Unevenly spaced time series

In statistics, signal processing, and econometrics, an unevenly (or unequally or irregularly) spaced time series is a sequence of observation time and value pairs (tn, Xn) with strictly increasing observation times. As opposed to equally spaced time series, the spacing of observation times is not constant.

Unevenly spaced time series naturally occur in many industrial and scientific domains: Natural disasters such as earthquakes, floods, or volcanic eruptions typically occur at irregular time intervals. In observational astronomy, measurements such as spectra of celestial objects are taken at times determined by weather conditions, availability of observation time slots, and suitable planetary configurations. In clinical trials (or more generally, longitudinal studies), a patient's state of health may be observed only at irregular time intervals, and different patients are usually observed at different points in time. There are many more examples in climatology, ecology, high-frequency finance, geology, and signal processing.

Analysis

A common approach to analyzing unevenly spaced time series is to transform the data into equally spaced observations using some form of interpolation - most often linear - and then to apply existing methods for equally spaced data. However, transforming data in such a way can introduce a number of significant and hard to quantify biases,[1][2][3][4][5] especially if the spacing of observations is highly irregular.

Ideally, unevenly spaced time series are analyzed in their unaltered form. However, most of the basic theory for time series analysis was developed at a time when limitations in computing resources favored an analysis of equally spaced data, since in this case efficient linear algebra routines can be used and many problems have an explicit solution. As a result, fewer methods currently exist specifically for analyzing unevenly spaced time series data.[5][6][7][8][9][10]

References

  1. ↑ Myron Scholes, Joseph Williams (1977). "Estimating betas from nonsynchronous data". Journal of Financial Economics 5: 309–327. doi:10.1016/0304-405X(77)90041-1.
  2. ↑ Mark C. Lundin, Michel M. Dacorogna, Ulrich A. Müller (1999). "Chapter 5: Correlation of High Frequency Financial Time Series". In Pierre Lequex. The Financial Markets Tick by Tick. pp. 91–126.
  3. ↑ Takaki Hayashi, Nakahiro Yoshida (2005). "On covariance estimation of non-synchronously observed diffusion processes". Bernoulli 11: 359–379. doi:10.3150/bj/1116340299.
  4. ↑ K. Rehfeld, N. Marwan, J. Heitzig, J. Kurths (2011). "Comparison of correlation analysis techniques for irregularly sampled time series" (PDF). Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 18: 389–404. doi:10.5194/npg-18-389-2011.
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 Andreas Eckner (2011). "A Framework for the Analysis of Unevenly-Spaced Time Series Data" (PDF).
  6. ↑ Ulrich A. Müller (1991). "Specially Weighted Moving Averages with Repeated Application of the EMA Operator" (PDF). Working Paper, Olsen and Associates, Zurich, Switzerland.
  7. ↑ Gilles Zumbach, Ulrich A. Müller (2001). "Operators on Inhomogeneous Time Series". International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 4: 147–178. doi:10.1142/S0219024901000900. Preprint
  8. ↑ Michel M. Dacorogna, Ramazan Gençay, Ulrich A. Müller, Richard B. Olsen, Olivier V. Pictet (2001). An Introduction to High-Frequency Finance (PDF). Academic Press.
  9. ↑ Andreas Eckner (2011). "Algorithms for Unevenly-Spaced Time Series: Moving Averages and Other Rolling Operators" (PDF).
  10. ↑ Andreas Eckner (2011). "A Note on Trend and Seasonality Estimation for Unevenly-Spaced Time Series" (PDF).