Polish parliamentary election, 2015

Polish parliamentary election, 2015
Poland
October 2015
All 460 seats to the Sejm
231 seats are needed for a majority in the Sejm
All 100 seats to the Senate of Poland
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Ewa Kopacz Jarosław Kaczyński Janusz Palikot
Party PO PiS TR
Leader since 8 November 2014 18 January 2003 6 October 2013
Last election 39.2%, 207 seats 29.9%, 157 seats 10.0%, 40 seats
Seats before 202[1] 134[1] 12[1]
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Janusz Piechociński Leszek Miller Janusz Korwin-Mikke
Party PSL SLD KORWiN
Leader since 17 November 2012 20 December 2011 22 January 2015
Last election 8.4%, 28 seats 8.2%, 27 seats Did not exist
Seats before 38[1] 35[1] 1[2]
Prime Minister before election

Ewa Kopacz
PO

 Elected Prime Minister

TBD

Parliamentary elections to both the Senate and the Sejm will be probably held in Poland in October 2015. The previous elections in 2011 resulted in a Civic Platform–Polish People's Party government. All seats of both Houses are up for re-election.

Electoral system

The process of election for the Sejm is through party-list proportional representation via the D'hondt method in multi-seat constituencies,[3] with a 5% threshold for single parties and 8% threshold for coalitions (requirements waived for national minorities).

The election will take place in October, on a date to be set by the President of Poland, Bronisław Komorowski. The latest possible date after the previous election for the election to be held is around 30 October 2015.

Political parties

Opinion polls

In the run up to the election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. The poll results are listed in the table below.

