Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
2016 U.S. presidential election |
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Democratic Party |
Republican Party |
Minor parties |
The twelve Republican presidential debates, and the four forums, are a series of political debates currently being held between the candidates for the Republican Party's nomination for the United States presidential election, 2016.
Overview
The Republican National Committee announced the 2015–2016 debate schedule on January 16, 2015. It revealed that 12 debates would be held, in contrast to the 20 debates that were held from 2011 to 2012. The announcement included which news organizations would host each debate, with Fox News and CNN having three each; and one each for ABC, CBS, NBC, CNBC, Fox Business Network, and a conservative media outlet to be announced. It had some changes during the primary.
The first live-broadcast debate occurred on Thursday, August 6, 2015, at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. It was seen on the Fox News Channel by 24 million viewers, making the debate the most watched live broadcast for a non-sporting event in cable history.[1] Due to the number of candidates running for nomination, Fox News aired two separate debates on August 6, with the less popular candidates going first, followed by the candidates with more support in the 'prime time' debate.
One debate per month followed through December 2015.[2] The GOP candidates debated twice in January and will debate three times in February and twice in March 2016.[3]
Polling effect
The use of polling data had initially been criticized by polling firms such as highly regarded Marist. Prior to the first debate, Marist decided to temporarily suspend its national polling of preferences for the Republican nominee on the basis that using non-scientific polling data to select the bipartisan debate field puts polling firms such as Marist under pressure to produce high-precision results that are inherently impossible to provide at that point in time.
For instance, it would be difficult to determine the margin of error in any statistical sampling process like a preference poll (see statistical tie for tenth place, and more generally the independence of clones).[4]
FiveThirtyEight made the point of the varying degrees of discretion the television networks gave themselves with their distinct debate invitation criteria, noting that polling data can only be seen as an objective method for selection of the debate participants, if the full and exact criteria are made clear in advance.[5] The rhetoric about the pros and cons of the debate criteria, and the use of polls to winnow the field, partially displaced more substantive discussions of concrete policies that candidates are proposing.[6]
In terms of many GOP candidates, the use of polls to winnow the field was criticized, especially by candidates with relatively low-polling numbers in August, including Rick Santorum and Lindsey Graham, who both said through the media that their exclusion from the main debates could prevent them from being competitive in the primaries and caucuses.[7]
Candidates ranked from 8th to 12th place in the polls prior to the August debate, including Chris Christie, Rick Perry, and John Kasich, downplayed the importance of being invited to any specific debate by emphasizing that delegate selection in early states is more important.[6]
Some in the media questioned Donald Trump's seriousness as a candidate and pondered as to whether or not he should be included in the debates.[8][9][10] Trump filed FEC paperwork to make his run official;[11] however, despite doing well in the early polling which effectively guaranteed him an invitation to the Fox News and CNN debates, Trump expressed ambivalence about the value of the debates to his own campaign (saying he was not a debater and therefore did not know how well he would perform in one), and to the process in general (saying that politicians are always debating with little in the way of results).[6] Candidates such as Chris Christie and Rand Paul said that the debates would give candidates a chance to communicate policy ideas to voters, and would thus be helpful in giving voters the information needed to decide which candidate to support.[6]
Logistics
Cleveland
Simi
Valley
Boulder
Las Vegas
Milwaukee
North Charleston
Des Moines
Goffstown
Greenville
Houston
Miami
With as many as 17 major candidates vying for the nomination, the prospect of including all the candidates in a debate presented logistical difficulties. For each of the debates held from August 2015 through January 2016, the sponsoring television network conducted both a debate broadcast in prime time preceded by another debate in the afternoon or early evening; the candidates who ranked higher in the polls were invited to the prime time debate, with lower-ranking candidates admitted to the earlier debate only. The earlier debates for the lower-ranked candidates have been nicknamed the "undercard" debates[12][13] or the "kids' table" debates.[14][15]
Schedule
The following table lists four forums and a total of twelve RNC debates along with the dates, times, places, hosts, and participants.[16][17][18]
No. | Date | Time | Place | Host | Participants* | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant, main debate. S Participant, secondary debate. I Invitee, main debate. Invitee, secondary debate. N Non-invitee. A Absent invitee, main debate. AS Absent invitee, secondary debate. O Out of race (exploring or withdrawn). |
Bush | Carson | Christie | Cruz | Fiorina | Gilmore | Graham | Huckabee | Jindal | Kasich | Pataki | Paul | Perry | Rubio | Santorum | Trump | Walker | |||||
RNC sanctioned debates | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 | Aug. 6, 2015 | 5 p.m. EDT 9 p.m. EDT |
Quicken Loans Arena Cleveland, OH |
Fox News/ |
P | P | P | P | S | S | S | P | S | P | S | P | S | P | S | P | P | |
2 | Sept. 16, 2015 | 3 p.m. PDT 5 p.m. PDT |
Reagan Library Simi Valley, CA |
CNN/ Salem Radio |
P | P | P | P | P | N | S | P | S | P | S | P | O | P | S | P | P | |
3 | Oct. 28, 2015 | 4 p.m. MDT 6 p.m. MDT |
Coors Events Ctr. Boulder, CO |
CNBC/ Westwood One |
