Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 1996

In the run up to the Spanish general election of 1996, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 6 June 1993, to the day the next election was held, on 3 March 1996.

Election polling

National

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date Polling Firm/Source PSOE PP IU CiU PNV Others Lead
3 Mar 1996 General Election 37.6 38.8 10.5 4.6 1.3 7.2 1.2
3 Mar Sigma-2 33.7 41.1 11.4 4.2 1.6 8.0 7.4
3 Mar Eco 34.8 40.2 11.2 4.4 1.4 8.0 5.4
3 Mar Demoscopia 34.7 40.7 11.2 4.6 1.1 7.7 6.0
Exit polls
27 Feb–1 Mar CIS 36.8 39.2 11.5 4.0 0.9 7.6 2.4
25 Feb Metra-6 32.2 41.7 11.9 4.2 1.3 8.7 9.5
24 Feb Sigma-2 31.4 42.3 12.2 4.2 1.5 8.4 10.9
16–22 Feb Inner 36.1 40.6 11.9 4.4 7.0 4.5
17–21 Feb Demoscopia 33.4 42.4 12.3 4.2 1.1 6.6 9.0
12–21 Feb CIS 34.1 41.2 11.4 4.5 1.3 7.5 7.1
19–20 Feb Opina 35.0 41.0 10.5 4.5 1.5 7.5 6.0
19 Feb Metra-6[lower-alpha 1] 32.5 41.5 12.0 4.0 10.0 9.0
11–16 Feb Vox Pública 33.5 41.2 11.7 4.5 1.3 7.8 7.7
1–10 Feb Tábula-V 32.5 44.1 12.8 4.2 0.8 5.6 11.6
7–8 Feb Sigma-2 31.5 41.8 11.9 4.2 1.3 9.3 10.3
3–7 Feb Demoscopia 32.6 41.7 12.8 4.5 1.3 7.1 9.1
5–6 Feb Opina 34.0 40.5 11.0 4.5 1.5 8.5 6.5
29 Jan–5 Feb Tábula-V[lower-alpha 1] 29.8 40.0 14.3 4.9 1.1 9.9 10.2
3 Feb PP 31.5 42.0 13.5 4.2 1.0 7.8 10.5
30–31 Jan Vox Pública 31.8 42.5 12.0 4.4 9.3 10.7
11–31 Jan Gallup 34.5 38.8 12.4 5.0 1.3 8.0 4.3
23–26 Jan Tábula-V 30.0 43.0 11.0 5.5 1.5 9.0 13.0
24–25 Jan Sigma-2 31.4 41.4 12.6 4.0 1.4 9.2 10.0
14 Jan Demoscopia 33.8 40.5 12.2 4.5 1.1 7.9 6.7
10–14 Jan CIS 33.7 40.6 11.0 4.4 1.3 9.0 6.9
10–11 Jan Sigma-2 30.9 40.6 13.0 4.4 1.3 9.8 9.7
8–9 Jan Opina 34.0 39.5 10.5 4.5 1.5 10.0 5.5
7 Jan Gallup 32.7 39.0 12.9 4.6 0.9 9.9 6.3
3–4 Jan Sigma-2 31.2 40.3 13.1 4.6 1.2 9.6 9.1
1996
19–20 Dec Sigma-2 31.5 40.2 13.3 4.7 1.2 9.1 8.7
18 Dec Tábula-V 25.0 41.0 16.0 18.0 16.0
13–14 Dec Sigma-2 30.2 41.3 13.6 4.7 1.2 9.0 11.1
9–14 Dec CIS 33.7 40.5 11.9 5.0 1.3 7.6 6.8
21–23 Nov Imagen & Opinión 32.7 42.4 12.8 4.5 1.2 6.4 9.7
8–13 Nov CIS 32.1 39.4 13.3 5.1 1.3 8.8 7.3
25 Sep–8 Oct PSOE[lower-alpha 1] 32.5 38.5 29.0 6.0
25 Sep–6 Oct Eco 31.0 39.6 12.3 5.1 12.0 8.6
