Norwegian parliamentary election, 2017

Norwegian parliamentary election, 2017
Norway
2017

All 169 seats in the Norwegian Parliament
85 seats are needed for a majority
 
Leader Jonas Gahr Støre Erna Solberg Siv Jensen
Party Labour Conservative Progress
Last election 55 seats, 30.8% 48 seats, 26.8% 29 seats, 16.3%

 
Leader Knut Arild Hareide Trygve Slagsvold Vedum Trine Skei Grande
Party Christian Democratic Centre Liberal
Last election 10 seats, 5.6% 10 seats, 5.5% 9 seats, 5.2%

 
Leader Audun Lysbakken Hilde Opoku
Rasmus Hansson
Party Socialist Left Green
Last election 7 seats, 4.1% 1 seat, 2.8%

Incumbent Prime Minister

Erna Solberg
Conservative

The next Norwegian parliamentary election is set for 2017. The Norwegian legislature, the Storting, will be elected for a new four-year term. All the 169 parliamentary seats will be up for grabs.

Previous election

The last parliamentary elections in Norway were held on 9 September 2013. The outcome was a victory for the Conservatives and their right-wing allies. The Conservative Party, led by Erna Solberg, and the right-wing Progress Party formed a two-party minority government, with Solberg as Prime Minister. The two parties received confidence and supply from two centrist parties, the Liberals and the Christian Democrats.[1]

Date

According to the Norwegian constitution, parliamentary elections must be held every four years. Rather uniquely, the Norwegian parliament may not be dissolved before such a parliamentary four-year term has ended, which in practice makes snap elections impossible to hold without breaking the constitutional electoral law of the country.

Participating parties

There are currently eight political parties represented in the Norwegian parliament, all of whom are likely to participate in the 2017 elections.

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

15-day average trend line of poll results from September 2013 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Parties

