World Football Elo Ratings

World Football Elo Ratings
Top 20 Rankings as of 19 April 2015[1]
Rank12TeamPoints
1 Increase2 Steady  Germany 2104
2 Increase2 Steady  Argentina 2041
3 Decrease2 Steady  Brazil 2036
4 Increase4 Steady  Colombia 2004
5 Steady Steady  Netherlands 2000
6 Decrease4 Steady  Spain 1932
7 Increase5 Steady  France 1931
8 Increase2 Steady  Chile 1912
9 Decrease3 Steady  England 1903
10 Decrease1 Steady  Uruguay 1894
11 Increase7 Increase1  Belgium 1888
12 Increase7 Decrease1  Mexico 1876
13 Decrease6 Steady  Portugal 1867
14 Decrease3 Steady  Italy 1853
15 Increase17 Steady  Costa Rica 1827
16 Increase7 Steady  Croatia 1814
17 Decrease3 Steady  Ecuador 1813
18 Decrease5 Steady  United States 1804
19 Decrease2 Steady  Ukraine 1783
20 Steady Steady  Sweden 1774
Full rankings
Wikipedia Elo ratings
Notes
1 ^ Change from previous year
2 ^ Change from previous week

The World Football Elo Ratings is a ranking system for men's national teams in association football. The method used to rank teams is based upon the Elo rating system method but modified to take various football-specific variables into account. These ratings should not be confused with the FIFA World Rankings, which is more prevalent because it is the official rating system used by the international governing body of football to rank national teams.

The ratings consider all international "A" matches for which results could be found. Ratings tend to converge on a team's true strength relative to its competitors after about 30 matches.[2] Ratings for teams with fewer than 30 matches should be considered provisional.

The FIFA Women's World Rankings system uses a modified version of the Elo formula whereas the FIFA men's ranking system uses a non-Elo formula. A 2009 comparative study of eight methods found that the implementation of the Elo rating system described below had the highest predictive capability for football matches, while the men's FIFA ranking method performed poorly.[3]

Top 60 ranking

The following table shows World Football Elo Ratings on 15 April 2015, using data from the World Football Elo Ratings web site.[4]

Each national team's FIFA World Rankings are shown as they were on 09 April 2015.[5]

Elo RankTeamPointsConfederationFIFA Rank
1 Germany2104UEFA1
2 Argentina2041CONMEBOL2
3 Brazil2036CONMEBOL5
4 Colombia2004CONMEBOL4
5 Netherlands2000UEFA6
6 Spain1932UEFA10
7 France1931UEFA11
8 Chile1912CONMEBOL16
9 England1903UEFA14
10 Uruguay1894CONMEBOL8
11 Belgium1888UEFA3
12 Mexico1876CONCACAF18
13 Portugal1867UEFA7
14 Italy1853UEFA13
15 Costa Rica1827CONCACAF15
16 Croatia1814UEFA17
17 Ecuador1813CONMEBOL34
18 United States1804CONCACAF27
19 Ukraine1783UEFA33
20 Sweden1774UEFA39
21  Switzerland1768UEFA9
22 Japan1755AFC50
23 Romania1753UEFA12
24 Czech Republic1752UEFA19
25 Russia1741UEFA32
26 Denmark1738UEFA28
27 Ivory Coast1737CAF23
28 Slovakia1736UEFA20
29 Ghana1731CAF26
30 Iran1723AFC40