30 Sep–2 Oct Demoscopia 30.0 41.0 29.0 11.0
13–17 Sep CIS 31.9 40.2 12.7 5.2 1.3 8.7 8.3
13–14 Sep Sigma-2 28.3 42.0 14.1 4.7 1.2 9.7 13.7
31 Jul Sigma-2 29.3 41.7 13.5 4.6 1.3 9.6 12.4
12–17 Jul CIS 31.7 41.5 13.0 4.5 1.2 8.1 9.8
25–30 Jun CIS 32.3 42.2 12.0 4.4 1.2 7.9 9.9
8–19 Jun CIS 31.6 41.8 13.3 5.0 1.3 7.0 10.2
25–31 May CIS 32.0 42.6 12.3 4.4 1.3 7.4 10.6
9–16 May Sigma-2 28.2 41.8 14.2 5.1 10.7 13.6
10–15 May Demoscopia 27.0 43.0 15.0 4.7 10.3 16.0
25 Apr–2 May Sigma-2 27.8 42.3 29.9 14.5
19–23 Apr CIS 31.7 41.6 13.0 4.7 1.3 7.7 9.9
19–26 Mar CIS 32.0 40.3 14.0 4.6 1.4 7.7 8.3
4–7 Mar Demoscopia 30.7 38.1 15.5 4.2 1.3 10.2 7.4
22 Feb–2 Mar Sigma-2 28.7 41.0 14.4 5.0 1.3 9.6 12.3
12–17 Feb CIS 32.0 37.0 13.0 5.0 13.0 5.0
2–9 Feb CIS 33.1 39.9 12.8 5.0 1.2 8.0 6.8
20–30 Jan CIS 33.3 39.6 12.4 5.5 1.3 7.9 6.3
2–20 Jan Gallup 30.9 39.6 13.3 5.5 1.4 9.3 8.7
12–17 Jan CIS 33.0 39.4 13.6 4.9 1.3 7.8 6.4
31 Dec–2 Jan Gruppo[lower-alpha 1] 28.0 41.0 17.0 4.7 9.3 13.0
1995
14–19 Dec CIS 34.8 37.1 13.0 5.3 1.3 8.5 2.3
11–13 Dec Demoscopia 30.7 38.2 15.7 15.4 7.5
1–13 Dec CIS 35.5 37.8 12.4 4.8 1.2 8.3 2.3
11 Dec Sigma-2 28.5 40.8 16.3 4.8 1.2 9.6 12.3
28 Nov–2 Dec Tábula-V 24.0 40.0 19.0 17.0 16.0
12–16 Nov CIS 35.1 37.2 12.9 5.0 1.3 8.5 2.1
7–16 Nov OTR 28.2 41.3 15.2 4.9 1.2 9.2 13.1
19–24 Oct CIS 35.3 37.4 12.1 5.0 1.5 8.7 2.1
5–6 Oct Gruppo[lower-alpha 1] 31.5 40.5 14.5 4.5 9.0 9.0
29 Sep–1 Oct Opina 35.0 37.0 15.0 5.0 1.5 6.5 2.0
26–30 Sep OTR 29.8 39.6 14.7 4.9 1.4 9.6 9.8
5 Sep Sigma-2 29.6 41.2 14.3 4.9 1.5 8.5 11.6
27 Jun–13 Jul OTR 28.4 41.6 14.7 5.1 1.2 9.0 13.2
1–5 Jul CIS 31.1 40.2 14.9 4.5 1.3 8.0 9.1
12 Jun 1994 EP Election 30.8 40.1 13.4 4.7 1.3 9.7 9.3
3–4 Jun Sigma-2 30.6 40.2 13.7 15.5 9.6
31 May–2 Jun Vox Pública 30.5 40.7 15.2 4.1 9.5 10.2
30 May–1 Jun Opina 34.0 39.0 14.0 5.0 1.5 6.5 5.0
28–30 May Gruppo 31.1 39.2 14.4 5.0 10.3 8.1
7–10 May Gruppo 31.7 38.5 14.0 4.7 11.1 6.8
8–11 Apr Opina 36.0 38.0 12.0 5.0 1.5 7.5 2.0
3 Apr OTR 34.5 37.8 11.6 16.1 3.3
23–24 Mar Sigma-2 34.4 37.7 11.2 4.5 12.2 3.3
19 Jan Iope-Etmar 31.0 36.2 11.0 5.7 1.4 14.7 5.2
2 Jan Sigma-2 36.0 36.5 11.6 4.8 1.3 9.8 0.5
1994
6 Jun 1993 General Election 38.8 34.8 9.6 4.9 1.2 10.7 4.0

