Hungarian parliamentary election, 2014
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The 2014 Hungarian parliamentary election took place on 6 April 2014.[1] The result was a victory for Fidesz, with Viktor Orbán remaining Prime Minister.[2] It was the first election according to the new Constitution of Hungary which went into force on 1 January 2012. The new electoral law also entered into force that day. For the first time since Hungary's transition to democracy, the election had a single round. The voters elected 199 MPs instead of previous 386 lawmakers.[3][4]
Opinion polls
This chart illustrates the level of support for the Hungarian government party Fidesz among all eligible voters, as measured by the five polling institutions regularly conducting polling in Hungary, over the year 2013. Since many eligible Hungarian voters expressed no preference for any political party at all, these numbers are significantly lower than those for Fidesz support among decided voters.
This chart illustrates the level of support for the Hungarian government party Fidesz among decided voters, as measured by the five polling institutions regularly conducting polling in Hungary, over the year 2013. Please note the information in the footnotes about the selection and calculation of the Medián and Nézőpont numbers.
Methodological note: The Hungarian pollsters generally release separate data about the support of political parties among all eligible voters (which tends to include a high percentage for "don't know/no preference"), and about the support of political parties among "active" or "certain" voters. The table below refers to the latter data.[lower-alpha 1]
| Institute | Publication date | Survey dates | Fidesz | Unity | MSZP | Jobbik | LMP | DK | E14–PM | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 election | 11 & 25 April 2010 | 52.7% | – | 19.3% | 16.7% | 7.5% | – | – | 4.0% | |
| Ipsos | 20 September 2012 | 9 September 2012-
16 September 2012 |
40% | – | 32% | 17% | 5% | 4% | – | 3% |
| Medián | 27 September 2012 | 14 September 2012-
18 September 2012 |
43% | – | 28% | 15% | 7% | 6% | – | 1% |
| Medián | October 2012 | 41% | – | 28% | 18% | 6% | 5% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 2] | |
| Ipsos | October 2012 | 40% | – | 33% | 15% | 6% | 4% | – | 2% | |
| Századvég | 31 October 2012 | 24 October 2012
29 October 2012 |
40% | – | 29% | 19% | 7% | 3% | – | 2% |
| Ipsos | November 2012 | 41% | – | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | – | 2% | |
| Századvég | 30 November 2012 | 26 November 2012
29 November 2012 |
40% | – | 27% | 18% | 5% | 3% | – | 7% |
| Ipsos | 17 December 2012 | 4 December 2012-
11 December 2012 |
40% | – | 32% | 14% | 6% | 2% | – | 6% |
| Medián | 18 December 2012 | 23 November 2012-
27 November 2012 |
40% | – | 19% | 18% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 1% |
| Ipsos | 22 January 2013 | 41% | – | 32% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 0% | |
| Medián | 23 January 2013 | 11 January 2013-
15 January 2013 |
43% | – | 27% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 0% |
| Tárki | 30 January 2013 | 17 January 2013-
22 January 2013 |
40% | – | 28% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 1% |
| Századvég | 3 February 2013 | 40% | – | 29% | 18% | 5% | – | 7% | 1% | |
| Nézőpont | 4 February 2013 | 22 January 2013-
25 January 2013 |
48% | – | 18% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 3] | 14 February 2013 | 4 February 2013-
7 February 2013 |
44% | – | 13% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 1% |
| Ipsos | 18 February 2013 | 7 February 2013-
14 February 2013 |
43% | – | 28% | 16% | 6% | 2% | – | 6% |
| Századvég | 18 February 2013 | 42% | – | 29% | 17% | 4% | – | 6% | 2% | |
| Tárki | 27 February 2013 | 13 February 2013-
20 February 2013 |
48% | – | 22% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 1% |
| Medián | 28 February 2013 | 15 February 2013-
19 February 2013 |
41% | – | 17% | 19% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 2% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 4] | 13 March 2013 | 4 March 2013-
