Canarian parliamentary election, 2015
Canarian parliamentary election, 2015
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All 60 seats in the Parliament of Canarias
31 seats needed for a majority |
| |
 |
 |
|
| Leader |
María Australia Navarro de Paz |
Fernando Clavijo |
Patricia Hernández |
| Party |
PP |
CC |
PSOE |
| Leader since |
6 March 2015 |
12 September 2014 |
19 October 2014 |
| Last election |
21 seats, 31.9% |
21 seats, 24.9% |
15 seats, 21.0% |
| Current seats |
21 |
21 |
15 |
| Seats needed |
 10 |
10 |
16 |
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| Leader |
Román Rodríguez |
|
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| Party |
NC |
|
|
| Leader since |
26 February 2005 |
|
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| Last election |
3 seats, 9.1% |
|
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| Current seats |
3 |
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| Seats needed |
28 |
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The 2015 Canarian parliamentary election will be held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Canarian Parliament, the unicameral regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of the Canary Islands. At stake will be all 60 seats in the Parliament, determining the President of the Canary Islands.
The election will be held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Seats
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 31 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Canarias.
31 seats needed for majority
| Date |
Polling Firm/Source |
PP |
CC |
PSOE |
NC |
UPyD |
IU |
C's |
P |
ASG |
Others |
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| 20 Apr |
Focus |
12 / 14 |
17 / 22 |
13 / 15 |
3 / 5 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 / 8 |
0 |
0 |
| 7–20 Apr |
Perfiles |
13 / 15 |
17 |
13 / 15 |
3 / 5 |
0 |
0 |
5 / 7 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| 26 Mar–9 Apr |
TSA |
11 / 14 |
14 / 17 |
11 / 14 |
5 / 7 |
0 |
0 |
5 / 6 |
5 / 6 |
1 |
0 |
| 23 Mar–9 Apr |
NC-Report |
13 / 14 |
15 / 17 |
12 / 13 |
5 / 6 |
0 |
0 |
4 / 5 |
7 / 8 |
1 / 2 |
0 |
| 2015 |
| 6 Dec |
HM&AI |
14 / 15 |
17 / 19 |
13 / 14 |
4 / 6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 / 9 |
|
0 |
| 4–14 Aug |
Celeste-Tel |
15 |
18 |
14 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
0 |
| 5–16 Apr |
Celeste-Tel |
16 |
21 |
17 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 23 Feb |
Demométrica |
13 |
21 |
17 |
6 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2014 |
| 2–5 Dec |
HM&AI |
20 |
20 |
14 / 15 |
5 / 6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
0 |
| 15 Oct–12 Nov |
NC-Report |
17 / 18 |
23 / 25 |
14 / 15 |
3 / 4 |
0 |
1 / 2 |
0 |
0 |
| 15 Apr–10 May |
NC-Report |
18 / 19 |
22 / 24 |
14 / 15 |
3 / 4 |
0 |
1 / 2 |
0 |
0 |
| 2013 |
| 2012 |
| 22 May 2011 |
Regional Election |
21 |
21 |
15 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
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|
|
0 |
Results
Overall
Notes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.