P | P | P | P | P | N | S | P | S | P | S | P | O | P | S | P | O | |
4 | Nov. 10, 2015 | 6 p.m. CST 8 p.m. CST |
Milwaukee Theatre Milwaukee, WI |
Fox Business/ WSJ |
P | P | S | P | P | N | N | S | S | P | N | P | O | P | S | P | O | |
5 | Dec. 15, 2015 | 3 p.m. PST 5:30 p.m. PST |
The Venetian Las Vegas, NV |
CNN/ Salem Radio |
P | P | P | P | P | N | S | S | O | P | S | P | O | P | S | P | O | |
6 | Jan. 14, 2016 | 6 p.m. EST 9 p.m. EST |
N. Charleston Coliseum N. Charleston, SC |
Fox Business/ |
P | P | P | P | S | N | O | S | O | P | O | AS | O | P | S | P | O | |
7 | Jan. 28, 2016 | 6 p.m. CST 8 p.m. CST |
Iowa Events Center Des Moines, IA |
Fox News/ |
P | P | P | P | S | S | O | S | O | P | O | P | O | P | S | A | O | |
8 | Feb. 6, 2016 | 8 p.m. EST | St. Anselm College Goffstown, NH |
ABC News/ IJReview.com |
P | P | P | P | N | N | O | O | O | P | O | O | O | P | O | P | O | |
9 | Feb. 13, 2016 | 9 p.m. EST | Peace Center Greenville, SC |
CBS News | P | P | O | P | O | O | O | O | O | P | O | O | O | P | O | P | O | |
10 | Feb. 25, 2016 | |
University of Houston Houston, TX |
CNN/Salem Radio/Telemundo |
O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | |||||||
11 |
Mar. 3, 2016 | 9 p.m. EST | Fox Theatre Detroit, MI |
Fox News | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | |||||||
12 | Mar. 10, 2016 | University of Miami Miami, FL |
CNN/Salem Radio/ Washington Times |
O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | O | ||||||||
Forums | ||||||||||||||||||||||
F1† | Aug. 3, 2015 | 5 p.m. EDT | St. Anselm College Goffstown, NH |
C-SPAN | P | P | P | P | P | A | P | A | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | P | |
F2† | Nov. 20, 2015 | 6:30 p.m. CST | CCCU Conv. Ctr. Des Moines, IA |
Family Leader | A | P | A | P | P | A | A | P | O | A | A | P | O | P | P | A | O | |
F3† | Dec. 3, 2015 | 9 a.m. EST | Reagan Building Washington, D.C. |
Rep. Jewish Coalition |
P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | O | P | P | A | O | P | P | P | O | |
F4† | Jan. 9, 2016 | 9 a.m. EST | Convention Center Columbia, SC |
Jack Kemp Foundation |
P | P | P | A | A | A | O | P | O | P | O | A | O | P | A | A | O | |
†^ A forum in which candidates speak one at a time with no direct challenges, rather than a debate. Forums are not sanctioned by the RNC; although an RNC rule makes a candidate who participates in a nonsanctioned debate ineligible to participate in a sanctioned one, participation in a forum does not affect a candidate's eligibility to participate in sanctioned debates.[19][20] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
*^ Participating in at least one debate listed above: Former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida • Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson of Maryland • Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey • Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas • Former CEO Carly Fiorina of California • Former Gov. Jim Gilmore of Virginia • Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina • Former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas • Gov. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana • Gov. John Kasich of Ohio • Former Gov. George Pataki of New York • Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky • Former Gov. Rick Perry of Texas • Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida • Former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania • Businessman Donald Trump of New York • Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin |
Ratings
The following table lists the ratings (number of estimated viewers) of the debates to date.
Debate | Channel | Date | Viewers |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Fox News | August 6, 2015 | 24 million[21] |
2 | CNN | September 16, 2015 | 23 million[22] |
3 | CNBC | October 28, 2015 | 14 million[23] |
4 | Fox Business | November 10, 2015 | 13.5 million[24] |
5 | CNN | December 15, 2015 | 18 million[21] |
6 | Fox Business | January 14, 2016 | 11.1 million[21] |
7 | Fox News | January 28, 2016 | 12.5 million[21] |
8 | ABC | February 6, 2016 | 13.2 million[25] |
9 | CBS | February 13, 2016 | 13.5 million[26] |
Democratic debates started with half the viewers at 14 million and decreased to 4 million.[27]
Debate summaries
August 6, 2015 – Cleveland, Ohio
Candidate | Airtime[28] | Polls[29] |
---|---|---|
Trump | 10:32 | 23.4% |
Bush | 8:31 | 12.0% |
Walker | 5:51 | 10.2% |
Huckabee | 6:40 | 6.6% |
Carson | 6:23 | 5.8% |
Cruz | 6:39 | 5.4% |
Rubio | 6:22 | 5.4% |
Paul | 5:10 | 4.8% |
Christie | 6:10 | 3.4% |
Kasich | 6:31 | 3.2% |
Candidate | Airtime[30] | Polls[29] |
---|---|---|
Perry | 7:06 | 1.8% |
Santorum | 7:48 | 1.4% |
Jindal | 6:05 | 1.4% |
Fiorina | 7:46 | 1.3% |
Graham | 6:33 | 0.7% |
Pataki | 6:42 | 0.6% |
Gilmore | 5:24 | 0.2% |
The first debate was hosted by Fox News Channel, Facebook, and the Ohio Republican Party at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio – the same location as the future 2016 Republican National Convention. The two-hour debate invited the 10 highest-polling candidates, as measured by the average of the top five national polls selected by Fox. In addition, all other candidates who were "consistently being offered" as choices in national polls were invited to a one-hour debate earlier that same day.[31] (Originally, the non-primetime debate had a minimum requirement that invitees were averaging at least 1% in Fox-recognized national polls,[32] and was to be aired at noon for a total of two hours in duration.) The two-tiered debate hosted by Fox News on the 6th was qualitatively different from the C-SPAN forum held on the 3rd, for at least three reasons: it was a debate rather than a forum, where candidates were allowed to challenge each other, not just speak one at a time sequentially; it was divided into two tiers based on national polling numbers, only a subset of the candidates were on-stage (during each of the two distinct Fox News airtimes); and finally, Donald Trump and Mike Huckabee were participants in the primetime tier, but did not appear at the C-SPAN forum.[33][34]