8 March 2013 |
41% | – | 15% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 2% |
| Ipsos | 18 March 2013 | 8 March 2013
14 March 2013 |
45% | – | 27% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 0% |
| Tárki | 27 March 2013 | 14 March 2013
18 March 2013 |
48% | – | 18% | 16% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 1% |
| Századvég | 29 March 2013 | 25 March 2013
27 March 2013 |
44% | – | 28% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 1% |
| Medián | 3 April 2013 | 22 March 2013
26 March 2013 |
45% | – | 24% | 17% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 5] | 10 April 2013 | 2 April 2013-
5 April 2013 |
40% | – | 15% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 1% |
| Ipsos | 18 April 2013 | 9 April 2013-
15 April 2013 |
46% | – | 26% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 1% |
| Tárki | 24 April 2013 | 11 April 2013-
17 April 2013 |
49% | – | 21% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 1% |
| Medián | 6 May 2013 | 19 April 2013-
23 April 2013 |
50% | – | 17% | 17% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 6] | 15 May 2013 | 6 May 2013-
10 May 2013 |
39% | – | 16% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 10% | 2% |
| Ipsos | 16 May 2013 | 6 May 2013-
13 May 2013 |
48% | – | 26% | 14% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 1% |
| Tárki | 29 May 2013 | 15 May 2013-
21 May 2013 |
46% | – | 22% | 15% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 0% |
| Századvég | 31 May 2013 | 25 May 2013-
27 May 2013 |
47% | – | 25% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 2% |
| Medián | 5 June 2013 | 24 May 2013-
28 May 2013 |
45% | – | 23% | 15% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 0% |
| Ipsos | 18 June 2013 | 8 June 2013-
15 June 2013 |
49% | – | 27% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 1% |
| Századvég | 24 June 2013 | 17 June 2013-
20 June 2013 |
49% | – | 24% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 2% |
| Tárki | 26 June 2013 | 12 June 2013-
21 June 2013 |
48% | – | 24% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 7] | 11 July 2013 | 1 July 2013-
4 July 2013 |
39% | – | 13% | 12% | 4% | 0.4% | 11% | 0% |
| Ipsos | 16 July 2013 | 6 July 2013-
13 July 2013 |
50% | – | 27% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 1% |
| Medián | 21 July 2013 | 5 July 2013-
9 July 2013 |
46% | – | 20% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 2% |
| Tárki | 24 July 2013 | 10 July 2013-
17 July 2013 |
48% | – | 20% | 15% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 2% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 8] | 14 August 2013 | 6 August 2013-
10 August 2013 |
38% | – | 12% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 0% |
| Ipsos | 15 August 2013 | 6 August 2013-
13 August 2013 |
49% | – | 26% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% |
| Századvég | 4 September 2013 | 23 August 2013-
28 August 2013 |
50% | – | 23% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 3% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 9] | 11 September 2013 | 2 September 2013-
6 September 2013 |
40% | – | 12% | 11% | 4% | ?% | 7% | ?% |
| Ipsos | 17 September 2013 | 6 September 2013-
13 September 2013 |
50% | – | 25% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| Tárki | 25 September 2013 | 11 September 2013-
19 September 2013 |
52% | – | 20% | 16% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 0% |
| Medián | 26 September 2013 | 6 September 2013-
10 September 2013 |
46% | – | 23% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 1% |
| Századvég | 4 October 2013 | 25 September 2013-
30 September 2013 |
51% | – | 23% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 10] | 16 October 2013 | 7 October 2013-
10 October 2013 |
41% | – | 13% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 1% |
| Ipsos | 17 October 2013 | 7 October 2013-
14 October 2013 |
49% | – | 28% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% |
| Tárki | 30 October 2013 | 16 October 2013-
