Cantabrian parliamentary election, 2015
Cantabrian parliamentary election, 2015
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The 2015 Cantabrian parliamentary election will be held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of Cantabria, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Cantabria. At stake are all seats in the Parliament, determining the President of Cantabria. The number of members will decrease from 39 to 35 compared to the previous election
The election will be held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.
Electoral system
The number of seats in the Parliament of Cantabria is set to a fixed-number of 35. All Parliament members are elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Community's territory (the province of Cantabria), using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system.
Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) in all of the community are entitled to enter the seat distribution.[2]
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PP |
PRC |
PSOE |
IU |
UPyD |
C's |
P |
Others |
Lead |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17–26 Mar |
NC-Report |
35.9 |
20.1 |
15.1 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
10.1 |
12.7 |
6.7 |
15.8 |
23 Feb–3 Mar |
Ikerfel |
34.8 |
17.6 |
15.3 |
|
|
12.5 |
13.1 |
6.7 |
17.2 |
2015 |
1–5 Nov |
SyM |
36.8 |
12.6 |
21.8 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
|
13.4 |
3.5 |
15.0 |
25 May 2014 |
EP Election |
34.7 |
N/A |
24.3 |
9.0 |
8.2 |
3.0 |
9.2 |
11.6 |
10.3 |
6–9 Feb |
SyM |
36.9 |
27.7 |
16.8 |
7.7 |
6.3 |
|
|
4.6 |
9.2 |
2014 |
15 Oct–12 Nov |
NC-Report |
39.6 |
31.0 |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
12.5 |
8.6 |
24–27 Sep |
SyM |
36.7 |
24.3 |
17.2 |
7.7 |
|
|
4.6 |
12.4 |
15 Apr–10 May |
NC-Report |
39.8 |
31.4 |
16.2 |
6.1 |
|
|
6.5 |
8.4 |
2013 |
2012 |
20 Nov 2011 |
General Election |
52.2 |
12.5 |
25.2 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
|
|
1.7 |
27.0 |
22 May 2011 |
Regional Election |
46.1 |
29.1 |
16.4 |
3.3 |
1.7 |
5.0 |
16.9 |
Seats
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 20 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria.
18 seats needed for majority (31/12/2011–)
20 seats needed for majority (22/05/2011–31/12/2011)
Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PP |
PRC |
PSOE |
IU |
UPyD |
C's |
P |
Others |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17–26 Mar |
NC-Report |
13 / 14 |
7 / 8 |
5 / 6 |
0 |
0 |
3 / 4 |
3 / 4 |
0 |
23 Feb–3 Mar |
Ikerfel |
13 / 14 |
6 / 7 |
5 / 6 |
0 |
0 |
4 / 5 |
5 |
0 |
2 Feb |
PP |
14 / 16 |
8 / 10 |
5 / 6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 / 6 |
0 |
2015 |
10 Nov |
PP |
16 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
4 |
1–5 Nov |
SyM |
14 |
4 / 5 |
8 |
2 / 3 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
31 Oct |
Llorente & Cuenca |
14 / 16 |
10 / 12 |
5 |
2 |
1 / 2 |
0 |
4 / 5 |
0 |
25 May 2014 |
EP Election |
(16) |
N/A |
(11) |
(4) |
(4) |
(0) |
(4) |
(0) |
6–9 Feb |
SyM |
14 |
10 / 11 |
6 |
2 / 3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2014 |
15 Oct–12 Nov |
NC-Report |
15 / 16 |
11 / 12 |
6 / 7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
24–27 Sep |
SyM |
14 / 16 |
9 / 10 |
5 / 6 |
2 / 3 |
2 / 3 |
0 |
0 |
15 Apr–10 May |
NC-Report |
15 / 16 |
11 / 12 |
6 / 7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2013 |
2012 |
20 Nov 2011 |
General Election |
(23) |
(5) |
(11) |
(0) |
(0) |
|
|
(0) |
22 May 2011 |
Regional Election |
20 |
12 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Results
References