The candidates in the main debate were Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, and John Kasich; the moderators were Bret Baier, Megyn Kelly, and Chris Wallace. Seven candidates who did not qualify were invited to participate in the 5 p.m. forum; these were Rick Perry, Bobby Jindal, Rick Santorum, Lindsey Graham, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, and George Pataki; the moderators for this debate were Bill Hemmer and Martha McCallum.[35] Because of a rule-change announced[31] by FOX one week before the debate-invitations went out, Graham, Pataki, and Gilmore were allowed to participate at 5 p.m. despite averaging below 1% in the five selected polls.[29] (Former IRS Commissioner Mark Everson was excluded from the 5 p.m. tier,[29] along with other relatively-unknown candidates who did not meet the updated invitation-criteria of "consistently being offered to respondents in major national polls as recognized by Fox News.")[31] The five selected polls[29] were conducted by Fox News,[36] Bloomberg,[37] CBS News,[38] Monmouth University,[39] and Quinnipiac University.[40][41]
In the main event, Trump was afforded the most time to speak at the debate by the Fox moderators (at 10 minutes, 32 seconds) followed by Bush (8:31), Huckabee (6:40), Cruz (6:39), Kasich (6:31), Carson (6:23), Rubio (6:22), Christie (6:10), Walker (5:51), and Paul (5:10).[28] The debate itself was viewed by 24 million people at its peak, setting records for the most-watched presidential primary debate ever and the highest-rated non-sports telecast in cable television history.[42][43]
The two different debates received rather different analyses in terms of the performances of the candidates. In the lower tier debate with only 7 candidates, Carly Fiorina was overwhelmingly considered the best debater, while Perry and Jindal were also praised, and Gilmore, Graham, Pataki, and Santorum were criticized.[44] In the primetime debate, frontrunner Donald Trump’s overall performance was criticized as rude and erratic by many pundits, while others said his comments were popular and his criticisms were overdue. Cruz, Rubio, Christie, and Huckabee received praise. Notable conflicts between candidates included Rand Paul vs. Christie over the NSA surveillance program, Paul vs. Trump on the latter's possible third-party run, Paul vs. Trump on healthcare, and Christie vs. Huckabee on the issue of welfare reform. Trump also clashed with two of the moderators – Kelly and Wallace – on the issue of sexism with Kelly, and the issue of illegal immigration with Wallace (specifically, Trump's claims that the Mexican government was deliberately sending criminals into America illegally).[45][46][47]
The lower tier debate was the first and only debate appearance of former Texas governor Rick Perry, who dropped out of the race less than a month later, after he failed to qualify for the second primetime debate and said that this was damaging to his fundraising abilities.[48][49]
September 16, 2015 – Simi Valley, California
Candidate | Jul–Sep polls[50] | Aug–Sep polls[50] | Airtime [51] |
---|---|---|---|
Trump | 24.0% | 27.8% | 18:47 |
Bush | 11.5% | 9.2% | 15:48 |
Fiorina | 2.2% | 4.4% | 13:30 |
Carson | 8.9% | 14.0% | 12:56 |
Christie | 3.1% | 2.8% | 12:36 |
Rubio | 5.6% | 5.4% | 11:21 |
Cruz | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10:45 |
Paul | 4.7% | 3.2% | 10:28 |
Kasich | 3.2% | 3.6% | 9:44 |
Huckabee | 5.6% | 4.4% | 9:20 |
Walker | 9.4% | 5.6% | 8:29 |
Candidate | Jul–Sep polls[50] | Aug–Sep polls[50] | Airtime [51] |
---|---|---|---|
Graham | 0.47% | 0.28% | 19:47 |
Santorum | 1.21% | 0.8% | 15:38 |
Jindal | 1.06% | 0.56% | 13:06 |
Pataki | 0.53% | 0.44% | 10:58 |
The second debate took place at (and was co-sponsored by) the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, which previously hosted two of the Republican debates in 2008 – the first and penultimate ones. This 2015 debate was aired on CNN, and simulcast on the Salem Radio Network. Similar to the Fox News-sponsored debate in Cleveland, but with slightly different ranking-criteria, the debate was split into primetime and pre-primetime groups based on averaged polling numbers.[52] The primetime debate was originally planned to include the candidates ranking in the top ten, as measured by nationwide polling performed by specific firms, averaged across polls that are released between July 16 and September 10;[53] the rules were later changed to allow candidates placing in the top ten in polls from August 7 through September 10 to qualify as well. This change was made due to an unexpected scarcity of polls taken after the August 6 debate, which would otherwise have been particularly disadvantageous to Carly Fiorina, who had significantly increased her support in polls taken after that debate but who would otherwise have been kept out of the primetime debate due to her minimal support in the large number of polls taken before the August 6 debate.[54]
Eleven candidates participated in the prime time debate: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker.[55][56] The candidates in the undercard debate were Bobby Jindal, Lindsey Graham, Rick Santorum, and George Pataki.[55] Rick Perry had been invited to the undercard debate but suspended his campaign on September 11, effectively ending his candidacy.[57] Former governor Jim Gilmore did not qualify for either debate.[55][58]
The undercard broadcast took place at 3 PM PDT, while the main card broadcast took place at 5 PM PDT.[59] The two-tiered CNN broadcasts were consecutive, with the primetime debate immediately following the second-tier broadcast.[60] The moderator was Jake Tapper of CNN, with participation by Hugh Hewitt and Dana Bash.[61] The primetime debate, like the first on Fox News, was a massive ratings success with nearly 23 million viewers, roughly 1 million less than the previous debate, and setting the record for the highest-rated broadcast in CNN's history.[22]