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

176 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm/Source PSOE PP IU CiU PNV Others
3 Mar 1996 General Election 141 156 21 16 5 11
3 Mar Sigma-2 120 / 132 164 / 174 22 / 25 13 / 14 6 / 7 11
3 Mar EcoConsulting 125 / 135 160 / 171 22 / 25 14 / 15 6 / 7 9 / 11
3 Mar Demoscopia 124 / 131 167 / 174 19 / 24 14 / 15 5 / 6 11 / 12
Exit polls
25 Feb Metra-6 116 / 130 173 / 181 20 / 27 14 / 16 5 / 6 7 / 12
24 Feb Sigma-2 113 / 123 170 / 179 25 / 29 14 / 15 6 / 7 7 / 8
16–22 Feb Inner 136 / 142 158 / 166 21 / 22 14 / 15 5 7
17–21 Feb Demoscopia 118 / 128 170 / 178 24 / 27 13 / 15 5 / 6 8 / 9
19–20 Feb Opina 135 / 145 160 / 170 19 / 21 14 / 15 5 / 6 7 / 8
19 Feb Metra-6 120 / 128 170 / 175 23 / 29 14 5 8 / 10
11–16 Feb Vox Pública 119 / 129 165 / 175 18 / 27 14 / 16 5 7 / 11
14 Feb ABC 118 / 119 172 30 / 31 13 7 9
1–10 Feb Tábula-V 117 / 125 176 / 184 22 / 28 13 / 14 4 / 5 6 / 8
5–6 Feb Opina 135 / 140 160 / 170 19 / 21 13 / 15 5 / 6 6 / 8
29 Jan–5 Feb Tábula-V 108 / 123 168 / 172 24 / 35 15 / 17 5 / 6 9
23–26 Jan Tábula-V 117 181 22 18 4 8
10–11 Jan Sigma-2 115 / 120 167 / 174 27 / 30 15 / 17 5 11 / 14
8–9 Jan Opina 135 / 145 155 / 165 20 / 22 14 / 16 4 / 5 9 / 10
3–4 Jan Sigma-2 115 / 120 165 / 173 29 / 30 16 / 17 5 10 / 12
1996
19–20 Dec Sigma-2 115 / 123 165 / 173 29 / 30 16 / 17 5 8 / 11
21–23 Nov Imagen & Opinión 127 172 25 14 5 7
9–16 May Sigma-2 106 177 33 18 5 11
25 Apr–2 May Sigma-2 107 175 68
22 Feb–2 Mar Sigma-2 110 170 35 18 5 12
31 Dec–2 Jan Gruppo 110 / 119 162 / 170 30 / 34 14 / 17 21 / 23
1995
12 Jun 1994 EP Election (115) (170) (30) (19) (5) (11)
1994
6 Jun 1993 General Election 159 141 18 17 5 10

Voting preference

Direct Vote Intention (IDV)