23 October 2013 |
49% | – | 20% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 1% |
| Medián | 30 October 2013 | 11 October 2013-
16 October 2013 |
52% | – | 21% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 11] | 13 November 2013 | 4 November 2013-
8 November 2013 |
41% | – | 13% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 2% |
| Ipsos | 18 November 2013 | 7 November 2013-
14 November 2013 |
51% | – | 26% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% |
| Medián | 20 November 2013 | 8 November 2013-
12 November 2013 |
48% | – | 21% | 16% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 2% |
| Századvég | 22 November 2013 | 17 November 2013-
19 November 2013 |
52% | – | 24% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% |
| Tárki | 27 November 2013 | 14 November 2013-
20 November 2013 |
48% | – | 20% | 13% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 12] | 12 December 2013 | 2 December 2013-
6 December 2013 |
40% | – | 12% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 1% |
| Medián | 18 December 2013 | 6 December 2013-
10 December 2013 |
52% | – | 18% | 14% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 1% |
| Ipsos | 18 December 2013 | 7 December 2013-
14 December 2013 |
47% | – | 27% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
| Tárki | 19 December 2013 | 4 December 2013-
11 December 2013 |
47% | – | 19% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 1% |
| Századvég | 20 December 2013 | 16 December 2013-
19 December 2013 |
52% | – | 23% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 13] |
| Ipsos | 15 January 2014 | 6 January 2014-
13 January 2014 |
48% | – | 27% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 2% |
| Századvég | 15 January 2014 | 10 January 2014-
12 January 2014 |
52% | – | 21% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 14] | 15 January 2014 | 6 January 2014-
9 January 2014 |
46% | – | 10% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 2% |
| Tárki | 29 January 2014 | 15 January 2014-
22 January 2014 |
49% | – | 23% | 14% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 1% |
| Századvég | 29 January 2014 | 26 January 2014-
28 January 2014 |
51% | 28% | – | 14% | 6% | – | – | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 15] | 30 January 2014 | 20 January 2014-
25 January 2014 |
46% | 26% | – | 9% | 4% | – | – | 1% |
| Medián | 4 February 2014 | 24 January 2014-
28 January 2014 |
52% | 30% | – | 14% | 2% | – | – | 2% |
| Ipsos | 13 February 2014 | 1 February 2014-
9 February 2014 |
51% | 33% | – | 13% | 2% | – | – | 1% |
| Tárki | 26 February 2014 | 12 February 2014-
18 February 2014 |
49% | 27% | – | 19% | 6% | – | – | 1% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 16] | 27 February 2014 | 17 February 2014-
20 February 2014 |
59% | 22% | – | 15% | 3% | – | – | 1% |
| Medián | 5 March 2014 | 21 February 2014-
25 February 2014 |
49% | 30% | – | 18% | 3% | – | – | 0% |
| Századvég | 7 March 2014 | 26 February 2014-
28 February 2014 |
51% | 27% | – | 16% | 5% | – | – | 1% |
| Ipsos | 13 March 2014 | 4 March 2014-
10 March 2014 |
48% | 31% | – | 15% | 4% | – | – | 2% |
| Tárki | 26 March 2014 | 12 March 2014-
19 March 2014 |
51% | 21% | – | 20% | 6% | – | – | 2% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 17] | 26 March 2014 | 17 March 2014-
19 March 2014 |
59% | 23% | – | 14% | 2% | – | – | 1% |
| Századvég | 31 March 2014 | 27 March 2014-
30 March 2014 |
51% | 25% | – | 18% | 5% | – | – | 1% |
| Medián[lower-alpha 18] | 3 April 2014 | 21 March 2014-
25 March 2014 |
47% | 23% | – | 21% | 3% | – | – | 0% |
| Nézőpont[lower-alpha 19] | 3 April 2014 | 31 March 2014-
2 April 2014 |
47% | 28% | – | 19% | 5% | – | – | 1% |
| Ipsos[lower-alpha 20] | 5 April 2014 | 28 March 2014-
3 April 2014 |
46% | 26% | – | 19% | 4% | – | – |
Support for the main Hungarian political parties among decided voters, as measured by the five regular polling institutions. Please note the clarifications about the selection and calculation of the Medián and Nézőpont data, and the calculation of the Unity average for the first month.
