Demographics of India

Demographics of India
Many faces of India
Population	1,236,344,631 (July 2014 est.)[1] (2nd)
Density	382 people per.sq.km (2011 est.)
Growth rate	1.25% (2013) (94th)
Birth rate	20.22 births/1,000 population (2013 est.)
Death rate	7.4 deaths/1,000 population (2013 est.)
Life expectancy	68.89 years (2009 est.)
• male	67.46 years (2009 est.)
• female	72.61 years (2009 est.)
Fertility rate	2.3 children born/woman (SRS 2013)
Infant mortality rate	40 deaths/1,000 live births (2013 est.)
Age structure
0–14 years	31.2% (male 190,075,426/female 172,799,553) (2009 est.)
15–64 years	63.6% (male 381,446,079/female 359,802,209) (2009 est.)
65 and over	5.3% (male 29,364,920/female 32,591,030) (2009 est.)
Sex ratio
At birth	1.10 male(s)/female (2013 est.)
Under 15	1.10 male(s)/female (2009 est.)
15–64 years	1.06 male(s)/female (2009 est.)
65 and over	0.90 male(s)/female (2009 est.)
Nationality
Major ethnic	See Ethnic Groups of India
Language
Official	See Languages of India

Crude birth rate trends in India
(per 1000 people, national average)^[2][3][4]

Infant mortality rate trends in India
(per 1000 births, under age 1, national average)

India is the second most populous country in the world, with over 1.27 billion people (2014), more than a sixth of the world's population. Already containing 17.5% of the world's population, India is projected to be the world's most populous country by 2025, surpassing China, its population reaching 1.6 billion by 2050.^[5][6] Its population growth rate is 1.2%, ranking 94th in the world in 2013.^[7] The Indian population had reached the billion mark by 1998.

India has more than 50% of its population below the age of 25 and more than 65% below the age of 35. It is expected that, in 2020, the average age of an Indian will be 29 years, compared to 37 for China and 48 for Japan; and, by 2030, India's dependency ratio should be just over 0.4.^[8]

India has more than two thousand ethnic groups,^[9] and every major religion is represented, as are four major families of languages (Indo-European, Dravidian, Austroasiatic and Sino-Tibetan languages) as well as two language isolates (the Nihali language^[10] spoken in parts of Maharashtra and the Burushaski language spoken in parts of Jammu and Kashmir). The modern Indian republic is home to 97% of Jains, 90% of Sikhs, 87% of Hindus, 50% of Zoroastrians, 40% of Baha'i, 20% of Shia, 10% of Muslims, 5% of Ahmadiyya, 2% of Buddhists and 1% of Christians worldwide.

Further complexity is lent by the great variation that occurs across this population on social parameters such as income and education. Only the continent of Africa exceeds the linguistic, genetic and cultural diversity of the nation of India.^[11]

History

Ancient India in 300 BC may have had a population in the range 100–140 million. It has been estimated that the population was about 100 million in 1600 and remained nearly static until the late 19th century. It reached 255 million according to the first census taken in 1881.^[12][13]

Studies of India's population since 1881 have focused on such topics as total population, birth and death rates, growth rates, geographic distribution, literacy, the rural and urban divide, cities of a million, and the three cities with populations over eight million: Delhi, Greater Mumbai (Bombay), and Kolkata (Calcutta).^[14]

Mortality rates fell in the period 1920–45, primarily due to biological immunization. Other factors included rising incomes, better living conditions, improved nutrition, a safer and cleaner environment, and better official health policies and medical care.^[15]

Salient features

India occupies 2.4% of the world's land area but supports over 17.5% of the world's population. At the 2001 census 72.2% of the population^[16] lived in about 638,000 villages^[17] and the remaining 27.8%^[16] lived in more than 5,100 towns and over 380 urban agglomerations.^[18]

India's population has exceeded that of the entire continent of Africa by 200 million people.^[19] However, because Africa's population growth is nearly double that of India, it is expected to surpass both China and India by 2025.

Comparative demographics

List of States and Union territories by demographics

States in India

^[28]

Religious demographics

The table below summarizes India's demographics (excluding Mao-Maram, Paomata and Purul subdivisions of Senapati District of Manipur state due to cancellation of census results) according to religion at the 2001 census in per cent. The data is "unadjusted" (without excluding Assam and Jammu and Kashmir); The 1981 census was not conducted in Assam and the 1991 census was not conducted in Jammu and Kashmir.

