Cantabrian parliamentary election, 2015
Cantabrian parliamentary election, 2015
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|
|
|
All 35 seats in the Parliament of Cantabria
18 seats needed for a majority |
| Opinion polls |
| Registered |
499,684[1]  1.0% |
| Turnout |
325,889 (71.0%)
1.2 pp |
| |
First party |
Second party |
Third party |
| |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
.jpg) |
| Leader |
Ignacio Diego |
Miguel Ángel Revilla |
Eva Díaz Tezanos |
| Party |
PP |
PRC |
PSOE |
| Leader since |
13 November 2004 |
1983 |
31 March 2012 |
| Last election |
20 seats, 46.1% |
12 seats, 29.1% |
7 seats, 16.4% |
| Seats won |
13 |
12 |
5 |
| Seat change |
 7 |
0 |
2 |
| Popular vote |
104,438 |
96,070 |
44,855 |
| Percentage |
32.6% |
30.0% |
14.0% |
| Swing |
13.5 pp |
0.9 pp |
2.4 pp |
|
| |
Fourth party |
Fifth party |
| |
.jpg) |
 |
| Leader |
José Ramón Blanco |
Rubén Gómez |
| Party |
Podemos |
C's |
| Leader since |
14 February 2015 |
9 April 2015 |
| Last election |
Did not contest |
Did not contest |
| Seats won |
3 |
2 |
| Seat change |
3 |
2 |
| Popular vote |
28,272 |
22,165 |
| Percentage |
8.8% |
6.9% |
| Swing |
New party |
New party |
|
|
The 2015 Cantabrian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of Cantabria, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Cantabria. At stake were all seats in the Parliament, determining the President of Cantabria. The number of members decreased from 39 to 35 compared to the previous election.
The election was held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.
Electoral system
The number of seats in the Parliament of Cantabria is set to a fixed-number of 35. All Parliament members are elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Community's territory (the province of Cantabria), using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system.
Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.[2]
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
| Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PP |
PRC |
PSOE |
IU |
UPyD |
C's |
P |
Oth. |
Lead |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 24 May 2015 |
Regional Election |
32.6 |
30.0 |
14.0 |
2.5 |
0.7 |
6.9 |
8.8 |
4.5 |
2.6 |
| Exit polls |
| 17 May |
NC-Report |
36.2 |
24.2 |
15.3 |
2.8 |
0.7 |
8.9 |
10.2 |
1.7 |
12.0 |
| 5–9 May |
Ikerfel |
34.7 |
21.8 |
15.7 |
4.0 |
1.4 |
11.9 |
8.8 |
1.7 |
12.9 |
| 23 Mar–19 Apr |
CIS |
33.2 |
22.4 |
16.3 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
10.3 |
9.5 |
3.7 |
10.8 |
| 17–26 Mar |
NC-Report |
35.9 |
20.1 |
15.1 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
10.1 |
12.7 |
6.7 |
15.8 |
| 23 Feb–3 Mar |
Ikerfel |
34.8 |
17.6 |
15.3 |
4.1 |
|
12.5 |
13.1 |
2.6 |
17.2 |
| 2015 |
| 1–5 Nov |
SyM |
36.8 |
12.6 |
21.8 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
|
13.4 |
3.5 |
15.0 |
| 25 May 2014 |
EP Election |
34.7 |
N/A |
24.3 |
9.0 |
8.2 |
3.0 |
9.2 |
11.6 |
10.3 |
| 6–9 Feb |
SyM |
36.9 |
27.7 |
16.8 |
7.7 |
6.3 |
|
|
4.6 |
9.2 |
| 2014 |
| 15 Oct–12 Nov |
NC-Report |
39.6 |
31.0 |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
12.5 |
8.6 |
| 24–27 Sep |
SyM |
36.7 |
24.3 |
17.2 |
7.7 |
|
|
4.6 |
12.4 |
| 15 Apr–10 May |
NC-Report |
39.8 |
31.4 |
16.2 |
6.1 |
|
|
6.5 |
8.4 |
| 2013 |
| 2012 |
| 20 Nov 2011 |
General Election |
52.2 |
12.5 |
25.2 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
|
|
1.7 |
27.0 |
| 22 May 2011 |
Regional Election |
46.1 |
29.1 |
16.4 |
3.3 |
1.7 |
5.0 |
16.9 |
Seat projections
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 20 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria.