Date Polling Firm Ap H Frp KrF SP V SV MDG R Others Lead
14–20 Apr Opinion Perduco 40.4 21.8 11.3 7.1 6.1 4.6 3.1 4.4 0.5 0.7 18.6
13–15 Apr Respons 37.3 25.2 10.9 5.2 5.8 5.0 3.1 4.4 1.4 1.7 12.1
7–13 Apr Norstat 41.5 22.2 11.8 4.8 5.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 1.1 1.6 19.3
7–10 Apr TNS Gallup 39.6 22.6 8.6 5.4 4.7 6.5 5.1 4.1 2.0 1.4 17.0
7–8 Apr Norfakta 37.3 24.7 11.7 5.3 5.6 6.0 3.8 3.3 0.8 1.5 12.6
23–29 Mar Norstat 41.7 22.3 10.0 6.5 5.9 3.8 2.6 4.3 1.8 1.1 19.3
23–25 Mar Ipsos MMI 41.1 23.5 9.9 4.6 7.3 4.1 3.7 3.0 2.2 0.6 17.6
17–25 Mar Sentio 42.5 23.6 9.1 6.6 6.3 3.7 3.3 3.1 1.2 0.6 18.9
10–16 Mar Opinion Perduco 43.4 23.5 9.8 5.9 4.1 3.4 2.6 4.4 1.6 1.3 19.9
9–11 Mar Respons 42.1 21.3 9.5 6.3 6.1 6.3 3.0 2.7 1.1 1.6 20.8
3–9 Mar Norstat 40.5 21.9 12.2 4.5 6.6 4.2 3.8 3.6 0.9 1.8 18.6
3–4 Mar Norfakta 41.6 23.4 12.2 4.4 4.9 5.2 3.8 2.6 1.0 1.6 18.2
24 Feb - 2 Mar Norstat 41.6 21.0 10.0 6.4 5.8 5.1 4.1 3.1 1.1 1.8 20.6
23–27 Feb TNS Gallup 38.8 25.0 10.7 5.0 5.8 4.3 4.8 3.0 2.0 0.6 13.8
24-26 Feb Ipsos MMI 41.3 21.5 11.3 5.6 5.5 4.2 3.7 3.7 2.7 0.5 19.8
25 Feb Sentio 43.4 21.4 9.2 5.4 5.8 4.6 4.3 3.6 1.0 1.5 22.0
20-24 Feb InFact 41.8 20.8 11.7 6.0 4.8 4.4 3.8 4.2 1.4 1.1 21.0
10–16 Feb Opinion Perduco 42.8 21.4 10.0 4.9 6.4 4.5 4.0 3.1 2.4 0.6 21.4
9–11 Feb Respons 41.1 21.7 9.9 5.8 5.9 5.2 4.1 3.3 1.8 1.2 19.4
7 Feb Norfakta 41.3 21.9 12.4 4.5 5.1 4.9 3.8 2.9 1.2 2.0 19.4
27 Jan–2 Feb Norstat 42.4 20.9 12.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 3.6 4.6 0.7 0.5 21.5
26–30 Jan TNS Gallup 42.3 20.3 10.6 5.8 6.0 4.9 4.1 3.5 1.5 1.0 22.0
20–26 Jan Sentio 42.7 23.4 10.2 5.2 4.6 4.8 3.3 2.7 1.0 2.1 19.3
19–21 Jan Ipsos MMI 42.4 22.7 11.2 5.6 5.0 4.2 3.9 3.2 1.5 0.3 19.7
13–20 Jan Opinion Perduco 40.6 22.9 11.9 5.6 5.3 4.7 3.5 3.5 1.4 0.6 17.7
12–14 Jan Respons 41.2 22.7 11.3 5.3 4.6 4.8 4.6 3.7 1.2 0.6 18.5
6–12 Jan Norstat 40.4 23.3 12.2 5.4 5.0 4.4 3.3 3.9 0.9 1.2 17.1
5–9 Jan TNS Gallup 42.8 20.9 10.5 4.7 7.0 5.7 3.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 21.9
6–7 Jan Norfakta 40.1 22.6 11.9 5.2 6.1 3.8 4.4 3.3 1.4 1.2 17.5
2015
12–21 Dec Norstat 41.6 22.0 12.4 5.6 4.1 4.6 3.0 4.8 1.3 0.4 19.6
15–18 Dec Ipsos MMI 39.8 23.4 12.0 5.9 5.4 4.8 3.9 3.0 0.9 0.9 16.4
9–16 Dec Sentio 42.3 21.2 11.4 5.2 5.7 5.3 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.6 21.1
8–10 Dec Respons 42.0 22.0 10.1 6.1 6.0 5.1 3.5 3.4 1.6 0.2 20.0
2–9 Dec Opinion Perduco 41.8 22.3 10.2 5.8 5.6 5.0 3.5 4.2 1.1 0.6 19.5
2–3 Dec Norfakta 40.5 23.6 11.6 5.2 5.4 4.9 3.8 2.1 0.9 1.8 16.9
26 Nov–2 Dec Norstat 42.8 21.5 12.6 5.0 5.4 3.3 3.3 3.7 1.0 1.3 21.3
24–28 Nov TNS Gallup 40.7 23.9 10.0 4.1 4.1 4.8 4.7 4.4 2.1 1.2 16.8