Elo RankTeamPointsConfederationFIFA Rank
31 South Korea1722AFC57
32 Australia1718AFC63
33 Poland1713UEFA35
34 Panama1709CONCACAF53
35 Serbia1708UEFA44
36 Republic of Ireland1703UEFA62
37 Scotland1701UEFA29
 Peru1701CONMEBOL64
39 Austria1694UEFA25
 Bosnia and Herzegovina1691UEFA31
41 Turkey1677UEFA52
42 Algeria1671CAF21
43 Paraguay1668CONMEBOL81
44 Venezuela1667CONMEBOL69
45 Senegal1658CAF36
46 Greece1654UEFA24
 United Arab Emirates1654AFC68
48 Nigeria1649CAF45
49 Iceland1648UEFA38
50 Wales1645UEFA22
51 Hungary1622UEFA43
52 Egypt1620CAF51
53 Slovenia1619UEFA47
54 Uzbekistan1612AFC73
55 Cameroon1609CAF48
56 Bolivia1604CONMEBOL92
57 Israel1600UEFA46
58 South Africa1599CAF60
59 Norway1589UEFA70
 Bulgaria1589UEFA67

Strongest teams since the mid to late 1960s

Time averaged Elo or Elo-like scores are routinely used to compare chess player strengths.[6][7][8] The following is a list of the national teams with the highest average Elo score from 1 January 1970 to 1 May 2015. Before this time intercontinental play was fairly limited and many nations in Africa, North America, and Asia had played too few games yet to create a representative Elo score. Since Elo scores reflect past accomplishments, the table represents the relative strength of national teams since the mid to late 1960s.

RankCountryAvg Elo
1 Brazil2013.1
2 (West) Germany[9]1979.5
3 Netherlands1927.2
4 England1922.0
 Italy1922.0
6 Spain1911.5
7 Argentina1905.8
8 France1882.6
9 Soviet Union → Russia[10]1851.1
10 Czechoslovakia → Czech Rep.[11]1830.6
11 Portugal1819.2
12 Yugoslavia → Serbia[12] 1815.2
13 Sweden1798.7
14 Romania1780.3
15 Mexico1777.0
16 Uruguay1774.8
17 Poland1770.4
RankCountryAvg Elo
18 Belgium1764.0
19 Denmark1756.7
20 Scotland1737.8
21 Paraguay1725.9
22 Chile1722.0
23 Republic of Ireland1720.6
24 Bulgaria1705.5
25 Australia1700.7
26 Colombia1689.5
27  Switzerland1689.1
28 Austria1688.7
29 Hungary1684.4
30 Iran1676.3
31 South Korea1666.1
32 Greece1657.5
33 Nigeria1655.1
34 Egypt1654.8
RankCountryAvg Elo
35 Wales1652.4
36 Peru1645.7
37 Israel1644.1
38 Morocco1642.8
39 Ivory Coast1640.5
40 Cameroon1637.3
41 Norway1636.6
42 Turkey1635.9
43 Ghana1614.2
44 United States1609.2
45 Northern Ireland1604.5
46 Tunisia1602.4
47 Costa Rica1601.6
48 Iraq1594.9
49 Japan1594.5
50 Ecuador1587.5
51 Algeria1572.2

List of number one teams

The following is the list of nations who have achieved the number one position in the World Football Elo Ratings since 2000:

Start DateNation# of days
5 Jun 1999 Brazil389
28 Jun 2000 France708
6 Jun 2002 Argentina1
7 Jun 2002 France4
11 Jun 2002 Netherlands1
12 Jun 2002 Spain4
16 Jun 2002 Netherlands5
21 Jun 2002 Brazil351
7 Jun 2003 Netherlands4
11 Jun 2003 Brazil8
19 Jun 2003 Netherlands83
10 Sep 2003 France291
27 Jun 2004 Czech Republic4
1 Jul 2004 France10
11 Jul 2004 Brazil3

Start DateNation# of days
14 Jul 2004 France35
18 Aug 2004 Argentina290
4 Jun 2005 Czech Republic4
8 Jun 2005 Argentina21
29 Jun 2005 Brazil102
9 Oct 2005 Netherlands3
12 Oct 2005 Brazil265
4 Jul 2006 Italy43
16 Aug 2006 France52
7 Oct 2006 Brazil122
6 Feb 2007 France1
7 Feb 2007 Brazil140
27 Jun 2007 France14
11 Jul 2007 Argentina4
15 Jul 2007 Brazil334