The primary focus of the debate was on Carly Fiorina, the one and only candidate who rose from the "undercard" tier of the previous debate into the primetime debate this time around. After the debate, most analysts believed that she successfully solidified her newfound status as a top-tier candidate, and successfully defended herself against attacks by Donald Trump. Marco Rubio was also largely viewed as the other strong performer of the night, and both Fiorina's and Rubio's poll numbers began to increase significantly in the wake of this debate.[62][63] Additional candidates who received praise included Mike Huckabee and Chris Christie, while frontrunner Donald Trump, former Florida governor Jeb Bush, and Ohio governor John Kasich were largely criticized.[64][65] This was the second and final debate appearance by Wisconsin governor Scott Walker, who dropped out of the race five days later, saying that the subsequent decrease of his own poll numbers and fundraising were largely due to his two debate performances being largely panned by commentators.[66]
October 28, 2015 – Boulder, Colorado
Candidate | Airtime[67] | Polls[68] |
---|---|---|
Trump | 9:22 | 20.2% |
Carson | 7:13 | 19.8% |
Rubio | 9:49 | 9.7% |
Bush | 6:08 | 8.1% |
Fiorina | 10:31 | 8.1% |
Cruz | 7:53 | 6.9% |
Huckabee | 7:46 | 3.6% |
Christie | 8:23 | 3.0% |
Kasich | 8:42 | 3.0% |
Paul | 7:25 | 3.0% |
Candidate | Airtime[69] |
---|---|
Jindal | 10:38 |
Graham | 9:33 |
Santorum | 9:29 |
Pataki | 8:38 |
The third debate was held on October 28 at the University of Colorado in Boulder, which is also one of the sponsors. CNBC stated that the debate would focus on the economy.[70] The moderators were announced as John Harwood, Carl Quintanilla, and Becky Quick, with additional questions to be asked by Rick Santelli, Sharon Epperson, and Jim Cramer.[71]
On September 30, CNBC announced that all candidates with an average of 2.5% or better[72] in polls conducted[73] by NBC,[74][75] Fox,[76][77] CNN,[78][79] ABC,[80] CBS,[81] and Bloomberg[82] released in the five weeks (from September 17 through October 21 inclusive[83]) before the October 28 debate would be invited to participate in the primetime debate at 8 p.m. EDT. All other candidates receiving at least 1% in any one of the polls conducted by the six recognized firms would be invited to the undercard debate at 6 p.m. EDT.[71]
In response to the previous debate on CNN running over three hours in length, the top two highest-polling candidates – Donald Trump and Ben Carson – teamed up in a threatened boycott of the CNBC debate. They demanded that the debate be limited to no longer than two hours, and also that opening and closing statements be included in those two hours; otherwise, if these conditions were not met, both Trump and Carson would withdraw from the debate.[84][85] On October 16, CNBC announced that it had accepted the demands of Trump and Carson, setting the two-hour maximum and allowing for opening and closing statements.[86][87]
On October 21, CNBC announced that 10 candidates (Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Huckabee, Kasich, Paul, Rubio and Trump) would take the stage shortly after 8 p.m. EDT, with four candidates (Graham, Jindal, Santorum, and Pataki) on stage about two hours earlier.[73] Whether Jindal would participate was unclear; he said on October 20 that he might skip the debate if the criteria[83] for the main group was not changed.[88] On October 27, Jindal's press secretary said he would participate: "We just thought about it and he's always been ready to debate at any time."[89]
The primetime debate featured numerous clashes between the candidates and the moderators, and the moderators were criticized - both by the candidates and by commentators in the aftermath - for perceived rudeness towards the candidates, asking questions that were perceived as biased.[90][91] Cruz, Rubio, Christie, Huckabee, Trump, and Carson all criticized the moderators at some point or another, and often received the loudest applause as a result.[92] The CNBC moderators were also criticized by some news outlets, such as The Daily Beast,[93] with Bill Maher, Byron York, and Stuart Rothenberg also criticizing the moderators.[94] Other news sources have come out in support of CNBC's vigorous vetting of the candidates, such as The Guardian.[95] At Salon, Huffington Post Senior Media Editor Jack Mirkinson described CNBC's handling of the debate as "catastrophic", while feminist blogger and former John Edwards Campaign Blogmaster Amanda Marcotte described the questions as "substantive".[96][97]
Many commentators considered the winners of the primetime debate to be Rubio, Cruz, and Christie, primarily for their attacks on the debate's moderator's questions. The two front-runners in the polls at the time, Trump and Carson, did not receive as much focus nor had as many memorable moments, but were still viewed as doing fairly well.[98] Bush and Kasich were largely criticized for their performances, particularly when the former argued with Rubio over Rubio's attendance record as a Senator, and when the latter clashed with Trump over Kasich’s record as Governor, and his sudden shift in debate strategy from passive to aggressive, which Trump said was simply being done in response to his falling poll numbers.[99]
On October 30, 2015, the RNC announced that NBC News would no longer host the February 26, 2016, debate in Houston. RNC chairman Reince Priebus showed concerns that an NBC-hosted debate could result in a "repeat" of the CNBC debate, as both are divisions of NBCUniversal, although NBC News is editorially separate from CNBC. Priebus explained that CNBC had conducted the October 28 debate in "bad faith", arguing that "while debates are meant to include tough questions and contrast candidates' visions and policies for the future of America, CNBC's moderators engaged in a series of 'gotcha' questions, petty and mean-spirited in tone, and designed to embarrass our candidates. What took place Wednesday night was not an attempt to give the American people a greater understanding of our candidates' policies and ideas."[100]
November 10, 2015 – Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Candidate | Airtime[101] | Polls[102] |
---|---|---|
Trump | 11:36 | 24.8% |
Carson | 9:25 | 24.4% |
Rubio | 10:28 | 11.8% |
Cruz | 13:25 | 9.6% |
Bush | 9:15 | 6.0% |
Paul | 9:03 | 3.0% |
Fiorina | 10:40 | 3.0% |
Kasich | 12:22 | 3.0% |
Candidate | Airtime[101] | Polls[102] |
---|---|---|
Huckabee | 11:00 | 2.4% |
Christie | 12:00 | 2.2% |
Jindal | 10:54 | 0.8% |
Santorum | 12:12 | 0.8% |