24–27 Nov InFact 40.6 19.5 12.9 6.4 5.5 4.7 3.9 3.8 1.2 1.3 21.1
18–24 Nov Norstat 41.0 22.2 11.3 6.3 5.4 3.7 4.0 4.1 1.0 1.1 18.8
17–20 Nov Ipsos MMI 41.4 23.0 13.0 4.9 5.1 4.4 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.9 18.4
10–17 Nov Sentio 41.2 23.3 10.7 4.6 6.1 3.8 3.5 3.9 2.2 0.9 17.9
10–12 Nov Respons 36.2 23.1 11.9 7.2 5.4 7.0 3.5 3.6 1.3 0.8 13.1
4–10 Nov Opinion Perduco 42.2 22.0 11.4 5.9 5.2 3.9 3.8 3.5 1.3 0.9 20.2
4–5 Nov Norfakta 38.3 23.4 11.3 6.6 4.8 6.0 4.1 2.9 1.4 1.2 14.9
4 Nov Norstat 40.9 23.8 11.3 5.7 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.5 1.2 0.5 17.1
27–31 Oct TNS Gallup 39.8 23.4 9.5 5.4 5.4 4.9 4.4 3.6 2.0 1.4 16.4
13–30 Oct InFact 39.2 21.4 14.1 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.5 3.3 1.6 1.5 17.8
21–27 Oct Norstat 37.6 24.7 13.2 4.9 5.2 4.7 3.7 3.9 1.3 0.9 12.9
20–23 Oct Ipsos MMI 37.4 25.9 12.2 4.5 5.6 5.4 3.3 3.8 1.4 0.6 11.5
14–20 Oct Sentio 39.8 25.5 12.2 4.5 5.1 3.6 3.1 3.3 0.9 2.1 14.3
13–15 Oct Respons 38.4 24.6 12.8 5.0 5.0 4.4 3.4 3.7 1.3 1.4 13.8
7–13 Oct Opinion Perduco 39.0 25.9 13.8 4.4 4.6 4.5 2.7 3.0 0.6 1.4 13.1
7–8 Oct Norfakta 35.1 25.7 13.2 5.6 6.5 4.4 3.2 3.5 1.7 1.0 9.4
29 Sep–5 Oct Norstat 34.0 27.2 14.3 4.9 5.3 4.6 3.9 4.0 1.1 0.8 6.8
29 Sep–4 Oct TNS Gallup 36.5 25.3 13.8 3.7 4.2 5.2 4.7 4.5 1.6 0.6 11.2
24–30 Sep Norstat 36.2 26.0 14.9 4.5 5.3 3.9 3.2 3.4 1.5 0.9 10.2
22–25 Sep Ipsos MMI 34.0 28.5 13.0 4.9 4.7 4.4 4.0 2.6 1.6 1.8 5.5
16–21 Sep Sentio 34.1 25.8 13.7 5.5 5.6 4.5 4.2 3.8 1.5 1.3 8.3
15–17 Sep Respons 34.2 26.4 15.8 5.0 5.4 4.4 3.6 3.2 1.2 0.8 7.8
9–15 Sep Opinion Perduco 34.8 27.4 14.3 5.0 3.8 5.0 3.4 4.1 1.4 0.8 7.4
9 Sep Norstat 37.6 25.8 13.3 5.9 4.6 4.7 3.2 3.3 0.8 0.8 11.8
2–3 Sep Norfakta 36.2 25.1 15.3 4.8 5.3 4.4 3.6 3.2 1.0 1.0 11.1
26 Aug–1 Sep Norstat 35.3 27.0 15.1 4.8 4.9 4.8 2.4 3.9 1.2 0.5 8.3
25–29 Aug TNS Gallup 34.1 26.7 12.3 4.9 5.3 6.0 4.3 4.1 1.1 1.1 7.4
19–24 Aug Sentio 33.6 28.5 13.8 4.2 6.3 4.5 3.5 3.4 0.7 1.3 5.1
19–21 Aug Ipsos MMI 32.8 30.9 11.1 4.5 4.5 5.4 3.8 4.2 1.4 1.5 1.9
18–20 Aug Respons 34.8 25.4 14.7 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.6 3.3 1.1 1.1 9.4
12–18 Aug Opinion Perduco 36.6 27.1 13.4 4.7 5.1 4.7 2.5 4.2 0.8 1.8 9.5
5–11 Aug Norstat 34.3 25.5 15.3 5.5 5.7 4.5 4.4 3.1 1.2 0.4 8.8
4–8 Aug TNS Gallup 33.7 26.6 12.6 6.2 4.9 5.0 4.0 4.1 1.8 0.8 7.1
5–6 Aug Norfakta 36.0 24.6 15.0 4.9 5.7 4.5 3.9 3.5 1.2 0.7 11.4
1–2 Jul Norfakta 36.8 26.3 12.8 5.1 5.1 5.2 2.7 3.7 1.1 1.2 10.5
24–30 Jun Norstat 34.4 26.6 14.1 4.2 5.9 5.5 2.9 3.8 2.9 1.1 7.8
24–30 Jun TNS Gallup 37.6 27.6 10.0 4.6 5.0 5.2 3.4 3.3 2.0 1.4 10.0
17–22 Jun Sentio 34.5 25.4 15.5 5.4 4.8 4.0 3.1 3.5 1.3 2.5 9.1