^1 including Bahá'ís, Jews, and Parsis. Tribal Animists (and non religious) are included after 1926 (1931 census onwards)

Population trends for major religious groups in India(1951–2011)^{[39][40][41][42]}

Neonatal and infant demographics

Male to female sex ratio for India, based on its official census data, from 1941 through 2011.^[43] The data suggests the existence of high sex ratios before and after the arrival of ultrasound-based prenatal care and sex screening technologies in India.

The table below represents the infant mortality rate trends in India, by gender, in the last 15 years. In the urban areas of India, average male infant mortality rates are slightly higher than the female infant mortality rates.

Some activists believe India's 2011 census shows a serious decline in the number of girls under the age of seven - activists fear eight million female foetuses may have been aborted between 2001 and 2011.^[47] These claims are controversial. Scientists who study human sex ratios and demographic trends suggest that birth sex ratio between 1.08 to 1.12 can be because of natural factors, such as the age of mother at baby's birth, age of father at baby's birth, number of babies per couple, economic stress, endocrinological factors, etc.^[48] The 2011 census birth sex ratio in India, of 917 girls to 1000 boys, is similar to 870-930 girls to 1000 boys birth sex ratios observed in Japanese, Chinese, Cuban, Filipino and Hawaiian ethnic groups in the United States between 1940 to 2005. They are also similar to birth sex ratios below 900 girls to 1000 boys observed in mothers of different age groups and gestation periods in the United States.^[49][50]

Population within the age group of 0–6

^[28]

Population above the age of 7

Life expectancy map of India, 2011-2016.^[51]

Literacy rate in India

Literacy rate map of India, 2011.^[52]

^[28]

Linguistic demographics

41.03% of the Indians speak Hindi while the rest speak Assamese, Bengali, Gujarati, Kannada, Malayalam, Marathi, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Urdu and a variety of other languages.

The table immediately below excludes Mao-Maram, Paomata and Purul subdivisions of Senapati District of Manipur state due to cancellation of census results.

Largest cities

Largest cities or towns in India Census India, 2011 [55]
	Rank	Name	State/UT	Pop.	Rank	Name	State/UT	Pop.
Mumbai Delhi	1	Mumbai	Maharashtra	12,478,447	11	Jaipur	Rajasthan	3,073,350	Chennai Hyderabad
	2	Delhi	Delhi	11,007,835	12	Kanpur	Uttar Pradesh	2,920,067
	3	Chennai	Tamil Nadu	8,425,970	13	Lucknow	Uttar Pradesh	2,901,474
	4	Hyderabad	Telangana	6,809,970	14	Nagpur	Maharashtra	2,405,421
	5	Bangalore	Karnataka	5,570,585	15	Indore	Madhya Pradesh	1,960 521
	6	Ahmedabad	Gujarat	4,681,087	16	Thane	Maharastra	1,818,872
	7	Kolkata	West Bengal	4,486,679	17	Bhopal	Madhya Pradesh	1,795,648
	8	Surat	Gujarat	4,462,002	18	Visakhapatnam	Andhra Pradesh	1,730,320
	9	Varanasi	Uttar Pradesh	3,676,841	19	Pimpri-Chinchwad	Maharashtra	1,729,359
	10	Pune	Maharashtra	3,115,431	20	Patna	Bihar	1,683,200

Vital statistics

UN estimates^[56]

Sample Registration System^[57][58]

Total fertility rate map of India, showing distribution of average births per woman by its states and union territories, as of 2012.^[59]

¹ The numbers of births and deaths were calculated from the birth and death rates and the average population

Regional vital Statistics

The below table gives the vital statistics (Births, Deaths, IMR and NGR) for the year 2010, according to the Registrar Gen., India.^[60]

CIA World Factbook demographic statistics

The following demographic statistics are from the CIA World Factbook, unless otherwise indicated.

Total population

1,166,079,217 (July 2009 est. CIA)^[61] 1,210 million (2011 Census) .

Map showing the population density in India, per 2011 Census.^[62]

Rural Population

72.2%, male: 381,668,992, female: 360,948,755 (2001 Census)

Age structure

0–14 years: 30.8%, male: 188,208,196, female: 171,356,024
15–64 years: 64.3%, male: 386,432,921, female: 364,215,759
65+ years: 4.9%, male: 27,258,259, female: 30,031,289 (2007 est.)

Median age

25.1 years

Population growth rate

1.548% (2009 est.)