Date Polling Firm PO PiS SLD PSL KNP TR SP [lower-alpha 1] PR [lower-alpha 1] KORWiN Lead
16-22 April CBOS 36% 30% 7% 6% 1% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 6% 6%
14-16 April Estymator 40% 34% 7% 8% - 2% (PiS) (PiS) 4% 6%
11-16 April TNS Poland 35% 30% 6% 6% - 1% (PiS) (PiS) 4% 5%
13 April Millward Brown 35% 31% 7% 5% - 3% (PiS) (PiS) 8% 4%
April IBRiS 36% 31% 8% 6% - 3% (PiS) (PiS) 4% 5%
7-8 April TNS Poland 38% 30% 6% 5% 1% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 4% 8%
7 April IBRiS 38,2% 33,2% 6,3% 5,2% 0,2% 1,7% (PiS) (PiS) 4,8% 5%
30 March Millward Brown 35% 35% 6% 5% - 3% (PiS) (PiS) 5% Tie
27-28 March IBRiS 36,3% 30,2% 6,8% 7% - 1,8% (PiS) (PiS) 5,4% 6,1%
16-18 March Estymator 38% 34% 9% 8% 1% 3% (PiS) (PiS) 5% 4%
13-18 March TNS Poland 30% 32% 8% 5% 1% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 2% 2%
11-18 March CBOS 42% 29% 7% 5% 1% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 3% 13%
16 March Millward Brown 32% 34% 11% 4% - 4% (PiS) (PiS) 4% 2%
12-16 March GfK Polonia 46,1% 34,6% 4,6% 6,7% 1,1% 0,4% (PiS) (PiS) 1,9% 11,5%
13-14 March IBRiS 34,5% 31,3% 8,3% 7,6% 0,3% 0,8% (PiS) (PiS) 2,4% 3,2%
10-11 March TNS Poland 36% 34% 5% 6% 1% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 3% 2%
5-11 March CBOS 46% 27% 6% 5% 1% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 4% 19%
27 February IBRiS 37% 32,8% 7,4% 7,3% 0,9% 1,5% (PiS) (PiS) 3,3% 4,2%
13-18 February Millward Brown 34% 35% 8% 5% 1% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 6% 1%
13-18 February TNS Poland 33% 27% 9% 8% 2% 1% (PiS) (PiS) - 6%
15-17 February Estymator 39% 32% 10% 11% 1% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 4% 7%
16 February Millward Brown 31% 30% 10% 6% 1% 4% (PiS) (PiS) 5% 1%
12-16 February GfK Polonia 38,9% 38% 6,5% 8,9% 0,5% 1,3% (PiS) (PiS) 1,7% 0,9%
5-11 February CBOS 38% 28% 8% 11% 4% 3% (PiS) (PiS) - 10%
4-5 February TNS Poland 34% 32% 7% 9% 1% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 1% 2%
30-31 January IBRiS 34,2% 32,9% 8,4% 7,6% 0,8% 1,6% (PiS) (PiS) 3,5% 1,3%
16-21 January TNS Poland 31% 27% 11% 8% 4% 2% (PiS) (PiS) Did not exist 4%
15-18 January GfK Polonia 38,5% 37,7% 6,3% 8,3% 2,2% 1,5% 0,9% 0,8%
16-17 January IBRiS 35,6% 34,7% 10,2% 7,8% 3,7% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 0,9%
8-14 January CBOS 40% 29% 6% 7% 4% 0% (PiS) (PiS) 11%
12-13 January TNS Poland 33% 33% 8% 6% 3% 1% (PiS) (PiS) Tie
12 January Millward Brown 34% 34% 9% 6% 3% 0% (PiS) (PiS) Tie
2-3 January IBRiS 33,9% 32% 5,9% 6,8% 6,1% 1,9% (PiS) (PiS) 1,9%
2015
18-19 December IBRiS 32,8% 29,8% 5,9% 7,7% 6,1% 1,2% (PiS) (PiS) Did not exist 3%
10-11 December TNS Poland 31% 34% 5% 8% 5% 3% (PiS) (PiS) 3%
4-11 December CBOS 43% 28% 7% 9% 4% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 15%
5-10 December TNS Poland 34% 29% 9% 9% 3% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 5%
4-7 December GfK Polonia 38,2% 40% 7% 7,7% 1% 1,5% 1,7% 1,8%
5-6 December IBRiS 33% 30% 8% 8% 5% - (PiS) (PiS) 3%
20-23 November GfK Polonia 38,2% 35,9% 6,6% 8,1% 3,9% 2,3% 1,6% 2,3%
21-22 November IBRiS 36% 31% 7% 8% 5% - (PiS) (PiS) 5%
18-21 November Millward Brown 33% 30% 10% 9% 3% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 3%