17–19 Jun Ipsos MMI 35.5 28.5 12.1 4.2 5.5 4.7 3.1 4.1 1.4 0.9 7.0
10–16 Jun Opinion Perduco 36.1 25.3 14.2 5.5 5.3 4.8 3.4 3.6 1.4 0.4 10.8
3–9 Jun Norstat 35.4 26.1 14.5 5.8 4.9 3.8 3.7 4.3 0.9 0.6 9.3
3–4 Jun Norfakta 34.5 25.7 13.5 5.7 6.1 5.5 3.0 3.1 1.3 1.6 8.8
2–4 Jun Respons 33.6 26.5 14.4 5.4 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.3 1.1 1.6 7.1
28 May–3 Jun Norstat 35.8 26.9 14.1 5.0 4.4 4.7 2.5 4.0 1.0 1.4 8.9
23–28 May TNS Gallup 34.4 26.1 11.7 4.6 6.1 6.5 4.5 3.1 1.7 1.3 8.3
6–28 May InFact 33.7 26.0 14.3 5.7 5.0 4.7 4.5 3.8 1.2 1.3 7.7
20–25 May Sentio 34.9 26.2 13.1 5.4 5.3 5.9 3.3 2.3 1.5 2.1 8.7
22 May Ipsos MMI 36.0 25.6 14.5 4.9 5.1 4.6 3.7 2.8 2.0 0.9 10.4
13–19 May Opinion Perduco 32.7 26.9 15.1 5.7 4.8 5.4 3.9 3.3 1.9 0.4 5.8
6–11 May Norstat 35.9 26.5 14.3 4.8 4.6 4.7 3.8 4.1 0.9 0.6 9.4
6–7 May Norfakta 33.9 28.1 13.3 4.9 4.9 5.4 4.0 3.2 0.7 1.6 5.8
5–7 May Respons 33.2 26.8 12.8 5.7 5.7 4.8 4.3 3.5 1.3 0.6 6.4
29 Apr–5 May Norstat 34.4 26.2 13.7 5.4 5.7 5.0 4.4 3.1 1.3 0.9 8.2
25–30 Apr TNS Gallup 32.2 27.8 12.5 4.8 4.9 5.3 4.5 4.2 1.7 2.1 4.4
22–28 Apr InFact 34.2 25.3 15.8 5.0 4.6 4.7 4.0 3.7 1.4 1.3 8.9
22–27 Apr Sentio 31.7 28.9 13.2 5.4 5.1 5.9 3.7 3.7 0.7 1.7 2.8
22–24 Apr Ipsos MMI 32.8 27.9 13.2 5.6 4.6 6.3 4.8 2.3 2.1 0.6 4.9
9–16 Apr Opinion Perduco 34.5 27.5 13.8 5.2 4.7 5.3 3.1 4.0 1.0 0.8 7.0
7–9 Apr Respons 34.0 29.8 13.6 5.4 4.3 5.3 2.9 2.4 1.4 0.9 4.2
1–7 Apr Norstat 35.4 25.9 15.7 5.1 3.9 5.0 3.4 3.7 1.4 0.5 9.5
2–3 Apr Norfakta 34.3 27.8 13.9 4.9 4.9 4.7 3.7 3.5 0.9 1.2 6.5
25–31 Mar InFact 33.5 26.8 14.9 5.4 4.9 5.3 3.6 2.9 1.2 1.6 6.7
25–31 Mar Norstat 35.7 27.0 13.9 5.8 4.5 4.7 3.4 3.1 1.2 0.8 8.7
25–31 Mar TNS Gallup 33.0 29.5 11.3 5.9 4.5 6.1 4.5 3.5 1.1 0.6 3.5
25–27 Mar Ipsos MMI 33.7 27.6 12.8 4.6 4.9 5.5 5.0 3.1 1.6 1.4 6.1
18–24 Mar Sentio 35.3 26.2 15.1 5.1 5.1 4.3 3.9 2.6 1.0 1.4 9.1
11–17 Mar Opinion Perduco 35.7 26.6 14.9 4.7 4.7 5.0 3.9 2.5 1.1 1.0 9.1
10–12 Mar Respons 34.7 27.7 13.9 5.1 4.4 6.1 3.6 2.8 1.4 0.3 7.0
4–10 Mar Norstat 35.2 26.4 14.6 5.0 4.7 4.7 2.8 3.6 1.4 1.7 8.8
4–5 Mar Norfakta 33.4 26.2 15.5 5.9 5.2 4.6 3.5 3.4 1.3 1.0 7.2
25 Feb–3 Mar Norstat 34.3 27.0 13.9 4.6 5.0 4.2 3.7 3.9 2.1 1.2 7.3
24–28 Feb TNS Gallup 35.2 27.6 11.6 4.7 4.9 6.2 4.3 3.2 1.5 0.8 7.6
25–27 Feb Ipsos MMI 34.4 26.5 15.0 5.3 4.7 5.2 3.3 3.0 2.0 0.6 7.9
24–27 Feb InFact 33.6 26.8 15.5 4.8 4.9 5.0 3.6 3.3 0.9 1.6 6.8
18–24 Feb Sentio 33.7 29.9 12.8 5.1 5.1 4.3 4.0 2.2 1.0 1.8 3.8
11–17 Feb Opinion Perduco 34.8 27.2 15.0 4.9 4.3 5.1 3.2 2.9 1.3 1.2 7.6
10–12 Feb Respons 34.7 27.0 14.3 5.0 4.6 5.1 4.8 2.5 0.9 1.1 7.7
4–10 Feb Norstat 33.1 28.8 13.3 5.9 4.9 4.3 3.9 3.8 1.4 0.8 4.3
4–5 Feb Norfakta 34.3 28.8 14.5 5.2 4.0 4.6 3.1 3.1 1.2 1.2 5.5