Literacy rate

74% (Age 7 and above, in 2011)^[52]
81.4% (Total population, Age 15-25, in 2006) ^[63]

Per cent of the population under the poverty line

22% (2006 est.)

Unemployment Rate

7.8%

Net migration rate

−0.05 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2007 est.)

Sex ratio

at birth: 1.12 male(s)/female
under 10 years: 1.14 male(s)/female
15–24 years: 1.09 male(s)/female
24–64 years: 1.06 male(s)/female
65 years and over: 0.908 male(s)/female
total population: 1.08 male(s)/female (2011 est.)

Life expectancy at birth

total population: 65.8 years (Source: UN Human Development Report 2013)

Total fertility rate

2.72 children born/woman (2009 est.), although more up to date statistics indicate that India's TFR was 2.6 in 2008 ^[64] The TFR (Total number of children born per women) according to Religion in 2001 was :

Hindus — 2.0 Muslims — 3.4 Sikhs — 2.1 Christians — 2.1 Buddhists — 2.1 Jains — 1.4 Animists and Others — 2.99 Tribals — 3.16 Scheduled Castes — 2.89

Religions

Hindu 80.5% Muslim 13.4% Christian 2.3% Sikh 1.8% Buddhists 0.8% Jains 0.4% others 0.7% unspecified 0.1% (2001 Census) ^{[65][66][67][68]}

Scheduled Castes and Tribes

Scheduled Castes: 16.2% (2001 Census) Scheduled Tribes: 8.2% (2001 Census)

Languages: See Languages of India and List of Indian languages by total speakers. There are 216 languages with more than 10,000 native speakers in India. The largest of these is Hindi with some 337 million (the second largest being Bengali. 22 languages are recognized as official languages. In India, there are 1,652 languages and dialects in total.^[69][70]

Population projections

India is projected to overtake China as the world's most populous nation by 2030. India's population growth has raised concerns that it would lead to widespread unemployment and political instability.^[71][72] Note that these projections make assumptions about future fertility and death rates which may not turn out to be correct in the event.

Source:^[73]

• 2020: 1,326,093,000
• 2030: 1,460,743,000
• 2040: 1,571,715,000
• 2050: 1,656,554,000

2020 Estimate

In millions (example: 361 = 361,000,000)

Source:^[74]

Ethnic groups

The national Census of India does not recognize racial or ethnic groups within India,^[75] but recognizes many of the tribal groups as Scheduled Castes and Tribes (see list of Scheduled Tribes in India). Nevertheless, some anthropologists classify Indians as belonging to one of four major ethno-racial groups, which significantly overlap because of racial admixture between populations: Caucasoids, Australoids, Mongoloids and Negritos. The Caucasoids are found in the north, central and south-western regions of India and generally speak Indo-Aryan languages; Australoids are found in the south and generally speak Dravidian languages; Mongoloids are largely confined to the Northeastern region of the country and for the most part, speak Sino-Tibetan languages; and Negritos are found on the Andaman Islands located on the southeastern side of the country. These speak a language known simply as Great Andamanese, a linguistic isolate not related to any known language. And finally, Austroasiatic languages are spoken by only tribals or Adivasis, who can be of either Australoid or Mongoloid racial stock.^[76]

According to a 2009 study published by Reich et al., the modern Indian population is composed of two genetically divergent and heterogeneous populations which mixed in ancient times (about 1,200-3,500 BC), known as Ancestral North Indians (ANI) and Ancestral South Indians (ASI). ASI corresponds to the Dravidian-speaking population of southern India, whereas ANI corresponds to the Indo-Aryan-speaking population of northern India.^[77][78]

For a list of ethnic groups in the Republic of India (as well as neighboring countries) see ethnic groups of the Indian subcontinent or the tree diagram above.

Genetics

Y-chromosome DNA

^[79]

Y-Chromosome DNA Y-DNA represents the male lineage, The Indian Y-chromosome pool may be summarized as follows where haplogroups R-M420, H, R2, L and NOP comprise generally more than 80% of the total chromosomes.^[80]

• H ~ 30%
• R1a ~ 20%
• R2 ~ 15%
• L ~ 10%
• NOP ~ 10% (Excluding R)
• Other Haplogroups 15%

Mitochondrial DNA

^[81]

Mitochondrial DNA mtDNA represents the female lineage. The Indian mitochondrial DNA is primarily made up of Haplogroup M^[82]

• Haplogroup M ~ 60%
• Haplogroup UK ~ 15%
• Haplogroup N ~ 25% (Excluding UK)

Autosomal DNA

Numerous genomic studies have been conducted in the last 15 years to seek insights into India's demographic and cultural diversity. These studies paint a complex and conflicting picture.