16 November Local election results 26,3% 26,9% 8,8% 23,9% 3,9% 1% [lower-alpha 2] (PiS) (PiS) 0,6%
6-16 November CBOS 38% 27% 9% 8% 4% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 11%
12-13 November TNS Poland 32% 28% 7% 5% 5% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 4%
7-13 November TNS Poland 26% 29% 11% 9% 3% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 3%
10-12 November Estymator 38% 35% 8% 8% 7% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 3%
7-8 November IBRiS 33% 30% 11% 8% 4% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 3%
5 November TNS Poland 32% 27% 9% 5% 5% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 5%
17-18 October IBRiS 33% 33% 9% 5% 4% 1% (PiS) (PiS) Tie
16-19 October Millward Brown 34% 30% 11% 6% 4% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 4%
9-15 October CBOS 34% 34% 9% 6% 7% 2% (PiS) (PiS) Tie
3-8 October TNS Poland 28% 27% 14% 9% 3% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 1%
2-6 October GfK Polonia 37,6% 37,8% 8,4% 7% 3% 1,1% 1,5% 0,2%
3-4 October IBRiS 34% 32% 10% 6% 4% 1% (PiS) (PiS) 2%
2 October TNS Poland 34% 28% 8% 6% 5% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 6%
19-20 September IBRiS 33% 33% 11% 6% 5% 1% 1% 1% Tie
11-17 September CBOS 38% 33% 6% 7% 6% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 5%
5-9 September TNS Poland 27% 31% 10% 7% 5% 4% (PiS) (PiS) 4%
5-8 September GfK Polonia 37,8% 41,5% 7,4% 4,7% 3,9% 1,3% 0,8% 3,7%
4-5 September TNS Poland 34% 28% 9% 5% 5% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 6%
2 September Millward Brown 31% 32% 9% 5% 7% 4% (PiS) (PiS) 1%
19–25 August CBOS 26% 32% 9% 6% 7% 4% (PiS) (PiS) 6%
22-23 August IBRiS 25% 33% 12% 5% 7% 3% 2% 1% 8%
8–14 August TNS Poland 26% 31% 12% 7% 3% 2% (PiS) (PiS) 5%
8–9 August IBRiS 24% 33% 11% 6% 6% 2% 1% 3% 9%
25-26 July IBRiS 25% 36% 9% 4% 6% 2% 1% 3% 11%
25 July GfK Polonia 27,7% 42,4% 9,6% 5,9% 5,4% 2,2% 1,3% 1,1% 14,7%
18 July TNS Poland 23% 35% 8% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% 12%
10–13 July Millward Brown 26% 33% 8% 4% 10% 2% 1% 2% 7%
11-12 July IBRiS 25% 31% 11% 5% 8% 3% 3% 2% 6%
10 July CBOS 29% 24% 8% 6% 6% 2% 1% 2% 5%
27-28 June IBRiS 24% 32% 10% 5% 11% 2% 3% 2% 8%
23 June TNS Poland 24% 31% 8% 5% 10% - - - 7%
17 June Millward Brown 25% 32% 10% 4% 8% 4% 0% 1% 7%
13–14 June IBRiS 28% 32% 9% 7% 5% 2% 3% 2% 4%
6–11 June TNS Poland 28% 36% 10% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 8%
5-11 June CBOS 32% 24% 5% 6% 5% 3% 1% 1% 8%
30-31 May IBRiS 26% 30% 11% 5% 6% 2% 3% 2% 4%
27 May IBRiS 28% 30% 11% 7% 7% 2% 2% 3% 2%
25 May European Parliament election 32,1% 31,8% 9,5% 6,8% 7,1% 3,6% 4% 3,2% 0,3%
24–25 May IBRiS 25% 30% 13% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 5%
9-14 May TNS Poland 25% 32% 9% 6% 3% 5% 1% 2% 7%
7-14 May CBOS 27% 23% 9% 4% 5% 3% 1% 2% 4%
13 May IBRiS 28% 30% 11% 5% 7% 4% 2% 2% 2%
8-10 May IBRiS 29% 29% 12% 5% 6% 3% 3% 2% Tie
29 April IBRiS 26% 28% 12% 6% 5% 4% 2% 3% 2%
24-25 April IBRiS 25% 30% 13% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2%
14 April IBRiS 26% 28% 12% 5% 4% 5% 2% 3% 2%
8 April Millward Brown 31% 29% 8% 7% 6% 7% - - 2%
4–9 April TNS Poland 29% 32% 10% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3%
3–9 April CBOS 28% 21% 7% 5% 5% 1% 1% 3% 7%
