Matched betting

Matched betting (also known as back or lay bet matching, or double betting) is a betting technique used by individuals to profit from the free bets and incentives offered by bookmakers. It is generally considered risk-free as it is based on the application of a mathematical equation rather than chance.^[1] A typical return for a matched bet where the stake is returned is 85%+ of the free bet offer amount, and 70%+ where the stake is not returned.

Concept

The concept of matched betting requires an account with a bookmaker who would offer a free bet with favourable conditions, and at a betting exchange, which is required to offset the loss made at the bookmaker.^[2] Generally, bookmakers incorporate terms by which individuals must first place a bet using their own money in order to qualify for the free bet. For this, a bet is placed on particular results occurring with the bookmaker and a second bet placed on the same result not occurring at the betting exchange. The latter is required to offset any loss in the event that the result does not occur, for instance, if a team loses. Once the free bet has been qualified, the same process is followed with the exception that a free bet is being used. No matter which result occurs, there will always be a guaranteed profit because the bet was made free of charge. Online betting outlets, betting exchanges, have become popular in recent years for they allow betters to bet without official odds-makers. In essence, the person placing the lay bet acts as a bookmaker.^[3]

Approaches

There are several common strategy to matched betting including automatic, assisted, and manual betting.

Automatic

Automatic systems will automatically scan the market, calculate the right bet to minimise the initial loss and maximise the return on the free bet. The system will then provide the individual with instructions as to how to place the bets to generate a profit. Automatic websites or software packages are usually aimed at individuals with little or no experience in matched betting.^[4] These websites usually filter out offers where there is a mathematical chance of making a loss to ensure users cannot put their money in offers where they could lose money. The websites are usually financed by membership fees, advertising, affiliate programs, and commission on winnings with a betting exchange. A classic example of such system is Profit-Ninjas.co.uk.

Assisted

Assisted matched betting refers to websites or software packages which provide comparison tables of markets for individuals to bet on. These are commonly known as 'auto-matchers'.^[5][6] Auto-matchers are usually used by individuals who have an understanding of matched betting. Auto-matchers will usually provide the individual with a matched betting calculator to be used in conjunction with the comparison table, in which the user can select the type of bet, stake, bonus and time-frame. These sites are often free, but generally require registration - an example is Profit-Ninjas.co.uk.

Manual

Matched betting manually is where the individual finds the offers, markets and odds him/herself and also makes the relevant calculations. Matching the right odds can be time consuming and may require a high level of numeracy and betting knowledge. Where there is a potential for loss this is more akin to advantage play gambling.

Risks

Matched betting is perceived to be risk-free because the portion of the free-bet offsets any potential losses and betting exchange commission.^[4]

Worked example

Note that the following example uses indicative figures.

Bookie X offers a £10 free bet. First, the individual has to make a bet of £10 with Bookie X to qualify for this.

Bookmakers often require individuals to make a bet before giving them the free bet.

Stage 1
The first stage is to qualify for this free bet – e.g. making a £10 bet with Bookie X for England to win. There is a chance that England might not win – in which case, you would normally lose the £10.00. This bet is referred to as the Back bet. However in matched betting, this loss is minimized by placing a bet at the same time at a betting exchange for England not to win ( i.e. to lose or draw). This is called a 'lay bet'.

By applying the correct equations, the individual making the bets knows how much to place at the betting exchange so that no matter the outcome of the England match, the same small loss will be made (typically under 10% of the value of the free bet offer). However, by making this initial bet, they have then qualified for the free bet.

Stage 2
The second stage is to use the free bet, for example, making a £10 back bet with Bookie X for France to win. Again a lay bet is placed for France not to win to offset any loss.

The mathematics of matched betting means that the profit made is identical, regardless of result. In this example, it is assumed that the overall profit from this match is £8, since any loss is offset by larger winnings achieved through laying this bet. This means that matched betting individuals will know for sure how much profit they will make before the match starts. Less the initial loss, the matched better's net profit is £7.00.

Industry reactions

• Matched betting is legal and a spokesperson for William Hill has indicated that the betting industry does not have a problem with this use of free bets.^[4]

Taxation

• Matched betting, along with all other betting, is tax-free in the UK.^[7]

Terminology and acronyms

Betting Exchange

A betting exchange is an entity which provides trading facilities for retail or bookmaker customers to buy and sell contracts. Betting exchanges provide the ability to place both back and lay bets.

Back Bet

A bet that wins if the selection on which it is placed wins. All traditional bookmakers as well as betting exchanges offer back bets.

Lay Bet

A bet that loses if the selection on which it is placed wins. Laying bets is a service provided only by betting exchanges.

Stake Returned (SR)

A bet where, if it wins, the original stake is also returned. For example, a bet of £5 at odds of 5.0 will return £25 - the £20 win plus the £5 stake.

Stake Not Returned (SNR)

A bet where, if it wins, the original stake is not returned, For example, a bet of £5 at odds of 5.0 will return only £20.

Qualifying Bet (QB)

A bet placed at a bookmaker in order to receive a free bet.

Wagering Requirement (WR)

Specific instructions that must be followed in order to unlock a free bet or withdraw bonus funds from a bookmaker. These may include restrictions on markets, types of bets that may be placed and the maximum value of individual bets.

Other points to consider

• Betting exchanges charge a commission on winnings made.
• Free bets may have terms and conditions attached to them. For example, a bookmaker may stipulate that an initial bet is placed at odds of 2.00 or over before you can qualify for their free bet.^[4]
• Bookmakers use reputation management system iesnare to track users who sign up with multiple bookmakers although some argue that the use of this software is actually a breach of the UK Data Protection Act since it shares personal information between different organisations.^[8]

See also

• Mathematics of bookmaking

References