Next Basque parliamentary election
Next Basque parliamentary election
|
On or before 20 November 2016 |
|
|
All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 seats needed for a majority |
|
|
|
|
Leader |
Iñigo Urkullu |
Unai Urruzuno |
Idoia Mendia |
Party |
EAJ-PNV |
EHB |
PSE-EE |
Leader since |
2 December 2007 |
12 September 2014 |
20 September 2014 |
Last election |
27 seats, 34.2% |
21 seats, 24.7% |
16 seats, 18.9% |
Current seats |
27 |
21 |
16 |
Seats needed |
11 |
17 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
Leader |
Arantza Quiroga |
Gorka Maneiro |
Party |
PP |
UPyD |
Leader since |
14 May 2013 |
2008 |
Last election |
10 seats, 11.6% |
1 seat, 1.9% |
Current seats |
10 |
1 |
Seats needed |
28 |
37 |
|
|
The next Basque parliamentary election will be held on or before Sunday, 20 November 2016, to elect the 11th Basque Parliament, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of the Basque Country. At stake will be all 75 seats in the Parliament, determining the Lehendakari of the Basque Country.
Electoral system
The 75 members of the Basque Parliament are elected in 3 multi-member districts using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation. Each district is entitled to 25 seats. Only lists polling above 3% of the total vote in each district (which includes blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.[1]
Latest possible date
The next general election cannot be held later than Sunday 20 November 2016. This date is determined as follows:
Law |
Requirement |
Comments |
SoABC: Article 26.4[2] |
The Parliament will be elected for a term of four years. |
The 2012 election was held on 21 October 2012. Four years after 21 October 2012 is 21 October 2016. |
Ley 5/1990: Article 47.2 and 47.3[1] |
Except in the case of an early dissolution, the decree calling for new elections will be issued 25 days before the expiry date of the Parliament (...) and [the decree] will be published the following day after its issuing. The decree will enter into force the same day of its publication. |
25 days before 21 October 2016 is 26 September 2016. The day after 26 September 2016 is 27 September 2016. |
Ley 5/1990: Article 47.3[1] |
(...) Voting must take place 54 days from the publication [of the election calling decree]. |
54 days after 27 September 2016 is 20 November 2016. |
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PNV |
EHB |
PSE |
PP |
IU |
UPyD |
EB-B |
P |
Others |
Lead |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27 Oct–14 Nov |
UPV/EHU |
29.3 |
18.9 |
12.3 |
7.8 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
|
24.6 |
2.0 |
4.7 |
25 May 2014 |
EP Election |
27.5 |
23.4 |
13.8 |
10.2 |
5.6 |
3.3 |
N/A |
6.9 |
9.3 |
4.1 |
30 Apr–19 May |
UPV/EHU |
34.2 |
23.9 |
16.5 |
8.1 |
6.4 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
4.8 |
2.4 |
10.3 |
2014 |
24 Oct–15 Nov |
UPV/EHU |
34.9 |
25.9 |
15.5 |
9.6 |
4.4 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
Did not exist |
6.0 |
9.0 |
8–11 Oct |
GPS |
34.7 |
24.1 |
17.7 |
10.8 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
6.2 |
10.6 |
7–27 May |
UPV/EHU |
34.0 |
24.0 |
18.0 |
10.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
6.0 |
10.0 |
22–27 Apr |
GPS |
34.9 |
24.2 |
17.8 |
10.0 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
6.2 |
10.7 |
2013 |
21 Oct 2012 |
Regional Election |
34.2 |
24.7 |
18.9 |
11.6 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
|
3.2 |
9.5 |
Seats
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
38 seats needed for majority
Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PNV |
EHB |
PSE |
PP |
IU |
UPyD |
EB-B |
P |
Others |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27 Oct–14 Nov |
UPV/EHU |
22 / 23 |
13 / 14 |
10 |
6 |
0 / 1 |
0 / 1 |
0 |
21 / 22 |
0 |
25 May 2014 |
EP Election |
(21) |
(21) |
(12) |
(10) |
(4) |
(1) |
N/A |
(6) |
(0) |
30 Apr–19 May |
UPV/EHU |
29 |
22 |
12 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2014 |
24 Oct–15 Nov |
UPV/EHU |
29 |
23 |
12 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
Did not exist |
0 |
8–11 Oct |
GPS |
27 |
21 |
15 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
7–27 May |
UPV/EHU |
28 |
20 |
14 |
10 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
22–27 Apr |
GPS |
27 |
21 |
15 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2013 |
21 Oct 2012 |
Regional Election |
27 |
21 |
16 |
10 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
|
0 |
References