Start DateNation# of days
13 Jun 2008 Brazil /  Netherlands2
15 Jun 2008 Netherlands6
21 Jun 2008 Spain368
24 Jun 2009 Brazil373
2 Jul 2010 Netherlands1
3 Jul 2010 Netherlands /  Spain3
6 Jul 2010 Netherlands1
7 Jul 2010 Spain1089
30 Jun 2013 Brazil45
14 Aug 2013 Spain59
12 Oct 2013 Brazil259
29 Jun 2014 Netherlands5
4 Jul 2014 Brazil4
8 Jul 2014 Germany297

Ranking by days as leader since 1 January 2000

NationdaysLast Date as Leader
 Brazil 2464 8 July 2014
 Spain 1523 12 October 2013
 France 1115 10 July 2007
 Argentina 316 14 July 2007
 Germany 297 Current
 Netherlands 114 4 July 2014
 Italy 43 15 August 2006
 Czech Republic 8 7 June 2005

All-time highest ratings

The following is a list of national football teams ranked by their highest Elo score ever reached.

Rank Nation Points Date
1  Germany 2200 13 July 2014
2  Hungary 2166 30 June 1954
3  Brazil 2153 17 June 1962
4  Spain 2143 23 June 2013
5  Netherlands 2133 12 July 2014
6  Argentina 2117 3 April 1957
7  France 2106 15 August 2001
8  Italy 2079 20 July 1939
9  Poland 2047 1 September 1974
10  England 2041 22 October 1966
11  Uruguay 2035 13 June 1928
12  Russia 2023 9 October 1983 (as Soviet Union)
13  Colombia 2016 28 June 2014
14  Czech Republic 1999 27 June 2004
15  Austria 1998 31 May 1934
16  Portugal 1983 15 November 2000
17  Chile 1974 18 June 2014
18  Croatia 1968 11 July 1998
19  Denmark 1961 13 June 1986
 Serbia 1961 25 June 1998 (as FR Yugoslavia)
21  Scotland 1953 10 March 1888
22  East Germany 1951 22 June 1974
23  Sweden 1950 25 June 1950
24  Mexico 1936 19 June 2005
25  Paraguay 1932 21 February 1954

Rank Nation Points Date
26  Belgium 1916 9 September 1981
27  Norway 1914 13 June 2000
28  Romania 1910 9 June 1990
29  Greece 1896 18 August 2004
30  Republic of Ireland 1889 21 August 2002
31  Ivory Coast 1881 26 January 2013
32   Switzerland 1876 22 June 1994
33  Australia 1873 14 December 1997
34  United States 1872 8 July 2009
35  Turkey 1868 19 June 2003
36  Japan 1867 15 August 2001
37  Ecuador 1862 26 March 2013
38  Wales 1859 20 May 1981
39  Bulgaria 1856 15 June 1969
 Peru 1856 11 June 1978
41  Cameroon 1849 26 June 2003
42  Costa Rica 1845 13 November 2014
43  Egypt 1835 31 January 2010
44  Iran 1824 8 June 2005
45  Ukraine 1821 15 November 2013
46  South Korea 1818 22 June 2002
47  Nigeria 1816 5 June 2004
48  Northern Ireland 1809 23 April 1986
49  Senegal 1803 16 June 2002
50  Ghana 1798 3 February 2008

Averages by decade

The table below shows the teams with the best average Elo score per decade (Jan 1 19X0 - Dec 31 19X9). Because the Elo scores take into account past achievements with an inertia of months, the averaging over a decade is more representative of the teams' strengths for a decade starting a few years earlier and ending with the latest results of the decade relatively underweighted. For instance, this partially explains England claiming #3 spot despite missing two WCs in the 70s, boosted by results legacy from the late 60s. Or conversely the surging of France in the late 90s and Spain in the late 00s not being fully reflected in that decade but rather on the subsequent one.

