Swedish general election, 2018
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The next Swedish general election will be held in Sweden on 9 September 2018 to elect the Riksdag.[1][2]
Incumbent parties
The Social Democratic Party (S) is the largest political party in the Swedish Riksdag with 113 of the 349 seats. The Social Democratic Party is the major component of the incumbent Löfven Cabinet along the Green Party. Its current party leader Stefan Löfven has been Prime Minister of Sweden since 3 October 2014, and has said he will seek a mandate to continue his Löfven Cabinet. He called for an extra general election after his cabinet's budget was voted down by the opposition, the first extra general election since 1958.
The Moderate Party (M) is the second-largest party in the Riksdag with 84 seats. It was the largest governing party under Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt from 2006 to 2014. Reinfeldt resigned as party leader after 8 years as Prime Minister. He was succeeded as party leader on 10 January 2015 by Anna Kinberg Batra. The party is involved in the Alliance alongside three other parties, which will seek to return to power together.
The Sweden Democrats (SD) is the third-largest party in the Riksdag with 49 seats. In the 2014 general election the party increased its share of seats by 29, becoming the third-largest party. The party leader is Jimmie Åkesson, however, he is on sick leave; Mattias Karlsson is acting leader. The other Riksdag parties have repeatedly stated that they will not cooperate with the Sweden Democrats in a future government. The extra general election was called following the Sweden Democrats giving their support to the oppositional Alliance budget.
The Green Party (MP) is the fourth-largest party in the Riksdag with 25 seats. The Green Party is the minor component of the Löfven Cabinet, alongside the Social Democrats. It is the only Swedish party to have two spokespersons, currently Gustav Fridolin who serves as Minister for Education and Åsa Romson who serves as Minister for the Environment and Deputy Prime Minister of Sweden. This will be the first time in Swedish history that the Green Party has had its governmental record tested at an election.
The Centre Party (C) was the fifth-largest party in the Riksdag with 22 seats. It was a part of the Reinfeldt cabinet from 2006 to 2014. The party has been led by Annie Lööf since 2011. The party is involved in the Alliance alongside three other parties which will seek to return to power together.
The Left Party (V) is the sixth-largest party in the Riksdag with 21 seats. The current party leader is Jonas Sjöstedt. He has said that the Left Party seeks to participate in a future Red-Green coalition government. The party did not support the Löfven Cabinet as they was rejected to participate in his cabinet following the 2014 general election but supported his budget that was voted down on 3 December 2014.
The Liberal People's Party (FP) is the seventh-largest party in the Riksdag with 19 seats. It was a part of the Reinfeldt cabinet from 2006 to 2014. The party has been led by Jan Björklund since 2007. His leadership is being increasingly criticized within the party. The party is involved in the Alliance alongside three other parties which will seek to return to power together.
The Christian Democrats (KD) is the eighth-largest party in the Riksdag with 16 seats.nIt was a part of the Reinfeldt cabinet from 2006 to 2014. The party has been led by Ebba Busch Thor since 2015. It is involved in the Alliance alongside three other parties which will seek to return to power together. According to opinion polls there is a risk that the Christian Democrats will fail to achieve representation in the next Riksdag.
2014 budget crisis
Prime Minister Stefan Löfven announced in the afternoon of 3 December 2014 that he intended to make the formal arrangements for calling an election on 29 December 2014—the earliest date permitted by the constitution.
The elections were called after the Social Democrat-led government of Löfven lost a vote on the budget by 182 to 153 due to the Sweden Democrats voting with the opposition, leading to a cabinet crisis.[3] It would have been the first extra election since 1958.[4]
An agreement was signed on 26 December 2014 between the Social Democrats, Greens, Moderates, Centrists, Liberals and Christian Democrats, outlining a series of conditions in order to ensure political stability until at least 2022.[5] The agreement included two main provisions:
- The PM candidate who gathers the most support will be elected. This applies to both incumbent and new PM candidates.
- A government in minority will be allowed to have its budget passed, by the abstention of opposition parties who have signed the agreement.