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date Polling Firm/Source PSOE PP IU CiU PNV Others No
party		 Undec.
3 Mar 1996 General Election 29.0 29.9 8.1 3.5 1.0 5.9 22.6 0.0
27 Feb–1 Mar CIS 26.7 23.9 9.5 3.1 0.7 6.0 5.4 24.7
12–21 Feb CIS 24.2 25.6 9.3 3.6 0.8 5.8 6.6 24.1
17 Feb ASEP 26.0 22.4 10.0 10.1 6.3 25.2
15–20 Jan ASEP 24.5 25.1 10.0 10.8 7.7 21.9
10–14 Jan CIS 24.2 25.8 8.5 2.9 1.0 7.5 7.3 22.8
1996
11–16 Dec ASEP 22.5 25.2 11.4 9.4 9.3 22.2
9–14 Dec CIS 24.4 25.4 10.1 2.7 0.6 6.9 7.6 22.3
13–17 Nov ASEP 22.4 23.4 10.6 10.9 9.9 22.8
8–13 Nov CIS 20.6 21.3 10.1 3.4 0.9 8.7 8.2 26.8
17–22 Oct CIS 21.0 24.1 11.1 3.3 0.6 7.0 8.3 24.6
16–21 Oct ASEP 19.0 22.0 11.8 11.7 11.3 24.2
30 Sep–2 Oct Demoscopia 16.4 22.8 9.4 2.8 10.4 38.2
18–23 Sep ASEP 19.8 24.2 9.3 11.9 11.4 23.4
13–17 Sep CIS 20.0 23.2 10.3 3.3 0.7 6.1 8.7 27.7
9 Jul Demoscopia 14.7 26.8 58.5
3–8 Jul ASEP 23.0 29.5 12.3 13.3 6.4 15.5
25–30 Jun CIS 19.8 27.5 10.3 2.9 0.8 7.3 6.6 24.8
8–19 Jun CIS 22.7 27.6 11.0 3.4 0.9 5.2 5.7 23.5
5–10 Jun ASEP 21.7 26.1 11.4 14.3 6.6 19.9
25–31 May CIS 21.6 27.1 10.4 3.2 0.8 6.4 6.8 23.7
8–13 May ASEP 23.6 23.7 10.6 10.3 8.4 23.4
19–23 Apr CIS 19.0 25.4 11.6 2.7 0.9 6.7 9.1 24.6
21 Apr Demoscopia 14.3 33.3 52.4
4–18 Apr CIS 19.7 21.7 10.1 3.2 1.0 7.4 7.8 29.1
3–8 Apr ASEP 22.2 22.9 12.2 12.1 10.7 19.9
19–26 Mar CIS 21.1 24.9 12.3 2.8 1.2 6.8 8.7 22.2
6–11 Mar ASEP 20.9 23.9 14.3 11.9 9.3 19.7
8–9 Mar CIS 15.1 23.0 12.9 4.3 1.2 16.7 8.2 18.6
4–7 Mar Demoscopia 19.6 26.5 53.9
2–13 Feb CIS 22.4 20.4 10.6 3.2 0.9 7.4 10.2 24.9
9–11 Feb CIS 19.2 23.5 11.7 3.0 0.4 6.7 9.9 25.6
6–11 Feb ASEP 21.1 22.0 15.6 11.9 8.8 20.6
2–9 Feb CIS 21.0 21.9 10.4 3.3 0.8 6.9 8.8 26.9
20–30 Jan CIS 17.0 19.8 9.3 3.2 0.8 5.8 10.9 33.2
12–17 Jan CIS 23.2 21.6 11.4 3.4 1.2 6.5 9.2 23.5
9–14 Jan ASEP 20.8 20.2 13.3 11.2 12.3 22.2
1995
14–19 Dec CIS 18.9 19.5 11.8 3.3 0.9 6.2 10.0 29.4
1–13 Dec CIS 22.2 22.7 10.3 3.1 0.7 6.4 9.4 25.2
5–10 Dec ASEP 27.0 20.2 10.8 10.6 11.5 19.9
19–24 Nov CIS 19.3 15.4 8.6 2.5 0.8 7.3 14.1 32.0