Rank 1920s 1930s 1940s [13] 1950s 1960s
1 1911

 Uruguay

1976

 Argentina

2036

 Argentina

2025

 Argentina

1962

 Brazil

2 1873

 Spain

1970

 Italy

2018

 Italy

1998

 Hungary

1928

 England

3 1859

 Argentina

1899

 Uruguay

1892

 England

1996

 Brazil

1924

 Hungary

4 1843

 Scotland

1868

 Spain

1876

 Brazil

1917

 England

1923

 Argentina

5 1820

 Czechoslovakia

1867

 England

1858

 Spain

1870

 West Germany

1917

 Soviet Union

6 1795

 Denmark

1859

 Austria

1852

 Uruguay

1856

 Uruguay

1887

 West Germany

7 1771

 Brazil

1841

 Scotland

1841

 Scotland

1853

 Italy

1867

 Czechoslovakia

8 1768

 England

1814

 Czechoslovakia

1832

 Germany

1850

 Yugoslavia

1852

 Italy

9 1761

 Hungary

1810

 Brazil

1815

 Hungary

1817

 Austria

1844

 Spain

10 1760

 Austria

1785

 Hungary

1783

 Mexico

1815

 Spain

1840

 Uruguay

11 1739

 Netherlands

1767

 Costa Rica

1768

 Czechoslovakia

1799

 Paraguay

1811

 Yugoslavia

12 1712

 Sweden

1759

 Germany

1766

 Austria

1796

 Sweden

1801

 Scotland

13 1701

 Belgium

1685

 Denmark

1746

 Wales

1791

 Scotland

1796

 Sweden

14 1693

 Italy

1682

 Sweden

1734

 Sweden

1753

 France

1783

 Mexico

15 1676

 Portugal

1678

 United States

1719

 Paraguay

1728

 Peru

1741

 Austria

Rank 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s [14]
1 2059

 Brazil

1975

 Brazil

1998

 Brazil

1999

 Brazil

2077

 Spain

2 2040

 West Germany

1964

 West Germany

1988

 Germany

1984

 France

2054

 Brazil

3 1948

 England

1951

 Soviet Union

1952

 Italy

1966

 Netherlands

2044

 Germany

4 1933

 Italy

1927

 England

1928

 France

1964

 Argentina

2022

 Netherlands

5 1888

 Netherlands

1897

 Argentina

1920

 Netherlands

1955

 Spain

1966

 Argentina

6 1883

 Poland

1890

 Italy

1904

 Spain

1942

 Italy

1915

 England

7 1878

 Soviet Union

1884

 Netherlands

1901

 Yugoslavia[15]

1916

 England

1879

 Uruguay

8 1869

 East Germany

1884

 France

1901

 England

1891

 Germany

1876

 Portugal

9 1861

 Argentina

1847

 Spain

1869

 Argentina

1887

 Portugal

1870

 Chile

10 1851

 Spain

1840

 Poland

1869

 Denmark

1872

 Czechia

1869

 Italy

11 1838

 Czechoslovakia

1820

 Czechoslovakia

1843

 Czechia[16]

1838

 Croatia

1847

 Mexico

12 1831

 Hungary

1819

 Belgium

1836

 Sweden

1825

 Mexico

1845

 France

13 1830

 Yugoslavia

1818

 Yugoslavia

1829

 Croatia

1821

 Denmark

1841

 Croatia

14 1809

 Scotland

1803

 East Germany

1826

 Russia[17]

1807

 Sweden

1836

 Colombia

15 1803

 Portugal

1784

 Uruguay

1825

 Mexico

1800

 Romania

1809

 Sweden

16 1793

 Belgium

1784

 Romania

1813

 Romania

1791

 United States

1808

 Russia

17 1771

 Sweden

1783

 Scotland

1810

 Portugal

1787

 Ireland

1783

 Ivory Coast

18 1766

 Austria

1776

 Sweden

1784

 Colombia

1786

 Turkey

1773

 Ecuador

19 1766

 Romania

1775

 Austria

1777

 Ireland

1783

 Uruguay

1768

  Switzerland

20 1755

 France

1774

 Denmark

1773

 Belgium

1775

 Australia

1765

 United States

Highest rated matches

A list of the 15 matches between teams with the highest combined Elo ratings (the nations' points before the matches are given).

