Next Greek legislative election

Next Greek legislative election
Greece
On or before 24 February 2019
All 300 seats of the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats needed for a majority
  XA
Leader Alexis Tsipras Antonis Samaras Nikolaos Michaloliakos
Party SYRIZA ND ΧΑ
Leader since 9 February 2008 30 November 2009 1 November 1993
Leader's seat Athens A Messenia Athens A
Last election 149 seats, 36.3% 76 seats, 27.8% 17 seats, 6.3%
Current seats 149 76 17
Seats needed Increase2 Increase75 Increase134
 
Leader Stavros Theodorakis Dimitris Koutsoumpas Panos Kammenos
Party To Potami KKE ANEL
Leader since 26 February 2014 14 April 2013 24 February 2012
Leader's seat Chania Athens B Athens B
Last election 17 seats, 6.1% 15 seats, 5.5% 13 seats, 4.8%
Current seats 17 15 13
Seats needed Increase134 Increase136 Increase138
 
Leader Evangelos Venizelos
Party PASOK
Leader since 18 March 2012
Leader's seat Thessaloniki A
Last election 13 seats, 4.7%
Current seats 13
Seats needed Increase138
Incumbent Prime Minister

Alexis Tsipras
SYRIZA

The next Greek legislative election will be held on or before 24 February 2019.

Latest possible date

The next general election cannot be held later than Sunday 24 February 2019. This date is determined as follows:

Law Requirement Comments
Constitution: Article 53.1[1] The Members of Parliament shall be elected for a term of four consecutive years, commencing on the day of the general elections. The 2015 election was held on 25 January 2015. Four years after 25 January 2015 is 25 January 2019.
Constitution: Article 53.1[1] Upon expiration of the parliamentary term, there shall be proclaimed by presidential decree countersigned by the Cabinet, general parliamentary elections to be held within 30 days. 30 days after 25 January 2019 is 24 February 2019.

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The threshold for a party to elect members is 3%.

Date Polling Firm SYRIZA ND XA Potami KKE ANEL PASOK KIDISO EK Others Lead
25 Apr Alco[lower-alpha 1] 42.7 26.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 4.3 3.9 1.8 3.1 16.7
25 Apr Kapa Research[lower-alpha 1] 41.0 24.1 6.3 8.1 5.6 5.1 4.3 5.5 16.9
14–16 Apr Metrisi[lower-alpha 1] 39.4 27.5 5.9 6.3 5.9 5.6 3.5 5.9 11.9
2–4 Apr Metron Analysis 45.6 20.9 5.5 7.5 5.0 3.8 4.3 1.7 2.2 3.5 24.7
31 Mar–2 Apr Metrisi[lower-alpha 1] 40.3 27.0 6.2 6.2 5.8 5.5 3.3 5.7 13.3
17–20 Mar Metrisi[lower-alpha 1] 40.9 26.8 6.7 5.9 5.9 4.8 3.1 5.9 14.1
17–19 Mar Palmos Analysis 51.5 20.5 4.5 5.0 5.5 4.0 2.5 6.5 31.0
18 Mar Marc[lower-alpha 1] 44.8 23.4 5.4 4.8 5.5 5.0 2.8 2.0 1.6 4.7 21.4
16–18 Mar Metron Analysis 47.8 21.1 6.1 5.6 4.5 4.4 3.4 2.2 2.1 2.8 26.7
16–17 Mar Interview[lower-alpha 1] 46.4 19.8 6.7 4.9 6.0 5.6 3.7 6.9 26.6
27 Feb–2 Mar MRB[lower-alpha 1] 46.2 21.5 5.7 6.0 5.9 6.0 3.2 2.1 3.2 24.7
24–25 Feb Metron Analysis 47.6 20.7 5.9 6.4 4.7 4.3 3.4 1.6 2.8 2.6 26.9
12–13 Feb Marc[lower-alpha 1] 49.4 20.0 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.1 3.0 2.2 2.0 3.0 29.4
25 Jan 2015 Legislative Election 36.3 27.8 6.3 6.1 5.5 4.8 4.7 2.5 1.8 4.2 8.5

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 151 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament. 50 additional seats are awarded as a majority bonus to the single party winning the largest share of the votes.

151 seats needed for majority
Date Polling Firm SYRIZA ND XA Potami KKE ANEL PASOK KIDISO EK Others
17–19 Mar Palmos Analysis 192 56 12 14 15 11 0 0 0 0
12–13 Feb Marc 187 56 14 14 15 14 0 0 0 0
25 Jan 2015 Legislative Election 149 76 17 17 15 13 13 0 0 0

Voting preference

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The "No party" columns includes blank and invalid ballots, as well as those respondents declaring their intention to abstain as well as those that remain undecided.

Date Polling Firm SYRIZA ND XA Potami KKE ANEL PASOK KIDISO EK Others No party
25 Apr Alco 35.9 21.8 5.0 5.1 5.1 3.6 3.3 1.5 2.7 16.0
25 Apr Kapa Research 36.9 21.7 5.7 7.3 5.0 4.6 3.9 4.8 10.1
14–16 Apr Metrisi 34.6 24.2 5.2 5.5 5.2 4.9 3.1 5.2 12.1
2–4 Apr Metron Analysis 38.1 17.4 4.6 6.3 4.2 3.2 3.6 1.5 1.8 2.8 16.5
31 Mar–2 Apr Metrisi 35.2 23.6 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.8 2.9 4.9 12.7
17–20 Mar Metrisi 35.4 23.2 5.8 5.1 5.1 4.2 2.7 5.1 13.4
17–19 Mar Palmos Analysis 42.8 16.3 3.6 3.4 3.9 3.2 2.0 1.0 1.6 2.5 19.6
18 Mar Marc 40.2 21.0 4.8 4.3 4.9 4.5 2.5 1.8 1.4 4.3 10.3
16–18 Mar Metron Analysis 41.9 18.4 5.3 4.9 3.9 3.8 3.0 2.0 1.9 2.4 12.5
16–17 Mar Interview 39.8 17.0 5.7 4.2 5.1 4.8 3.2 5.9 14.3
27 Feb–2 Mar MRB 41.3 19.2 5.1 5.4 5.3 5.4 2.9 1.9 2.9 10.6
24–25 Feb Metron Analysis 42.1 18.3 5.3 5.7 4.1 3.8 3.0 1.4 2.5 2.4 11.4
12–13 Feb Marc 45.4 18.4 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.7 2.8 2.0 1.8 2.7 8.1
25 Jan 2015 Legislative Election 36.3 27.8 6.3 6.1 5.5 4.8 4.7 2.5 1.8 4.2 0.0

Notes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 The linked core data of this poll, shows the percentage of support each party would gain among the surveyed sample of the electorate, without disregarding those who were undecided or said they would abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank). However, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results, the result shown in this table has been adjusted based on the simple rule of three, which mean the "group of undecided and/or abstaining voters" have been assumed ultimately to cast their votes (if any) according to the exact same distribution as the group of decided voters (having cast a specific vote in the survey). Or in other words, they are simply disregarded under the assumption they will not cause any change to the already found distribution of votes. After this calculated adjustment, the total of all noted vote shares in the table equals 100%, which is similar to how the results of the official elections are presented. This practice is done for most pollsters, as most of them use and/or have used this system in the past in order to show results comparable to other polls and election results. Exceptionally, Palmos Analysis polls are verified to use a different system than this one, and as such it should not be applied to them.

References

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 "Greek Constitution; Part III. Organization and Functions of the State". hri.org. Retrieved 2015-01-26.