The fourth debate was held on November 10, 2015, at the Milwaukee Theatre in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, airing on the Fox Business Network and sponsored by The Wall Street Journal. This debate focused on jobs, taxes, and the general health of the U.S. economy, as well as on domestic and international policy issues. The moderators were Neil Cavuto, Maria Bartiromo and Gerard Baker.[103]
To participate in the main debate, a candidate needed to have an average of at least 2.5% in the four most recent recognized national polls conducted through November 4.[103] Candidates who failed to reach that average but who scored at least 1% in any of those four polls were invited to the secondary debate, which was moderated by Sandra Smith, Trish Regan, and the Wall Street Journal′s Washington bureau chief, Gerald Seib.[103]
The official debate lineup was unveiled on November 5. This lineup noticeably differed from previous lineups in several significant ways: For the first time in the debate season, there were fewer than ten candidates in the primetime lineup; that consists of eight candidates: Trump, Carson, Rubio, Cruz, Bush, Fiorina, Kasich, and Paul.[104] Also, over half of the original set of lower-tier candidates polling less than 1% were excluded from the undercard debate due to failing to reach at least 1% in some polls, those being Graham, Pataki, and Gilmore. Thus, the lower-tier debate lineup instead featured Christie and Huckabee - both removed from the main stage for the first time - alongside previous lower-tier candidates Santorum and Jindal.[105]
The undercard debate was the fourth and final debate appearance of Governor Bobby Jindal, who ended his campaign on November 17, stating "this is not my time."[106]
December 15, 2015 – Las Vegas, Nevada
Candidate | Airtime[107] | Polls[102] |
---|---|---|
Trump | 13:25 | 27.7% |
Carson | 10:27 | 17.6% |
Cruz | 15:58 | 13.0% |
Rubio | 13:33 | 12.6% |
Bush | 10:13 | 5.0% |
Fiorina | 9:32 | 2.8% |
Christie | 10:45 | 2.6% |
Kasich | 9:00 | 2.6% |
Paul | 9:46 | 2.5% |
Candidate | Airtime[108] | Polls[102] |
---|---|---|
Huckabee | 17:12 | 2.3% |
Santorum | 15:42 | 0.4% |
Pataki | 17:06 | 0.3% |
Graham | 18:36 | 0.3% |
The fifth debate was held on December 15, 2015, at the Venetian Resort in Las Vegas, Nevada.[109] It was the second debate to air on CNN, and was also broadcast by Salem Radio. The debate was moderated solely by Wolf Blitzer with Dana Bash and Hugh Hewitt serving alongside as questioners.[110]
The debate was split into primetime and pre-primetime groups based on averaged polling numbers; in order to participate in the main debate, candidates had to meet one of three criteria in polls conducted between October 29 and December 13 which were recognized by CNN—either an average of at least 3.5% nationally, or at least 4% in either Iowa or New Hampshire.[111] The secondary debate featured candidates that had reached at least 1% in four separate national, Iowa, or New Hampshire polls that are recognized by CNN.[111] Paul was included in the main debate after not qualifying under the original rules because he received 5% support in Iowa in a Fox News poll.[110][112]
The debate lineup was announced on December 13 to include Trump, Cruz, Rubio, Carson, Bush, Fiorina, Christie, Paul, and Kasich in the primetime debate, and Huckabee, Santorum, Graham, and Pataki in the undercard debate.[110] Commentators suggested that the key confrontation would be between Trump and Cruz, based on their respective polling in Iowa.[113]
Eighteen million people watched the debate, making it the third-largest audience ever for a presidential primary debate.[114] During the debate, the audible coughing was attributed to Ben Carson. His campaign admitted that they all got sick a month prior and Carson had kept the cough for weeks. The cough was "almost gone" and Carson was not really sick at the time.[115]
The undercard debate was the fourth and final debate appearance of Senator Lindsey Graham and former Governor George Pataki, who suspended their campaigns on December 21[116] and December 29,[117] respectively.
January 14, 2016 – North Charleston, South Carolina
Candidate | Airtime[118] | Polls[119] |
---|---|---|
Trump | 17:12 | 35.8% |
Cruz | 17:52 | 18.2% |
Rubio | 14:19 | 11.0% |
Carson | 8:26 | 9.8% |
Christie | 14:25 | 3.8% |
Bush | 12:36 | 3.8% |
Kasich | 12:26 | 2% |
Candidate | Airtime | Polls[119] |
---|---|---|
Fiorina | 12:06 | 1.8% |
Huckabee | 13:00 | 1.2% |
Santorum | 12:18 | 0.2% |
On December 8, 2015, it was announced that Fox Business Network would host an additional debate two days after the State of the Union address.[120] The debate was held in the North Charleston Coliseum in North Charleston, South Carolina. The anchor and managing editor of Business News, Neil Cavuto, and anchor and global markets editor, Maria Bartiromo, reprised their roles as moderators for the prime-time debate, which began at 9 p.m. EST. The earlier debate, which started at 6 p.m. EST, was again moderated by anchors Trish Regan and Sandra Smith.[121][122]
On December 22, 2015, Fox Business Network announced that in order to qualify for the prime-time debate, candidates had to either: place in the top six nationally, based on an average of the five most recent national polls recognized by FOX News; place in the top five in Iowa, based on an average of the five most recent Iowa state polls recognized by FOX News; or place in the top five in New Hampshire, based on an average of the five most recent New Hampshire state polls recognized by FOX News. In order to qualify for the first debate, candidates must have registered at least one percent in one of the five most recent national polls.[123]
On January 11, 2016, seven candidates were revealed to have been invited to the prime-time debate: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump. The participants were introduced in order of their poll rankings at the debate.
Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, and Rick Santorum participated in the undercard debate. Rand Paul was also invited to the undercard debate, but said, "I won't participate in anything that's not first tier because we have a first tier campaign."[124][125] The candidates were introduced in order of their poll rankings.