28 Jan–3 Feb Norstat 32.1 30.3 11.7 5.1 5.9 5.1 3.9 4.0 1.4 0.5 1.8
27–31 Jan TNS Gallup 34.1 29.2 11.9 5.6 5.2 4.9 4.2 2.8 1.1 0.9 4.9
27–29 Jan InFact 32.4 28.3 14.1 5.3 4.6 5.2 4.0 3.3 1.6 1.3 4.1
21–27 Jan Sentio 35.3 28.4 15.5 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.1 3.0 0.9 1.0 6.9
21–23 Jan Ipsos MMI 34.6 28.0 14.2 5.2 4.9 4.5 3.5 2.4 1.8 0.9 6.6
14–20 Jan Opinion Perduco 33.8 28.8 13.4 4.8 4.5 5.5 4.0 3.9 0.9 0.4 5.0
13–15 Jan Respons 33.7 31.0 12.6 5.2 4.3 4.6 3.7 2.7 1.2 1.0 2.7
7–13 Jan Norstat 32.7 30.5 11.7 6.3 4.3 5.2 4.2 3.1 1.2 1.0 2.2
6–10 Jan TNS Gallup 32.4 28.6 12.6 5.5 5.1 4.2 4.8 3.2 1.2 2.3 3.8
7–8 Jan Norfakta 32.9 29.4 14.7 5.5 3.9 4.9 4.1 3.3 0.4 1.0 3.5
2014
17–19 Dec Ipsos MMI 32.1 29.9 13.2 4.6 5.0 5.1 4.6 2.7 1.6 1.8 2.2
17–18 Dec Norstat 34.9 27.0 14.7 5.7 4.3 4.5 3.4 3.2 1.1 1.4 7.9
10–16 Dec Sentio 34.0 27.2 13.9 4.4 4.9 5.6 3.9 3.0 1.1 1.3 6.8
10–11 Dec InFact 35.3 25.8 14.3 5.1 4.8 4.6 4.0 3.4 1.4 1.3 9.5
9–11 Dec Respons 33.2 28.7 14.5 5.2 4.6 5.4 3.6 2.3 1.5 1.0 4.5
3–9 Dec Opinion Perduco 32.7 27.9 14.8 5.8 4.9 5.4 3.5 3.1 0.8 1.1 4.8
3–4 Dec Norfakta 32.7 28.7 14.6 5.3 4.5 4.7 4.0 2.4 1.3 1.8 4.0
26 Nov–2 Dec Norstat 32.8 28.2 14.1 5.4 4.8 5.2 3.7 3.3 1.0 1.5 4.6
25–30 Nov TNS Gallup 31.5 27.8 12.9 6.4 5.0 6.9 4.5 2.6 1.3 1.3 3.7
26–27 Nov InFact 33.7 26.4 14.9 6.1 4.7 4.7 4.1 3.1 1.2 1.4 7.3
19–25 Nov Norstat 31.7 28.0 15.2 5.3 5.3 5.7 3.4 3.2 1.3 1.0 3.7
19–21 Nov Ipsos MMI 30.8 30.1 13.5 5.2 4.8 6.0 4.4 3.1 0.9 1.0 0.7
12–18 Nov Sentio 34.5 27.0 14.3 6.2 4.3 4.8 3.5 3.0 1.3 1.1 7.5
11–13 Nov Respons 35.1 26.2 15.1 4.6 5.3 4.5 3.8 2.8 1.1 1.5 8.9
5–11 Nov Opinion Perduco 31.6 27.9 14.3 6.0 5.6 6.1 3.2 3.3 1.5 0.6 3.7
7 Nov Norstat 31.4 27.1 15.3 5.0 5.3 5.0 4.3 3.8 0.9 1.9 4.3
5–6 Nov Norfakta 30.8 29.5 15.3 5.1 4.8 4.8 4.5 2.8 1.1 1.3 1.3
28 Oct–1 Nov TNS Gallup 31.0 28.1 12.4 6.2 4.9 5.8 5.3 3.8 1.4 1.2 2.9
22–28 Oct Norstat 32.9 26.9 15.1 4.9 4.9 5.5 4.0 3.9 1.1 0.7 6.0
22–24 Oct Ipsos MMI 32.0 28.6 14.9 5.4 4.4 5.5 4.2 2.3 1.7 0.8 3.4
21–23 Oct InFact 33.7 26.2 14.2 5.5 4.6 5.0 4.5 3.4 1.4 1.4 7.5
15–22 Oct Sentio 29.7 30.6 13.7 5.6 5.0 5.7 3.6 2.8 0.9 2.3 0.9
14–16 Oct Respons 31.7 28.1 14.8 5.8 5.1 5.8 4.0 2.9 1.0 1.0 3.6
8–14 Oct Opinion Perduco 31.7 27.1 13.8 6.5 4.9 5.7 4.1 4.1 1.5 0.8 4.6
1–7 Oct Norstat 30.5 25.7 17.0 4.7 4.7 6.4 4.2 4.3 1.3 1.1 4.8
30 Sep–4 Oct TNS Gallup 33.4 27.3 13.3 5.6 4.1 6.1 4.4 2.9 1.3 1.5 6.1
24–26 Sep Ipsos MMI 30.0 27.9 14.5 6.5 5.1 5.6 3.8 3.6 2.2 0.5 2.1
25 Sep Opinion Perduco 31.6 26.3 16.9 5.0 4.9 5.1 4.6 4.0 1.1 0.5 5.3
10–16 Sep Sentio 31.5 27.6 14.3 5.4 5.3 5.8 4.6 2.8 1.2 1.8 3.9
9 Sep 2013 Parliamentary Election 30.8 26.8 16.3 5.6 5.5 5.2 4.1 2.8 1.1 1.8 4.0

