Balearic parliamentary election, 2015

24 May 2015

All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands 30 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls
Registered	766,383 5.5%
Turnout	437,838 (57.1%) 1.7 pp
	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	José Ramón Bauzà	Francina Armengol	Gabriel Barceló
Party	PP	PSOE	MÉS
Leader since	11 September 2009	26 February 2012	27 May 2006
Last election	35 seats, 46.7%	18 seats, 24.4%	5 seats, 9.5%
Seats won	20	14	9
Seat change	15	5	4
Popular vote	123,183	81,798	66,199
Percentage	28.5%	18.9%	15.3%
Swing	18.2 pp	5.5 pp	5.8 pp

	Fourth party	Fifth party	Sixth party

Leader	Alberto Jarabo	Jaume Font	Xavier Pericay
Party	Podemos	PI	C's
Leader since	14 February 2015	2 November 2012	13 April 2015
Last election	Did not contest	0 seats, 5.8%	0 seats, 0.3%
Seats won	10	3	2
Seat change	10	3	2
Popular vote	62,868	34,237	27,589
Percentage	14.7%	7.9%	6.4%
Swing	New party	2.1 pp	6.1 pp

President before election

José Ramón Bauzà
PP

Elected President

Francina Armengol
PSOE

The 2015 Balearic parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the Balearic Islands, the unicameral regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of the Balearic Islands. At stake were all 59 seats in the Parliament, determining the President of the Balearic Islands.

The election was held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	MÉS	PI	EU-G	UPyD	GxF	C's	P	Oth.	Lead
Date	Polling Firm/Source										Oth.	Lead
24 May 2015	Regional Election	28.5	18.9	15.3	7.9	2.0	0.9	0.5	6.4	14.7	4.9	9.6
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	33.8	21.2	8.2	4.5	4.2	0.4	w.PSOE	13.6	12.0	2.1	12.6
27 Apr–8 May	IBES	31.0	20.0	9.0	4.0	4.0		1.0	15.0	16.0	1.0	11.0
22–27 Apr	Sigma-2	33.6	17.5	11.6	3.5	4.5		0.4	10.0	14.1	4.8	16.1
19 Apr	Gadeso	35.0	18.0	9.5	4.0	2.5	0.5	w.PSOE	6.0	14.5	10.0	17.0
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	30.0	22.3	9.6	2.4	2.1	0.5	0.4	12.4	14.5	5.8	7.7
16–25 Mar	IBES	33.0	17.0	7.0	6.0	5.0	3.0	1.0	10.0	16.0	2.0	16.0
16–23 Mar	NC-Report	35.2	20.3	6.8	5.1	5.1	0.8	w.PSOE	12.3	12.2	2.2	14.9
26 Jan–6 Feb	IBES	35.0	19.0	8.0	5.0	4.0	2.0	1.0	5.0	19.0	2.0	16.0
2015
10–18 Sep	IBES	38.0	21.0	9.0	4.0	3.0	4.0	w.PSOE		15.0	6.0	17.0
3–13 Jun	IBES	38.0	21.0					w.PSOE			41.0	17.0
25 May 2014	EP Election	27.5	22.0	7.3	N/A	8.9	6.7	N/A	2.3	10.3	15.0	5.5
2014
15 Oct–12 Nov	NC-Report	37.1	25.2					w.PSOE			37.7	11.9
3–14 Jun	IBES	41.0	27.0	11.0	4.0	6.0	5.0	w.PSOE			6.0	14.0
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	42.2	30.1	14.5				w.PSOE			13.2	12.1
2013
3–10 Dec	IBES	41.0	24.0	11.0	6.0	5.0	5.0	w.PSOE			8.0	17.0
28–31 May	IBES	43.0	25.0	10.0	4.0	4.0	5.0	w.PSOE			9.0	18.0
18 Mar	Gadeso	39.5	23.0	8.5	4.5			w.PSOE			24.5	16.5
1–15 Feb	IBES	45.0	23.0	11.0	3.0	5.0	6.0	w.PSOE			7.0	22.0
2012
20 Nov 2011	General Election	49.6	28.9	7.2	N/A	4.9	4.2	N/A	N/A		5.2	20.7
8 Oct	IBES	48.0	22.0	11.0	2.0	6.0	5.0	w.PSOE			6.0	26.0
22 May 2011	Regional Election	46.7	24.9	9.6	5.8	2.3	2.1	w.PSOE	0.2		9.4	21.8

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 30 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.