Results
| Parties and coalitions | Party list | Constituency | Total seats | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | +/− | Seats | Votes | Seats | Seats | +/− | % | +/− | |||
| Fidesz – Hungarian Civic Union Fidesz – Magyar Polgári Szövetség |
Fidesz | 2,135,891 | 44.54 |  8.19 |
30 | 2,097,882 | 87 | 117 | 110 |
66.83 | 1.3 | |
| Christian Democratic People's Party | 7 | 9 | 16 | 20 | ||||||||
| Unity Összefogás |
Hungarian Socialist Party | 1,246,465 | 25.99 |  6.29 |
21 | 1,273,275 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
19.10 | 3.82 | |
| Together 2014 | New | 2 | 1 | 3 | New | |||||||
| Democratic Coalition | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||||||||
| Dialogue for Hungary | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||
| Hungarian Liberal Party | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||
| Jobbik Jobbik Magyarországért Mozgalom |
985,029 | 20.54 | 3.87 |
23 | 967,179 | 0 | 23 | 24 |
11.56 | 0.62 | ||
| Politics Can Be Different (LMP) Lehet Más a Politika |
252,373 | 5.26 | 2.21 |
5 | 229,747 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
2.51 | 1.64 | ||
| Hungarian Workers' Party Magyar Munkáspárt |
27,696 | 0.58 | 0.47 |
0 | 12,460 | 0 | 0 |  0 |
0 | 0 | ||
| Homeland Not For Sale Movement Party (HNEM) A Haza Nem Eladó Mozgalom Párt |
22,657 | 0.47 | New | 0 | 22,284 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Alliance of Mária Seres (SMS) Seres Mária Szövetségesei |
21,176 | 0.44 | New | 0 | 19,412 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Green Party (Greens) Zöldek Pártja |
17,688 | 0.37 | 0.37 |
0 | 9,007 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0 | 0 | ||
| Hungarian Social Democrats' Party (Soc Dems) Magyar Szociáldemokraták Pártja |
14,603 | 0.3 | 0.22 |
0 | 11,881 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0 | 0 | ||
| Together 2014 Party Együtt 2014 Párt |
13,525 | 0.28 | New | 0 | 6,077 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Party for a Fit and Healthy Hungary (SEM) Sportos és Egészséges Magyarországért Párt |
11,930 | 0.25 | New | 0 | 11,190 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Community for Social Justice People's Party (KTI) Közösség a Társadalmi Igazságosságért Néppárt |
10,526 | 0.22 | New | 0 | 10,263 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Democratic Community of Welfare and Freedom (JESZ) Jólét és Szabadság Demokratikus Közösség |
9,518 | 0.2 | New | 0 | 12,551 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Gypsy Party of Hungary (MCP) Magyarországi Cigány Párt |
8,689 | 0.18 | New | 0 | 8,920 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Independent Smallholders Party (FKGP) Független Kisgazdapárt |
7,808 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
0 | 6,940 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0 | 0 | ||
| Unity Party (ÖP) Összefogás Párt |
6,561 | 0.14 | 0.07 |
0 | 6,562 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0 | 0 | ||
| New Dimension Party (ÚDP) Új Dimenzió Párt |
2,036 | 0.04 | New | 0 | 1,638 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| New Hungary Party (ÚMP) Új Magyarország Párt |
1,516 | 0.03 | New | 0 | 1,944 | 0 | 0 | New | 0 | 0 | ||
| Others and Independent candidates | – | – | – | – | 33,297 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
0 | 0.26 | ||
| Total (turnout 61.73%) | 4,795,757 | 100% | – | 93 | 4,742,509 | 106 | 199 | 187 |
100% | – | ||
| Source: National Election Office (99.99% reporting) | ||||||||||||
| 7:00 | 9:00 | 11:00 | 13:00 | 15:00 | 17:30 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.64% | 9.5% | 23.23% | 34.33% | 45.02% | 56.77% | 61.73% |
| 133 | 38 | 23 | 5 |
| Fidesz–KDNP | Unity | Jobbik | LMP |
Evaluation of the elections
The Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights Limited Election Observation Mission found that the elections were "efficiently administered and offered voters a diverse choice following an inclusive candidate registration process" but that Fidesz "enjoyed an undue advantage because of restrictive campaign regulations, biased media coverage and campaign activities that blurred the separation between political party and the State".[6]
See also
Hungarian local elections, 2014
Notes
- ↑ In addition, confusingly, two pollsters publish parallel data even about "active" or "certain" voters. Thus, Medián publishes different numbers for the categories of "választani tudók" and "választani tudó "biztos" szavazók", though they don't tend to differ much – the data in the table here generally refers to the latter. Tárki's polling releases always highlight results about "A pártok támogatottsága a pártválasztók körében," and those are included in the table here (and can be reviewed further back into time in this database on their website), but their website also provides a separate database with somewhat different polling data on "A pártok támogatottságának alakulása a biztos szavazó pártválasztók körében". Finally, in February 2013 Nézőpont switched to a system in which it distinguishes between "the entire population" and "active voters", but even the "active voters" sample always includes a percentage of those who are "undecided but favour a change in government" and a percentage of those who are "undecided altogether". Those numbers are given in the footnotes for each Nézőpont poll in the table.
