Global Terrorism Index

The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an attempt to systematically rank the nations of the world according to terrorist activity. The index combines a number of factors associated with terrorist attacks to build an explicit picture of the impact of terrorism over a 10-year period, illustrating trends, and providing a data series for analysis by researchers and policymakers. It is the product of Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) and is based on data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) which is collected and collated by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) at the University of Maryland. The GTD has codified over 125,000 cases of terrorism.[1]

The 2014 Global Terrorism Index is the second edition of the index following a 2012 edition.[2] An interactive map highlights changes to the level of terrorism and the Global Terrorism Index.[3]

The 2014 Global Terrorism Index rankings

The scores of the GTI on a map. The darker the red, the more the terrorism.
Rank Country Score
1 Iraq Iraq12
2 Afghanistan Afghanistan9.39
3 Pakistan Pakistan9.37
4 Nigeria Nigeria8.58
5 Syria Syria8.12
6 India India7.77
7 Somalia Somalia7.41
8 Yemen Yemen7.31
9 Philippines Philippines7.29
10 Thailand Thailand7.19
11 Russia Russia6.76
12 Kenya Kenya6.58
13 Egypt Egypt6.5
14 Lebanon Lebanon6.4
15 Libya Libya6.25
16 Colombia Colombia6.24
17 Turkey Turkey5.98
18 Democratic Republic of the Congo Democratic Republic of the Congo5.9
19 Sudan Sudan5.77
20 South Sudan South Sudan5.6
21 Algeria Algeria5.52
22 United States United States5.28
23 Mali Mali5.27
24 Bangladesh Bangladesh5.25
25 Nepal Nepal5.23
26 China China5.21
27 Central African Republic Central African Republic5.19
28 United Kingdom United Kingdom5.17
29 Iran Iran4.9
30 Greece Greece4.73
31 Indonesia Indonesia4.67
32 Israel Israel4.66
33 Mexico Mexico4.66
34 Bahrain Bahrain4.41
35 Burma Myanmar4.24
36 Mozambique Mozambique4.01
37 Sri Lanka Sri Lanka4.01
38 Rwanda Rwanda4
39 Burundi Burundi3.97
40 Ivory Coast Cote d'Ivoire3.76
41 Tanzania Tanzania3.71
42 Ethiopia Ethiopia3.7
43 Paraguay Paraguay3.63
44 Norway Norway3.57
45 Senegal Senegal3.55
46 Tunisia Tunisia3.29
47 Republic of Ireland Ireland3.09
48 Malaysia Malaysia3.04
49 South Africa South Africa3.04
50 Peru Peru2.96
51 Ukraine Ukraine2.95
52 Uganda Uganda2.93
53 Belarus Belarus2.85
54 Kosovo Kosovo2.73
55 Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia2.71
56 France France2.67
57 Guatemala Guatemala2.61
58 Chile Chile2.59
59 Niger Niger2.59
60 Bulgaria Bulgaria2.58
61 Georgia (country) Georgia2.58
62 Italy Italy2.55
63 Eritrea Eritrea2.45
64 Honduras Honduras2.38
65 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan2.37
66 Cyprus Cyprus2.3
67 Morocco Morocco2.11
68 Tajikistan Tajikistan1.99
69 Spain Spain1.84
70 Jordan Jordan1.76
71 Argentina Argentina1.73
72 Brazil Brazil1.72
73 Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo1.59
74 Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago1.54
75 Cameroon Cameroon1.45
76 Republic of Macedonia Macedonia1.45
77 Switzerland Switzerland1.34
78 Madagascar Madagascar1.26
79 Ecuador Ecuador1.18
80 Zimbabwe Zimbabwe1.16
81 Guinea Guinea1.12
82 Sweden Sweden1.07
83 Germany Germany1.02
84 Canada Canada0.95
85 Czech Republic Czech Republic0.81
86 Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina0.76
87 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso0.7
88 Montenegro Montenegro0.7
89 Netherlands Netherlands0.58
90 Serbia Serbia0.58
91 Mauritania Mauritania0.56
92 Venezuela Venezuela0.54
93 Belgium Belgium0.53
94 Dominican Republic Dominican Republic0.47
95 Angola Angola0.41
96 Australia Australia0.41
97 Guinea-Bissau Guinea-Bissau0.35
98 Cambodia Cambodia0.31
99 Taiwan Taiwan0.31
100 United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates0.29
101 Moldova Moldova0.28
102 Armenia Armenia0.27
103 Austria Austria0.24
104 Bolivia Bolivia0.24
105 Croatia Croatia0.23
106 Portugal Portugal0.23
107 Albania Albania0.19
108 Denmark Denmark0.19
109 Bhutan Bhutan0.16
110 Estonia Estonia0.16
111 Uzbekistan Uzbekistan0.14
112 Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan0.1
113 Iceland Iceland0.08
114 Laos Laos0.08
115 Liberia Liberia0.08
116 Hungary Hungary0.07
117 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan0.06
118 Chad Chad0.05
119 Kuwait Kuwait0.04
120 Panama Panama0.04
121 Equatorial Guinea Equatorial Guinea0.01
122 Japan Japan0.01
123 Lesotho Lesotho0.01
124 Benin Benin0
124 Botswana Botswana0
124 Costa Rica Costa Rica0
124 Cuba Cuba0
124 Djibouti Djibouti0
124 El Salvador El Salvador0
124 Finland Finland0
124 Gabon Gabon0
124 The Gambia Gambia0
124 Ghana Ghana0
124 Guyana Guyana0
124 Haiti Haiti0
124 Jamaica Jamaica0
124 Latvia Latvia0
124 Lithuania Lithuania0
124 Malawi Malawi0
124 Mauritius Mauritius0
124 Mongolia Mongolia0
124 Namibia Namibia0
124 New Zealand New Zealand0
124 Nicaragua Nicaragua0
124 North Korea North Korea0
124 Oman Oman0
124 Papua New Guinea Papua New Guinea0
124 Poland Poland0
124 Qatar Qatar0
124 Romania Romania0
124 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone0
124 Singapore Singapore0
124 Slovakia Slovakia0
124 Slovenia Slovenia0
124 South Korea South Korea0
124 Swaziland Swaziland0
124 East Timor Timor-Leste0
124 Togo Togo0
124 Turkmenistan Turkmenistan0
124 Uruguay Uruguay0
124 Vietnam Vietnam0
124 Zambia Zambia0