After negotiations between the Government and the Alliance concluded, the extra election was called off on 27 December 2014.
Opinion polls
Graphical summary
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
Parties
| Date | Polling firm | S | M | SD | MP | C | V | FP | KD | Fi | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr - 30 Apr 2015 | Schibsted/Inizio | 27.3 | 24.1 | 16.4 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | |
| 23 Mar - 19 Apr 2015 | Novus | 27.1 | 25.2 | 15.8 | 6.8 | 5.9 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| 20 Apr 2015 | Inizio | 28.8 | 24.4 | 16.3 | 6.1 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 4.4 | |
| 7-16 Apr 2015 | Sifo | 27.4 | 24.7 | 12.5 | 8.9 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 16 Apr 2015 | Sentio | 25.6 | 25.5 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.1 | |
| Apr 2015 | Demoskop | 28.3 | 25 | 15.7 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 3.3 |
| 23 Feb – 22 Mar 2015 | Novus | 31.0 | 24.2 | 15.2 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6.8 |
| 9 –17 Mar 2015 | Ipsos | 30.7 | 24.8 | 12.8 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5.9 |
| 5 –11 Mar 2015 | Sentio | 28.2 | 22.2 | 16.6 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6.0 |
| 24 Feb–4 Mar 2015 | Expressen/Demoskop | 31.3 | 24.1 | 14.2 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 7.2 |
| 26 Jan–22 Feb 2015 | Novus | 30.9 | 23.4 | 15.0 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7.5 |
| 2–12 Feb 2015 | Sifo | 28.9 | 22.1 | 13.0 | 7.9 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 6.8 |
| 5–9 Feb 2015 | YouGov | 30.1 | 21.8 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 8.3 |
| 27 Jan–4 Feb 2015 | Demoskop | 30.6 | 24.3 | 14.0 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 6.3 |
| 12–26 Jan 2015 | Ipsos | 34.3 | 23.2 | 13.1 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 11.2 |
| 12–22 Jan 2015 | Sifo | 29.7 | 24.0 | 13.3 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 5.7 |
| 22 Dec–18 Jan 2015 | Novus | 30.0 | 24.1 | 16.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5.9 |
| 7–16 Jan 2015 | Inizio | 33.0 | 24.8 | 13.6 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 8.2 | |
| 8–13 Jan 2015 | Sentio | 29.7 | 23.7 | 15.8 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 6.0 | |
| 7–8 Jan 2015 | Sifo | 33.3 | 23.1 | 13.4 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 10.2 |
| 30 Dec–7 Jan 2015 | Demoskop | 32.3 | 24.4 | 14.4 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7.9 |
| 19–27 Dec 2014 | YouGov | 30.6 | 23.2 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7.4 |
| 8–18 Dec 2014 | Sifo | 31.0 | 24.5 | 12.9 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 6.5 |
| 11–17 Dec 2014 | Inizio | 30.5 | 27.9 | 13.2 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 | |
| 8–15 Dec 2014 | Ipsos | 32.0 | 26.3 | 12.5 | 6.7 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5.7 |