2-3 April TNS Poland 31% 30% 12% 6% 6% 6% 3% 3% 1%
1 April IBRiS 28% 31% 11% 5% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3%
20-21 March Estymator 36% 33% 12% 5% 2% 4% 2% 5% 3%
18 March IBRiS 27% 29% 11% 5% 2% 4% 2% 1% 5%
6-12 March CBOS 26% 24% 7% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%
7-8 March IBRiS 25% 30% 11% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 5%
6-7 March TNS Poland 26% 31% 8% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 5%
4 March IBRiS 25% 31% 12% 6% 2% 6% 2% 2% 6%
18 February IBRiS 23% 30% 12% 4% 3% 5% 3% 2% 7%
6-12 February CBOS 25% 26% 8% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
6-7 February TNS Poland 26% 29% 10% 3% 4% 8% 3% 3% 3%
4 February IBRiS 24% 32% 12% 5% 2% 4% 1% 4% 8%
24–26 January Millward Brown 24% 32% 10% 7% 4% 7% 1% 2% 8%
21 January IBRiS 23% 29% 13% 6% 2% 5% 2% 3% 6%
15–16 January Estymator 33,5% 31,6% 13,9% 8,2% 1,9% 3,3% 1,7% 5,4% 1,9%
9–15 January CBOS 24% 25% 8% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1%
10-11 January IBRiS 27% 29% 14% 5% - 2% 0% 3% 2%
6 January IBRiS 24% 29% 12% 6% - 3% 1% - 5%
2014
17 December IBRiS 23% 30% 15% 6% - 3% 2% - Did not exist 7,3%
16 December IBRiS 23,8% 31,1% 14,5% 5% - 4,6% 3% 4% 7,3%
13–16 December TNS Poland 26% 29% 10% 4% 3% 5% 4% 5% 3%
5-12 December CBOS 23% 23% 10% 6% 2% 3% 2% - Tie
6-11 December TNS Poland 23% 28% 9% 4% 3% 6% 3% - 5%
9-10 December Estymator 28,2% 31,5% 13,4% 7,3% 3,9% 5,4% 3% 6,6% 3,3%
9 December Millward Brown 25% 31% 10% 5% - 6% - 6% 6%
5-8 December GfK Polonia 33,8% 39,5% 9,8% 5,8% 2,3% 3,2% 2,4% - 5,7%
3 December IBRiS 19% 32% 15% 6% - 5% 3% - 13%
22-23 November IBRiS 19% 29% 15% 6% 4% 5% 3% - 10%
20-21 November TNS Poland 34% 36% 12% 4% 4% 5% 2% - 2%
8-15 November TNS Poland 22% 31% 12% 5% 2% 5% 3% - 9%
7-14 November CBOS 24% 25% 10% 7% 1% 3% 1% - 1%
8-9 November IBRiS 20% 31% 15% 4% 4% 6% 3% - 11%
25-26 October Millward Brown 27% 35% 9% - 5% 7% - - 8%
22-24 October TNS Poland 41% 32% 11% 3% 3% 5% 2% - 9%
22 October IBRiS 22% 30% 13% 7% - 4% 3% - 8%
18-19 October IBRiS 22% 31% 14% 6% - 5% - - 9%
3-9 October CBOS 22% 28% 8% 6% 4% 4% 2% - 6%
8 October IBRiS 24% 30% 14% 6% - 4% 2% - 6%
20-21 September IBRiS 24% 30% 13% 5% - 5% - - 6%
17 September IBRiS 22% 32% 13% 5% - 6% 4% - 10%
13-15 September Millward Brown 27% 33% 10% 4% 3% 6% 2% - 6%
5-12 September CBOS 25% 23% 10% 6% 2% 5% 0% - 2%
10 September Millward Brown 25% 30% 10% 7% 4% 8% 2% - 5%
10 September IBRiS 20% 31% 15% 5% 3% 2% 3% 4%[lower-alpha 3] 11%
7-10 September TNS Poland 28% 26% 7% 5% 2% 5% 3% - 2%
23-24 August IBRiS 22% 33% 15% 5% - 3% 3% - 11%
13 August TNS Poland 32% 43% 12% 5% 2% 3% 1% - 11%
9 August IBRiS 25,6% 33,8% 14,1% 6,2% 3% 6% 2,2% - 8,2%
2–8 August TNS Poland 25% 29% 10% 5% 3% 5% 4% - 4%
1–12 August CBOS 25% 24% 9% 5% 2% 2% 2% - 1%
6 August IBRiS 24% 35% 15% 5% - 3% 3% - 11%
23 July IBRiS 26% 32% 15% 5% - 3% 4% - 6%
19 July IBRiS 24,7% 30,4% 14,3% 5,1% 0,7% 4,9% 3,3% - 5,7%
12-15 July TNS Poland 34% 40% 13% 2% 1% 6% 2% - 6%
4-11 July CBOS 24% 26% 7% 5% 2% 3% 1% - 2%
5–10 July TNS Poland 26% 30% 9% 4% 2% 5% 2% - 4%
9 July IBRiS 25% 33% 17% 5% - 3% 3% - 8%
3 July Millward Brown 26% 35% 10% 5% - 6% - - 9%
26 June IBRiS 27% 32% 16% 7% - 3% 5% - 5%
21 June IBRiS 26% 31% 15% 6% - 6% - - 5%
