United Kingdom general election, 2015 (Wales)
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The United Kingdom general election, 2015, will be held on 7 May 2015 and all 40 seats in Wales will be contested.
Target seats
Labour
- Cardiff North, Conservative, 0.4%
- Arfon, Plaid Cymru, 5.6%
Liberal Democrats
- Swansea West, Labour, 1.4%
- Montgomeryshire, Conservative, 3.5%
- Newport East, Labour, 4.8%
Conservative
Plaid Cymru
- Ynys Mon, Labour, 7.1%
Opinion polling
|
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client |
Sample size |
Lab |
Lead | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2015 | Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One | |||||||||
| 13–15 April 2015 | YouGov/ITV/Cardiff University | 1,143 | 12% | 40% | 26% | 6% | 13% | 4% | <0.5% | 14% |
| 2 Apr 2015 | Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV | |||||||||
| 26–31 Mar 2015 | YouGov/The Sun | 1,035 | 9% | 40% | 27% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 13% |
| 30 Mar 2015 | Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign | |||||||||
| 24–27 Mar 2015 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,189 | 11% | 40% | 25% | 5% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 15% |
| 26 Mar 2015 | First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4 | |||||||||
| 5–9 Mar 2015 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,279 | 10% | 39% | 25% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 14% |
| 19–21 Jan 2015 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,036 | 10% | 37% | 23% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
| 8–13 Jan 2015 | ICM/BBC Wales | 1,004 | 12% | 38% | 21% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 17% |
| 2–3 Dec 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,131 | 11% | 36% | 23% | 5% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 13% |
| 19–22 Sep 2014 | ICM/BBC Wales | 1,006 | 13% | 39% | 23% | 5% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
| 8–11 Sep 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,025 | 11% | 38% | 23% | 6% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 15% |
| 26 Jun–1 Jul 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,035 | 11% | 41% | 25% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
| 22 May 2014 | European Parliament Elections, 2014 | |||||||||
| 12–14 May 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,092 | 11% | 43% | 22% | 7% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 21% |
| 11–22 Apr 2014 | YouGov/University of Cardiff | 1,027 | 11% | 45% | 24% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 21% |
| 21-24 Feb 2014 | ICM/BBC Wales | 1,000 | 15% | 45% | 24% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
| 10–12 Feb 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,250 | 11% | 47% | 22% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
| 2–4 Dec 2013 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,001 | 12% | 46% | 21% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
| 18–22 Jul 2013 | YouGov | 1,012 | 9% | 48% | 23% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
| 18–20 Feb 2013 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,007 | 10% | 51% | 22% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 29% |
| 2–4 Jul 2012 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,000 | 10% | 54% | 23% | 4% | 9% | 21% | ||
| 3 May 2012 | Welsh Local Elections, 2012 | |||||||||
| 12–16 Apr 2012 | YouGov | 1,039 | 12% | 50% | 23% | 7% | 9% | 27% | ||
| 30 Jan–1 Feb 2012 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,008 | 11% | 50% | 25% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 25% |
| 5 May 2011 | Welsh Assembly Election, 2011 | |||||||||
| 2–4 May 2011 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,010 | 10% | 50% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
| 6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 1,466,690 | 11.3% | 36.2% | 26.1% | 20.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 10% |
Endorsements
The following Welsh organisations and media endorsed various parties and candidates