RankCombined
points
Nation 1Elo 1Nation 2 Elo 2ScoreDateOccasionLocation
1 4240  Germany 2180  Argentina 2060 1 : 0 aet 2014-07-13 World Cup F Brazil Rio de Janeiro
 Germany 2200  Argentina 2040 2 : 4 2014-09-03 Friendly[18] Germany Düsseldorf
3 4213  Netherlands 2101  Spain 2112 0 : 1 aet 2010-07-11 World Cup F South Africa Johannesburg
4 4198  Brazil 2100  Germany 2098 1 : 7 2014-07-08 World Cup SF Brazil Belo Horizonte
5 4192  Brazil 2064  Spain 2128 3 : 0 2013-06-30 Confederations Cup F Brazil Rio de Janeiro
6 4161  West Germany 1995  Hungary 2166 3 : 2 1954-07-04 World Cup F Switzerland Bern
7 4159  Netherlands 2051  Brazil 2108 2 : 1 2010-07-02 World Cup QF South Africa Port Elizabeth
8 4151  Brazil 2061  Netherlands 2090 0 : 0 2011-06-04 Friendly Brazil Goiânia
9 4149  West Germany 2069  Brazil 2080 0 : 1 1973-06-16 Friendly West Germany Berlin
10 4135  Netherlands 2075  Argentina 2060 0 : 0 2014-07-09 World Cup SF Brazil São Paulo
11 4130  Spain 2086  Germany 2044 1 : 0 2010-07-07 World Cup SF South Africa Durban
12 4121  Brazil 2051  West Germany 2070 1 : 0 1982-03-21 Friendly Brazil Rio de Janeiro
13 4118  Hungary 2108  Brazil 2010 4 : 2 1954-06-27 World Cup QF Switzerland Bern
14 4116  Hungary 2141  Uruguay 1975 4 : 2 1954-06-30 World Cup SF Switzerland Lausanne
15 4113  West Germany 2079  Netherlands 2034 2 : 1 1974-07-07 World Cup F West Germany Munich

Biggest upsets

A list of the 15 matches with the biggest point exchange.[19] Since the importance of the match, the goal differential and the perceived home team advantage are factored in the point exchange, these are not necessarily the most surprising wins as expressed by the difference in Elo rating[20] The nations' points before the matches are given.

RankPoint
exchange
Nation 1Elo 1Nation 2 Elo 2ScoreDateOccasionLocation
1 95  Sweden 1621  Belgium 1772 8 : 1 1924-05-29 Olympic Games France
2 85  Fiji 1148  New Zealand 1535 4 : 0 1980-02-23 OFC Nations Cup New Caledonia
 Czechoslovakia 1809  Argentina 1964 6 : 1 1958-06-15 World Cup Sweden
4 84  Poland 1583  Hungary 1823 3 : 0 1936-08-05 Olympic Games Germany
5 82  Brazil 2100  Germany 2098 1 : 7 2014-07-08 World Cup Brazil
6 81  Ghana 1598  Czech Republic 1975 2 : 0 2006-06-17 World Cup Germany
 Cambodia 1189  Kuwait 1510 4 : 0 1972-05-14 Asian Cup Thailand
8 79  Paraguay 1596  Uruguay 1986 3 : 0 1929-11-01 Copa América Argentina
9 78  Croatia 1873  Germany 2054 3 : 0 1998-07-04 World Cup France
 Norway 1535  Great Britain 1865 3 : 1 1920-08-28 Olympic Games Belgium
11 77  Uruguay 1785  Brazil 2125 3 : 0 1959-12-12 Copa América Ecuador
 Chile 1540  Uruguay 1893 3 : 0 1937-01-10 Copa América Argentina
13 76  Netherlands 1962  Spain 2088 5 : 1 2014-06-13 World Cup Brazil
 United States 1869  Mexico 1771 0 : 5 2009-07-26 Concacaf Gold Cup United States
 Germany 1851  Norway 1650 0 : 2 1936-08-07 Olympic Games Germany