12-13 June TNS Poland 32% 39% 9% 6% 3% 2% 2% - 7%
6-12 June CBOS 23% 27% 14% 3% 3% 5% 2% - 4%
11 June IBRiS 26% 32% 15% 4% - 4% 5% - 6%
4–11 June CBOS 24% 26% 7% 5% 2% 3% 2% - 2%
28-29 May Millward Brown 26% 30% 16% 5% 5% 10% - - 4%
28 May IBRiS 27% 30% 14% 4% - 6% 3% - 3%
24 May IBRiS 27% 32% 14% 6% 2% 6% 3% - 5%
11-16 May TNS Poland 25% 28% 12% 4% 3% 8% 3% - 3%
9-15 May CBOS 23% 26% 9% 6% 2% 4% 2% - 3%
10 May IBRiS 26% 28% 13% 7% 3% 5% 3% 3%[lower-alpha 3] 2%
7 May IBRiS 31% 30% 13% 5% - 6% 3% - 1%
26 April IBRiS 30% 31% 13% 6% - 3% 4% - 1%
23 April IBRiS 28% 29% 12% 6% - 6% 5% - 1%
12 April IBRiS 29% 29% 13% 6% 3% 4% 3% - Tie
4–10 April CBOS 25% 23% 8% 6% 2% 2% 3% - 2%
9 April IBRiS 31% 30% 13% 6% - 4% 4% - 1%
18 March IBRiS 32% 31% 15% 5% - 5% 3% - 1%
18 March Millward Brown 28% 28% 11% 6% 4% 10% 1% - Tie
7–13 March CBOS 25% 22% 10% 6% 4% 6% 1% - 3%
8 March IBRiS 32% 28% 14% 7% - 4% 4% - 4%
5 March Millward Brown 32% 31% 9% 6% - 7% 1% - 1%
5 March IBRiS 32% 30% 14% 5% - 6% 4% - 2%
22–26 February TNS Poland 29% 26% 12% 5% 1% 5% 2% - 3%
18 February IBRiS 33% 29% 14% 4% - 3% 5% - 4%
13-14 February TNS Poland 35% 34% 15% 3% 3% 6% 3% - 1%
8–11 February TNS Poland 33% 29% 6% 6% 2% 6% 2% - 5%
8–9 February IBRiS 30% 27% 13% 5% - 4% 5% - 5%
31 Jan - 6 Feb CBOS 25% 24% 7% 8% 2% 5% 3% - 1%
4 February IBRiS 30% 28% 13% 5% - 7% 6% - 2%
30 January IBRiS 29% 30% 13% 7% 3% 7% 2% - 1%
26–27 January Millward Brown 30% 25% 13% 6% - 11% 2% - 5%
22 January IBRiS 31% 29% 11% 8% - 4% 2% - 2%
11–14 January TNS Poland 29% 23% 10% 6% - 7% 4% - 6%
3–9 January CBOS 31% 22% 8% 6% 2% 4% 3% - 9%
8 January IBRiS 29% 31% 13% 7% - 4% 2% - 2%
2013
14-19 December TNS Poland 32% 22% 9% 6% - 6% - - Did not exist 10%
18 December IBRiS 33% 29% 13% 6% - 6% 2% - 4%
8-9 December Millward Brown 33% 28% 8% 6% - 8% - - 5%
5-6 December TNS Poland 36% 31% 14% 6% - 8% 2% - 5%
30 Nov - 6 Dec CBOS 32% 20% 8% 8% 2% 5% 3% - 12%
4 December IBRiS 29% 28% 13% 7% - 4% 3% - 1%
29 November TNS Poland 28% 28% 7% 7% - 8% - - Tie
20 November IBRiS 36% 27% 9% 4% - 4% 3% - 9%
19 November Millward Brown 37% 26% 11% 6% - 9% - - 11%
8–17 November CBOS 34% 18% 9% 7% 2% 4% 3% - 16%
13 November IBRiS 29,4% 30,3% 13,5% 5% - 6,1% - - 0,9%
7-8 November TNS Poland 42% 30% 10% 4% 1% 8% 1% - 12%
6 November IBRiS 31% 30% 11% 6% - 7% 5% - 1%
31 October Millward Brown 33% 29% 10% 4% 2% 6% 4% - 4%
23 October IBRiS 33% 31% 12% 5% - 6% 5% - 2%
16 October TNS Poland 34% 23% 8% 5% 1% 6% 3% - 3%
5-12 October TNS Poland 27% 28% 10% 5% - 7% - - 1%
11 October Millward Brown 27% 30% 12% 5% - 6% 5% - 3%
4–10 October CBOS 28% 24% 8% 5% - 4% 3% - 4%
2 October IBRiS 28% 28% 14% 6% - 5% 5% - Tie
18 September IBRiS 32% 29% 12% 5% - 6% 5% - 3%
5-16 September CBOS 31% 23% 8% 5% 1% 4% 3% - 8%
7-10 September TNS Poland 28% 26% 7% 5% 2% 5% 3% - 2%
4 September IBRiS 31% 27% 13% 5% - 7% 5% - 4%
14-22 August CBOS 36% 22% 8% 6% 2% 5% 2% - 14%
21 August IBRiS 30% 29% 13% 5% - 6% 4% - 1%
2-5 August TNS Poland 29% 24% 7% 4% 2% 7% 3% - 5%
31 July IBRiS 32% 26% 12% 6% - 6% 4% - 6%
17 July IBRiS 34% 25% 13% 6% - 6% 4% - 9%
5-12 July CBOS 32% 25% 9% 4% - 5% 3% - 7%
3 July IBRiS 33% 25% 14% 6% - 5% 5% - 8%
14-20 June CBOS 32% 20% 9% 6% 1% 3% 3% - 12%
19 June IBRiS 33% 23% 14% 7% - 8% 4% - 10%