January 28, 2016 – Des Moines, Iowa
Candidate | Airtime[126] | Polls[127] |
---|---|---|
Cruz | 13:11 | 19.4% |
Rubio | 13:31 | 10.8% |
Carson | 6:11 | 8.2% |
Bush | 9:24 | 4.8% |
Christie | 8:22 | 3.8% |
Kasich | 8:52 | 2.6% |
Paul | 7:56 | 2.2% |
Candidate | Airtime[128] | Polls[127] |
---|---|---|
Huckabee | 9:30 | 2.2% |
Fiorina | 9:18 | 2.0% |
Santorum | 9:30 | 0.2% |
Gilmore | 6:48 | 0.0% |
The seventh debate was held in Iowa, which holds the first caucuses, and was the second debate to air on Fox News Channel As in Fox's first debate, the moderators were Bret Baier, Megyn Kelly, and Chris Wallace.[129] It was the last debate before actual voting begins with the Iowa caucuses on February 1, 2016.[130][131]
The debate was, again, divided into undercard and primetime rounds; to qualify for the primetime debate, candidates must have, in polls recognized by FNC, either placed in the top six nationally based on an average of the five most recent national polls; place in the top five in Iowa, based on an average of the five most recent Iowa state polls, or place in the top five in New Hampshire, based on an average of the five most recent New Hampshire state polls. In order to qualify for the first debate, candidates must have registered at least one percent in one of the five most recent national polls.[132]
On January 26, 2016, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump were invited to the primetime debate. Trump, however, declined to participate due to prior confrontations with the network and moderator Megyn Kelly, and instead hosted a town hall with charitable proceeds going to veterans groups.[133] Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, and Rick Santorum were invited to the undercard debate.[134] The undercard debate was only the second of the 2016 cycle to which Gilmore was invited; he was also in the August 6, 2015, undercard debate, also hosted by Fox News.[135][136]
Immigration and foreign policy featured prominently in this debate, and many candidates used the opportunity to criticize the second-place Cruz, who had also been subjected to attack ads in the weeks before Iowa from prominent Republican leaders. In particular, Cruz and Rubio (the third-place candidate at this point in the race) attacked each other's immigration records.[137][138]
This was the final debate appearance of Fiorina, Gilmore, Huckabee, Paul, and Santorum. Huckabee suspended his campaign on February 1,[139] while Paul and Santorum ended their presidential bids on February 3.[140][141] Fiorina and Gilmore were excluded from the following debate, and suspended their campaigns on February 10 and February 12, respectively.[142][143]
February 6, 2016 – Goffstown, New Hampshire
Candidate | Airtime[144] | Polls[145] |
---|---|---|
Trump | 15:32 | 33.2% |
Cruz | 17:34 | 20.7% |
Rubio | 18:14 | 13.3% |
Carson | 8:46 | 7.8% |
Bush | 12:30 | 4.5% |
Christie | 12:53 | 3.0% |
Kasich | 10:33 | 2.8% |
The eighth debate was held in New Hampshire, the first state to hold primaries, was organized by ABC News and the Independent Journal Review. It was scheduled to be held in the St Anselm's College Institute of Politics.[146] The eighth debate was the first to not feature an undercard event for minor candidates.[147] David Muir and Martha Raddatz were moderaters, along with WMUR political director Josh McElveen and Mary Katherine Ham.[148]
To participate in the debate, a candidate had to have either placed among the top three candidates in the popular vote of the Iowa caucus, or placed among the top six candidates in an average of New Hampshire or national polls recognized by ABC News. Only polls conducted no earlier than January 1 and released by February 4 were included in the averages.[149]
On February 4, 2016, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump were invited to the debate.[150] Carly Fiorina and Jim Gilmore were not invited as they did not meet the criteria.[151]
The introduction of the candidates caused several mishaps, including Carson missing his introduction and Kasich's introduction being skipped by the announcers.[152] During the debate, Rubio – who was perceived as gaining significant momentum after a close third-place finish in Iowa – faced attacks from Bush and particularly Christie, who criticized Rubio for repeating popular talking points rather than debating specifics. Rubio's poor response to Christie's criticisms led many to consider Rubio as the loser of the debate, with most of his post-Iowa momentum severely blunted by the performance. Conversely, Cruz faced attacks from Carson over allegations that Cruz's campaign, on the night of the Iowa caucuses, was spreading rumors that Carson had already dropped out of the race, so as to switch Carson voters to Cruz. There was also another clash between Trump and Bush over the issue of eminent domain, to the point where Trump was booed by the audience, and subsequently accused the audience of consisting mostly of Bush's donors and supporters.[153]
Despite Christie's perceived strong performance, this would ultimately be his final debate appearance, as the governor suspended his campaign four days later, after finishing 6th in New Hampshire.[154]
February 13, 2016 – Greenville, South Carolina
Candidate | Airtime[155] | Polls[156] |
---|---|---|
Trump | 15:38 | 29.5% |
Cruz | 14:45 | 21.0% |
Rubio | 10:38 | 17.8% |
Carson | 8:42 | 7.8% |
Bush | 11:15 | 4.3% |
Kasich | 10:03 | 4.0% |
The ninth debate, the second in February, was held in another early primary state, South Carolina, and aired on CBS News. The debate was moderated by John Dickerson in the Peace Center in Greenville, started at 9 pm ET and went for 90 minutes.[157] Major Garrett of CBS and Kimberley Strassel of WSJ also asked questions.[158] To participate in the debate, a candidate had to have either (1) placed among the top five candidates in the popular vote of the New Hampshire primary, (2) placed among the top three candidates in the popular vote of the Iowa caucuses, or (3) be among the top five candidates in an average of national and South Carolina polls over the four weeks beginning January 15 (that are recognized by CBS) and have received at least 3% in Iowa or New Hampshire or the South Carolina or national polls.[159] The day before the debate, Ben Carson was invited to join the other participants: Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump.