History

The Elo system, developed by Hungarian-American mathematician Dr. Árpád Élő, is used by FIDE, the international chess federation, to rate chess players, and by the European Go Federation, to rate Go players. In 1997 Bob Runyan adapted the Elo rating system to international football and posted the results on the Internet. He was also the first maintainer of the World Football Elo Ratings web site, now maintained by Kirill Bulygin.

Overview

The Elo system was adapted for football by adding a weighting for the kind of match, an adjustment for the home team advantage, and an adjustment for goal difference in the match result.

The factors taken into consideration when calculating a team's new rating are:

The different weights of competitions in descending order are:

The single difference is Elo giving a special treatment for minor tournaments, while FIFA consider them as friendly matches.

These ratings take into account all international "A" matches for which results could be found. Ratings tend to converge on a team's true strength relative to its competitors after about 30 matches. Ratings for teams with fewer than 30 matches should be considered provisional. Match data are primarily from International Football 1872 – present web site.

Basic calculation principles

The basic principle behind the Elo ratings is only in its simplest form similar to that of a league, unlike the FIFA tables who effectively run their table as a normal league table, but with weightings to take into account the other factors, the Elo system has its one formula which takes into account the factors mentioned above. There is no first step as in the FIFA system where a team immediately receives points for the result, there is just one calculation in the Elo system.

The ratings are based on the following formulae:

R_n = R_o + K G (W - W_e)

or

P = K G (W - W_e)

Where;

R_n= The new team rating
R_o= The old team rating
K= Weight index regarding the tournament of the match
G= A number from the index of goal differences
W= The result of the match
W_e= The expected result
P= Points Change

The number of Points Change is rounded to the nearest integer before updating the team rating.

Status of match

The status of the match is incorporated by the use of a weight constant. The weight is a constant regarding the "weight" or importance of a match, defined by which tournament the match is in, they are as follows;

Tournament or Match typeIndex (K)
World Cup60
Continental Championship and Intercontinental Tournaments50
World Cup and Continental qualifiers and major tournaments40
All other tournaments30
Friendly Matches20

Number of goals

The number of goals is taken into account by use of a goal difference index. G is increased by half if a game is won by two goals, and if the game is won by three or more goals by a number decided through the appropriate calculation shown below;

If the game is a draw or is won by one goal

G = 1

If the game is won by two goals

G = \frac{3}{2}

If the game is won by three or more goals

G = \frac{11+N}{8}

Table of examples:

Goal DifferenceCoefficient of K (G)
01
+11
+21.5
+31.75
+41.875
+52
+62.125
+72.25
+82.375
+92.5
+102.625

Result of match

W is the result of the game (1 for a win, 0.5 for a draw, and 0 for a loss). This also holds when a game is won or lost on extra time. If the match is decided on penalties, however, the result of the game is considered a draw (W = 0.5).

Expected result of match

We is the expected result (win expectancy with a draw counting as 0.5) from the following formula:

W_e = \frac{1}{10^{-dr/400} + 1}

where dr equals the difference in ratings plus 100 points for a team playing at home. So dr of 0 gives 0.5, of 120 gives 0.666 to the higher-ranked team and 0.334 to the lower, and of 800 gives 0.99 to the higher-ranked team and 0.01 to the lower.

Examples

The same examples have been used on the FIFA World Rankings for a fair comparison. Some actual examples should help to make the methods of calculation clear. In this instance it is assumed that three teams of different strengths are involved in a small friendly tournament on neutral territory.