14-17 June TNS Poland 30% 23% 8% 6% 1% 9% 1% - 7%
5 June IBRiS 29% 28% 11% 6% - 7% 5% - 1%
10-16 May CBOS 27% 21% 12% 7% 2% 7% 3% - 6%
10-13 May TNS Poland 28% 25% 7% 3% 1% 10% 2% - 3%
9-10 May TNS Poland 34% 34% 12% 5% - 9% 3% - Tie
8 May IBRiS 31% 25% 12% 4% - 9% 7% - 6%
13-18 April TNS Poland 30% 25% 7% 3% 2% 9% 4% - 5%
12-18 April CBOS 29% 22% 9% 5% 3% 6% 4% - 7%
17 April IBRiS 30% 27% 12% 5% - 10% 5% - 3%
3 April IBRiS 27% 25% 13% 5% - 12% 6% - 2%
20 March IBRiS 31% 26% 11% 9% - 10% 4% - 5%
16 March Millward Brown 29% 26% 11% 4% 3% 14% 1% - 3%
8-14 March CBOS 29% 23% 8% 8% 2% 8% 3% - 6%
6 March IBRiS 32% 26% 11% 8% - 11% 5% - 6%
1-4 March TNS Poland 29% 22% 9% 5% 1% 12% 2% - 7%
8-9 February Millward Brown 27% 22% 10% 6% 2% 17% 5% - 5%
3-9 February CBOS 33% 19% 8% 7% 2% 9% 3% - 14%
7 February IBRiS 35% 21% 12% 8% - 11% 3% - 14%
2-6 February TNS Poland 28% 26% 9% 5% 1% 10% 2% - 2%
27 January Millward Brown 33% 22% 8% 9% - 13% 2% - 11%
24 January IBRiS 34% 22% 13% 7% - 13% 4% - 12%
19-23 January TNS Poland 37% 22% 6% 4% 1% 8% 1% - 15%
5-11 January CBOS 40% 18% 4% 7% 2% 8% 2% - 22%
10 January IBRiS 36% 23% 11% 7% 2% 9% 4% - 13%
2012
20 December TNS Poland 38% 23% 10% 7% - 11% - - Did not exist 15%
8-11 December TNS Poland 38% 27% 6% 7% - 8% 2% - 11%
6-9 December TNS Poland 34% 26% 7% 7% 1% 6% 2% - 8%
1-8 December CBOS 43% 21% 5% 7% 1% 6% 2% - 22%
1-6 December IBRiS 37% 23% 12% 7% - 10% - - 14%
1-4 December TNS Poland 36% 19% 6% 6% 1% 10% 2% - 17%
30 Nov-1 Dec TNS Poland 43% 23% 9% 5% - 10% 2% - 20%
30 November Millward Brown 37% 25% 8% 7% - 9% 3% - 12%
22-25 November TNS Poland 28% 28% 7% 7% - 8% - - Tie
22 November IBRiS 42% 24% 8% 7% - 11% - - 18%
17-20 November TNS Poland 34% 24% 9% 5% 1% 8% 3% - 10%
4-13 November CBOS 42% 21% 7% 7% 1% 9% - - 21%
4-8 November TNS Poland 42% 22% 7% 5% - 7% - - 20%
5-7 November IBRiS 39% 26% 7% 7% - 11% - - 13%
4-5 November Millward Brown 37% 21% 5% 6% - 10% 9%[lower-alpha 4] - 16%
2-3 November TNS Poland 44% 26% 8% 7% - 10% - - 18%
25 October IBRiS 38% 29% 8% 7% - 13% - - 9%
23 October Millward Brown 39% 27% 7% 8% 2% 12% - - 12%
13-16 October TNS Poland 45% 25% 8% 6% 1% 12% - - 20%
14 October IBRiS 38% 28,6% 4,5% 5,6% 2,4% 12,5% - - 9,4%
9 October 2011 general election 39,2% 29,9% 8,2% 8,4% 1,1% 10% - - 9,3%
2011
Notes
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 Law and Justice, United Poland, and Poland Together have concluded an electoral alliance, and as such are considered a single entity by most pollsters.
  2. ↑ Your Movement did not present lists in all regions in the local elections.
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 In this poll, the people surveyed were asked how they would vote in the hypothetical event of Jarosław Gowin launching his own party.
  4. ↑ In this poll, the people surveyed were asked how they would vote in the hypothetical event of Zbigniew Ziobro launching his own party.

References

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 "Sejm parliamentary groups". Sejm. Retrieved 7 February 2015.
  2. ↑ Gądek, Jacek. "KORWiN to nowa partia Korwin-Mikkego. Z Wiplerem u boku" (in Polish). TVP Info. Retrieved 26 January 2015.
  3. ↑ "Election Resources on the Internet: Elections to the Polish Sejm, Part I". electionresources.org. Retrieved 2014-08-03.