United States Senate election in Florida, 2016
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Florida will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Florida, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio openly considered whether to seek re-election or run for President in 2016.[1][2][3] He stated in April 2014 that he would not run for both the Senate and President in 2016, as Florida law prohibits a candidate from appearing twice on a ballot, but did not rule out running for either office.[4] In April 2015, he announced that he was running for President[5] and would not seek re-election.[6][7][8]
Republican primary
In June 2013, former Republican Congressman Allen West said that he may challenge Rubio in the primary[9] and said the same September that he would definitely run for the Senate if Rubio runs for President.[10] However, in November 2014, he moved from Florida to Texas to become CEO of the National Center for Policy Analysis, ending his interest in the race.[11]
Candidates
Potential
- Curt Clawson, U.S. Representative[12]
- Ron DeSantis, U.S. Representative[13][14]
- Anitere Flores, State Senator[15]
- Don Gaetz, State Senator[16]
- Mike Haridopolos, former President of the Florida Senate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[12]
- David Jolly, U.S. Representative[17]
- George LeMieux, former U.S. Senator[17]
- Carlos López-Cantera, Lieutenant Governor of Florida[18][14]
- Connie Mack IV, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[12]
- Bill McCollum, former Florida Attorney General, former U.S. Representative, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000, candidate in 2004 and candidate for Governor in 2010[16]
- John Mica, U.S. Representative[13]
- Jeff Miller, U.S. Representative[13]
- Adam Putnam, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture and former U.S. Representative[15]
- Dennis A. Ross, U.S. Representative[16]
- Ted Yoho, U.S. Representative[12]
Declined
- Jeff Atwater, Chief Financial Officer of Florida[19][14][17]
- Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General[20]
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative[14][21]
- Tom Rooney, U.S. Representative[22][23][24]
- Marco Rubio, incumbent Senator (running for President)[6][7][8]
- Joe Scarborough, former U.S. Representative[25]
- Will Weatherford, former Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives[26]
- Daniel Webster, U.S. Representative[27]
- Allen West, former U.S. Representative[11]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan |
Ron DeSantis |
Don Gaetz |
David Jolly |
George LeMieux |
Carlos López-Cantera |
Bill McCollum |
Tom Rooney |
Undecided |
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Mason-Dixon | Apr. 14–16, 2015 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 20% | 5% | 48% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jeff Atwater |
Pam Bondi |
Carlos López-Cantera |
Adam Putnam |
Allen West |
Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling | March 19–22, 2015 | 425 | ± 4.8% | 12% | 25% | 8% | — | 38% | 18% |
41% | — | 15% | — | — | 43% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | February 24–25, 2015 | 513 | ± 4% | 9% | 36% | — | 12% | — | 43% |
Public Policy Polling | September 4–7, 2014 | 818 | ± 3.4% | 17% | 38% | — | 16% | — | 29% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Pam Keith, attorney, former Judge Advocate in the U.S. Navy, and daughter of former Ambassador Kenton Keith[28][29]
- Patrick Murphy, U.S. Representative[30]
Potential
- Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative[31]
- Buddy Dyer, Mayor of Orlando[15]
- Dan Gelber, former Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives, former State Senator and nominee for Florida Attorney General in 2010[32]
- Gwen Graham, U.S. Representative[33][31]
- Alan Grayson, U.S. Representative[34][31]
- Phil Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach[35]
Declined
- Bob Buckhorn, Mayor of Tampa[15][36]
- Charlie Crist, former Republican Governor of Florida, Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and Democratic nominee for Governor in 2014[37]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[38]
- Andrew Gillum, Mayor of Tallahassee[39][40]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Representative and Chair of the Democratic National Committee (running for re-election)[41]
Endorsements
Patrick Murphy |
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Not endorsing |
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Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Alan Grayson |
Patrick Murphy |
Undecided |
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Mason-Dixon | April 14–16, 2015 | 400 | ± 5% | 14% | 23% | 63% |
Public Policy Polling | March 19–22, 2015 | 371 | ± 5.1% | 22% | 21% | 56% |
General election
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carlos López-Cantera (R) |
Alan Grayson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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Quinnipiac University | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,087 | ± 3% | 33% | 32% | 1% | 34% |
Public Policy Polling | March 19–22, 2015 | 923 | ± 3.2% | 36% | 40% | — | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Carlos López-Cantera (R) |
Patrick Murphy (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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Quinnipiac University | March 17–28, 2015 | 1,087 | ± 3% | 31% | 35% | 1% | 33% |
Public Policy Polling | March 19–22, 2015 | 923 | ± 3.2% | 34% | 41% | — | 25% |
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See also
References
- ↑ Rubin, Jennifer (August 5, 2013) "Prepping for 2016: Marco Rubio", The Washington Post. Retrieved August 5, 2013.