| 3–14 Dec 2014 | Novus | 32.0 | 23.7 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8.3 |
| 4–10 Dec 2014 | Sentio | 29.7 | 24.5 | 17.5 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 5.2 | |
| 4–10 Dec 2014 | Inizio | 31.0 | 26.9 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 4.1 | |
| 4–5 Dec 2014 | YouGov | 29.6 | 23.1 | 17.7 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 6.5 |
| 25 Nov–3 Dec 2014 | Demoskop | 27.3 | 26.1 | 13.5 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 17 Nov–2 Dec 2014 | Inizio | 29.8 | 24.5 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 5.3 |
| 25–30 Nov 2014 | Sentio | 27.4 | 23.9 | 16.4 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.5 | |
| 29 Oct–25 Nov 2014 | SCB | 32.2 | 24.2 | 12.4 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 8.0 | |
| 13–24 Nov 2014 | Ipsos | 28.5 | 26.5 | 12.5 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 4–24 Nov 2014 | SKOP | 30.7 | 25.3 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5.4 |
| 10–20 Nov 2014 | Sifo | 28.4 | 25.6 | 12.1 | 8.4 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 13 Oct–9 Nov 2014 | Novus | 28.6 | 25.8 | 12.3 | 7.9 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 28 Oct–5 Nov 2014 | Demoskop | 28.3 | 25.1 | 13.8 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| 15–30 Oct 2014 | Inizio | 30.6 | 24.0 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 6.6 | |
| 9–21 Oct 2014 | Ipsos | 30.7 | 24.1 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6.6 |
| 6–16 Oct 2014 | Sifo | 26.6 | 24.7 | 12.4 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | Novus | 30.3 | 24.6 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 5.7 |
| 2–8 Oct 2014 | Sentio | 27.3 | 25.1 | 16.7 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 30 Sep–7 Oct 2014 | Demoskop | 30.3 | 24.1 | 13.3 | 8.1 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6.2 |
| 17–24 Sep 2014 | Ipsos | 30.7 | 24.0 | 12.4 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 6.7 |
| 17–21 Sep 2014 | Demoskop | 31.0 | 24.6 | 12.1 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6.4 |
| 14 Sep 2014 | General Election | 31.0 | 23.3 | 12.9 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 7.7 |
Coalitions/Blocs
| Date | Polling firm | Overall | Above threshold | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S + MP + V | M + C + FP + KD | Lead | S + MP + V | M + C + FP + KD | Lead | |||
| 22 Apr - 30 Apr 2015 | Schibsted/Inizio | 39.2 | 40.9 | 1.7 | 39.2 | 40.9 | 1.7 | |
| 23 Mar - 19 Apr 2015 | Novus | 41.0 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 36.3 | 4.7 | |
| 20 Apr 2015 | Inizio | 41.6 | 39.7 | 1.9 | 41.6 | 36.2 | 5.4 | |
| 7-16 Apr 2015 | Sifo | 42.9 | 40.7 | 2.2 | 42.9 | 36.8 | 6.1 | |
| 16 Apr 2015 | Sentio | 38.6 | 38.7 | 0.1 | 38.6 | 35.2 | 3.4 | |
| Apr 2015 | Demoskop | 41.3 | 40.5 | 0.8 | 41.3 | 36.7 | 4.6 | |
