Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 1982

In the run up to the Spanish general election of 1982, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 March 1979, to the day the next election was held, on 28 October 1982.

Election polling

National

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date Polling Firm/Source UCD PSOE PCE AP CiU PNV CDS Others Lead
28 Oct 1982 General Election 6.8 48.1 4.0 26.4 3.7 1.9 2.9 6.2 21.7
Exit polls
16–19 Oct Sofemasa 6.5 48.6 5.9 24.0 2.5 1.7 4.0 6.8 24.6
9–14 Oct Alef 9.5 49.2 7.8 18.2 5.9 9.4 31.0
6–10 Oct Sofemasa 5.0 51.0 4.3 19.3 4.6 15.8 31.7
25–30 Sep Alef 10.6 45.9 5.8 16.3 8.4 13.0 29.6
24–30 Sep Sofemasa 4.8 51.5 5.2 14.8 2.3 21.4 36.7
5–19 Sep Alef 10.7 51.3 6.0 13.0 5.2 13.8 38.3
24–30 Aug Sofemasa 8.5 50.8 5.6 11.8 2.4 20.9 39.0
1982
4–14 Apr Gallup 23.6 42.0 7.9 8.9 Did not exist 17.6 18.4
14–23 Feb Gallup 25.9 36.3 9.1 9.1 2.7 2.2 14.7 10.4
16–30 Jan Gallup 26.2 35.5 9.0 8.5 20.8 9.3
1981
9–21 Dec Gallup 27.4 34.4 8.6 8.7 Did not exist 20.9 7.0
3–16 Nov Gallup 28.3 33.9 8.7 8.0 2.7 2.4 16.0 5.6
6–19 Oct Gallup 28.7 34.7 8.6 8.3 19.7 6.0
8–15 Sep Gallup 27.7 33.5 9.4 6.8 22.6 5.8
30 Jun–6 Jul Gallup 25.8 33.8 10.4 8.5 21.5 8.0
9–16 Jun Gallup 26.3 32.7 10.0 8.4 22.6 6.4
8–18 Apr Gallup 29.6 29.3 9.5 6.6 25.0 0.8
11–21 Mar Gallup 30.2 29.8 9.8 5.9 24.3 0.4
4–11 Feb Gallup 30.8 31.9 10.4 6.3 20.6 1.1
7–14 Jan Gallup 32.0 31.2 11.1 6.0 19.7 0.8
1980
26 Sep–10 Oct Gallup 31.7 34.3 9.7 5.6 Did not exist 18.7 2.6
25 Jun–13 Jul Gallup 34.0 30.8 10.5 5.3 19.4 3.2
1 Mar 1979 General Election 34.8 30.4 10.8 5.9 2.7 1.7 13.7 4.4

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

176 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm/Source UCD PSOE PCE AP CiU PNV CDS Others
28 Oct 1982 General Election 11 202 4 107 12 8 2 4
Exit polls
22 Oct EPC 18 217 12 80 8 15
22 Oct UCD 20 / 25 200 17 80 10 18 / 23
16–19 Oct Sofemasa 7 / 12 193 / 217 8 / 11 87 / 107 8 / 9 8 / 10 4 / 5 9 / 10
9–14 Oct Alef 18 217 14 69 5 11 8 8
4 Oct SEE 21 158 15 121 14 10 5 6
4 Sep Cover 35 180 12 80 15 28
1982
1981
1980
1 Mar 1979 General Election 168 121 23 9 8 7 14

Voting preference

Direct Vote Intention (IDV)