Coalitions

Date Polling Firm H+Frp
+KrF+V
Ap+SP
+SV
Lead
14–20 Apr Opinion Perduco 44.8 50.1 5.3
13–15 Apr Respons 46.3 46.2 0.1
7–13 Apr Norstat 43.1 50.3 7.2
7–10 Apr TNS Gallup 43.1 49.4 6.3
7–8 Apr Norfakta 47.7 46.7 1.0
23–29 Mar Norstat 42.6 50.2 7.6
23–25 Mar Ipsos MMI 42.1 52.1 10.0
17–25 Mar Sentio 43.0 52.1 9.1
10–16 Mar Opinion Perduco 42.6 50.1 7.5
9–11 Mar Respons 43.4 51.2 7.8
3–9 Mar Norstat 42.8 50.9 8.1
3–4 Mar Norfakta 44.5 50.3 5.8
24 Feb – 2 Mar Norstat 42.5 51.5 9.0
23–27 Feb TNS Gallup 45.0 49.4 4.4
24-26 Feb Ipsos MMI 42.6 50.5 7.9
25 Feb Sentio 40.6 53.5 12.9
20-24 Feb InFact 42.9 50.4 7.5
10–16 Feb Opinion Perduco 40.8 53.2 12.4
9–11 Feb Respons 42.6 51.1 8.5
7 Feb Norfakta 43.7 50.2 6.5
27 Jan–2 Feb Norstat 43.1 51.1 8.0
26–30 Jan TNS Gallup 41.6 52.4 10.8
20–26 Jan Sentio 43.4 50.8 7.4
19–21 Jan Ipsos MMI 43.7 51.3 7.6
13–20 Jan Opinion Perduco 45.1 49.4 4.3
12–14 Jan Respons 44.1 50.4 6.3
6–12 Jan Norstat 45.3 48.7 3.4
5–9 Jan TNS Gallup 41.8 53.0 11.2
6–7 Jan Norfakta 43.5 50.6 7.1
2015
12–21 Dec Norstat 44.6 48.7 4.1
15–18 Dec Ipsos MMI 46.1 49.1 3.0
9–16 Dec Sentio 43.1 52.3 9.2
8–10 Dec Respons 43.3 51.5 8.2
2–9 Dec Opinion Perduco 43.3 50.9 7.6
2–3 Dec Norfakta 45.3 49.7 4.4
26 Nov–2 Dec Norstat 42.4 51.5 9.1
24–28 Nov TNS Gallup 42.8 49.5 6.7
24–27 Nov InFact 43.5 50.0 6.5
18–24 Nov Norstat 43.5 50.4 6.9
17–20 Nov Ipsos MMI 45.3 50.3 5.0
10–17 Nov Sentio 42.4 50.8 8.4
10–12 Nov Respons 49.2 45.1 4.1
4–10 Nov Opinion Perduco 43.2 51.2 8.0
4–5 Nov Norfakta 47.3 47.2 0.1
4 Nov Norstat 45.1 49.6 4.5
27–31 Oct TNS Gallup 43.2 49.6 6.4
13–30 Oct InFact 45.3 48.4 3.1
21–27 Oct Norstat 47.5 46.5 1.0
20–23 Oct Ipsos MMI 48.0 46.3 1.7
14–20 Oct Sentio 45.8 48.0 2.2
13–15 Oct Respons 46.8 46.8 0.0
7–13 Oct Opinion Perduco 48.7 46.3 2.4
7–8 Oct Norfakta 48.9 44.8 4.1
29 Sep–5 Oct Norstat 51.0 43.2 7.8
29 Sep–4 Oct TNS Gallup 48.0 45.4 2.6
24–30 Sep Norstat 49.3 44.7 4.6
22–25 Sep Ipsos MMI 50.8 42.7 8.1
16–21 Sep Sentio 49.5 43.9 5.6
15–17 Sep Respons 51.6 43.2 8.4
9–15 Sep Opinion Perduco 51.7 42.0 9.7
9 Sep Norstat 49.7 45.4 4.3
2–3 Sep Norfakta 49.5 45.1 4.4
26 Aug–1 Sep Norstat 51.7 42.6 9.1
25–29 Aug TNS Gallup 49.9 43.7 6.2
19–24 Aug Sentio 51.0 43.4 7.6
19–21 Aug Ipsos MMI 51.9 41.1 10.8
18–20 Aug Respons 50.1 44.4 5.7
12–18 Aug Opinion Perduco 49.9 44.2 5.7
5–11 Aug Norstat 50.8 44.4 6.4
4–8 Aug TNS Gallup 49.4 42.6 6.8
5–6 Aug Norfakta 49.0 45.6 3.4
1–2 Jul Norfakta 49.4 44.6 4.8
24–30 Jun Norstat 50.4 43.2 7.2
24–30 Jun TNS Gallup 47.4 46.0 1.4
17–22 Jun Sentio 50.3 42.4 7.9
17–19 Jun Ipsos MMI 49.5 44.1 5.4
10–16 Jun Opinion Perduco 49.8 44.8 5.0
3–9 Jun Norstat 50.2 44.0 6.2
3–4 Jun Norfakta 50.4 43.9 6.5
2–4 Jun Respons 51.0 43.0 8.0
28 May–3 Jun Norstat 50.7 42.7 8.0
23–28 May TNS Gallup 48.9 45.0 3.9
6–28 May InFact 50.7 43.2 7.5
20–25 May Sentio 50.6 43.5 7.1
22 May Ipsos MMI 49.6 44.8 4.8
13–19 May Opinion Perduco 53.1 41.4 11.7
6–11 May Norstat 50.3 44.3 6.0
6–7 May Norfakta 51.7 42.8 8.9
5–7 May Respons 50.1 43.2 6.9
29 Apr–5 May Norstat 50.3 44.5 5.8
25–30 Apr TNS Gallup 50.4 41.6 8.8
22–28 Apr InFact 50.8 42.8 8.0
22–27 Apr Sentio 53.4 40.5 12.9
22–24 Apr Ipsos MMI 53.0 42.2 10.8
9–16 Apr Opinion Perduco 51.8 42.3 9.5
7–9 Apr Respons 54.1 41.2 12.9
1–7 Apr Norstat 51.7 42.7 9.0
2–3 Apr Norfakta 51.3 42.9 8.4
25–31 Mar InFact 52.4 42.0 10.4
25–31 Mar Norstat 51.4 43.6 7.8
25–31 Mar TNS Gallup 52.8 42.0 10.8
25–27 Mar Ipsos MMI 50.5 43.6 6.9
18–24 Mar Sentio 50.7 44.3 6.4
11–17 Mar Opinion Perduco 51.2 44.3 6.9
10–12 Mar Respons 52.8 42.7 10.1
4–10 Mar Norstat 50.7 42.7 8.0
4–5 Mar Norfakta 52.2 42.1 10.1
25 Feb–3 Mar Norstat 49.7 43.0 6.7
24–28 Feb TNS Gallup 50.1 44.4 5.7
25–27 Feb Ipsos MMI 52.0 42.4 9.6
24–27 Feb InFact 52.1 42.1 10.0
18–24 Feb Sentio 52.1 42.8 9.3
11–17 Feb Opinion Perduco 52.2 42.3 9.9
10–12 Feb Respons 51.4 44.1 7.3
4–10 Feb Norstat 52.3 41.9 10.4
4–5 Feb Norfakta 53.1 41.4 11.7
28 Jan–3 Feb Norstat 52.2 41.9 10.3
27–31 Jan TNS Gallup 51.6 43.5 8.1
27–29 Jan InFact 52.9 41.0 11.9
21–27 Jan Sentio 52.4 42.7 9.7
21–23 Jan Ipsos MMI 51.9 43.0 8.9
14–20 Jan Opinion Perduco 52.5 42.3 10.2
13–15 Jan Respons 53.4 41.7 11.7
7–13 Jan Norstat 53.7 41.2 12.5
6–10 Jan TNS Gallup 50.9 42.3 8.6
7–8 Jan Norfakta 54.5 40.9 13.6
2014
17–19 Dec Ipsos MMI 52.8 41.7 11.1
17–18 Dec Norstat 51.9 42.6 9.3
10–16 Dec Sentio 51.1 42.8 8.3
10–11 Dec InFact 49.8 44.1 5.7
9–11 Dec Respons 53.8 41.4 12.4
3–9 Dec Opinion Perduco 53.9 41.1 12.8
3–4 Dec Norfakta 53.3 41.2 12.1
26 Nov–2 Dec Norstat 52.9 41.3 11.6
25–30 Nov TNS Gallup 54.0 41.0 13.0
26–27 Nov InFact 52.1 42.5 9.6
19–25 Nov Norstat 54.2 40.4 13.8
19–21 Nov Ipsos MMI 54.8 40.0 14.8
12–18 Nov Sentio 52.3 42.3 10.0
11–13 Nov Respons 50.4 44.2 6.2
5–11 Nov Opinion Perduco 54.3 40.4 13.9
7 Nov Norstat 52.4 41.0 11.4
5–6 Nov Norfakta 54.7 40.1 14.6
28 Oct–1 Nov TNS Gallup 52.5 41.2 11.3
22–28 Oct Norstat 52.4 41.8 10.6
22–24 Oct Ipsos MMI 54.4 40.6 13.8
21–23 Oct InFact 50.9 42.8 8.1
15–22 Oct Sentio 55.6 38.3 17.3
14–16 Oct Respons 54.5 40.8 13.7
8–14 Oct Opinion Perduco 53.1 40.7 12.4
1–7 Oct Norstat 53.8 39.4 14.4
30 Sep–4 Oct TNS Gallup 52.3 41.9 10.4
24–26 Sep Ipsos MMI 54.5 38.9 15.6
25 Sep Opinion Perduco 53.3 41.1 12.2
10–16 Sep Sentio 53.1 41.4 11.7
9 Sep 2013 Parliamentary Election 54.0 40.4 13.6

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 85 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Norwegian Parliament.