| 23 Feb – 22 Mar 2015 | Novus | 42.8 | 38.9 | 3.9 | 42.8 | 38.9 | 3.9 | |
| 9–17 Mar 2015 | Ipsos | 44.5 | 39.1 | 5.0 | 44.5 | 35.3 | 9.2 | |
| 5–9 Feb 2015 | YouGov | 42.2 | 36.4 | 5.8 | 42.2 | 32.9 | 9.3 | |
| 27 Jan–4 Feb 2015 | Demoskop | 44.0 | 39.3 | 4.7 | 44.0 | 39.3 | 4.7 | |
| 12–26 Jan 2015 | Ipsos | 46.4 | 38.2 | 8.2 | 46.4 | 34.4 | 12.0 | |
| 12–22 Jan 2015 | Sifo | 44.0 | 38.6 | 5.4 | 44.0 | 34.9 | 9.1 | |
| 22 Dec–18 Jan 2015 | Novus | 41.7 | 38.7 | 3.0 | 41.7 | 38.7 | 3.0 | |
| 7–16 Jan 2015 | Inizio | 43.9 | 39.3 | 4.6 | 43.9 | 35.8 | 8.1 | |
| 8–13 Jan 2015 | Sentio | 42.3 | 37.8 | 4.5 | 42.3 | 33.9 | 8.4 | |
| 7–8 Jan 2015 | Sifo | 45.6 | 38.2 | 7.4 | 45.6 | 34.8 | 10.8 | |
| 30 Dec–7 Jan 2015 | Demoskop | 44.2 | 38.6 | 5.6 | 44.2 | 38.6 | 5.6 | |
| 19–27 Dec 2014 | YouGov | 42.3 | 38.1 | 4.2 | 42.3 | 34.4 | 7.9 | |
| 8–18 Dec 2014 | Sifo | 44.3 | 40.0 | 4.3 | 44.3 | 36.3 | 8.0 | |
| 11–17 Dec 2014 | Inizio | 40.7 | 42.9 | 2.2 | 40.7 | 42.9 | 2.2 | |
| 8–15 Dec 2014 | Ipsos | 44.1 | 40.8 | 3.3 | 44.1 | 36.9 | 7.2 | |
| 3–14 Dec 2014 | Novus | 43.3 | 38.5 | 4.8 | 43.3 | 34.6 | 8.7 | |
| 4–10 Dec 2014 | Sentio | 42.0 | 37.6 | 4.4 | 42.0 | 30.0 | 12.0 | |
| 4–10 Dec 2014 | Inizio | 41.1 | 43.4 | 2.3 | 41.1 | 43.4 | 2.3 | |
| 4–5 Dec 2014 | YouGov | 41.2 | 38.0 | 3.2 | 41.2 | 38.0 | 3.2 | |
| 25 Nov–3 Dec 2014 | Demoskop | 41.6 | 41.7 | 0.1 | 41.6 | 41.7 | 0.1 | |
| 17 Nov–2 Dec 2014 | Inizio | 43.5 | 40.6 | 2.9 | 43.5 | 36.9 | 6.6 | |
| 25–30 Nov 2014 | Sentio | 42.3 | 38.6 | 3.7 | 42.3 | 36.3 | 6.0 | |
| 29 Oct–25 Nov 2014 | SCB | 45.1 | 39.2 | 6.3 | 45.1 | 35.5 | 9.6 | |
| 13–24 Nov 2014 | Ipsos | 42.1 | 41.9 | 0.2 | 42.1 | 39.1 | 3.0 | |
| 4–24 Nov 2014 | SKOP | 43.8 | 41.6 | 2.2 | 43.8 | 41.6 | 2.2 | |
| 10–20 Nov 2014 | Sifo | 42.7 | 41.1 | 1.6 | 42.7 | 37.2 | 5.5 | |
| 13 Oct–9 Nov 2014 | Novus | 42.8 | 42.1 | 0.7 | 42.8 | 42.1 | 0.7 | |
| 28 Oct–5 Nov 2014 | Demoskop | 42.4 | 40.3 | 2.1 | 42.4 | 40.3 | 2.1 | |
| 15–30 Oct 2014 | Inizio | 43.8 | 39.7 | 4.1 | 43.8 | 39.7 | 4.1 | |
| 9–21 Oct 2014 | Ipsos | 44.8 | 39.3 | 5.5 | 44.8 | 35.4 | 9.4 | |
| 6–16 Oct 2014 | Sifo | 43.7 | 40.2 | 3.5 | 43.7 | 40.2 | 3.5 | |
| 15 Sep–12 Oct 2014 | Novus | 43.1 | 40.2 | 2.9 | 43.1 | 40.2 | 2.9 | |
| 2–8 Oct 2014 | Sentio | 39.4 | 38.1 | 1.3 | 39.4 | 35.3 | 4.1 | |
| 30 Sep–7 Oct 2014 | Demoskop | 44.4 | 39.3 | 5.1 | 44.4 | 35.4 | 9.0 | |
| 17–24 Sep 2014 | Ipsos | 44.0 | 39.9 | 4.1 | 44.0 | 39.9 | 4.1 | |
| 17–21 Sep 2014 | Demoskop | 43.4 | 40.9 | 2.5 | 43.4 | 40.9 | 2.5 | |
| 14 Sep 2014 | General Election | 43.6 | 39.4 | 4.2 | 43.6 | 39.4 | 4.2 | |
References
- ↑ "Sweden's Prime Minister calls fresh election". Retrieved 3 December 2014.
- ↑ "Veckans Affärer". Veckans affärer. Retrieved 3 December 2014.
- ↑ Sweden election called by Löfven after parliament defeat BBC News, 3 December 2014
- ↑ "Just nu: Regeringskrisen fortsätter". SvD.se. Retrieved 3 December 2014.
- ↑ Agreement
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