Methodology

GTI Scoring System

The GTI score for a country in a given year is based on a unique scoring system to account for the relative impact of incidents in the year. There are four factors counted in each country's yearly score:

Each of the factors is weighted differently and a five-year weighted average is applied to importantly reflect the lingering psychological effect of terrorist acts over time. The weightings shown in the table below were determined by consultation with the GPI Expert Panel:

Dimension Weight
Total number of incidents 1
Total number of fatalities 3
Total number of injuries 0.5
Sum of property damages measure 2

The greatest weighting is attributed to a fatality. The property damage measure is further disaggregated into four bands depending on the measured scope of the property damage inflicted by one incident. These bandings are shown in the table below, whereby incidents causing less than US$1 million are accorded a weight of 1, between $1 million and $1 billion, and more than $1 billion. A great majority of incidents are coded in the GTD as an 'unknown' level of property damage, thus scoring nil, with 'catastrophic' events being extremely rare.

Code Damage level
0 Unknown
1 Minor (likely < $1 million)
2 Major (likely between $1 million and $1 billion)
3 Catastrophic (likely > $1 billion)

Example of a country's GTI Score

To assign a relative number to how a country has been directly impacted by terrorism in any given year, for every incident recorded, the GTI calculates a weighted sum of all indicators. To illustrate, the table below depicts a hypothetical country's score for a given year:

Dimension Weight # of records for the given year Score
Total number of incidents 1 21 21
Total number of fatalities 3 36 108
Total number of injuries 0.5 53 26.5
Sum of property damages measure 2 20 40
Total Raw Score 195.5

Given these indicator values, the country for that year would be assessed as having a raw impact of terrorism score of:

(1 x 21) + (3 x 36) + (0.5 x 53) + (2 x 20) = 195.5.

See also

References

  1. "About the GTI". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 11 February 2013.
  2. "GTI 2014". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 18 November 2014.
  3. "GTI 2014". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 18 November 2014.

External links