Date Polling Firm A H FRP KRF SP V SV MDG R Others Lead Ap+SP
+SV
H+Frp
+KrF+V
26 Nov-2 Dec Norstat 80 40 24 9 9 2 1 3 0 0 40 90 75
24–28 Nov TNS Gallup 77 44 15 6 6 7 7 6 1 0 33 90 72
24–27 Nov InFact 75 35 23 12 10 9 2 2 1 0 40 87 79
18-24 Nov Norstat 75 38 20 11 9 2 7 7 0 0 37 91 71
17-20 Nov Ipsos MMI 78 40 23 8 9 8 2 1 0 0 38 89 79
10-17 Nov Sentio 78 44 20 9 11 2 1 3 1 0 34 90 75
10-12 Nov Respons 70 41 21 13 9 12 1 2 0 0 29 80 87
4-10 Nov Opinion Perduco 79 41 21 11 10 3 2 2 0 0 38 91 76
4-5 Nov Norfakta 73 40 19 11 8 10 7 1 0 0 33 88 80
4 Nov Norstat 76 43 20 10 9 8 2 1 0 0 33 87 81
27–31 Oct TNS Gallup 75 40 16 9 9 9 8 2 0 0 35 92 74
13–30 Oct InFact 72 37 25 9 8 8 8 1 1 0 35 88 79
21–27 Oct Norstat 70 44 23 9 9 8 2 3 1 0 26 81 84
20–23 Oct Ipsos MMI 70 46 22 8 10 9 1 2 1 0 24 81 85
14–20 Oct Sentio 76 48 23 8 10 2 1 1 0 0 28 87 81
13–15 Oct Respons 70 45 23 9 9 8 1 3 1 0 25 80 85
7–13 Oct Opinion Perduco 72 47 24 8 8 8 1 1 0 0 25 81 87
7–8 Oct Norfakta 65 47 24 10 12 8 1 1 1 0 18 78 89
29 Sep–5 Oct Norstat 60 48 26 9 9 8 2 7 0 0 12 71 91
29 Sep–4 Oct TNS Gallup 67 44 24 2 7 9 8 7 1 0 23 82 79
24–30 Sep Norstat 68 49 28 8 10 3 1 1 1 0 19 79 88
22–25 Sep Ipsos MMI 65 51 24 9 8 8 2 1 1 0 14 75 92
16–21 Sep Sentio 60 46 25 10 10 8 7 2 1 0 14 77 89
19 Sep Respons 62 48 29 9 10 8 2 1 0 0 14 74 94
17 Sep Opinion Perduco 65 50 27 9 0 9 1 8 0 0 15 66 95
9 Sep Norstat 69 46 24 11 8 8 2 1 0 0 23 79 89
6 Sep Norfakta 66 45 28 9 10 8 2 1 0 0 21 78 90
3 Sep Norstat 63 48 27 9 9 9 1 3 0 0 15 73 93
1 Sep TNS Gallup 64 45 20 8 8 10 7 7 0 0 19 79 83
29 Aug Sentio 62 52 25 8 12 8 1 1 0 0 10 75 93
23 Aug Ipsos MMI 60 57 19 8 8 9 8 7 0 0 3 76 93
22 Aug Respons 64 44 26 9 9 8 8 1 0 0 20 81 87
21 Aug Opinion Perduco 67 46 23 8 9 8 1 7 0 0 21 77 85
14 Aug Norstat 61 44 27 10 10 8 8 1 0 0 17 79 89
12 Aug TNS Gallup 63 45 22 10 8 8 6 6 1 0 18 77 85
11 Aug Norfakta 66 45 28 9 10 8 2 1 0 0 21 78 90
7 Jul Norfakta 68 47 23 9 9 9 1 3 0 0 21 78 88
3 Jul Norstat 61 48 26 8 10 11 1 3 1 0 13 70 92
1 Jul TNS Gallup 70 51 18 8 9 10 1 1 1 0 18 80 87
26 Jun Sentio 65 47 29 10 9 7 1 1 0 0 18 75 93
21 Jun Ipsos MMI 65 50 21 7 10 8 1 7 0 0 15 76 86
19 Jun Opinion Perduco 66 46 26 10 10 9 1 1 0 0 20 77 91
12 Jun Norstat 64 47 26 11 9 2 2 8 0 0 17 75 86
7 Jun Norstat 65 47 26 8 7 8 1 7 0 0 18 73 89
7 Jun Norfakta 64 47 25 10 11 10 1 1 0 0 17 76 92
7 Jun Respons 62 48 26 9 9 8 8 1 0 0 14 79 91
2 Jun TNS Gallup 64 45 20 8 11 11 8 1 1 0 19 83 84
31 May Sentio 64 48 24 10 10 11 1 1 0 0 16 75 93
31 May InFact 61 45 26 10 8 8 8 3 0 0 16 77 89
24 May Ipsos MMI 65 47 27 9 9 8 2 1 1 0 18 76 91
22 May Opinion Perduco 62 48 27 10 8 10 2 1 1 0 14 72 95
16 May Norstat 63 47 26 8 8 8 2 7 0 0 16 73 89
10 May Norfakta 63 48 25 8 8 9 7 1 0 0 15 78 90
8 May Respons 61 47 22 10 10 8 8 2 1 0 14 79 87
8 May Norstat 60 46 25 9 10 9 8 1 1 0 14 78 89
5 May TNS Gallup 58 50 22 8 8 8 7 7 1 0 8 73 88
2 May Sentio 58 53 24 10 9 11 2 2 0 0 5 69 98
30 Apr InFact 63 43 28 9 8 8 7 2 1 0 20 78 88
28 Apr Ipsos MMI 58 47 25 10 8 11 8 1 1 0 11 74 93