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date Polling Firm/Source UCD PSOE PCE AP CiU PNV CDS Others No
party
Undec.
28 Oct 1982 General Election 5.3 37.7 3.2 20.7 2.9 1.5 2.3 6.4 20.0 0.0
12–15 Oct Sofemasa 4.3 36.6 17.5 41.6
9–14 Oct Alef 3.9 29.1 5.5 9.6 2.4 4.7 12.3 32.5
9–14 Oct PSOE 5.5 34.6 2.5 12.4 2.3 6.3 6.3 30.1
6–10 Oct Sofemasa 3.5 35.4 3.0 13.4 3.2 10.7 6.0 24.8
6 Oct PSOE 5.0 33.0 2.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 44.0
5 Oct CIS 4.8 24.5 2.6 9.2 1.6 1.0 1.3 3.3 5.7 46.0
1 Oct CIS 4.6 30.7 2.8 11.7 0.8 1.3 2.5 1.7 9.6 34.3
25–30 Sep Alef 4.2 27.4 4.1 9.5 3.0 6.6 14.4 30.8
24–30 Sep Sofemasa 3.2 34.0 3.4 9.8 1.5 14.1 7.4 26.6
5–19 Sep Alef 7.8 31.1 5.3 7.2 1.7 7.9 13.0 26.0
1 Sep CIS 6.7 27.9 2.2 11.6 1.3 1.0 2.8 3.8 9.8 32.9
24–30 Aug Sofemasa 5.6 33.5 3.7 7.8 1.6 3.8 6.0 38.0
6 Aug Alef 7.0 37.0 1.7 10.7 43.6
6 Aug Metra-6 6.7 39.2 1.7 11.2 7.9 33.3
8–12 Jul CIS 12.0 29.1 3.5 9.8 1.0 1.0 Did not exist 3.6 11.6 28.4
1 Jun CIS 9.8 30.5 2.5 9.4 1.3 0.6 3.2 11.9 30.8
1 Apr CIS 12.8 27.7 3.2 7.3 0.7 1.0 4.9 14.3 28.1
23–27 Mar CIS 12.6 24.9 3.2 8.1 1.3 1.3 3.7 11.8 33.1
23–27 Feb CIS 13.0 30.1 2.5 8.2 1.6 0.5 4.6 12.2 27.3
1 Jan CIS 11.8 28.4 3.5 8.2 1.3 0.8 3.7 11.7 30.6
1982
28–30 Nov CIS 11.0 25.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 Did not exist 5.0 12.0 35.0
1 Oct CIS 11.1 28.9 3.0 7.3 1.2 0.8 4.0 10.8 32.9
9–11 Sep CIS 11.6 26.2 2.9 3.3 1.9 1.9 4.1 11.9 36.2
1 Jul CIS 13.6 26.5 3.5 4.4 0.8 1.2 2.5 12.6 34.9
1 May CIS 15.0 24.5 3.7 4.0 1.7 2.2 3.4 10.0 35.5
1 Apr CIS 14.9 24.0 3.5 3.9 1.0 1.3 3.4 12.8 35.2
1 Mar CIS 14.8 22.9 3.3 4.8 1.3 1.0 3.4 11.4 37.1
1 Feb CIS 13.5 27.2 3.2 5.6 1.3 1.8 3.3 9.5 34.6
1 Jan CIS 13.3 19.6 4.4 4.8 0.6 0.9 3.5 15.1 37.8
1981
1 Dec CIS 13.2 22.2 3.5 4.9 1.4 1.1 Did not exist 4.4 12.3 37.0
1 Nov CIS 13.0 21.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 37.0
1 Oct CIS 15.7 16.8 3.3 4.9 1.3 1.5 4.5 12.7 39.3
1 Sep CIS 16.5 22.9 4.7 5.5 1.9 1.2 4.6 10.6 32.1
1 Jul CIS 13.4 20.2 4.8 4.0 1.2 1.2 5.5 8.5 41.2
1 Jun CIS 15.1 25.3 3.2 5.0 2.0 0.9 4.8 11.8 31.9
1 Apr CIS 16.4 18.8 3.8 4.5 1.9 2.2 5.7 12.4 34.3
1 Mar CIS 18.3 19.7 4.3 3.5 2.1 1.5 5.8 11.1 33.7
1 Feb CIS 22.0 31.0 8.0 4.0 11.0 6.0 18.0
1980
1 Dec CIS 27.0 26.0 7.0 4.0 9.0 5.0 22.0
1 Mar 1979 General Election 23.4 20.4 7.2 4.0 1.8 1.1 10.1 32.0 0.0