February 25, 2016 – Houston, Texas
After the caucus in Nevada, the tenth debate will be held at the University of Houston in Houston and broadcast by CNN as its third of four debates, in conjunction with Telemundo. The debate airs five days before 14 states vote on Super Tuesday, March 1st. While the debate was to be held in partnership with Telemundo's English-language counterpart NBC, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus announced on October 30, 2015, that it had suspended the partnership in response to CNBC's "bad faith" in handling the October 28, 2015, debate.[100][160] On January 18, 2016, the RNC announced that CNN would replace NBC News as the main host of the debate, in partnership with Telemundo and Salem Communications (CNN's conservative media partner). The debate was shifted a day earlier at the same time.[161] National Review was disinvited by the Republican National Committee from co-hosting the debate over its criticism of GOP front-runner Donald Trump.[162]
March 3, 2016 – Detroit, Michigan
The eleventh debate will be held on March 3, 2016, at the Fox Theatre in downtown Detroit, Michigan.[163] It will be the third and final debate to air on Fox News Channel.[164]Special Report anchor Bret Baier, The Kelly File anchor Megyn Kelly and Fox News Sunday host Chris Wallace will serve as moderators.[165]
March 10, 2016 – Miami, Florida
The twelfth debate will be the fourth and final debate to air on CNN, and will lead into the Florida, Illinois, Missouri and Ohio primaries. The debate was scheduled considering the unlikelihood that a Republican candidate would have clinched by then due to the overall size of the field.[166] The Washington Times would cohost the debate.[167]
Forums
August 3, 2015 – Goffstown, New Hampshire
The 2016 Voters First Presidential Forum moderator was Jack Heath of WGIR radio, who asked questions of each of the participating candidates based on a random draw.[168] Candidates each had three opportunities to speak: two rounds of questions, and a closing statement.[33] Topics of discussion during the forum were partially selected based on the results of an online voter survey.[169] The facilities were provided by the New Hampshire Institute of Politics and Political Library of St. Anselm College. The forum was organized in response[170] to the top-ten invitation limitations placed by Fox News and CNN on their first televised debates (see descriptions below).
Eleven of the candidates were present in person; Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio participated in the forum via satellite to avoid missing a vote.[20][171] Three major Republican candidates who did not participate were Donald Trump (who chose not to attend),[168] Jim Gilmore (who missed the cutoff deadline)[168] and Mike Huckabee (who was invited, but did not respond).[168] Mark Everson did not receive an invitation, albeit after a "serious look."[172][173]
The Voters First forum was broadcast nationally[174] by C-SPAN[175] as the originating source media entity, beginning at 6:30 p.m. EDT and lasting from 7 to 9 p.m. The event was also simulcast and/or co-sponsored by television stations KCRG-TV in Iowa, New England Cable News in the northeast, WBIN-TV in New Hampshire,[176] WLTX-TV in South Carolina, radio stations New Hampshire Public Radio, WGIR in New Hampshire, iHeartRadio on the internet (C-SPAN is also offering an online version of the broadcast), and newspapers the Cedar Rapids Gazette in Iowa, the Union Leader in New Hampshire, and the Post and Courier in Charleston South Carolina.[168] There was a live audience, with tickets to the event awarded via a lottery.[170]
November 20, 2015 – Des Moines, Iowa
The Presidential Family Forum was held in the Community Choice Credit Union Convention Center in Des Moines, Iowa. Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, and Rick Santorum attended the forum hosted by evangelical Christian advocacy group The Family Leader. It was hosted by politician and political activist Bob Vander Plaats and moderated by political consultant and pollster Frank Luntz.[177] Protesters interrupted the beginning of the event and were removed by police.[178]
December 3, 2015 – Washington, D.C
The Republican Jewish Coalition Presidential Candidates Forum was held in the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center by the lobbyist group Republican Jewish Coalition.[179] All candidates except Rand Paul attended the eight hour long forum.[180]
January 9, 2016 – Columbia, South Carolina
The Kemp Forum was held in the Columbia Metropolitan Convention Center by the Jack Kemp Foundation. Bush, Carson, Christie, Huckabee, Kasich, and Rubio attended. Fiorina was scheduled to attend the forum, but missed her flight.[181] The forum was moderated by Speaker of the House Paul Ryan and Senator Tim Scott.[182][183]
See also
- Republican Party presidential primaries
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican Party presidential candidates, 2016
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
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- ↑ "Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio Clash Harshly, Filling Void on G.O.P. Debate Stage". New York Times. 29 January 2016. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
- ↑ Ron Elving (January 29, 2016). "Trump-less Debate Sets A New Standard, But With A Familiar Outcome". NPR.
- ↑ Nate Silver (January 29, 2016). "What Would The Republican Race Look Like Without Trump?". FiveThirtyEight.com.
- ↑ Strauss, Daniel (February 1, 2016). "Mike Huckabee suspends his 2016 campaign". Politico. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
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- ↑ Stracqualursi, Veronica (February 12, 2016). "Former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore Suspends Presidential Campaign". ABC News. Retrieved February 12, 2016.
- ↑ Sprunt, Barbara. "On The Clock: Rubio Gets The Most Talking Time In Tonight's Debate". NPR.org. Retrieved 2016-02-07.
- ↑ http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html
- ↑ "Scheduled Presidential Candidate Visits & Other Forums - LWV of New Hampshire". lwvnh.org. Retrieved 2015-12-16.
- ↑ Kamisar, Ben (26 January 2016). "Rand Paul makes main debate stage". The Hill. Retrieved 2 February 2016.
- ↑ Anthony, Bennett (February 3, 2016). "When Is the Next GOP Debate?". Heavy.com. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
- ↑ ABC News (2016-01-27). "ABC News Announces Criteria For New Hampshire Republican Debate". ABC News. Retrieved 2016-02-02.