- ↑ Feldmann, Linda (September 4, 2013) "2016 contenders: Why Syria is tough for GOP's Marco Rubio", Christian Science Monitor. Retrieved September 7, 2013.
- ↑ Sink, Justin (September 6, 2013) "Rubio to tackle future of US, GOP", The Hill. Retrieived September 7, 2013.
- ↑ Berman, Matt (April 2, 2014). "Marco Rubio Won't Run for Senate in 2016 if He Runs for President". National Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
- ↑ Parker, Ashley. "Marco Rubio Announces 2016 Presidential Bid". The New York Times.
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 "Marco Rubio tells donors he's running for president in 2016". CBS News. April 13, 2015. Retrieved April 13, 2015.
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Steve Benen (April 13, 2015). "Marco Rubio rolls the dice". MSNBC. Retrieved April 13, 2015.
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 David M. Drucker (April 13, 2015). "Marco Rubio jumps in, will leave Senate". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved April 13, 2015.
- ↑ John Matthews (June 19, 2013). "WMAL EXCLUSIVE: Allen West Challenges Marco Rubio On Immigration; Won't Rule Out 2016 Primary Bid". WMAL. Retrieved November 29, 2014.
- ↑ Alex Leary (September 26, 2013). "Allen West: If Rubio runs for president 'of course' I would run for Senate". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved October 22, 2013.
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Anthony Man (November 10, 2014). "It's goodbye for Allen West, who's leaving Florida". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 Henderson, Jeff (February 26, 2015). "Florida Politicians on Standby Until Marco Rubio Makes Up his Mind for 2016". Sunshine State News. Retrieved February 27, 2015.
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 13.2 Kamisar, Ben (March 9, 2015). "DeSantis opens door to Senate bid". The Hill. Retrieved March 9, 2015.
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 14.2 14.3 Alex Leary (March 19, 2015). "Vern Buchanan and Will Weatherford in no rush to decide on U.S. Senate". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved March 19, 2015.
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 Alexis Levinson (December 22, 2014). "How Jeb Bush Affects the Florida Senate Race". Roll Call. Retrieved December 26, 2014.
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 16.2 Manjarres, Javier (April 15, 2015). "Former Florida AG Bill McCollum Calling Around About 2016 Senate Seat". The Shark Tank. Retrieved April 15, 2015.
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 17.2 Marc Caputo (April 11, 2015). "Florida surprise: Jeff Atwater won't run for Marco Rubio seat". Politico. Retrieved April 11, 2015.
- ↑ Tim Elfrink (January 12, 2015). "Rick Scott Really Does Want to Run for President". The New Miami Times. Retrieved January 12, 2015.
- ↑ Adam C. Smith (September 19, 2014). "Fla Insider Poll: Adam Putnam overwhelmingly favored as next GOP gov nominee". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
- ↑ Caputo, Marc (April 7, 2015). "I've said a few times Pam Bondi is not likely to run for US Senate in 16. Now she confirms: "I am not running for the U.S. Senate seat....". Twitter. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
- ↑ Jeremy Wallace (April 30, 2015). "Exclusive: Buchanan out of U.S. Senate race". Sarasota Herald-Tribune. Retrieved April 30, 2015.
- ↑ Jeremy Wallace (February 6, 2015). "Buchanan could make Senate bid". Retrieved February 6, 2015.
- ↑ Bennett, George (April 6, 2015). "Could Florida’s U.S. Senate race come down to Tcoast face-off?". The Palm Beach Post. Retrieved April 6, 2015.
- ↑ Bennett, George (April 20, 2015). "Florida Republican Rep. @TomRooney decides against 2016 U.S. Senate run.". Twitter. Retrieved April 20, 2015.
- ↑ Scarborough, Joe (April 4, 2015). "Commuting thoughts of a run". Politico. Retrieved April 4, 2015.
- ↑ Leary, Alex (April 15, 2015). "Will Weatherford won't run for U.S. Senate". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved April 15, 2015.