12–16 Nov CIS 21.5 20.9 9.9 3.1 0.5 7.1 11.0 26.0
7–12 Nov ASEP 21.0 22.0 13.2 12.0 12.8 19.0
19–24 Oct CIS 19.6 20.0 9.1 3.3 0.8 7.3 11.3 28.6
10–15 Oct ASEP 20.6 21.2 12.1 13.2 11.3 21.6
2 Oct Demoscopia 20.2 20.0 8.1 11.9 39.8
20–26 Sep CIS 21.9 20.9 11.8 3.8 1.2 6.3 10.1 24.0
12–17 Sep ASEP 21.3 22.7 12.3 11.0 11.9 20.8
5–11 Sep CIS 18.8 20.4 9.6 2.9 0.5 5.2 10.9 31.7
11–16 Jul ASEP 21.0 22.9 14.2 12.9 10.2 18.8
1–5 Jul CIS 20.4 26.2 12.4 3.4 1.1 6.3 9.5 20.7
3 Jul Demoscopia 20.1 25.7 13.3 12.3 28.6
13–18 Jun ASEP 20.3 25.6 13.1 13.4 7.1 20.5
16–21 May ASEP 22.1 19.0 13.1 14.5 10.3 21.0
7–9 May CIS 16.8 20.3 8.2 2.6 0.2 11.0 9.0 31.9
18–22 Apr ASEP 19.3 22.6 12.4 12.1 12.7 20.9
6–11 Apr CIS 18.1 19.1 8.9 2.8 0.5 5.7 14.0 30.9
27 Mar Demoscopia 17.2 22.0 9.2 51.6
18–24 Mar CIS 18.4 18.2 8.8 2.9 0.4 4.7 9.5 37.1
14–19 Mar ASEP 21.0 21.2 10.0 12.4 10.5 24.9
22–28 Feb CIS 19.3 21.1 7.7 3.4 0.8 5.1 11.2 31.4
14–19 Feb ASEP 18.8 23.3 12.4 13.4 12.3 19.8
17–21 Jan ASEP 21.3 20.8 10.5 14.5 12.3 20.6
12–17 Jan CIS 21.6 20.2 7.6 3.2 0.7 4.5 9.8 32.4
1994
16–21 Dec CIS 18.5 18.6 8.0 2.8 0.6 5.6 10.5 35.4
19 Dec Demoscopia 20.8 22.6 7.4 2.9 9.2 37.1
7–11 Dec ASEP 21.8 23.2 9.4 12.6 10.2 22.8
26 Nov–1 Dec CIS 19.3 17.5 8.3 4.1 1.2 4.1 11.4 34.1
8–13 Nov ASEP 21.7 21.3 9.7 12.9 11.5 22.9
24 Oct Demoscopia 28.3 23.9 9.9 3.7 5.7 28.5
13–17 Oct CIS 23.7 18.7 8.2 3.8 1.0 5.8 8.5 30.3
11–16 Oct ASEP 23.6 21.2 10.4 15.0 10.8 19.0
21–27 Sep CIS 26.5 16.5 9.8 3.0 0.9 4.8 8.5 30.0
13–18 Sep ASEP 23.7 19.4 10.2 14.0 10.2 22.5
24–29 Jul CIS 31.4 17.3 8.0 3.6 0.6 5.5 7.2 26.4
16–20 Jul Demoscopia 33.1 24.4 8.6 11.7 22.2
12–17 Jul ASEP 29.2 22.9 13.4 11.7 6.7 16.1
25–29 Jun CIS 29.4 20.5 8.0 3.8 0.6 4.8 8.9 24.0
14–19 Jun ASEP 34.0 21.3 9.9 13.7 3.9 17.2
6 Jun 1993 General Election 29.5 26.4 7.3 3.8 0.9 8.5 23.6 0.0

Notes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 This survey provides data ranges and approximations. In order to simplify, the average of those ranges is given.