- ↑ "ABC News Announces New Hampshire Republican Debate Candidate Lineup". ABC News. February 4, 2016. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
- ↑ Kamisar, Ben (February 4, 2016). "Carly Fiorina misses debate stage". The Hill. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
- ↑ "Carson misses his intro at debate, stands awkwardly off stage". USA TODAY. Retrieved 2016-02-11.
- ↑ Danielle Kurtzleben (February 6, 2016). "Republican Debate: 5 Things You Missed". NPR.
- ↑ "Chris Christie to suspend presidential campaign". Washington Times. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
- ↑ SPRUNT, BARBARA. "On The Clock: Trump Gets The Most Talking Time In Tonight's Debate". npr.org. NPR. Retrieved 14 February 2016.
- ↑ http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html
- ↑ "CBS News announces details for 2016 debates". www.cbsnews.com. Retrieved 2015-12-16.
- ↑ "CBS News announces Republican debate criteria". CBS News. February 9, 2016.
- ↑ http://www.cbsnews.com/news/criteria-for-cbs-news-republican-debate/
- ↑ "RNC CANCELS ONLY DEBATE TO AIR ON SPANISH-LANGUAGE TV". Newsweek.com. Retrieved 2016-01-14.
- ↑ "NBC replaced by CNN for GOP's Super Tuesday debate". CNN Money. Retrieved 18 January 2016.
- ↑ "National Review Kicked Out of GOP Debate After Anti-Trump Stand". Wall Street Journal. January 22, 2016.
- ↑ Gold, Hadas (February 4, 2016). "Bret Baier, Megyn Kelly, Chris Wallace return for March 3 debate". Politico. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 presidential debate schedule: Dates, times, moderators and topics". Politico. Retrieved January 19, 2016.
- ↑ "GOP debate headed to Detroit in March". Detroit News. February 4, 2016.
- ↑ "CNN announces March debate in Florida". Politico. Retrieved 18 January 2016.
- ↑ Wemple, Erik (2016-01-20). "CNN partnering with the Washington Times for March 10 debate in Miami". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2016-02-13.
- 1 2 3 4 5 Paul Feely (August 1, 2015). "Voters First Forum levels the playing field". New Hampshire Union-Leader. Retrieved August 3, 2015.
- ↑ "Voters First Forum Topics".
On Monday, August 3, candidates ... will be broadcast live on C-SPAN at 7 p.m. Topics for the forum will be determined by you, the voters. Please choose the top five topics you would like to see discussed. ...from these [five] identical drop-down lists: Iran nuclear deal, Homeland Security (Terrorism), Defense, International Trade, Immigration, Russia, Climate change, Crime, Drugs/heroin, Death penalty, Euthanasia, U.S. debt/deficit, Taxes, Economy and jobs, Campaign spending Reform, Social Security, Medicare, Healthcare/Obamacare, Gay marriage, Religious freedom, Privacy/surveillance, Education/Common Core, Abortion, 1st Amendment, 2nd Amendment, Race.
- 1 2 "Trump tells Union Leader: No endorsement, no show". New Hampshire Union Leader. July 29, 2015.
- ↑ "Senate roll vote on Planned Parenthood". Associated Press. August 3, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
- ↑ Jon Ward, Senior Political Correspondent (July 29, 2015). "New Hampshire thumbs its nose at Fox News over presidential debates".
The Union Leader considered allowing Mark Everson, the commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service from 2003 to 2007, to take part. Everson announced his candidacy in March. "We had discussions with Mark Everson about whether or not he would qualify. We didn't want to do what Fox did, which was cut the field arbitrarily," Spiner said. "We took a serious look to see if we were missing something here, and we decided we weren't."
- ↑ Ben Jacobs. "Who is Mark Everson? Why, he's the 18th Republican candidate, of course". the Guardian.
- ↑ "Outfoxed: Voters Forum to be first for GOP". New Hampshire Union Leader. July 14, 2015. Retrieved August 3, 2015.
- ↑ "Radio 2016 Republican Candidates Voters First". C-SPAN.
- ↑ "UPDATED: Bush, Walker, Paul in, Trump out of Voters First forum". New Hampshire Union Leader. July 24, 2015.
- ↑ "Presidential candidates display faith, fire". Des Moines Register. Retrieved 2015-12-02.
- ↑ "Republican Candidates Talk Religion, Security at Iowa Forum". ABC News. Retrieved 2015-12-02.
- ↑ "Republican Jewish Coalition forum: 6 takeaways - CNNPolitics.com". CNN. Retrieved 2015-12-09.
- ↑ "RJC Presidential Candidates Forum". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved 2015-12-09.
- ↑ Parker, Ashley (2016-01-09). "Republican Candidates, Minus Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, Play Nice at Poverty Forum". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-01-20.
- ↑ "GOP forum will focus on issues, not ‘drama’". Post and Courier. Retrieved 2016-01-14.
- ↑ "In Kemp Forum on Poverty, a Broader GOP Outreach to Voters". WSJ Blogs - Washington Wire. 2016-01-12. Retrieved 2016-01-14.
External links
- Video of August 3, 2015 forum in Goffstown, New Hampshire
- Video of August 6, 2015 debate in Cleveland, Ohio
- Video of September 16, 2015 debate in Simi Valley, California
- Video of October 28, 2015 debate in Boulder, Colorado
- Video of November 10, 2015 debate in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Video of November 20, 2015 forum in Des Moines, Iowa
- Video of December 3, 2015 forum in Washington, D.C.
- Video of December 15, 2015 debate in Las Vegas, Nevada
- Video of January 14, 2016 debate in North Charleston, South Carolina
- Video of January 28, 2016 debate in Des Moines, Iowa
- Video of February 6, 2016 debate in Goffstown, New Hampshire
- Video of February 13, 2016 debate in Greenville, South Carolina