Before the tournament the three teams have the following point totals.

TeamPoints
A630
B500
C480

Thus, team A is by some distance the highest ranked of the three: The following table shows the points allocations based on three possible outcomes of the match between the strongest team A, and the somewhat weaker team B:

Example 1

Team A versus Team B (Team A stronger than Team B)

Team ATeam BTeam ATeam BTeam ATeam B
Score 3 : 11 : 32 : 2
K 202020202020
G 1.51.51.51.511
W 10010.50.5
W_e 0.6790.3210.6790.3210.6790.321
Total (P) +9.63-9.63-20.37+20.37-3.58+3.58

Example 2

Team B versus Team C (both teams approximately the same strength)

When the difference in strength between the two teams is less, so also will be the difference in points allocation. The following table illustrates how the points would be divided following the same results as above, but with two roughly equally ranked teams, B and C, being involved:

Team BTeam CTeam BTeam CTeam BTeam C
Score 3 : 11 : 32 : 2
K 202020202020
G 1.51.51.51.511
W 10010.50.5
W_e 0.5290.4710.5290.4710.5290.471
Total (P) +14.13-14.13-15.87+15.87-0.58+0.58

Note that Team B loses more ranking points by losing to Team C than by losing to Team A.

See also

Notes and references

  1. "World Rankings". Elo. Retrieved 30 March 2015.
  2. "The World Football Elo Rating System". Eloratings.net. Retrieved 26 February 2012.
  3. J. Lasek, Z. Szlávik and S. Bhulai (2013), The predictive power of ranking systems in association football, Int. J. Applied Pattern Recognition1: 27-46.
  4. World Football Elo Ratings Elo.net. Retrieved: 2015-03-28.
  5. "FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking" (Press release). FIFA. 17 July 2014. Retrieved 2015-01-27.
  6. Arpad E. Elo, The Rating of Chessplayers, Past and Present, Arco, 1978. ISBN 0-668-04721-6.
  7. Arpad Elo, Chess Life, 1962.
  8. About the Chessmetrics Rating System, by Jeff Sonas
  9. Representing West Germany from 1949 to 1990
  10. Combined record of the USSR (1970-1992), the CIS (1992), and Russia national football teams (1992-present)
  11. Combined record of the Czechoslovakian (1970-1992) and Czech national football teams (1993-present)
  12. Combined record of Yugoslavia (1970-1992), Serbia and Montenegro (1994-2006) and Serbia national football teams (2006-present)
  13. In the 1940s, most national teams did not play games until after the end of World War II, making comparison of countries for this decade weak. For example, Mexico did not play any matches between Feb 1938 and July 1947, so that the average over the decade mostly reflects the single Elo rating achieved in February 1938
  14. (up to 1 May 2015)
  15. Combined record of Yugoslavia (1990-1992) and FR of Yugoslavia (1994-1999)
  16. Combined record of Czechoslovakia (1990-1992) and Czech national football teams (1993-1999)
  17. Combined record of the USSR (1990-1992), the CIS (1992), and Russia national football teams (1992-1999)
  18. "Germany to play Argentina in September friendly". The Star. 21 March 2014. Retrieved 15 July 2014.
  19. Source: World Football Elo Ratings: Biggest Upsets. Only matches between teams with at least 30 earlier matches each are included to allow a stabilized Elo rating. These criteria just disqualify the 4:0 Turkey:China match at the 1948 Olympic Games and the 7:1 Italy:Spain match at the 1928 Olympic Games, each with an 89 point exchange.
  20. In those terms, most surprising may have been the 2:1 win of Luxembourg (Elo rating 1005) over Switzerland (ER 1767) in a World Cup qualification match in September 2008 (a 762 point difference). In another World Cup qualifier in October 2004 Liechtenstein (ER 1032) held the 839 points higher rated Portuguese team (ER 1871) to a 2:2 draw.

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