• In a 2003 study, Basu, Majumder et al. have concluded on the basis of results obtained from mtDNA, Y-chromosome and autosomal markers that "(1) there is an underlying unity of female lineages in India, indicating that the initial number of female settlers may have been small; (2) the tribal and the caste populations are highly differentiated; (3) the Austroasiatic tribals are the earliest settlers in India, providing support to one anthropological hypothesis while refuting some others; (4) a major wave of humans entered India through the northeast; (5) the Tibeto-Burman tribals share considerable genetic commonalities with the Austroasiatic tribals, supporting the hypothesis that they may have shared a common habitat in southern China, but the two groups of tribals can be differentiated on the basis of Y-chromosomal haplotypes; (6) the Dravidian speaking populations were possibly widespread throughout India but are regulated to South India now ; (7) formation of populations by fission that resulted in founder and drift effects have left their imprints on the genetic structures of contemporary populations; (8) the upper castes show closer genetic affinities with Central Asian populations, although those of southern India are more distant than those of northern India; (9) historical gene flow into India has contributed to a considerable obliteration of genetic histories of contemporary populations so that there is at present no clear congruence of genetic and geographical or sociocultural affinities."^[83]
• In a later 2010 review article, Majumder affirms some of these conclusions, introduces and revises some other. The ongoing studies, concludes Majumder, suggest India has served as the major early corridor for geographical dispersal of modern humans from out-of-Africa. The archaeological and genetic traces of the earliest settlers in India has not provided any conclusive evidence. The tribal populations of India are older than the non-tribal populations. The autosomal differentiation and genetic diversity within India's caste populations at 0.04 is significantly lower than 0.14 for continental populations and 0.09 for 31 world population sets studied by Watkins et al., suggesting that while tribal populations were differentiated, the differentiation effects within India's caste population was less than previously thought. Majumder also concludes that recent studies suggest India has been a major contributor to the gene pool of southeast Asia.^[84][85]
• Another study covering a large sample of Indian populations allowed Watkins et al. to examine eight Indian caste groups and four endogamous south Indian tribal populations. The Indian castes data show low between-group differences, while the tribal Indian groups show relatively high between-group differentiation. This suggests that people between Indian castes were not reproductively isolated, while Indian tribal populations experienced reproductive isolation and drift. Furthermore, the genetic fixation index data shows historical genetic differentiation and segregation between Indian castes population is much smaller than those found in east Asia, Africa and other continental populations; while being similar to the genetic differentiation and segregation observed in European populations.^[85]
• In 2006, Sahoo et al. reported their analysis of genomic data on 936 Y-chromosomes representing 32 tribal and 45 caste groups from different regions of India. These scientists find that the haplogroup frequency distribution across the country, between different caste groups, was found to be predominantly driven by geographical, rather than cultural determinants. They conclude there is clear evidence for both large-scale immigration into ancient India of Sino-Tibetan speakers and language change of former Austroasiatic speakers, in the northeast Indian region.^[86][87]
• The genome studies through 2010 have been on relatively small population sets. Many are from just one southeastern state of Andhra Pradesh (including Telangana, which was part of the state until June 2014). Any conclusions on demographic history of India must therefore be interpreted with caution. A larger national genome study with demographic growth and sex ratio balances may offer further insights on the extent of genetic differentiation and segregation in India over the millenniums.^[84]

See also

Government

• 2011 census of India
• National Commission on Population

Lists

• List of most populous cities in India
• List of most populous metropolitan areas in India
• List of million-plus urban agglomerations in India
• List of states and union territories of India by population

Notes

References

External links

• Census of India; government site with detailed data from 2001 census
• Census of India map generator; generates maps based on 2001 census figures
• Demographic data for India; provides sources of demographic data for India
• 2001 maps; provides maps of social, economic and demographic data of India in 2001
• Population of India 2011 map; distribution of population amongst states and union territories
• India's Demographic Outlook: Implications and Trends
• United Nations "World Population Prospects": Country Profile - India
• Aggregated demographic statistics from Indian and global data sources
• Demographic statistics for India - online on Bluenomics
• India comparing with China population projection graph Based on data from database of UN Population Division

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