 2006 33% 4% 53% 4.1%
Date Ned Lamont (D) Alan Schlesinger (R) Joe Lieberman (CFL) Margin of error (+/- %)
October 31, 2006 42.5% 6% 47.4% 4.3%
October 19, 2006 43.2% 4% 48.6% 4.3%
September 28, 2006 44% 4% 45.8% 4.2%
September 10, 2006 49% 3% 46% 4.3%
August 28, 2006[112] 39.4% 2% 49.4% 4.2%

Results

Lieberman won with approximately 50% of the vote, and served a six-year term from January 3, 2007 to January 3, 2013. Exit polls showed that Lieberman won the vote of 33% of Democrats, 54% of independents and 70% of Republicans.[113]

Results by county
2006 United States Senate election, Connecticut[114]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Connecticut for Lieberman Joe Lieberman (incumbent) 564,095 49.7 n/a
Democratic Ned Lamont 450,844 39.7 n/a
Republican Alan Schlesinger 109,198 9.6 -24.6
Green Ralph Ferrucci 5,922 0.5 n/a
Concerned Citizens Timothy Knibbs 4,638 0.4 -1.6
Write-in Carl E. Vassar 80 0.0 n/a
Majority 113,251 10.0
Turnout 1,134,777
Connecticut for Lieberman gain from Democratic Swing

Lieberman won every county in the November general election.

Notes

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