- ↑ Includes 1% for 4K! – Fourth Republic!.
- ↑ This poll has 20% undecideds, of which 10% fully undecided and 10% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll has 17% undecideds, of which 9% fully undecided and 8% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll has 15% undecideds, of which 6% fully undecided and 9% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll has 13% undecideds, of which 6% fully undecided and 7% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll has 20.6% undecideds, of which 11.6% fully undecided and 9% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll has 26% undecideds, of which 12% fully undecided and 14% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll has a separate share of undecideds, which Nézőpont usually breaks down between those fully undecided and those undecided but in favour of a change in government. This month that data does not appear to have been published though, but a total of 26% must have fallen in those two categories or expressed support for DK or the smallest parties ("Others").
- ↑ This poll has 17% undecideds, of which 10% fully undecided and 7% undecided but in favour of a change in government. In addition, this time the Nézőpont poll also provides data for "potenciális szavazók", which add up to 100%, leaving no number of undecided voters. The proportions are substantively different in this data, to the advantage of the MSzP: Fidesz 44%, MSzP 25%, Jobbik 14%, LMP 6%, DK 3%, E2014 7%.
- ↑ This poll has 18% undecideds, of which 10% fully undecided and 8% undecided but in favour of a change in government. In addition, this time the Nézopont poll also provides data for "potenciális szavazók", which add up to 100%, leaving no number of undecided voters. The proportions are substantively different in this data, to the advantage of the MSzP and E2014: Fidesz 42%, MSzP 23%, Jobbik 13%, LMP 6%, DK 4%, E2014 10%, Others 2%.
- ↑ This poll has 21% undecideds, of which 16% fully undecided and 5% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ Includes 1% for Hungarian Liberal Party.
- ↑ This poll has 14% undecideds, of which 12% fully undecided and 2% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll has 14% undecideds, of which 9% fully undecided and 5% undecided but in favour of a change in government.
- ↑ This poll had 20% undecideds, of which 13% were fully undecided and 7% were undecided but in favour of a change in government. The figures presented represent decided voters.
- ↑ This poll had 19% undecideds, of which 13% were fully undecided and 6% undecided but in favour of a change in government. The figures presented represent decided voters.
- ↑ In addition to its polling data, Median provided a forecast for the election results: Fidesz/KDNP 38-44%; Unity 26-32%; Jobbik 21-25%; LMP 3-5%. See http://median.hu/object.cd804c1b-7e19-4376-ac97-b8089b67b753.ivy
- ↑ This polling data does not include the "active voters" category which Nezopont used (and this table reflected) since February 2013. It only has data for "the entire population", with 27% undecideds and non-voters, and for "potential voters", with no undecideds at all. This table therefore uses the latter data.
- ↑ In addition to this polling data for decided voters, Ipsos provided a forecast for the election results: Fidesz/KDNP 40-45%; Unity 26-31%; Jobbik 19-23%; LMP 4-6%.
References
- ↑ "Áder sets date of 2014 election for April 6". 18 January 2014. Retrieved 18 January 2014.
- ↑ "Hungary election: PM Viktor Orban heads for victory". bbc.
- ↑ Az országgyűlési képviselők választásáról szóló 2011. évi CCIII. törvény. In.: Magyar Közlöny. 2011. évi, 165. sz., 41095-41099. p.
- ↑ "Életbe lép az új választójogi törvény". Magyar Nemzet (in Hungarian). 29 December 2011. Retrieved 2 January 2012.
- ↑ "Tájékoztató adatok a választáson megjelentek számáról és arányáról" (in Hungarian). National Election Office. Retrieved 6 April 2014.
- ↑ "OSCE/ODIHR Limited Election Observation Mission Final Report". OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights. Retrieved 1 November 2014.
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