Super Bowl indicator
The Super Bowl Indicator is a superstition that says that the stock market's performance in a given year can be predicted based on the outcome of the Super Bowl of that year. It was "discovered" by Leonard Koppett in the '70s when he realized that it had never been wrong, until that point. This pseudo-macroeconomic concept states that if a team from the American Football Conference (AFC) wins, then it will be a bear market (or down market), but if a team from the National Football Conference (NFC) wins, then it will be a bull market (up market).
Data
| Year | Team | League | Conference | Market |
| 2000 | Rams | NFL | NFC | dn |
| 2001 | Ravens | exp | AFC | dn |
| 2002 | Patriots | AFL | AFC | dn |
| 2003 | Buccaneers | exp | NFC | up |
| 2004 | Patriots | AFL | AFC | up |
| 2005 | Patriots | AFL | AFC | dn |
| 2006 | Steelers | NFL | AFC | up |
| 2007 | Colts | NFL | AFC | up |
| 2008 | Giants | NFL | NFC | dn |
| 2009 | Steelers | NFL | AFC | up |
| 2010 | Saints | NFL | NFC | up |
| 2011 | Packers | NFL | NFC | up |
| 2012 | Giants | NFL | NFC | up |
| 2013 | Ravens | exp | AFC | up |
| 2014 | Seahawks | exp | NFC | up |
| 2015 | Patriots | AFL | AFC | ? |
Accuracy
The indicator has been correct 33 out of 41 times, as measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average – a success rate of over 80%.[1][2] However, since a particular football league winning a Super Bowl and the US Stock market have no real connection this is just a coincidence. Therefore there is no reason to expect it will work as a predictor of future bull markets.[3]
See also
References
- ↑ Chris Isidore. "Wall St. bulls should hate the J-E-T-S". CNN Money. Retrieved November 16, 2011.
- ↑ Mikkelson, Barbara & David P. "The Super Bowl Indicator" at Snopes.com: Urban Legends Reference Pages.
- ↑ Template:Don Pepper