18 seats needed for majority (31/12/2011–)
20 seats needed for majority (22/05/2011–31/12/2011)
| Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PP |
PRC |
PSOE |
IU |
UPyD |
C's |
P |
Others |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 24 May 2015 |
Regional Election |
13 |
12 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
| 24 May |
GAD3 |
15−16 |
9−10 |
5−6 |
0 |
0 |
3−4 |
0−2 |
0 |
| Exit polls |
| 17 May |
NC-Report |
13 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
| 17 May |
GAD3 |
14−15 |
8−9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
2−3 |
0 |
| 5–9 May |
Ikerfel |
13−14 |
8−9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4−5 |
3 |
0 |
| 1 May |
PP |
15−17 |
7−9 |
5−7 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
| 23 Mar–19 Apr |
CIS |
13−14 |
8−9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
3 |
0 |
| 17–26 Mar |
NC-Report |
13−14 |
7−8 |
5−6 |
0 |
0 |
3−4 |
3−4 |
0 |
| 23 Feb–3 Mar |
Ikerfel |
13−14 |
6−7 |
5−6 |
0 |
0 |
4−5 |
5 |
0 |
| 2 Feb |
PP |
14−16 |
8−10 |
5−6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5−6 |
0 |
| 2015 |
| 10 Nov |
PP |
16 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
| 1–5 Nov |
SyM |
14 |
4−5 |
8 |
2−3 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
| 31 Oct |
Llorente & Cuenca |
14−16 |
10−12 |
5 |
2 |
1−2 |
0 |
4−5 |
0 |
| 25 May 2014 |
EP Election |
(16) |
N/A |
(11) |
(4) |
(4) |
(0) |
(4) |
(0) |
| 6–9 Feb |
SyM |
14 |
10−11 |
6 |
2−3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2014 |
| 15 Oct–12 Nov |
NC-Report |
15−16 |
11−12 |
6−7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
| 24–27 Sep |
SyM |
14−16 |
9−10 |
5−6 |
2−3 |
2−3 |
0 |
0 |
| 15 Apr–10 May |
NC-Report |
15−16 |
11−12 |
6−7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2013 |
| 2012 |
| 20 Nov 2011 |
General Election |
(23) |
(5) |
(11) |
(0) |
(0) |
|
|
(0) |
| 22 May 2011 |
Regional Election |
20 |
12 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Results
← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Cantabrian Parliament election results
| |
| Party |
Vote |
Seats |
| Votes |
% |
±pp |
Won |
+/− |
|
People's Party (PP) |
104,438 | 32.61 | 13.48 |
13 | 7 |
|
Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) |
96,070 | 30.00 | 0.88 |
12 | ±0 |
|
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) |
44,855 | 14.01 | 2.35 |
5 | 2 |
|
We Can (Podemos) |
28,272 | 8.83 | New |
3 | 3 |
|
Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's) |
22,165 | 6.92 | New |
2 | 2 |
| |
|
United Left of Cantabria (IU) |
8,066 | 2.52 | 0.80 |
0 | ±0 |
|
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) |
2,320 | 0.72 | 1.00 |
0 | ±0 |
|
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) |
1,928 | 0.60 | New |
0 | ±0 |
|
For Cantabria Yes (Sí) |
1,834 | 0.57 | New |
0 | ±0 |
|
Equo (EQUO) |
1,563 | 0.49 | New |
0 | ±0 |
|
Let's Win Cantabria (Ganemos) |
1,380 | 0.43 | New |
0 | ±0 |
|
Vox (VOX) |
1,092 | 0.34 | New |
0 | ±0 |
|
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) |
555 | 0.17 | 0.16 |
0 | ±0 |
|
Engine and Sports Alternative (AMD) |
487 | 0.15 | 0.12 |
0 | ±0 |
|
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) |
246 | 0.08 | 0.07 |
0 | ±0 |
|
Blank ballots |
4,971 | 1.55 | 0.61 |
|
| |
| Total |
320,242 | 100.00 | |
35 | 4 |
| |
| Valid votes |
320,242 | 98.27 | 0.03 |
|
| Invalid votes |
5.647 | 1.73 | 0.03 |
| Votes cast / turnout |
325,889 | 70.97 | 1.18 |
| Abstentions |
133,333 | 29.03 | 1.18 |
| Registered voters |
459,222 | |
| |
| Source: Argos Information Portal |
| Vote share |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| PP |
|
32.61% |
| PRC |
|
30.00% |
| PSOE |
|
14.01% |
| Podemos |
|
8.83% |
| C's |
|
6.92% |
| IU |
|
2.52% |
| Others |
|
3.56% |
| Blank ballots |
|
1.55% |
| Parliamentary seats |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| PP |
|
37.14% |
| PRC |
|
34.29% |
| PSOE |
|
14.29% |
| Podemos |
|
8.57% |
| C's |
|
5.71% |
References