30 seats needed for majority
Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	MÉS	PI	EU-G	UPyD	GxF	C's	P	Others
Date	Polling Firm/Source										Others
24 May 2015	Regional Election	20	14	9	3	0	0	1	2	10	0
24 May	GAD3	20−23	13−15	4−6	0−2	0−1	0	1	5−7	9−11	0
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	22−23	14−15	4−5	0	1−2	0	w.PSOE	8−9	8−9	0
27 Apr–8 May	IBES	19−22	13−15	4−6	0−2	0−2	0	1	5−7	8−11	0
22–27 Apr	Sigma-2	22−25	13−14	6	0	0−1	0	1	4−5	8−11	0
19 Apr	Gadeso	23−26	14−17	5−6	0−2	0	0	1	3−5	7−10	0
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	19−20	14−15	5	0	0	0	1	9	10	0
16–25 Mar	IBES	22−24	13−15	4−6	2−3	1−2	0	1	3−5	8−10	0
16–23 Mar	NC-Report	24−25	14−15	4−5	2−3	1−2	0	w.PSOE	6−7	6−7	0
26 Jan–6 Feb	IBES	26−27	12−15	3−4	1−3	0−1	0	1	0−2	12−13	0
2015
10–18 Sep	IBES	27	16	5	1	0−1	0−1	w.PSOE	0	8−10	0
3–13 Jun	IBES	27	15	6	0−1	3−4	2	w.PSOE	0	5	0
25 May 2014	EP Election	(20)	(18)	(4)	N/A	(6)	(5)	N/A	(0)	(6)	(0)
2014
15 Oct–12 Nov	NC-Report	28−29	19−20	6−7	1−2	1−2	1−2	w.PSOE	0		0
3–14 Jun	IBES	28−29	21	5	1	2−3	1	w.PSOE	0		0
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	31−32	19−20	7−9	0	0	0	w.PSOE	0		0
2013
3–10 Dec	IBES	28	19	6	2	2	2	w.PSOE	0		0
28–31 May	IBES	33	18	6	1−2	0	0−1	w.PSOE	0		0
2012
20 Nov 2011	General Election	(34)	(20)	(4)	N/A	(1)	(0)	N/A	N/A		(0)
22 May 2011	Regional Election	35	19	5	0	0	0	w.PSOE	0		0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Balearic Parliament election results
Party		Vote			Seats

Party		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	123,183	28.52	18.16	20	15
	Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB-PSOE)	81,798	18.94	5.50	14	4

More-Agreement-Initiative Greens (MÉS)		66,199	15.33	5.83	9	4
	More for Majorca-Agreement-Initiative Greens (MÉS)	59,617	13.80	5.19	6	2
	More for Menorca (MpM)	6,582	1.52	0.63	3	2

	We Can (Podemos)	63,489	14.70	New	10	10
	Proposal for the Islands (PI)	34,237	7.93	2.17	3	3

Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's)		27,589	6.39	6.07	2	2
	Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's)	25,651	5.94	5.74	2	2
	Citizens of Menorca-Citadella People's Union (CMe-UPCM)	1,938	0.45	0.33	0	±0

Let's Win The Balearic Islands (Guanyem)		8,740	2.02	0.65	±0
	Let's Win The Balearic Islands (Guanyem)	7,303	1.69	0.60	±0
	Left of Menorca-United Left (EM-EU)	1,437	0.33	0.04	±0

	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	3,896	0.90	1.18	0	±0
	Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	3,476	0.80	0.41	0	±0
	People for Formentera+PSOE (GxF+PSOE)	2,006	0.46	0.01	1	±0
	People for Ibiza (GxE)	1,680	0.39	New	0	±0
	More Ibiza-Corsaris Democratis (MEC)	1,042	0.24	New	0	±0
	Citizen Movement EPIC Ibiza (mcEPIC)	1,000	0.23	New	0	±0
	Independent Social Group (ASI)	953	0.22	0.04	0	±0
	Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero)	819	0.19	New	0	±0
	Family and Life Party (PFyV)	802	0.19	0.08	0	±0
	Island Alternative (AL-in)	794	0.18	New	0	±0
	Republican Left-Ibiza Yes (ER-Eivissa Sí)	766	0.18	1.09	0	±0
	Spanish Liberal Project (PLIE)	531	0.12	0.01	0	±0
	Renewal Party of Ibiza and Formentera (PREF)	396	0.09	0.06	0	±0
	Commitment for Formentera (CompromísFormentera)	383	0.09	New	0	±0
	Blank ballots	8,080	1.87	1.05

Total		431,859	100.00		59	±0

Valid votes		431,859	98.63	0.22
Invalid votes		5,979	1.37	0.22
Votes cast / turnout		437,838	57.13	1.67
Abstentions		328,545	42.87	1.67
Registered voters		766,383

Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share

PP			28.52%
PSIB-PSOE			18.94%
MÉS-PSM-Entesa-IV			15.33%
Podemos			14.70%
PI			7.93%
C's			6.39%
Guanyem			2.02%
GxF+PSOE			0.46%
Others			3.83%
Blank			1.87%

Parliamentary seats

PP			33.90%
PSIB-PSOE			23.73%
Podemos			16.95%
MÉS-PSM-Entesa-IV			15.25%
PI			5.08%
C's			3.39%
GxF+PSOE			1.69%

References

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