United Kingdom general election, 2015 (England)
United Kingdom general election, 2015
![England](../I/m/Flag_of_England.svg.png)
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The United Kingdom general election, 2015, will be held on 7 May 2015 across 533 constituencies within England.
Political context
The general election will be fought in the aftermath of the UKIP winning the 2014 European elections in England the first time neither Labour or Conservative were not the largest winning party to win an election and Scotland rejecting Scottish independence. Since 2010, a number of changes have occurred. Two Conservative MP's defected to UKIP whilst George Galloway of the Respect Party won the Bradford West by-election, 2012 from Labour.
Contesting parties
Since 2010, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have been in coalition with Labour being the main opposition and going into the election the Conservatives hold the majority of English seats.
Campaign events
- 31 March: First official day of the election campaign
- 13 April: Labour Party launched its manifesto [1]
- 14 April: Conservative Party and Green Party launched their manifestos
- 15 April: UKIP and the Liberal Democrats launched their manifestos
Target Seats
Green Party
Norwich South (Liberal Democrats), 7.20%
Respect Party
Birmingham Hall Green, Labour, 3.9%
Conservative Party
Opinion polling
Date(s) conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
27–28 Apr 2015 | ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail | 872 | 36% | 36% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 2% | Tied |
25–27 Apr 2015 | BMG/May2015.com | 877 | 39% | 31% | 11% | 15% | 4% | <0.5% | 8% |
24–26 Apr 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 870 | 37% | 32% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 5% |
24–26 Apr 2015 | ICM/The Guardian[5] | 863 | 39% | 32% | 7% | 15% | 6% | <0.5% | 7% |
24–25 Apr 2015 | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 879 | 36% | 31% | 9% | 20% | 4% | <0.5% | 5% |
21–24 Apr 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,668 | 36% | 33% | 9% | 15% | 7% | 1% | 3% |
22–23 Apr 2015 | Survation/Daily Mirror | 1,072 | 36% | 29% | 10% | 20% | 5% | <0.5% | 7% |
21–22 Apr 2015 | ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail | 890 | 39% | 34% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
17–19 Apr 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 863 | 36% | 33% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
17–19 Apr 2015 | ICM/The Guardian[5] | 863 | 38% | 35% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
16–17 Apr 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,655 | 38% | 32% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 6% |
16–17 Apr 2015 | Survation/Daily Mirror | 986 | 35% | 34% | 8% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
16 Apr 2015 | Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One |
12–15 Apr 2015 | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 600 | 35% | 37% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 2% |
10–12 Apr 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 870 | 34% | 36% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 2% |
10–12 Apr 2015 | ICM/The Guardian[5] | 900 | 41% | 35% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 1% | 6% |
8–9 Apr 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,626 | 39% | 35% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 4% |
8–9 Apr 2015 | Survation/Daily Mirror | 838 | 33% | 36% | 9% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
7–8 Apr 2015 | ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail | 718 | 36% | 35% | 11% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
2–3 Apr 2015 | Survation/Daily Mirror | 856 | 34% | 33% | 9% | 21% | 3% | <0.5% | 1% |
2–3 Apr 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,710 | 35% | 34% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
2 Apr 2015 | Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV |
30 Mar 2015 | Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign |
28–29 Mar 2015 | ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail | 864 | 38% | 32% | 9% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 6% |
27–29 Mar 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 865 | 40% | 34% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 6% |
26 Mar 2015 | First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4 |
24–25 Mar 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,690 | 35% | 34% | 9% | 13% | 7% | <0.5% | 1% |
24–25 Mar 2015 | Survation/Daily Mirror | 851 | 34% | 34% | 8% | 20% | 4% | <0.5% | Tied |
20–22 Mar 2015 | ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail | 864 | 38% | 35% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 3% |
20–22 Mar 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 860 | 36% | 33% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 3% |
20–21 Mar 2015 | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 861 | 31% | 35% | 10% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
18–19 Mar 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,702 | 37% | 33% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 4% |
13–15 Mar 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 863 | 34% | 29% | 8% | 18% | 9% | 3% | 5% |
13–15 Mar 2015 | ICM/The Guardian[5] | 910 | 38% | 37% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
10–12 Mar 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,654 | 35% | 35% | 7% | 15% | 7% | <0.5% | Tied |
8–11 Mar 2015 | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 863 | 34% | 37% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 3% |
6–8 Mar 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 859 | 36% | 31% | 5% | 18% | 9% | 1% | 5% |
3–6 Mar 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,626 | 36% | 33% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
27 Feb–1 Mar 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 860 | 36% | 32% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 4% |
24–26 Feb 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,679 | 35% | 36% | 7% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 1% |
23 Feb 2015 | Survation/Daily Mirror | 921 | 30% | 34% | 10% | 21% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
20–23 Feb 2015 | ComRes/Daily Mail | 865 | 36% | 32% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 2% | 4% |
20–22 Feb 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 867 | 32% | 38% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 6% |
17–20 Feb 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,704 | 36% | 33% | 7% | 16% | 7% | 1% | 3% |
13–15 Feb 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 863 | 31% | 31% | 9% | 18% | 9% | 3% | Tied |
13–15 Feb 2015 | ICM/The Guardian[5] | 860 | 38% | 34% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 4% |
10–12 Feb 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,713 | 35% | 35% | 8% | 15% | 5% | 1% | Tied |
8–10 Feb 2015 | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 844 | 38% | 37% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 0% | 1% |
6–8 Feb 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 860 | 36% | 31% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 1% | 5% |
3–6 Feb 2015 | Opinium/The Observer | 1,947 | 33% | 35% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 2% |
30 Jan–1 Feb 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 857 | 34% | 30% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 4% |
25 Jan 2015 | Survation/Daily Mirror | 890 | 34% | 30% | 7% | 25% | 4% | <0.5% | 4% |
23–25 Jan 2015 | ComRes/The Independent | 852 | 33% | 29% | 9% | 20% | 8% | 1% | 4% |
22–25 Jan 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 859 | 33% | 34% | 5% | 17% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
16–19 Jan 2015 | ICM/The Guardian[5] | 863 | 32% | 35% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 1% | 3% |
16–18 Jan 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 871 | 31% | 27% | 9% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 4% |
11–13 Jan 2015 | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 854 | 35% | 35% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 2% | Tied |
9–11 Jan 2015 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 858 | 37% | 29% | 7% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 8% |
12–16 Dec 2014 | ICM/The Guardian[5] | 861 | 31% | 33% | 11% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
13–15 Dec 2014 | Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 840 | 36% | 31% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
12–14 Dec 2014 | ComRes/The Independent | 897 | 29% | 34% | 12% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 5% |
5–7 Dec 2014 | Lord Ashcroft[4] | 860 | 31% | 31% | 7% | 23% | 6% | 2% | Tied |
6 May 2010 | General Election Results | 25,085,097 | 39.6% | 28.1% | 24.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 11.5% |
Endorsements
=Caroline Lucas, Green candidate for Brighton Pavilion
- Julia Chanteray, President of the Brighton & Hove Chamber of Commerce [6]
- Tom Burke, environmentalist, former Executive Director of Friends of the Earth[7]
- Tony Juniper, activist, writer, environmentalist[8]
- Charles Secrett, author, environmentalist broadcaster[9]
- Russell Brand, comedian, activist [10]
Derek Wall, Green candidate for Windsor
Newspapers
Parties
References