- ↑ Fineout, Gary (March 31, 2015). "BREAKING @RepWebster is not running for US Senate in 16. Oh, wait. He never said he was interested. Never mind.". Twitter. Retrieved March 31, 2015.
- ↑ "LISTEN: First Democratic Candidate Has Jumped into Florida Senate Race". WJNO. February 25, 2015. Retrieved February 26, 2015.
- ↑ "Allison Tant's Black Women Woes Continue with Senate Candidate Pam Keith". Sunshine State News. March 27, 2015. Retrieved April 15, 2015.
- ↑ Marc Caputo (March 23, 2015). "Florida’s Patrick Murphy running for Marco Rubio’s Senate seat". Politico. Retrieved March 23, 2015.
- ↑ 31.0 31.1 31.2 Hamby, Peter (March 11, 2015). "Charlie Crist considering Florida Senate bid in 2016". CNN. Retrieved March 11, 2015.
- ↑ Henderson, Jeff (February 11, 2015). "The Bloom is Starting to Come Off Dan Gelber". Sunshine State News. Retrieved February 11, 2015.
- ↑ George Bennett (November 8, 2014). "Wave-defying Democrat Murphy for Senate in 2016? Pollster says ‘kind of absurd, but…’". The Palm Beach Post. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
- ↑ Jonathan Easley (February 3, 2015). "Grayson eyes Florida Senate seat". The Hill. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
- ↑ Marc Caputo (February 17, 2015). "Debbie Wasserman Schultz considering 2016 Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved February 17, 2015.
- ↑ Richard Danielson (February 15, 2015). "Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn working to raise statewide profile". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved February 15, 2015.
- ↑ Caputo, Marc; Cheney, Kyle (March 16, 2015). "Charlie Crist won't run for Senate". Politico. Retrieved March 16, 2015.
- ↑ Man, Anthony (March 19, 2015). "Ted Deutch decides against U.S. Senate race". Sun-Sentinel. Retrieved March 22, 2015.
- ↑ Powers, Scott (January 25, 2015). "All eyes on Rubio as 2016 U.S. Senate talk begins". Orlando Sentinel. Retrieved January 26, 2015.
- ↑ 40.0 40.1 40.2 Rossman, Sean (April 9, 2015). "Gillum, Williams endorse Murphy for U.S. Senate". Tallahassee Democrat. Retrieved April 10, 2015.
- ↑ Man, Anthony (March 17, 2015). "Wasserman Schultz decides against running for U.S. Senate". Sun-Sentinel. Retrieved March 17, 2015.
- ↑ 42.0 42.1 42.2 42.3 42.4 42.5 42.6 42.7 42.8 42.9 42.10 42.11 42.12 42.13 42.14 42.15 42.16 42.17 42.18 42.19 42.20 42.21 42.22 42.23 Ray, Ryan (April 30, 2015). "Patrick Murphy announces endorsements by almost half of Democratic state lawmakers". Retrieved April 30, 2015.
- ↑ Bennett, George (April 7, 2015). "Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn endorses Patrick Murphy Senate bid; liberals renew criticism". Retrieved April 7, 2015.
- ↑ Perry, Mitch (March 25, 2015). "Charlie Crist endorses Patrick Murphy for Democratic nomination for Senate in 2016". Retrieved March 25, 2015.
- ↑ Ammann, Phil (March 23, 2015). "Ted Deutch endorses Patrick Murphy in Senate bid". SaintPetersBlog. Retrieved March 23, 2015.
- ↑ Derby, Kevin (March 30, 2015). "Lois Frankel Backs Patrick Murphy for Senate". Sunshine State News. Retrieved March 30, 2015.
- ↑ Derby, Kevin (March 23, 2015). "Alcee Hastings Endorses Patrick Murphy for Senate". Sunshine State News. Retrieved March 26, 2015.
- ↑ Leary, Alex (April 21, 2015). "Sink endorses Patrick Murphy, as establishment coalesces around him". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved April 21, 2015.
- ↑ Mazzei, Patricia (April 6, 2015). "Frederica Wilson endorses Patrick Murphy for Senate". Miami Herald. Retrieved April 6, 2015.
- ↑ Leary, Alex (March 24, 2015). "Bill Nelson says he'll stay out of Senate primary but praises Patrick Murphy". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
External Links
- Official campaign websites
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