24 Apr Opinion Perduco 62 48 25 9 8 9 1 7 0 0 14 71 91
11 Apr Respons 61 54 24 10 8 10 1 1 0 0 7 70 98
11 Apr Norstat 67 49 30 10 0 10 1 2 0 0 18 68 99
5 Apr Norfakta 64 50 26 9 9 8 2 1 0 0 14 75 93
3 Apr InFact 62 48 27 10 9 10 2 1 0 0 14 73 95
2 Apr TNS Gallup 58 56 19 10 8 10 7 1 0 0 2 73 95
30 Mar Ipsos MMI 64 48 22 8 8 9 8 1 1 0 16 80 87
28 Mar Sentio 64 48 28 9 9 8 2 1 0 0 16 75 93
20 Mar Opinion Perduco 65 48 27 9 8 9 2 1 0 0 17 75 93
15 Mar Respons 62 49 26 9 8 11 2 1 1 0 13 72 96
13 Mar Norstat 64 48 27 9 8 9 1 2 1 0 16 74 93
10 Mar Norfakta 61 49 28 11 10 8 1 1 0 0 12 72 96
6 Mar Norstat 63 49 26 8 9 8 2 3 1 0 14 74 91
4 Mar InFact 68 48 28 9 9 9 2 1 0 0 20 79 94
3 Mar TNS Gallup 68 50 18 7 8 10 7 1 0 0 18 83 85
2 Mar Ipsos MMI 62 48 27 10 9 9 2 1 1 0 14 73 94
28 Feb Sentio 60 55 21 9 9 7 7 1 0 0 5 76 92
20 Feb Opinion Perduco 64 50 27 9 8 9 1 1 0 0 14 73 95
19 Feb Norstat 59 52 24 11 9 8 2 4 0 0 7 70 95
14 Feb Respons 62 46 27 8 8 9 8 2 0 0 16 78 90
10 Feb Norfakta 63 53 27 9 7 8 1 1 0 0 10 71 97
6 Feb Norstat 57 54 20 9 10 9 2 7 0 0 3 69 92
3 Feb TNS Gallup 63 52 20 9 9 8 7 1 0 0 11 79 89
31 Jan InFact 57 52 26 9 8 8 7 1 0 0 5 72 95
30 Jan Sentio 65 53 29 9 8 3 1 1 0 0 12 74 94
26 Jan Ipsos MMI 62 51 26 9 9 8 2 1 1 0 11 73 94
24 Jan Opinion Perduco 62 49 24 8 7 9 7 3 0 0 13 76 90
17 Jan Norstat 61 56 19 10 7 8 7 1 0 0 5 75 93
17 Jan Respons 61 57 23 9 8 8 2 1 0 0 4 71 97
13 Jan TNS Gallup 57 53 23 10 9 7 9 1 0 0 4 75 93
11 Jan Norfakta 61 53 27 10 1 9 7 1 0 0 8 69 99
2014
28 Dec Norstat 64 49 27 10 8 8 2 1 0 0 15 74 94
26 Dec InFact 64 44 27 9 8 8 7 1 1 0 20 79 88
23 Dec Sentio 62 49 26 8 9 10 2 3 0 0 13 73 93
21 Dec Ipsos MMI 55 54 25 8 8 9 8 1 1 0 1 71 96
14 Dec Respons 60 52 27 9 8 10 2 0 1 0 8 70 98
12 Dec Opinion Perduco 60 50 27 10 9 10 2 1 0 0 10 71 97
9 Dec Norstat 60 52 26 10 9 9 2 1 0 0 8 71 97
9 Dec Norfakta 62 49 27 9 7 8 7 0 0 0 13 76 93
3 Dec InFact 63 46 27 10 7 8 7 1 0 0 17 77 91
2 Dec TNS Gallup 53 52 24 11 8 12 8 1 0 0 1 69 99
29 Nov Norstat 57 52 28 10 10 10 1 1 0 0 5 68 100
25 Nov Ipsos MMI 53 54 26 9 8 10 8 1 0 0 1 69 99
23 Nov Sentio 63 48 26 11 8 9 2 1 1 0 15 73 94
15 Nov Respons 64 48 28 8 10 8 2 1 0 0 16 76 92
14 Nov Opinion Perduco 57 51 26 11 10 11 1 1 1 0 6 68 99
11 Nov Norfakta 55 53 28 8 8 8 8 1 0 0 2 71 97
7 Nov Norstat 55 48 28 9 9 9 8 3 0 0 7 72 94
4 Nov TNS Gallup 54 51 22 11 9 10 9 3 0 0 3 72 97
1 Nov Norstat 60 46 27 8 8 10 7 3 0 0 14 75 91
27 Oct Ipsos MMI 54 54 27 9 7 9 7 1 1 0 0 68 99
26 Oct Sentio 55 56 26 10 9 11 1 1 0 0 1 65 103
26 Oct InFact 62 46 26 9 8 8 8 1 1 0 16 78 89
18 Oct Opinion Perduco 56 47 26 10 8 9 6 6 1 0 9 70 92
18 Oct Respons 53 53 26 10 9 10 7 1 0 0 0 69 99
9 Oct Norstat 57 46 31 7 7 9 6 6 1 0 11 70 94
7 Oct TNS Gallup 62 46 26 10 7 10 7 1 0 0 10 76 92
28 Sep Ipsos MMI 54 53 28 11 9 10 2 1 1 0 1 65 102
25 Sep Opinion Perduco 58 45 31 7 7 8 7 6 0 0 13 72 91
20 Sep Sentio 57 48 27 9 9 10 8 1 0 0 9 74 94
9 Sep 2013 Election Results 55 48 29 10 10 9 7 1 0 0 7 72 96

References