30th Alberta general election

30th Alberta General Election
Alberta
On or before May 31, 2019 (2019-05-31)
87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Leader Rachel Notley Brian Jean Ric McIver
Party New Democratic Wildrose Progressive Conservative
Leader since October 18, 2014 March 28, 2015 interim until TBD
Leader's seat Edmonton-Strathcona Fort McMurray-Conklin Calgary-Hays
Last election 54 seats, 40.57% 21 seats, 24.23% 10 seats, 27.80%
Seats before 54 22 8
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader David Swann Greg Clark
Party Liberal Alberta Party
Leader since interim until TBD September 21, 2013
Leader's seat Calgary-Mountain View Calgary-Elbow
Last election 1 seat, 4.19% 1 seat, 2.29%
Seats before 1 1
Premier before election

Rachel Notley
New Democratic

 Elected Premier

TBD

The 30th general election of Alberta, Canada, will elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. It will take place on or before May 31, 2019, following a request by Premier Rachel Notley to the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta to dissolve the legislature. The election may occur before the required date.

The Election Act fixes the election to a three-month period, between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day which in this case was May 5, 2015. However, this does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislature before this period.[1]

In the last general election, the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) was elected to a majority government under leader Rachel Notley. The NDP formed the government for the first time in Alberta history and ousted the long-ruling Progressive Conservatives, who were reduced to third place. Prentice resigned as party leader and as MLA for Calgary-Foothills on election night.[2] The Progressive Conservatives had won every provincial election since the 1971 election, making them the longest-serving provincial government in Canadian history. It was only the fourth change of government in Alberta since Alberta became a province in 1905 (in the order of: Alberta Liberal Party, United Farmers of Alberta, Social Credit Party, Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta, Alberta New Democratic Party [NDP]), and one of the worst defeats that any provincial government has suffered in Canada. On May 22nd NDP leader and Alberta Premier Rachel Notley announced Calgary-Bow MLA Deborah Drever was suspended from the NDP caucus over a homophobic remark found posted from Drever’s Instagram account. Notley said that she would review Drever's status within a year.[3]

Timeline

Opinion polls

The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.

Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link NDP Wildrose PC Liberal Alberta Party Other
Mainstreet Research February 3, 2016 HTML 27 33 31 5 4
ThinkHQ December 6, 2015 HTML 29 33 25 8 3 2
Insights West November 10, 2015 HTML 33 28 21 13 2 3
Mainstreet Research November 1, 2015 HTML 36 37 20 3 4
Mainstreet Research October 1, 2015 HTML 33 39 21 3 4
Mainstreet Research June 30, 2015 HTML 31 40 24 3 2
Election 2015 May 5, 2015 HTML 40.6 24.2 27.8 4.2 2.3 0.9

References

  1. ↑ Election Act, R.S.A. 2000, c. E-1, s. 38.1, as amended by S.A. 2011, c. 19
  2. ↑ "Jim Prentice resignation as MLA too fast, strategist says". CBC News, May 6, 2015.
  3. ↑ "Here's the image that finally got NDP MLA Deborah Drever suspended from caucus". Calgary Herald, May 22, 2015.
  4. ↑ "Ric McIver named interim leader of Alberta's PC party," CBC News May 11, 2015.
  5. ↑ "Official Poll Results". Elections Alberta. 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-16.
  6. ↑ "Here's the image that finally got NDP MLA Deborah Drever suspended from caucus". Calgary Herald, May 22, 2015.
  7. ↑ "Rachel Notley sworn in as Alberta premier, reveals cabinet," CBC News May 24, 2015.
  8. ↑ "Alberta MLAs sworn in after historic election," CBC News June 1, 2015.
  9. ↑ "Medicine Hat MLA elected Speaker of the 29th Legislature," CTV News June 11, 2015.
  10. ↑ "Notley calls Sept 3 Calgary-Foothills byelection," 630 CHED Edmonton Aug 6, 2015.
  11. ↑ ," Elections Alberta September 3, 2015.
  12. ↑ http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/alberta-conservative-mla-manmeet-bhullar-killed-in-highway-crash-1.3331978
  13. ↑ http://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/brian-mason-deborah-drever-to-make-announcement-in-calgary
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